BeyOglu - The Analyst

Shiba Inu ($SHIB ) price slips below $0.0000077 on Thursday after correcting the previous day. Bearish sentiment is further strengthened as holders offload SHIB, increasing selling pressure and reducing Open Interest (OI) in the derivatives market. On the technical side, weakening momentum suggests the downside pressure on the meme coin will continue.
The metric indicates that the whales holding between 100,000 and 1 million (red line), 1 million and 10 million (yellow line), and 10 million and 100 million (blue line) have shed a total of 32.17 billion SHIB tokens from January 20 to Thursday, thereby increasing selling pressure.

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: Bears are in control of the momentum 
Shiba Inu price was rejected at the 50% price retracement level (from the October 6 high of $0.0000130 to the October 10 low of $0.0000067) at $0.0000099 on January 5 and has since been in a downward trend, correcting by over 18% through Sunday. SHIB started the week on a positive note, recovering 4.26% by Tuesday, but failed to sustain the recovery and declined slightly the next day. At the time of writing on Thursday, SHIB is trading down at $0.0000075.
If SHIB continues its downward trend, it could extend the decline toward Sunday’s low of $0.0000073. A close below could extend the further losses toward the October 10 low of $0.0000067.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 41, below the neutral level of 50, and pointing downward, indicating bearish momentum gaining traction. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator showed a bearish crossover on January 17, which remains intact with rising red histogram bars below the neutral level, further supporting the negative outlook.
On the other hand, if SHIB recovers, it could extend the advance toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.0000081.

#SHIB

A new physically backed BNB exchange-traded product has been launched on Nasdaq Stockholm, adding to existing investment options.
$BNB Chain’s native token, BNB, extended its recent advance, rising more than 5% to $893 as it nears the $900 resistance level.
The rally comes amid the launch of a physically backed BNB exchange-traded product (ETP) by crypto asset manager Virtune on Nasdaq Stockholm. The new product offers direct exposure to BNB with Coinbase as the custodian and charges a 1.95% annual fee, adding ways for more investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency.
The launch adds to a growing list of BNB-linked products, including a spot ETF, Grayscale’s recent U.S. filing for GBNB. The filing comes as a BNB ETF bid by VanEck is pending.
According to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model, price action showed hesitation near previous resistance, with volume increasing after BNB broke above the $885 level. The latest price action suggests renewed buying interest, although analysts continue to see signs of continued momentum.
In addition to the price, BNB Chain is seeing a surge in usage in prediction markets. Platforms like Opinion Labs and Probable have reported significant activity, with Opinion Labs logging over $700 million in 7-day trading volume.
This is according to data from Dune, which shows that the total trading volume on BNB Chain coming from prediction markets has now crossed the $20 billion mark.
Probable, which launched in December, has already surpassed $1 billion in total volume. Some of these markets are now integrating directly with wallets like Binance Wallet and Trust Wallet, making them easier for users to access.
“We expect the market to fully stabilize over the next 2-3 years, but at the moment we are seeing this growth on BNB Chain due to the differences in teams and products,” Nina Rong, executive director of development at BNB Chain, told CoinDesk in an emailed statement.
Traders are now keeping a close eye on the $900 target as they monitor broader market developments. The broader CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index has gained about 1% in the past 24 hours, further boosting sentiment.

#bnb | #ETP | #NASDAQ

In 2026, the distinction between “traditional finance” and “crypto” has disappeared. The walls that once separated Wall Street from blockchain have been replaced by regulated bridges: spot ETFs and tokenized real-world assets (RWA).
Whether you want to hedge against inflation with “digital gold” (Bitcoin) or secure your portfolio with “programmable gold” (tokenized bars), the tools available today are more sophisticated and accessible than ever before.
1. Defining the Core: ETFs vs. Tokenization
To understand this market, we must first define the two vehicles driving the 2026 investment boom.
Bitcoin and Altcoin ETFs
An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is a regulated financial product that tracks the price of a cryptocurrency.
How it works: You buy shares of an ETF through a traditional brokerage (like Vanguard or E-Trade). The fund provider (like BlackRock) is responsible for purchasing, storing, and securing the actual coins.The 2026 Reality: While Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are now “blue chip” staples, 2026 has seen a rise in Altcoin ETFs for assets like Solana and XRP, allowing investors to diversify beyond the “Big Two” without managing private keys.
Tokenization of Gold and Silver
Tokenization is the process of minting a digital token on a blockchain that represents ownership of a physical, vaulted asset.
The Mechanism: Each token (such as PAXG or XAUT) represents exactly one fine ounce of gold or silver held in professional vaults (e.g., in London or Zurich).Why it Matters: Unlike an ETF, which only trades during stock market hours, tokenized gold is liquid 24/7. You can trade it at 3:00 AM on a Sunday, send it across the world in seconds, or even use it as collateral in a DeFi loan to earn yield on your "dead" metal.
2. The Catalyst: The 2024 Bitcoin ETF Approval
The current market excitement traces its roots back to January 10, 2024, the day the SEC approved 11 Spot Bitcoin ETFs. It was the “Big Bang” for institutional crypto.
The Immediate and Long-term Impact:
Capital Tsunami: Within its first year, Bitcoin ETFs saw over $50 billion in net inflows, making it the most successful ETF launch in history (surpassing the 2004 gold ETF launch).Price Discovery: Bitcoin rose from $45,000 at the time of approval to a high of over $125,000 by the end of 2025.Volatility Reduction: The “ETF-ization” of Bitcoin has actually stabilized the market. Because institutional money is often “stickier” than retail money, Bitcoin’s average daily volatility has decreased by about 50% since the pre-ETF era.
3. The 2026 Horizon: Altcoin ETFs and the "Alt Season"
As we move through 2026, the focus has shifted to Altcoin ETFs. With the regulatory “playbook” now established by Bitcoin and Ethereum, the market is expecting massive capital circulation.
Could this trigger an Alt Season?
The “alt season” — a period where smaller cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin — is no longer driven solely by retail “hype” on social media. In 2026, it’s being driven by institutional adoption.
“Silver” Strategy: Just as silver often outperforms gold in precious metals bull runs, investors are looking to the Solana (SOL) and XRP ETFs as high-growth counterparts to Bitcoin.
Supply Shocks: When an ETF is approved for a coin like Solana, the fund must physically buy and “lock up” millions of SOL tokens. This creates a massive supply crunch, which historically has led to parabolic price swings.
Circulation Effect: As Bitcoin stabilizes near its $100k+ level in early 2026, institutional profits are naturally flowing into these newly “sanctioned” altcoin vehicles, providing the liquidity needed for a sustainable alt season.
Conclusion: A Unified Financial Future
In 2026, the “store of value” debate is over. Bitcoin is digital gold, gold is the physical anchor, and tokenization is the software that moves them both at the speed of light. For the modern investor, the choice is not between “gold vs. crypto” — it’s about using ETFs for convenience and tokenization for utility.
#Altseason #FedHoldsRates | #GoldHitNewATH

