ALISHBA SOZAR
Building knowledge in crypto & blockchain | Research-driven insights | Web3 • DeFi • Digital assets | X:TG @Alishbasozar
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I lost $30k this month and I know thats not a lot compared to some of you but it was a lot to me. Like i didn’t cry about it or anything but i definitely sat in the car for 20 minutes staring at nothing
The worst part isnt even the money its the feeling of knowing you did it to yourself. Bad entry then “ill just hold a little longer,” every time i ignored my own rules
I’m not posting this for sympathy i just think more people should be honest about losing instead of only screenshotting the wins
Anyway im still here and I just bought the dip so theres that.
#Alishba_Sozar
The worst part isnt even the money its the feeling of knowing you did it to yourself. Bad entry then “ill just hold a little longer,” every time i ignored my own rules
I’m not posting this for sympathy i just think more people should be honest about losing instead of only screenshotting the wins
Anyway im still here and I just bought the dip so theres that.
#Alishba_Sozar
PINNED
"Disappearing for 6 months" is literally the dumbest thing you can do. You will lose most of your contacts, lose leverage across the board, and slowly become irrelevant. People will learn to live without you; that's what humans do. They adapt. And then, when you return, they will perhaps be happy, but you will be demoted to a short 'novelty'. If you truly want to change, do it without the unnecessary disappearing. You're not a ghost.
#Alishba_Sozar
#Alishba_Sozar
There’s a version of me that never finds bitcoin.
She’s not struggling. She’s got the degree, the career, the 401k. By every measure she’s doing it “right.”
But she’s got this weight she can’t explain. She watches her parents work their entire lives and wonders why it never seems like enough. She sees the cost of everything go up and just accepts it because we’re taught inflation is “normal.”
She doesn’t know why, she just knows something feels off, and she never figures out what it is.
I figured out what it was.
And that’s why a red chart doesn’t shake me. When you understand what bitcoin actually is, not the price, but what it represents, you stop reacting to the noise.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
She’s not struggling. She’s got the degree, the career, the 401k. By every measure she’s doing it “right.”
But she’s got this weight she can’t explain. She watches her parents work their entire lives and wonders why it never seems like enough. She sees the cost of everything go up and just accepts it because we’re taught inflation is “normal.”
She doesn’t know why, she just knows something feels off, and she never figures out what it is.
I figured out what it was.
And that’s why a red chart doesn’t shake me. When you understand what bitcoin actually is, not the price, but what it represents, you stop reacting to the noise.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
Someone just sent 2.565 $BTC to Satoshi Nakamoto’s Genesis address 🚨
Here’s what actually happened:
On February 7, 2026, at 00:04 UTC, an unusual transaction hit the most famous Bitcoin address ever:
1A1zP1eP5QGefi2DMPTfTL5SLmv7DivfNa
The Genesis address.
The exact amount sent was:
2.56536737 BTC
That’s around $181,000 at ~$70,600 per BTC.
This could be basically a tribute.
Or a burn.
- The Genesis wallet is special
This address has existed since January 3, 2009.
The first block.
The start of Bitcoin.
It has now received a total of: 107.10 BTC
Worth about $7.6 million.
And it has never sent anything out.
Over 56,000 transactions have been sent there.
- Who sent it?
That’s the mystery.
Someone just sent $181,000 straight into the Genesis void.
Here’s what actually happened:
On February 7, 2026, at 00:04 UTC, an unusual transaction hit the most famous Bitcoin address ever:
1A1zP1eP5QGefi2DMPTfTL5SLmv7DivfNa
The Genesis address.
The exact amount sent was:
2.56536737 BTC
That’s around $181,000 at ~$70,600 per BTC.
This could be basically a tribute.
Or a burn.
- The Genesis wallet is special
This address has existed since January 3, 2009.
The first block.
The start of Bitcoin.
It has now received a total of: 107.10 BTC
Worth about $7.6 million.
And it has never sent anything out.
Over 56,000 transactions have been sent there.
- Who sent it?
That’s the mystery.
Someone just sent $181,000 straight into the Genesis void.
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[انتهى] 🎙️ MOST WELL COME TO GRAND SEMINAR
اهلا بكم في الندوة الكبرى
يستمعون
🎙️ welcome everyone🥰🥰
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I sold everything I had. Every coin I owned is gone. I'm completely out of the cryptocurrency market, I can't take it anymore.
Aggressive dumping, manipulation, everything is so intense. crypto is over, I am out, I am very glad to meet you, life has dreams, each is wonderful.
