ScalpingX TG Channel

$TAKE - Mcap 62.7M$ - 87%/ 3.3K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 3.12%. The uptrend is in the 236th cycle, with an increase amplitude of 29.12%.

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$ZEUS - Mcap 9.83M$ - 90%/ 10.4K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and satisfies the positive simplification condition with a prior very profitable Long order, the projected stop-loss is around 4.36%. The uptrend is in the 86th cycle, with an increase amplitude of 20.79%.

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$BTC - Mcap 1.81T$ - 81%/ 5.7M votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - the Long order has been triggered, with no profit yet. Entry lies within the HVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the stop-loss is 0.19%. The uptrend has lasted for 257 cycles, with an increase amplitude of 1.58%.

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$LAVA - Mcap 46.82M$ - 93%/ 1.9K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - the Long order has been triggered, with no significant profit yet. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the stop-loss is 8.17%. The uptrend has lasted for 164 cycles, with an increase amplitude of 49.94%.

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📊 WINRATE & MARKET SENTIMENT (FGI) ANALYSIS – updated to 2025-12-06

Daily win-rate data from the scalping community shows that the FGI–winrate correlation remains very weak (≈ -0.16). Winrate does not move linearly with FGI; the “Extreme Greed” zone is still the riskiest area for performance.

🔍 Quick interpretation

Extreme Fear (<20) still has the highest average winrate, but the sample size is small, so it should be treated as a reference signal only. Fear (20–<40) keeps a slightly higher-than-average performance. Neutral (40–60) hovers around the overall mean. Greed (60–<80) shows no clear improvement. Extreme Greed (≥80) drags winrate down sharply and remains the most “blow-up friendly” environment if R:R is pushed too aggressively.

📉 Average winrate by FGI band (with number of days)

🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): 40.52% — n=25 (lowest)

😃 Greed (60–<80): 44.94% — n=203

😐 Neutral (40–60): 45.19% — n=142

😟 Fear (20–<40): 46.00% — n=133

😨 Extreme Fear (<20): 47.99% — n=19

Share of days beating the 45.18% average winrate by band:

Extreme Greed 12.00% • Greed 43.84% • Neutral 47.18% • Fear 57.14% • Extreme Fear 73.68%.

📈 Implications for scalping

➤ FGI ≥80: lower TP expectations, tighten SL, prioritize early profit-taking when momentum fades; avoid increasing size just because the market looks “euphoric”.

➤ FGI 20–<80: keep R:R discipline; don’t stretch TP too far out of FOMO, because the performance gap between Fear/Neutral/Greed is not large enough to justify a full strategy shift.

➤ FGI <20: the sample is thicker but still limited; treat this zone with care, as a potentially good profit environment where the main focus should still be trade management and drawdown control.

#TradingInsights #CryptoMarket

$ON - Mcap 16.79M$ - 81%/ 795 votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 2.12%. The uptrend is in the 161st cycle, with an increase amplitude of 11.70%.

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$USTC - Mcap 49.98M$ - 89%/ 63.7K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within the HVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 1.76%. The downtrend is in the 234th cycle, with a decline amplitude of 12.69%.

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$KO - Mcap 3.3M$ - 82%/ 955 votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry lies within the HVN and satisfies the positive simplification condition with a prior very profitable pending Short order, the projected stop-loss is around 1.92%. The downtrend is in the 89th cycle, with a decline amplitude of 9.32%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

Update as of 2025-12-06, community-wide trading data:

🔹The average win rate is 45.18%

🔹The day with the highest win rate was 2025-07-20 at 65.03%. The day with the lowest win rate was 2025-03-28 at 29.38%

🔹The weekday with the highest average win rate is Saturday at 45.85%. The weekday with the lowest average win rate is Monday at 44.35%

🔹The 7-day period with the highest average win rate ended on 2025-07-22 at 56.98%. The lowest 7-day period ended on 2025-03-12 at 36.64%

🔹The number of days with a win rate above average is 249. The number of days with a win rate at or below average is 273

🔹The number of days with a win rate above 50% is 95. The number of days with a win rate between 40% and 50% is 333. The number of days with a win rate below 40% is 94

#TradingStats #PerformanceInsights

$FOLKS - Mcap 157.1M$ - 87%/ 1.4K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 3.29%. The uptrend is in the 282nd cycle, with an increase amplitude of 20.29%.

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$B2 - Mcap 36.26M$ - 87%/ 4.4K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 1.31%. The uptrend is in the 265th cycle, with an increase amplitude of 12.65%.

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$PENGU - Mcap 718.76M$ - 75%/ 376.4K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the HVN and satisfies the positive simplification condition with a prior very profitable Long order, the projected stop-loss is around 1.45%. The uptrend is in the 141st cycle, with an increase amplitude of 8.63%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

For the upcoming unlock schedule of 50 tokens, I personally only pay attention to trading futures when it is a cliff unlock event and the unlocked amount is larger than 25% of the daily trading volume. If you are interested in longer-term investing, you should pay attention to these events to optimise your entry points after each unlock.

At the moment, there are 5 unlock events worth watching where the unlocked amount is high relative to daily trading volume:

$LINEA - Mcap 124.73M$ - 85%/ 20.6K votes Bullish

$AGI - Mcap 27.44M$ - 92%/ 23.7K votes Bullish

$PEAQ - Mcap 59.69M$ - 89%/ 82.1K votes Bullish

$STRK - Mcap 538.87M$ - 69%/ 47K votes Bullish

$ZK - Mcap 298.94M$ - 82%/ 49.4K votes Bullish

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$ARIA - Mcap 16.18M$ - 84%/ 940 votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 2.14%. The uptrend is in the 130th cycle, with an increase amplitude of 10.25%.

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$MUBARAK - Mcap 17.9M$ - 73%/ 34.5K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 2.40%. The uptrend is in the 241st cycle, with an increase amplitude of 19.20%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$ALLO - Mcap 33.18M$ - 81%/ 2.7K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 1.28%. The uptrend is in the 140th cycle, with an increase amplitude of 8.87%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$CLO - Mcap 57.51M$ - 72%/ 1K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the HVN and satisfies the positive simplification condition with a prior very profitable Long order, the projected stop-loss is around 1.50%. The uptrend is in the 184th cycle, with an increase amplitude of 14.53%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$NOT - Mcap 67.03M$ - 84%/ 136.1K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 5.17%. The uptrend is in the 162nd cycle, with an increase amplitude of 31.44%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$DOOD - Mcap 44.17M$ - 86%/ 7.8K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - the Long order has been triggered, with no significant profit yet. Entry lies within the HVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the stop-loss is 2.17%. The uptrend has lasted for 456 cycles, with an increase amplitude of 33.34%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$FHE - Mcap 7.92M$ - 82%/ 4.7K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within the LVN and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 9.01%. The uptrend is in the 129th cycle, with an increase amplitude of 50.38%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights