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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
marchealo:
❤️❤️❤️
#btc
بتكوين هابط ٩ درجات قريبا لحد الان اربع درجات يعني لازال هناك خمس درجات خلينا نتخيل حجم الهبوط بالمختصر هاد الهبوط اعنف هبوط ولكن بشكل عام كل ٥ سنوات يحدث من عام ٢٠٢١ كان اعلى قمة ومن بعده استمر الهبوط فترة طويلة وبعد سنة استقر وبعد سنة استمر صعود متذبذب يعني لدرجة مافيك تعرف الاتجاه وين وبعدا صار في قفزات متتالية هاد السناريو متكرر من قبل ٢٠٢١ عفكرة بالمختصر خروج ٣ سنوات من سوق الكريبتو قد تكون كافية
#Write2Earn
بتكوين هابط ٩ درجات قريبا لحد الان اربع درجات يعني لازال هناك خمس درجات خلينا نتخيل حجم الهبوط بالمختصر هاد الهبوط اعنف هبوط ولكن بشكل عام كل ٥ سنوات يحدث من عام ٢٠٢١ كان اعلى قمة ومن بعده استمر الهبوط فترة طويلة وبعد سنة استقر وبعد سنة استمر صعود متذبذب يعني لدرجة مافيك تعرف الاتجاه وين وبعدا صار في قفزات متتالية هاد السناريو متكرر من قبل ٢٠٢١ عفكرة بالمختصر خروج ٣ سنوات من سوق الكريبتو قد تكون كافية
#Write2Earn
🚨 DERNIÈRE MINUTE
🇺🇸 LA MAISON BLANCHE A OFFICIELLEMENT REJETÉ LE PROJET DE LOI SUR LA STRUCTURE DU MARCHÉ DES CRYPTOMONNAIES.
LA PROPOSITION AVAIT POUR BUT DE RÉDUIRE LA MANIPULATION DU MARCHÉ ET DE CRÉER DES RÈGLES CLAIRES POUR LES CRYPTOMONNAIES.
Sans cela, l'incertitude augmente — et ce n'est pas bon signe pour le Bitcoin ni pour le marché en général.$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#btc
🇺🇸 LA MAISON BLANCHE A OFFICIELLEMENT REJETÉ LE PROJET DE LOI SUR LA STRUCTURE DU MARCHÉ DES CRYPTOMONNAIES.
LA PROPOSITION AVAIT POUR BUT DE RÉDUIRE LA MANIPULATION DU MARCHÉ ET DE CRÉER DES RÈGLES CLAIRES POUR LES CRYPTOMONNAIES.
Sans cela, l'incertitude augmente — et ce n'est pas bon signe pour le Bitcoin ni pour le marché en général.$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#btc
$BTC
🚨📣 Binance's SAFU fund has recently purchased an
additional 1,315 BTC worth $100 million, bringing the total to 2,630 BTC in just two days! This move highlights Binance's strong confidence in Bitcoin as a core reserve asset.
Technically speaking, Bitcoin hit the $72K mark (after local stability at $74K), and we are currently navigating "Wave 4". The next major targets are $125K, followed by a massive "Wave 5" breakout toward $160K.
🔔Want to stay ahead of the market? Follow the account for more technical analysis and breaking news! 🚀🔥
#BinanceSquareFamily ,#BinanceSquareTalks ,#btc ,#Whale.Alert
🚨📣 Binance's SAFU fund has recently purchased an
additional 1,315 BTC worth $100 million, bringing the total to 2,630 BTC in just two days! This move highlights Binance's strong confidence in Bitcoin as a core reserve asset.
Technically speaking, Bitcoin hit the $72K mark (after local stability at $74K), and we are currently navigating "Wave 4". The next major targets are $125K, followed by a massive "Wave 5" breakout toward $160K.
🔔Want to stay ahead of the market? Follow the account for more technical analysis and breaking news! 🚀🔥
#BinanceSquareFamily ,#BinanceSquareTalks ,#btc ,#Whale.Alert
🚨 Bitcoin is dumping — but here’s what most people are missing:
This is NOT random.