Welcome to my new life..
#Alishba_Sozar
Aggressive dumping, manipulation, everything is so intense. crypto is over, I am out, I am very glad to meet you, life has dreams, each is wonderful.
Welcome to my new life..
#Alishba_Sozar
This is the silence before the BOOOOOOM.
Most people think retail will NEVER return.
But they don’t understand how this market works.
Once institutions finish loading…
once they start pushing Bitcoin hard…
once BTC does a +40% candle out of nowhere…
Retail will come back INSTANTLY.
They always chase hype.
They always chase green candles.
They always buy late.
We’re not waiting for retail.
We’re waiting for the big players to fill their bags.
And they’re doing it quietly right now.
When they finally hit the switch…
Bitcoin will explode…
Altcoins will start 10x… 20x… 50x…
The whole market will wake up in minutes.
This isn’t the end.
This is the calm before the chaos.
The market doesn’t slow down for comfort.
It rewards those who move early and think fast.
Comfort is the enemy of wealth.
You can sleep later.
This is the time to grind.
Opportunities like this won’t come again.
We are about to make stupid amounts of money.
$BTC
#Alishba_Sozar
Most people think retail will NEVER return.
But they don’t understand how this market works.
Once institutions finish loading…
once they start pushing Bitcoin hard…
once BTC does a +40% candle out of nowhere…
Retail will come back INSTANTLY.
They always chase hype.
They always chase green candles.
They always buy late.
We’re not waiting for retail.
We’re waiting for the big players to fill their bags.
And they’re doing it quietly right now.
When they finally hit the switch…
Bitcoin will explode…
Altcoins will start 10x… 20x… 50x…
The whole market will wake up in minutes.
This isn’t the end.
This is the calm before the chaos.
The market doesn’t slow down for comfort.
It rewards those who move early and think fast.
Comfort is the enemy of wealth.
You can sleep later.
This is the time to grind.
Opportunities like this won’t come again.
We are about to make stupid amounts of money.
$BTC
#Alishba_Sozar
This is a complete joke.
Creators who have carried Binance Square for months even years with 800k, 1M, 8.8M+ views are being ignored like they don’t exist. Meanwhile, accounts created 2–4 months ago are handed verified checkmarks despite having no trading knowledge, no credibility, and no value.
Most of these newly verified users post absolute garbage. No analysis. No education. No responsibility. They openly ignore Binance policies and do nothing except spam red packets to farm fake engagement and 20k–30k followers.
And Binance thinks THIS deserves verification?
Verification is supposed to mean trust and authority, not “who can game the system faster.” Handing badges to low effort, policy abusing accounts is not just unfair it’s damaging the platform’s reputation.
If experienced creators with real views and real impact are ignored while clowns get verified, then Binance Square has a serious credibility problem.
This system is broken. It’s embarrassing. And it needs to be fixed now.
#Alishba_Sozar
Creators who have carried Binance Square for months even years with 800k, 1M, 8.8M+ views are being ignored like they don’t exist. Meanwhile, accounts created 2–4 months ago are handed verified checkmarks despite having no trading knowledge, no credibility, and no value.
Most of these newly verified users post absolute garbage. No analysis. No education. No responsibility. They openly ignore Binance policies and do nothing except spam red packets to farm fake engagement and 20k–30k followers.
And Binance thinks THIS deserves verification?
Verification is supposed to mean trust and authority, not “who can game the system faster.” Handing badges to low effort, policy abusing accounts is not just unfair it’s damaging the platform’s reputation.
If experienced creators with real views and real impact are ignored while clowns get verified, then Binance Square has a serious credibility problem.
This system is broken. It’s embarrassing. And it needs to be fixed now.
#Alishba_Sozar
*VERY IMPORTANT*
A lot of people seem uneasy right now because Bitcoin has dropped below Strategy’s average entry price. That average sits around $76,000.
So I’m posting this while rubbing the sleep out of my eyes, hoping it can at least offer a bit of emotional support.
What follows is highly logical.
First of all, in moments like this, it’s worth thinking through the worst-case scenario.
Once you genuinely accept the worst case, nothing worse can really happen. That alone helps neutralize the market’s biggest enemy: Impatience and it keeps panic at bay.
So let’s look at a worstcase scenario that hasn’t actually happened yet. A chain reaction of treasury companies going bankrupt.
Up to now, these companies have been accumulating Bitcoin under pressure, issuing new shares, often at a discount, to raise capital.
Once the average purchase price drops by around 30%, insolvency risk starts to rise meaningfully. At that point, forced selling becomes unavoidable.
That said, if a small treasury company fails, the market impact is limited.
This is where Strategy matters as an indicator. It’s the world’s largest treasury company by far.
Its average Bitcoin purchase price is around $76,000, and it holds roughly 713,500 BTC.
A 30% drop from $76,000 puts us at about $53,000.
I don’t think it gets anywhere near that level.
Why? Because of a historical anomaly that has held throughout Bitcoin’s entire history, something I’ve mentioned many times. The high before a halving has never fallen below the low after the halving.
There was only one brief exception, and that exception turned out to be the absolute buying opportunity.
That “once-in-a-generation” opportunity is still fresh in everyone’s mind: the second half of 2022, around $10,000.
This cycle, that line sits at roughly $69,000.
Based on that historical pattern, it’s reasonable to assume that Strategy’s average purchase price will not be meaningfully breached.
Of course, if they keep buying, the average price changes, so the numbers always need to be monitored.
But at this stage, you can sketch out a scenario in which the world’s largest treasury company survives.
If that happens, the probability increases that the global accumulation culture remains deeply intact.
To be clear, this is framed purely as a worst-case scenario.
And as I often say. Once you’ve accepted the worst case, nothing worse tends to happen and the market’s greatest enemy, impatience, loses its power.
So I’m posting this while rubbing the sleep out of my eyes, hoping it can at least offer a bit of emotional support.
What follows is highly logical.
First of all, in moments like this, it’s worth thinking through the worst-case scenario.
Once you genuinely accept the worst case, nothing worse can really happen. That alone helps neutralize the market’s biggest enemy: Impatience and it keeps panic at bay.
So let’s look at a worstcase scenario that hasn’t actually happened yet. A chain reaction of treasury companies going bankrupt.
Up to now, these companies have been accumulating Bitcoin under pressure, issuing new shares, often at a discount, to raise capital.
Once the average purchase price drops by around 30%, insolvency risk starts to rise meaningfully. At that point, forced selling becomes unavoidable.
That said, if a small treasury company fails, the market impact is limited.
This is where Strategy matters as an indicator. It’s the world’s largest treasury company by far.
Its average Bitcoin purchase price is around $76,000, and it holds roughly 713,500 BTC.
A 30% drop from $76,000 puts us at about $53,000.
I don’t think it gets anywhere near that level.
Why? Because of a historical anomaly that has held throughout Bitcoin’s entire history, something I’ve mentioned many times. The high before a halving has never fallen below the low after the halving.
There was only one brief exception, and that exception turned out to be the absolute buying opportunity.
That “once-in-a-generation” opportunity is still fresh in everyone’s mind: the second half of 2022, around $10,000.
This cycle, that line sits at roughly $69,000.
Based on that historical pattern, it’s reasonable to assume that Strategy’s average purchase price will not be meaningfully breached.
Of course, if they keep buying, the average price changes, so the numbers always need to be monitored.
But at this stage, you can sketch out a scenario in which the world’s largest treasury company survives.
If that happens, the probability increases that the global accumulation culture remains deeply intact.
To be clear, this is framed purely as a worst-case scenario.
And as I often say. Once you’ve accepted the worst case, nothing worse tends to happen and the market’s greatest enemy, impatience, loses its power.
some CRAZY stats about what happened last friday in the silver market:
-price collapsed from $118.450 per ounce to a trough of $74.000 per ounce
- that's a decline of $44.45 per ounce or approximately 37.5%
-that's the largest drop in history, as both a percent and a notional amount
-around 368,561 futures contracts traded on the COMEX
-28,152 options traded as well
-given standard contract size of 5,000 oz, this means that roughly 1.98 BILLION OUNCES of paper silver traded that day
-for context, global mine production according to silver institute is 2.23 million ounces (calculated as 813,000,000 ounces ÷ 365 days).
-that means that COMEX traded 887.89 DAYS, or 2.43 YEARS, of GLOBAL SILVER PRODUCTION IN A SINGLE DAY
-price collapsed from $118.450 per ounce to a trough of $74.000 per ounce
- that's a decline of $44.45 per ounce or approximately 37.5%
-that's the largest drop in history, as both a percent and a notional amount
-around 368,561 futures contracts traded on the COMEX
-28,152 options traded as well
-given standard contract size of 5,000 oz, this means that roughly 1.98 BILLION OUNCES of paper silver traded that day
-for context, global mine production according to silver institute is 2.23 million ounces (calculated as 813,000,000 ounces ÷ 365 days).
-that means that COMEX traded 887.89 DAYS, or 2.43 YEARS, of GLOBAL SILVER PRODUCTION IN A SINGLE DAY
the first group of millionaires i met were people who bought bitcoin and ethereum at $80 and $1 because they believed in it
the next group were people who made millions from buying nfts they loved very early because they loved it
the next group of millionaires i met were the one who collected pokemon and trading cards growing up and been doing so until today
pursue what you love, it'll always turn out well
#Alishba_Sozar
the next group were people who made millions from buying nfts they loved very early because they loved it
the next group of millionaires i met were the one who collected pokemon and trading cards growing up and been doing so until today
pursue what you love, it'll always turn out well
#Alishba_Sozar
🎙️ 轻松畅聊 广交朋友 探讨web3未来坚持输出有价值的信息，欢迎大家来畅聊🌹🔥
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🎙️ 参与USD1+WLFI交易/存款活动
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Trading is hard.
Really hard.
First, you learn technicals.
Then you try to figure out which trading style even suits you.
Then you search for an edge.
You backtest.
You forward test.
You go live.
Then you realize none of that is enough.
You have to learn to manage your emotions.
You build discipline from scratch.
You write rules and force yourself to follow them.
You sit for hours in front of charts.
You spend weekends reviewing trades, wondering where you went wrong.
You doubt yourself.
You keep going anyway.
Years pass like this.
And after all that.
someone casually calls you a gambler because you trade F&O.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Really hard.
First, you learn technicals.
Then you try to figure out which trading style even suits you.
Then you search for an edge.
You backtest.
You forward test.
You go live.
Then you realize none of that is enough.
You have to learn to manage your emotions.
You build discipline from scratch.
You write rules and force yourself to follow them.
You sit for hours in front of charts.
You spend weekends reviewing trades, wondering where you went wrong.
You doubt yourself.
You keep going anyway.
Years pass like this.
And after all that.
someone casually calls you a gambler because you trade F&O.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Quantum computers are the biggest threat to Bitcoin 🚨
Here’s what’s happening:
The biggest risk is simple, if a powerful quantum machine can run Shor on secp256k1 fast enough
It can turn an exposed public key into a private key and steal coins.
Right now, the hardware is nowhere close.
- The hard requirement
To break Bitcoin ECDSA on secp256k1, most serious estimates land around 2,330 to 2,619 logical qubits, plus a massive amount of error correction.
Today’s leaders are still in the tens of logical qubits
- The real target is not all BTC
Quantum does not threaten every coin equally.
About 25% of the BTC supply is the scary part, because the public key is already exposed or gets exposed when spent.
That bucket comes from two places:
P2PK legacy outputs, roughly 5% of BTC supply, where the public key sits on chain forever.
Address reuse, roughly 20%, where people spend from the same address again and again, exposing the public key each time.
That adds up to around 4 to 6 million BTC sitting in a long term risk zone.
- The attack window problem
Even if you have the machine, you still need speed.
When someone spends a modern address, the public key becomes visible in the mempool
And the attacker must derive the private key and broadcast a competing spend before confirmation.
That window is often around 10 minutes.
Most realistic quantum attack estimates are still hours
- Grover is not the killer people think
Grover can cut SHA-256 security in half, but that still leaves an insane amount of work.
For Bitcoin mining or cracking hashes in block time, it stays wildly impractical with anything close to today’s machines.
This is why the immediate worry is Shor on ECDSA, not Grover on SHA-256.
- The timeline that keeps coming back
Across roadmaps and expert views, the first serious zone starts around 2029 to 2035.
There are proposals like BIP360, built around post quantum signatures such as Dilithium and Falcon.
None of this proves Bitcoin is doomed.
But it shows the threat is real in theory
#Alishba_Sozar
Here’s what’s happening:
The biggest risk is simple, if a powerful quantum machine can run Shor on secp256k1 fast enough
It can turn an exposed public key into a private key and steal coins.
Right now, the hardware is nowhere close.
- The hard requirement
To break Bitcoin ECDSA on secp256k1, most serious estimates land around 2,330 to 2,619 logical qubits, plus a massive amount of error correction.
Today’s leaders are still in the tens of logical qubits
- The real target is not all BTC
Quantum does not threaten every coin equally.
