US CPI Cools Slightly, Reinforcing Expectations That the Fed May Not Need to Hike in September

📉 US CPI rose 0.1% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in July, while core CPI increased 0.2% and 2.5%, respectively. All figures matched expectations and continued to signal easing price pressures.

⛽ Energy prices fell 1.5%, including a 2.9% decline in gasoline, helping contain headline inflation. However, housing costs remained relatively sticky, with owners’ equivalent rent rising 0.3%.

🏦 The data reduced pressure on the Fed to raise rates in September. US Treasury yields declined, the dollar weakened slightly, while gold and equities received support.

📊 For risk assets, the report is a moderately positive signal rather than a major dovish surprise. The policy outlook will remain sensitive to August data and energy-price developments.

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