Asian shares mostly fell Thursday as a wait-and-see attitude dominated in regional markets following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep its key interest rate unchanged in United States of America.
That was expected, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell said interest rates look to be “in a good place” for now.
Gold jumped another 4%, trading at $5,520 per ounce and silver was up 3.5%. The dollar weakened against the Japanese yen and oil prices rose.
Gains for some technology companies reporting strong earnings failed to lift shares in Tokyo, where the Nikkei 225 lost 0.2% in morning trading to 53,274.71.
Computer chip testing equipment maker Advantest surged 6.7% after it reported stronger than anticipated earnings. But other tech company shares most fell.
Earnings season is getting into full gear, with major Japanese companies like Toyota Motor Corp., Sony Corp. and Nintendo Co. due to report their earnings next week.
Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea's Kospi surged 0.9% to 5,218.81, hitting a fresh record as computer chip maker SK Hynix picked up 2% on a strong earnings report.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.3% to 27,905.24, while the Shanghai Composite index lost 0.1% to 4,147.15.
In Jakarta, the JSX sank 7.4% after the MSCI, a U.S. provider of global equity, fixed income and real estate indices, warned about market risks in Indonesia.
On Wednesday, the reaction to the Fed's decision to stand pat was muted.
The S&P 500 lost less than one point to 6,978.03 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 12 points, or less than 0.1%, to 49,015.60, and the Nasdaq composite rose 0.2% to 23,857.45.
Seagate Technology jumped 19.1% for the biggest gain in the S&P 500 after the seller of hard drives and other data-storage products reported a bigger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. Nvidia, the stock that’s become the poster child of the AI boom, climbed 1.6% and was the strongest single force lifting the S&P 500. Apple slipped 0.7%, the single heaviest weight on the S&P 500.
In the foreign-exchange market, the U.S. dollar stabilized after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview on CNBC that the U.S. government is not intervening in the currency market and continues to want a “strong dollar.”
The dollar fell to 152.99 Japanese yen from 153.42 yen. The euro cost $1.1983, up slightly from $1.1955.
“From Washington’s side, a slightly firmer yen is convenient for domestic manufacturing concerns. From Tokyo’s side, even symbolic Fed acknowledgement buys time and credibility,” Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, said in a commentary.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury remained at 4.24%, where it was late Tuesday.
The Fed cut rates several times last year to try to shore up the job market, but inflation remains stubbornly above its 2% target. Lower interest rates could worsen inflation while giving the economy a boost. Lower rates could also further undercut the U.S. dollar’s value, which would help U.S. exporters. Trump has been pushing aggressively for lower rates.
In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude gained 76 cents to $63.97 a barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, rose 68 cents to $68.05 a barrel.

US President Donald Trump’s comfortable stance on the US Dollar’s (USD) weakening led to a massive single-day decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) of 1.3% on Tuesday. Trump’s statement fuels speculation about debasement, prompting a sell-off in the Greenback and pushing Gold (XAU/USD) to a record high. Still, Bitcoin (BTC) lags in the race to replace the US Dollar despite the supportive macro backdrop.
Trump backs a weaker US Dollar, sees gains for US exporters
Donald Trump downplayed the weakness in the US Dollar, saying that it's great for business. The falling value of the US Dollar aligns with Trump’s push to attract more business from global economies, making US exports more competitive. This could potentially start a devaluation strategy to support US exporters, as seen with the Chinese government depreciating the Yuan (CNY) to counter tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. 
According to Trump, “The [US] Dollar’s recent decline is great for US businesses.” The US President also criticized China and Japan for artificially depreciating their currencies for the same motives. 
As the US government acknowledges the Greenback's declining value, currency markets witness intense selling pressure. In Asian markets, the debasement narrative brought some relief to local currencies, including the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) and the Japanese Yen (JPY), while the Indian Rupee (INR) and the Chinese Yuan continue to weaken.
Additionally, the drop in the US Dollar could support the case for an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), if exports spur growth without inflation rising in the long-term. The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday is likely to keep the interest rates unchanged at the 3.50%-3.75% range. 
Gold, on the other hand, extends its rally after Trump’s disruptive stance, crossing $5,300 in the European session on Wednesday. However, Bitcoin lags below $90,000, extending the divergence with the yellow metal. Over the last year, Gold has posted gains of over 90%, while Bitcoin is down roughly 17%, reaffirming Gold’s safe-haven status amid debasement trades.
Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin’s correlation with Gold over the last 365 days has dropped to -0.051, as the metal benefits from traditional safe-haven flows while BTC remains trapped in a range. 

However, the sharp decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) aligns with a minor recovery in BTC prices. Extended pullbacks in DXY in 2017 and 2020 align with Bitcoin's bull runs in those years, signaling a potential comeback for BTC bulls if the US Dollar repeats a similar decline.