This move is driven by:
👉 Liquidations of over-leveraged longs
👉 Fear hitting retail traders
👉 Risk assets reacting to hawkish tones from Federal Reserve
In simple words:
💥 Weak hands are being shaken out.
💥 Liquidity is being collected.
💥 Smart money waits for panic.
Let’s be real:
This looks like a liquidity sweep + fear phase, not the end of crypto.
Key zones to watch:
🟡 $58k–$55k → first major support
🟠 $52k → high-volume demand
🔴 $48k → deep panic zone (only if macro turns ugly)
Markets don’t crash because of news.
They crash to transfer coins from emotional traders to patient ones.
Remember:
❌ Panic sells bottoms
✅ Patience buys discounts
Zoom out. Breathe. Think in probabilities.
Are you watching from the sidelines…
or preparing for opportunity? 👇
#btc $BTC
This is NOT random.
This move is driven by:
👉 Liquidations of over-leveraged longs
👉 Fear hitting retail traders
👉 Risk assets reacting to hawkish tones from Federal Reserve
In simple words:
💥 Weak hands are being shaken out.
💥 Liquidity is being collected.
💥 Smart money waits for panic.
Let’s be real:
This looks like a liquidity sweep + fear phase, not the end of crypto.
Key zones to watch:
🟡 $58k–$55k → first major support
🟠 $52k → high-volume demand
🔴 $48k → deep panic zone (only if macro turns ugly)
Markets don’t crash because of news.
They crash to transfer coins from emotional traders to patient ones.
Remember:
❌ Panic sells bottoms
✅ Patience buys discounts
Zoom out. Breathe. Think in probabilities.
Are you watching from the sidelines…
or preparing for opportunity? 👇
#btc $BTC
$BTC
Bitcoin ($BTC ) is currently trading at $65,750.37, down 11.18% from its previous close. The market sentiment is bearish, with many analysts predicting a potential increase in price over the next few months. Some forecasts suggest Bitcoin could reach $80,635 by March 2026, while others predict it could hit $150,000 to $200,000 by the end of 2026 ¹ ² ³.
*$BTC Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price:*
- _Institutional Adoption_: Growing interest from institutional investors is expected to drive demand and push prices higher.
- _Halving Cycle_: The recent halving event in April 2024 is anticipated to reduce supply and increase prices.
- _Regulatory Environment_: Favorable regulations and government-backed Bitcoin reserves could boost prices ⁴ ⁵.
*Price Predictions for 2026:*
- $81,329 (CoinCodex)
- $150,000 - $200,000 (Bernstein, JPMorgan)
- $250,000 (Charles Hoskinson, Robert Kiyosaki)
⁶ ³ ⁷
#btc #BTC走势分析 #BTCUSDT.P #BTC☀️ #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Bitcoin ($BTC ) is currently trading at $65,750.37, down 11.18% from its previous close. The market sentiment is bearish, with many analysts predicting a potential increase in price over the next few months. Some forecasts suggest Bitcoin could reach $80,635 by March 2026, while others predict it could hit $150,000 to $200,000 by the end of 2026 ¹ ² ³.
*$BTC Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price:*
- _Institutional Adoption_: Growing interest from institutional investors is expected to drive demand and push prices higher.
- _Halving Cycle_: The recent halving event in April 2024 is anticipated to reduce supply and increase prices.
- _Regulatory Environment_: Favorable regulations and government-backed Bitcoin reserves could boost prices ⁴ ⁵.
*Price Predictions for 2026:*
- $81,329 (CoinCodex)
- $150,000 - $200,000 (Bernstein, JPMorgan)
- $250,000 (Charles Hoskinson, Robert Kiyosaki)
⁶ ³ ⁷
#btc #BTC走势分析 #BTCUSDT.P #BTC☀️ #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Сегодня рынок выглядит тяжело и без иллюзий. Биткоин теряет структуру, не удерживает ключевые уровни и не подтверждает попытки восстановления. Цена говорит о продолжении давления. После целого дня анализа, рабочих созвонов и оценки сценариев мы приняли уверенное решение работать от шорта.
Ближайшая цель — область 68 000, при этом сохраняем фокус на работе во флетовом диапазоне и частичных фиксациях. Виджет снова корректно работает и отражает все действия.
Сюжет для рынка сейчас мрачный, но именно в такие фазы и принимаются самые взвешенные решения.
$BTC #btc #SHORT📉
Ближайшая цель — область 68 000, при этом сохраняем фокус на работе во флетовом диапазоне и частичных фиксациях. Виджет снова корректно работает и отражает все действия.
Сюжет для рынка сейчас мрачный, но именно в такие фазы и принимаются самые взвешенные решения.
$BTC #btc #SHORT📉
$BTC
🔴 Primary Setup: Short (trend-following)
Entry (ET):
69,200 – 70,500
(Pullback into previous support + EMA resistance)
Stop Loss (SL):
72,000
(Clear invalidation above EMA50–100 zone)
Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 66,600
• TP2: 65,000
• TP3: 63,800 – 64,200
Bias: Bearish
Note: Sell the bounce, don’t chase the breakdown.
⸻
🟢 Alternative: Counter-trend Long (High Risk)
Entry (ET):
66,300 – 66,700
Stop Loss (SL):
65,800
Take Profit (TP):
68,500 – 69,000
Note: This is a scalp bounce, not a trend reversal.
⸻
🧠 Market context:
Price below EMA50 & EMA100, MACD bearish, RSI oversold → bounces are corrective until structure flips.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #btc
🔴 Primary Setup: Short (trend-following)
Entry (ET):
69,200 – 70,500
(Pullback into previous support + EMA resistance)
Stop Loss (SL):
72,000
(Clear invalidation above EMA50–100 zone)
Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 66,600
• TP2: 65,000
• TP3: 63,800 – 64,200
Bias: Bearish
Note: Sell the bounce, don’t chase the breakdown.
⸻
🟢 Alternative: Counter-trend Long (High Risk)
Entry (ET):
66,300 – 66,700
Stop Loss (SL):
65,800
Take Profit (TP):
68,500 – 69,000
Note: This is a scalp bounce, not a trend reversal.
⸻
🧠 Market context:
Price below EMA50 & EMA100, MACD bearish, RSI oversold → bounces are corrective until structure flips.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #btc
🚨🚨 🚨 Michael Saylor Holding $6.5B in Unrealized Bitcoin Losses.
Reports indicate Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy is currently sitting on ~$6.5B in unrealized Bitcoin losses, driven by Bitcoin’s drawdown from its average acquisition price. This is paper loss only—no BTC has been sold.
⸻
Key Facts
• MicroStrategy holds hundreds of thousands of BTC, accumulated aggressively across multiple cycles.
• The company’s average buy price is well above current spot, which explains the large unrealized drawdown.
• These losses are accounting-based, not realized cash losses.
⸻
Saylor’s Strategy
• Saylor remains firmly long-term bullish, consistently stating BTC is a multi-decade asset, not a trade.
• MicroStrategy has historically bought into weakness, even during deep drawdowns.
• BTC is treated as a treasury reserve asset, not a liquidity position.
⸻
Market Impact & Risk Considerations
• No immediate sell pressure: Saylor has repeatedly ruled out selling BTC.
• However, large unrealized losses:
• Add psychological pressure to the market
• Raise concerns around debt servicing and leverage during prolonged bear phases
• If BTC experiences further downside, equity volatility (MSTR) may increase sharply.
⸻
Why This Matters for Bitcoin
• MicroStrategy remains a symbolic institutional holder of BTC.
• Large drawdowns reinforce bear-market narratives, even if fundamentals remain unchanged.
• Any change in Saylor’s stance would be market-moving, but so far, conviction remains intact.
⸻
Bottom Line
This headline highlights volatility risk, not capitulation. As long as MicroStrategy continues to hold and service its obligations, the unrealized loss is noise, not structural damage. BTC’s direction will still be driven by liquidity, macro conditions, and price structure, not Saylor selling.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #EthereumLayer2Rethink? #Saylor #btc #strategy
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Reports indicate Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy is currently sitting on ~$6.5B in unrealized Bitcoin losses, driven by Bitcoin’s drawdown from its average acquisition price. This is paper loss only—no BTC has been sold.
⸻
Key Facts
• MicroStrategy holds hundreds of thousands of BTC, accumulated aggressively across multiple cycles.
• The company’s average buy price is well above current spot, which explains the large unrealized drawdown.
• These losses are accounting-based, not realized cash losses.
⸻
Saylor’s Strategy
• Saylor remains firmly long-term bullish, consistently stating BTC is a multi-decade asset, not a trade.
• MicroStrategy has historically bought into weakness, even during deep drawdowns.
• BTC is treated as a treasury reserve asset, not a liquidity position.
⸻
Market Impact & Risk Considerations
• No immediate sell pressure: Saylor has repeatedly ruled out selling BTC.
• However, large unrealized losses:
• Add psychological pressure to the market
• Raise concerns around debt servicing and leverage during prolonged bear phases
• If BTC experiences further downside, equity volatility (MSTR) may increase sharply.
⸻
Why This Matters for Bitcoin
• MicroStrategy remains a symbolic institutional holder of BTC.
• Large drawdowns reinforce bear-market narratives, even if fundamentals remain unchanged.
• Any change in Saylor’s stance would be market-moving, but so far, conviction remains intact.
⸻
Bottom Line
This headline highlights volatility risk, not capitulation. As long as MicroStrategy continues to hold and service its obligations, the unrealized loss is noise, not structural damage. BTC’s direction will still be driven by liquidity, macro conditions, and price structure, not Saylor selling.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #EthereumLayer2Rethink? #Saylor #btc #strategy
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
WHEN IS THE BOTTOM BTC?
Every cycle the market must reach a price level where 2/3 of participants are sitting on massive losses:
$BTC Supply: early whales, funds, DAOs, OTC/MM desks, miners, retail, nodes, exchange reserves (for liquidity or backing)...etc
A true bottom forms only when most of them are deeply underwater
Historically, this metric Supply in Loss (%) must reach 60% for market bottom
⏳Right now it's sitting at 44.7%, meaning BTC could go further downsize!
📌 BTC Realized Price ~ $55.5K right now
Realized Price is calculated as Realized Cap divided by the total coin supply.
It measures the average price weighted by the supply of what the entire market participants paid for their coins.
Below this level, ETF holders, Whales...start taking losses - and this is the most important group, controlling 20–25% of all coins
Historically, Bitcoin bottoms are 60-70% drawdowns from cycle highs
2011: -93%
2015: -86%
2018: -84%
2022: -77%
From the current ATH at $126K, that gives a zone around $40K-50K for BTC bottom this cycle!
This is the zone where everyone goes underwater: retail, miners, whales, inflows, funds - and a full/partial capitulation + market depression takes place
BTC 1-month timeframe chart
#btc #bitcoin #WhenWillBTCRebound #MarketPullback #eth
$BTC Supply: early whales, funds, DAOs, OTC/MM desks, miners, retail, nodes, exchange reserves (for liquidity or backing)...etc
A true bottom forms only when most of them are deeply underwater
Historically, this metric Supply in Loss (%) must reach 60% for market bottom
⏳Right now it's sitting at 44.7%, meaning BTC could go further downsize!
📌 BTC Realized Price ~ $55.5K right now
Realized Price is calculated as Realized Cap divided by the total coin supply.
It measures the average price weighted by the supply of what the entire market participants paid for their coins.
Below this level, ETF holders, Whales...start taking losses - and this is the most important group, controlling 20–25% of all coins
Historically, Bitcoin bottoms are 60-70% drawdowns from cycle highs
2011: -93%
2015: -86%
2018: -84%
2022: -77%
From the current ATH at $126K, that gives a zone around $40K-50K for BTC bottom this cycle!
This is the zone where everyone goes underwater: retail, miners, whales, inflows, funds - and a full/partial capitulation + market depression takes place
BTC 1-month timeframe chart
#btc #bitcoin #WhenWillBTCRebound #MarketPullback #eth
Dimcha:
Стерилизация "избыточной" денежной массы есть необходимое условие для запуска печатного станочка в "закромах родины" (которые Federal Reserve). В частности, при новом директоре.
Давление вниз сохранялось, структура оставалась шортовой. Позицию следовало удерживать дальше. Вместо этого было принято неверное решение — преждевременно выйти из шорта и открыть лонг против текущего сценария. Рынок продолжил снижение, полностью подтвердив исходную идею. Ошибка заключалась именно в смене направления, а не в анализе.
$BTC #btc
$BTC #btc
Биткоин сегодня закрыли в минус. И это был очень ощутимый минус.
Рынок полностью игнорирует поддержки, структуры и общую логику движения.
На графике формируется одно, а по факту цена продолжает движение вниз.
Именно тот случай, когда ожидания ломаются без предупреждений.
Мои люди оказались в минусе — и это неприятная, тяжёлая реальность.
Без оправданий и иллюзий. Мы фиксируем факт, делаем выводы и двигаемся дальше.
Закрыл все.
$BTC #btc #fhe $FHE
Рынок полностью игнорирует поддержки, структуры и общую логику движения.
На графике формируется одно, а по факту цена продолжает движение вниз.
Именно тот случай, когда ожидания ломаются без предупреждений.
Мои люди оказались в минусе — и это неприятная, тяжёлая реальность.
Без оправданий и иллюзий. Мы фиксируем факт, делаем выводы и двигаемся дальше.
Закрыл все.
$BTC #btc #fhe $FHE
😱🚨$BTC ПО $40 000 — МИФ ИЛИ РЕАЛЬНОСТЬ?
Я вижу, как рынок снова делят на два лагеря.
Одни в панике: «всё, конец, ниже некуда».
Другие уверены, что ниже мы вообще не пойдем.
А правда, как обычно, где-то посередине.
$40k — это не страшилка и не цель.
Это просто сценарий. Один из.
Рынок легко может туда сходить, если страх станет сильнее логики.
И так же легко может развернуться раньше.
Самое опасное сейчас — не падение цены.
Самое опасное — торговать на эмоциях и верить в «точно будет» или «точно не будет».
Я смотрю не на цифру, а на риск.
Именно в такие моменты рынок и проверяет, кто здесь за быстрым дофамином, а кто — за результатом.
А ты что думаешь:
$40k — реально или просто очередной триггер для паники? 👀👇🏻
#btc #analysis #CryptoMarketMoves
Я вижу, как рынок снова делят на два лагеря.
Одни в панике: «всё, конец, ниже некуда».
Другие уверены, что ниже мы вообще не пойдем.
А правда, как обычно, где-то посередине.
$40k — это не страшилка и не цель.
Это просто сценарий. Один из.
Рынок легко может туда сходить, если страх станет сильнее логики.
И так же легко может развернуться раньше.
Самое опасное сейчас — не падение цены.
Самое опасное — торговать на эмоциях и верить в «точно будет» или «точно не будет».
Я смотрю не на цифру, а на риск.
Именно в такие моменты рынок и проверяет, кто здесь за быстрым дофамином, а кто — за результатом.
А ты что думаешь:
$40k — реально или просто очередной триггер для паники? 👀👇🏻
#btc #analysis #CryptoMarketMoves
Binance BiBi:
Привет! Это очень проницательный анализ. Ты абсолютно прав насчет опасности эмоциональной торговли, особенно сейчас. Рынок действительно в состоянии 'Экстремального страха', и цена BTC сейчас около $63,753 (на 20:43 UTC), что подтверждает твою мысль о сильной панике. Спасибо, что поделился
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