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🚨 BTC WARNING — THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS BACK 🚨
Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
$POWER – Blow-off spike into heavy resistance. Looks exhausted.
Short $POWER
Entry: 0.305 – 0.315
SL: 0.355
TP1: 0.260
TP2: 0.210
TP3: 0.180
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $POWER here 👇
Short $POWER
Entry: 0.305 – 0.315
SL: 0.355
TP1: 0.260
TP2: 0.210
TP3: 0.180
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $POWER here 👇
$ARIA – Relief bounce into resistance after a heavy downtrend. Fade the squeeze.
Short $ARIA
Entry: 0.091 – 0.095
SL: 0.101
TP1: 0.082
TP2: 0.072
TP3: 0.058
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ARIA here 👇
Short $ARIA
Entry: 0.091 – 0.095
SL: 0.101
TP1: 0.082
TP2: 0.072
TP3: 0.058
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ARIA here 👇
$INIT – Parabolic pop into prior supply. Late longs about to learn.
Short $INIT
Entry: 0.135 – 0.145
SL: 0.162
TP1: 0.115
TP2: 0.095
TP3: 0.075
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $INIT here 👇
Short $INIT
Entry: 0.135 – 0.145
SL: 0.162
TP1: 0.115
TP2: 0.095
TP3: 0.075
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $INIT here 👇
$SPACE – V-bottom reclaim with volume expansion.
Long $SPACE
Entry: 0.0100 – 0.0106
SL: 0.0089
TP1: 0.0125
TP2: 0.0158
TP3: 0.0195
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SPACE here 👇
Long $SPACE
Entry: 0.0100 – 0.0106
SL: 0.0089
TP1: 0.0125
TP2: 0.0158
TP3: 0.0195
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SPACE here 👇
$RPL – Volume expansion off the lows, structure trying to flip
Long $RPL
Entry: 2.60 – 2.70
SL: 2.38
TP1: 2.95
TP2: 3.35
TP3: 3.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $RPL here 👇
Long $RPL
Entry: 2.60 – 2.70
SL: 2.38
TP1: 2.95
TP2: 3.35
TP3: 3.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $RPL here 👇
Bitcoin Just Pulled a Brutal Liquidity Trap
Bitcoin whipped around near $70,000 on Monday — and it wasn’t random.
With Wall Street closed and trading volume thin, big players had room to move the market. They did exactly that — triggering both longs and shorts in rapid-fire squeezes. Over $120 million got liquidated in hours.
Price looked like it was breaking out… then snapped back. Classic trap. Traders got shaken out on both sides.
The Bigger Signal 👀
Bitcoin’s weekly RSI just dropped below 30 — officially “oversold.”
Last time this happened? The 2022 bear market.
In past cycles (2015, 2018), this level marked the bottom.
In 2022, it led to months of sideways pain before the real recovery.
Here’s the thing:
This doesn’t guarantee a bottom — but historically, this is where major turns start forming.
Volatility is rising. Liquidity is being hunted.
And Bitcoin is setting the stage for a big move.
With Wall Street closed and trading volume thin, big players had room to move the market. They did exactly that — triggering both longs and shorts in rapid-fire squeezes. Over $120 million got liquidated in hours.
Price looked like it was breaking out… then snapped back. Classic trap. Traders got shaken out on both sides.
The Bigger Signal 👀
Bitcoin’s weekly RSI just dropped below 30 — officially “oversold.”
Last time this happened? The 2022 bear market.
In past cycles (2015, 2018), this level marked the bottom.
In 2022, it led to months of sideways pain before the real recovery.
Here’s the thing:
This doesn’t guarantee a bottom — but historically, this is where major turns start forming.
Volatility is rising. Liquidity is being hunted.
And Bitcoin is setting the stage for a big move.
Bitcoin Is Loading… $80K in Sight 👀
Bitcoin dipped under $67,400 — and buyers attacked the lows.
Now the focus shifts to $80,000–$84,000.
Why This Level Matters
There’s a major CME gap sitting between $80K–$84K.
Bitcoin has filled 9 out of the last 10 gaps.
History says it doesn’t ignore these levels.
Buyers Are Dominating
$596M in buy orders
$297M in sell orders
That’s nearly 2:1 buyer control — the strongest in over two years.
Accumulation Is Exploding
Long-term wallets now hold 372,000 BTC.
Back in September 2024? Just 10,000 BTC.
At the same time, long-term holders are barely selling.
The Setup
Heavy accumulation.
Strong demand.
Clear target above.
If momentum holds, $80K isn’t a dream — it’s a magnet.
Now the focus shifts to $80,000–$84,000.
Why This Level Matters
There’s a major CME gap sitting between $80K–$84K.
Bitcoin has filled 9 out of the last 10 gaps.
History says it doesn’t ignore these levels.
Buyers Are Dominating
$596M in buy orders
$297M in sell orders
That’s nearly 2:1 buyer control — the strongest in over two years.
Accumulation Is Exploding
Long-term wallets now hold 372,000 BTC.
Back in September 2024? Just 10,000 BTC.
At the same time, long-term holders are barely selling.
The Setup
Heavy accumulation.
Strong demand.
Clear target above.
If momentum holds, $80K isn’t a dream — it’s a magnet.
$ASTER – Reclaiming range after base formation.
Long $ASTER
Entry: 0.70 – 0.73
SL: 0.66
TP1: 0.80
TP2: 0.92
TP3: 1.05
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ASTER here 👇
Long $ASTER
Entry: 0.70 – 0.73
SL: 0.66
TP1: 0.80
TP2: 0.92
TP3: 1.05
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ASTER here 👇
$MAGIC – Relief bounce into supply
Short $MAGIC
Entry: 0.0735 – 0.0750
SL: 0.0795
TP1: 0.0680
TP2: 0.0620
TP3: 0.0515
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $MAGIC here 👇
Short $MAGIC
Entry: 0.0735 – 0.0750
SL: 0.0795
TP1: 0.0680
TP2: 0.0620
TP3: 0.0515
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $MAGIC here 👇
$GIGGLE – Compression at lows, squeeze potential building.
Long $GIGGLE
Entry: 31.5 – 32.2
SL: 29.8
TP1: 34.5
TP2: 38.0
TP3: 42.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $GIGGLE here 👇
Long $GIGGLE
Entry: 31.5 – 32.2
SL: 29.8
TP1: 34.5
TP2: 38.0
TP3: 42.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $GIGGLE here 👇
$SHELL – Local base forming after flush
Long $SHELL
Entry: 0.0330 – 0.0345
SL: 0.0310
TP1: 0.0380
TP2: 0.0435
TP3: 0.0500
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SHELL here 👇
Long $SHELL
Entry: 0.0330 – 0.0345
SL: 0.0310
TP1: 0.0380
TP2: 0.0435
TP3: 0.0500
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SHELL here 👇
$LTC – Base forming after exhaustion flush
Long $LTC
Entry: 53.20–54.00
SL: 51.80
TP1: 56.00
TP2: 59.50
TP3: 63.00
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $LTC here 👇
Long $LTC
Entry: 53.20–54.00
SL: 51.80
TP1: 56.00
TP2: 59.50
TP3: 63.00
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $LTC here 👇
$CLO – Compression after flush, ready for relief?
Long $CLO
Entry: 0.069 – 0.072
SL: 0.058
TP1: 0.082
TP2: 0.100
TP3: 0.135
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $CLO here 👇
Long $CLO
Entry: 0.069 – 0.072
SL: 0.058
TP1: 0.082
TP2: 0.100
TP3: 0.135
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $CLO here 👇
$H — Pop into resistance. Fading the squeeze.
Short $H
Entry: 0.195 – 0.205
SL: 0.236
TP1: 0.165
TP2: 0.130
TP3: 0.100
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $H here 👇
Short $H
Entry: 0.195 – 0.205
SL: 0.236
TP1: 0.165
TP2: 0.130
TP3: 0.100
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $H here 👇
$我踏马来了 – Washed out after the spike, now trying to base.
Long $我踏马来了
Entry: 0.0200 – 0.0212
SL: 0.0170
TP1: 0.0255
TP2: 0.0300
TP3: 0.0360
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $我踏马来了 here 👇
Long $我踏马来了
Entry: 0.0200 – 0.0212
SL: 0.0170
TP1: 0.0255
TP2: 0.0300
TP3: 0.0360
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $我踏马来了 here 👇
$XNY – Weak bounce into supply after a breakdown.
Short $XNY
Entry: 0.0056 – 0.0058
SL: 0.0062
TP1: 0.0050
TP2: 0.0042
TP3: 0.0035
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $XNY here 👇
Short $XNY
Entry: 0.0056 – 0.0058
SL: 0.0062
TP1: 0.0050
TP2: 0.0042
TP3: 0.0035
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $XNY here 👇
$OG – Weak bounce into resistance
Short $OG
Entry: 3.40 – 3.50
SL: 3.90
TP1: 3.10
TP2: 2.74
TP3: 2.40
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $OG here 👇
Short $OG
Entry: 3.40 – 3.50
SL: 3.90
TP1: 3.10
TP2: 2.74
TP3: 2.40
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $OG here 👇
$XRP – Bear trap into reclaim?
Long $XRP
Entry: 1.45 – 1.50
SL: 1.10
TP1: 1.73
TP2: 2.08
TP3: 2.40
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $XRP here 👇
Long $XRP
Entry: 1.45 – 1.50
SL: 1.10
TP1: 1.73
TP2: 2.08
TP3: 2.40
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $XRP here 👇
$BNB – Holding the flush low, ready for relief.
Long $BNB
Entry: 610–620
SL: 585
TP1: 640
TP2: 675
TP3: 720
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BNB here 👇
Long $BNB
Entry: 610–620
SL: 585
TP1: 640
TP2: 675
TP3: 720
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BNB here 👇
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