Bitcoin’s PPI Test: Can Lower Inflation Change the Trend?

Bitcoin is entering another important macro session as markets turn their attention to the latest U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI).

July PPI is expected at 4.9% year over year, down from the previous 5.5% reading. A softer result could reinforce expectations that inflationary pressure is easing, while a hotter-than-expected number could keep pressure on rate-sensitive assets.

The CPI report already showed July consumer inflation rising just 0.1% month over month, while markets reduced expectations for an immediate Federal Reserve rate hike. Bitcoin has remained near the 63,000–65,000 USD area despite the softer inflation backdrop.

That creates an important setup.

A weaker PPI could improve risk sentiment and give $BTC another opportunity to challenge 65,000 USD. But if price fails to break higher despite supportive macro data, it could signal that technical resistance and weak positioning remain stronger forces.

For now, I’m watching three things: PPI, Treasury yields, and BTC’s reaction around 65,000 USD.

The data matters—but the market’s reaction may matter even more.

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