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🚨 BTC WARNING — THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS BACK 🚨
Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
$XRP – Capitulation low, squeeze brewing.
Long $XRP
Entry: 1.50 – 1.58
SL: 1.42
TP1: 1.70
TP2: 1.95
TP3: 2.20
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $XRP here 👇
Long $XRP
Entry: 1.50 – 1.58
SL: 1.42
TP1: 1.70
TP2: 1.95
TP3: 2.20
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $XRP here 👇
$BNB – Weak bounce into supply, sellers still in control
Short $BNB
Entry: 625–635
SL: 660
TP1: 600
TP2: 572
TP3: 540
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BNB here 👇
Short $BNB
Entry: 625–635
SL: 660
TP1: 600
TP2: 572
TP3: 540
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BNB here 👇
$SOL – Holding the floor, eyeing the squeeze
Long $SOL
Entry: 88 – 90
SL: 82
TP1: 96
TP2: 105
TP3: 120
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SOL here 👇
Long $SOL
Entry: 88 – 90
SL: 82
TP1: 96
TP2: 105
TP3: 120
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SOL here 👇
$ETH – Flush, base, reclaim — squeeze setup.
Long $ETH
Entry: 2,030–2,080
SL: 1,970
TP1: 2,140
TP2: 2,220
TP3: 2,320
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ETH here 👇
Long $ETH
Entry: 2,030–2,080
SL: 1,970
TP1: 2,140
TP2: 2,220
TP3: 2,320
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ETH here 👇
$BTC – Relief bounce into resistance.
Short $BTC
Entry: 70,000 – 70,800
SL: 72,000
TP1: 67,500
TP2: 64,000
TP3: 60,000
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BTC here 👇
Short $BTC
Entry: 70,000 – 70,800
SL: 72,000
TP1: 67,500
TP2: 64,000
TP3: 60,000
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BTC here 👇
$DOGE – Dead cat bounce into supply. This is where traps get set.
Short $DOGE
Entry: 0.1145 – 0.1180
SL: 0.1235
TP1: 0.1050
TP2: 0.0950
TP3: 0.0800
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
Short $DOGE
Entry: 0.1145 – 0.1180
SL: 0.1235
TP1: 0.1050
TP2: 0.0950
TP3: 0.0800
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
$TAO – Relief bounce into supply.
Short $TAO
Entry: 186–192
SL: 210
TP1: 165
TP2: 142
TP3: 120
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $TAO here 👇
Short $TAO
Entry: 186–192
SL: 210
TP1: 165
TP2: 142
TP3: 120
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $TAO here 👇
$KITE – Breakout holding, continuation in play
Long $KITE
Entry: 0.215 – 0.222
SL: 0.188
TP1: 0.245
TP2: 0.275
TP3: 0.310
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $KITE here 👇
Long $KITE
Entry: 0.215 – 0.222
SL: 0.188
TP1: 0.245
TP2: 0.275
TP3: 0.310
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $KITE here 👇
$LINK – Sweep the lows, now squeezing back into range.
Long $LINK
Entry: 9.00 – 9.15
SL: 8.70
TP1: 9.60
TP2: 10.20
TP3: 11.00
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $LINK here 👇
Long $LINK
Entry: 9.00 – 9.15
SL: 8.70
TP1: 9.60
TP2: 10.20
TP3: 11.00
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $LINK here 👇
$USELESS – High-risk bounce off base, squeeze setup if it holds.
Long $USELESS
Entry: 0.0440 – 0.0460
SL: 0.0418
TP1: 0.0490
TP2: 0.0560
TP3: 0.0650
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $USELESS here 👇
Long $USELESS
Entry: 0.0440 – 0.0460
SL: 0.0418
TP1: 0.0490
TP2: 0.0560
TP3: 0.0650
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $USELESS here 👇
$ON – Dead cat bounce into resistance. Liquidity grab, not a reversal.
Short $ON
Entry: 0.1100 – 0.1180
SL: 0.1250
TP1: 0.0950
TP2: 0.0800
TP3: 0.0650
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ON here 👇
Short $ON
Entry: 0.1100 – 0.1180
SL: 0.1250
TP1: 0.0950
TP2: 0.0800
TP3: 0.0650
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ON here 👇
$VVV – Sharp reclaim after a flush. That’s usually not random.
Long $VVV
Entry: 3.45 – 3.65
SL: 3.18
TP1: 3.82
TP2: 4.20
TP3: 4.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $VVV here 👇
Long $VVV
Entry: 3.45 – 3.65
SL: 3.18
TP1: 3.82
TP2: 4.20
TP3: 4.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $VVV here 👇
$BTR – Strong impulse, shallow pullbacks. Buyers in control.