About 25% of the BTC supply is the scary part, because the public key is already exposed or gets exposed when spent.
That bucket comes from two places:
P2PK legacy outputs, roughly 5% of BTC supply, where the public key sits on chain forever.
Address reuse, roughly 20%, where people spend from the same address again and again, exposing the public key each time.
That adds up to around 4 to 6 million BTC sitting in a long term risk zone.
- The attack window problem
Even if you have the machine, you still need speed.
When someone spends a modern address, the public key becomes visible in the mempool
And the attacker must derive the private key and broadcast a competing spend before confirmation.
That window is often around 10 minutes.
Most realistic quantum attack estimates are still hours
- Grover is not the killer people think
Grover can cut SHA-256 security in half, but that still leaves an insane amount of work.
For Bitcoin mining or cracking hashes in block time, it stays wildly impractical with anything close to today’s machines.
This is why the immediate worry is Shor on ECDSA, not Grover on SHA-256.
- The timeline that keeps coming back
Across roadmaps and expert views, the first serious zone starts around 2029 to 2035.
There are proposals like BIP360, built around post quantum signatures such as Dilithium and Falcon.
None of this proves Bitcoin is doomed.
But it shows the threat is real in theory
#Alishba_Sozar
I’M ABSOLUTELY SPEECHLESS.
I’ve been staring at the data for hours trying to find a flaw in the logic.
but it’s undeniable at this point.
The timeline is about to fracture.
February 15.
Mark that date.
Burn it into your memory.
Tell your family.
Everything that happened before that specific morning is going to feel like ancient history.
We are looking at a complete paradigm shift that 99% of the population is sleeping on.
The window of opportunity is closing faster than you think.
Do not say I didn't warn you.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
I’ve been staring at the data for hours trying to find a flaw in the logic.
but it’s undeniable at this point.
The timeline is about to fracture.
February 15.
Mark that date.
Burn it into your memory.
Tell your family.
Everything that happened before that specific morning is going to feel like ancient history.
We are looking at a complete paradigm shift that 99% of the population is sleeping on.
The window of opportunity is closing faster than you think.
Do not say I didn't warn you.
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
This is actually insane 🤯
Bithumb messed up an airdrop and credited users with 2,000 BTC instead of 2,000 KRW
Hundreds of users received it and Most of them sold instantly
Result are here
10% BTC crash on Bithumb vs global price
Exchange BTC reserves: ~46,000 BTC
One internal mistake and this created immediate panic
If 2,000 BTC can do this, imagine real stress
Paper BTC is very real
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
Bithumb messed up an airdrop and credited users with 2,000 BTC instead of 2,000 KRW
Hundreds of users received it and Most of them sold instantly
Result are here
10% BTC crash on Bithumb vs global price
Exchange BTC reserves: ~46,000 BTC
One internal mistake and this created immediate panic
If 2,000 BTC can do this, imagine real stress
Paper BTC is very real
#Alishba_Sozar
$BTC
PEOPLE DON'T UNDERSTAND WHAT #ALTSEASON 2026 IS GONNA BE LIKE.
4 YEARS OF COMPRESSION, HIGHER LOWS - INEVITABLE BREAK OUT MORE POWERFUL THAN PRIOR ALTSEASON
2017: ~+2,500% to +3,000%
2020–2021: ~+1,300% to +1,800%
#GOLD AND #SILVER ADD TRILLIONS LIKE IT'S NOTHING
A FRACTION OF THAT AND WE SEE 100X EVERYWHERE
THIS CYCLE WON'T JUST OUTPERFORM METALS.....IT'LL EMBARRASS THEM.
LAST CHANCE. LOAD YOUR BAGS.
READY OR NOT HERE IT COMES.
#Alishba_Sozar
$XAG $XAU $USDC
4 YEARS OF COMPRESSION, HIGHER LOWS - INEVITABLE BREAK OUT MORE POWERFUL THAN PRIOR ALTSEASON
2017: ~+2,500% to +3,000%
2020–2021: ~+1,300% to +1,800%
#GOLD AND #SILVER ADD TRILLIONS LIKE IT'S NOTHING
A FRACTION OF THAT AND WE SEE 100X EVERYWHERE
THIS CYCLE WON'T JUST OUTPERFORM METALS.....IT'LL EMBARRASS THEM.
LAST CHANCE. LOAD YOUR BAGS.
READY OR NOT HERE IT COMES.
#Alishba_Sozar
$XAG $XAU $USDC
🎙️ Friday Crypto Market
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