Long $BTR
Entry: 0.218 – 0.224
SL: 0.204
TP1: 0.236
TP2: 0.255
TP3: 0.280
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BTR here 👇
Long $BTR
Entry: 0.218 – 0.224
SL: 0.204
TP1: 0.236
TP2: 0.255
TP3: 0.280
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BTR here 👇
$SPACE – V-bottom reclaim with momentum building.
Long $SPACE
Entry: 0.0145 – 0.0152
SL: 0.0128
TP1: 0.0175
TP2: 0.0205
TP3: 0.0240
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SPACE here 👇
Long $SPACE
Entry: 0.0145 – 0.0152
SL: 0.0128
TP1: 0.0175
TP2: 0.0205
TP3: 0.0240
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SPACE here 👇
Bitcoin is on edge — and the market can feel it.
After another brutal week of pressure, BTC is stuck near $69,000, unable to break higher. Then the CPI data dropped: inflation came in at 2.4%, hotter than expected — and traders jumped.
Futures activity exploded. In just one hour, over $265 million rushed into aggressive long positions. Open Interest surged, meaning traders are piling into leveraged bets. Big confidence… but big risk.
Here’s the twist.
On-chain data shows short-term holders are bleeding. Many are sitting on roughly 44% losses. Historically, that kind of pain leads to panic selling.
Meanwhile, long-term holders aren’t flinching. They’re still holding strong.
What this really means:
Leverage is rising. Stress is rising. Volatility is coming.
Bitcoin sits around $68,929, up 5% — but the next move could be explosive.
Futures activity exploded. In just one hour, over $265 million rushed into aggressive long positions. Open Interest surged, meaning traders are piling into leveraged bets. Big confidence… but big risk.
Here’s the twist.
On-chain data shows short-term holders are bleeding. Many are sitting on roughly 44% losses. Historically, that kind of pain leads to panic selling.
Meanwhile, long-term holders aren’t flinching. They’re still holding strong.
What this really means:
Leverage is rising. Stress is rising. Volatility is coming.
Bitcoin sits around $68,929, up 5% — but the next move could be explosive.
🚨 Bitcoin on the Edge: Is $55K Next?
Bitcoin is swinging hard.
• Dropped below $66K → $177M in longs wiped out.
• Jumped above $69K → $140M in shorts crushed.
This isn’t steady investing. It’s leveraged chaos.
BTC now sits around $68.7K, but fear is extreme. The Fear & Greed Index is at 9. Traders are nervous.
Why $55K Matters
Bitcoin’s realized price is near $55K.
In past bear markets, BTC often fell 24–30% below this level before bottoming.
Right now:
• Still above $55K
• Most holders are still in profit
• No full panic yet
If fear spreads, $55K becomes the real battlefield.
• Dropped below $66K → $177M in longs wiped out.
• Jumped above $69K → $140M in shorts crushed.
This isn’t steady investing. It’s leveraged chaos.
BTC now sits around $68.7K, but fear is extreme. The Fear & Greed Index is at 9. Traders are nervous.
Why $55K Matters
Bitcoin’s realized price is near $55K.
In past bear markets, BTC often fell 24–30% below this level before bottoming.
Right now:
• Still above $55K
• Most holders are still in profit
• No full panic yet
If fear spreads, $55K becomes the real battlefield.
$GIGGLE – Dead cat bounce into supply
Short $GIGGLE
Entry: 33.50 – 34.20
SL: 36.80
TP1: 30.00
TP2: 27.00
TP3: 25.50
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $GIGGLE here 👇
Short $GIGGLE
Entry: 33.50 – 34.20
SL: 36.80
TP1: 30.00
TP2: 27.00
TP3: 25.50
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $GIGGLE here 👇
$ADA – Relief rally into resistance
Short $ADA
Entry: 0.288 – 0.295
SL: 0.308
TP1: 0.270
TP2: 0.245
TP3: 0.222
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ADA here 👇
Short $ADA
Entry: 0.288 – 0.295
SL: 0.308
TP1: 0.270
TP2: 0.245
TP3: 0.222
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ADA here 👇
$HYPE – Lower high into resistance, momentum fading.
Short $HYPE
Entry: 30.8 – 31.5
SL: 33.2
TP1: 28.5
TP2: 25.8
TP3: 22.0
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $HYPE here 👇
Short $HYPE
Entry: 30.8 – 31.5
SL: 33.2
TP1: 28.5
TP2: 25.8
TP3: 22.0
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $HYPE here 👇
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