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🚨 BTC WARNING — THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS BACK 🚨
Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
$BTC
BULLISH SETUP LOADING 🚀
Bitcoin is coiling up on the 12-hour chart, stuck in a tight range… and pressure is building.
The $71K level keeps getting tested — and the more it gets hit, the weaker it becomes. A breakout is starting to look inevitable.
If bulls want that strong green weekly close, this is the moment. We need a powerful bounce to defend key support — especially after another red weekly candle.
Right now, it’s decision time.
The breakout move could be explosive.
I’m staying patient… waiting for confirmation before pulling the trigger.
Bitcoin is coiling up on the 12-hour chart, stuck in a tight range… and pressure is building.
The $71K level keeps getting tested — and the more it gets hit, the weaker it becomes. A breakout is starting to look inevitable.
If bulls want that strong green weekly close, this is the moment. We need a powerful bounce to defend key support — especially after another red weekly candle.
Right now, it’s decision time.
The breakout move could be explosive.
I’m staying patient… waiting for confirmation before pulling the trigger.
$DOGE – Relief bounce into resistance.
Short $DOGE
Entry: 0.101 – 0.104
SL: 0.112
TP1: 0.095
TP2: 0.088
TP3: 0.080
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
Short $DOGE
Entry: 0.101 – 0.104
SL: 0.112
TP1: 0.095
TP2: 0.088
TP3: 0.080
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
$SUI – Support held, squeeze brewing.
Long $SUI
Entry: 0.94 – 0.97
SL: 0.88
TP1: 1.05
TP2: 1.16
TP3: 1.30
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SUI here 👇
Long $SUI
Entry: 0.94 – 0.97
SL: 0.88
TP1: 1.05
TP2: 1.16
TP3: 1.30
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SUI here 👇
$ZEC – Relief bounce into supply.
Short $ZEC
Entry: 280–290
SL: 315
TP1: 240
TP2: 205
TP3: 170
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ZEC here 👇
Short $ZEC
Entry: 280–290
SL: 315
TP1: 240
TP2: 205
TP3: 170
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ZEC here 👇
$BCH – Lower highs printing, support getting weaker.
Short $BCH
Entry: 555–565
SL: 585
TP1: 520
TP2: 480
TP3: 430
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BCH here 👇
Short $BCH
Entry: 555–565
SL: 585
TP1: 520
TP2: 480
TP3: 430
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BCH here 👇
$HYPE – Holding the base, squeeze brewing
Long $HYPE
Entry: 29.5 – 30.2
SL: 27.8
TP1: 32.0
TP2: 35.0
TP3: 38.5
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $HYPE here 👇
Long $HYPE
Entry: 29.5 – 30.2
SL: 27.8
TP1: 32.0
TP2: 35.0
TP3: 38.5
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $HYPE here 👇
$VVV – Violent expansion, shallow pullback. Buyers still in control.
Long $VVV
Entry: 4.05 – 4.25
SL: 3.55
TP1: 4.70
TP2: 5.20
TP3: 5.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $VVV here 👇
Long $VVV
Entry: 4.05 – 4.25
SL: 3.55
TP1: 4.70
TP2: 5.20
TP3: 5.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $VVV here 👇
$STABLE – Relief bounce into supply. Looks tired already.
Short $STABLE
Entry: 0.0275 – 0.0285
SL: 0.0302
TP1: 0.0240
TP2: 0.0215
TP3: 0.0185
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $STABLE here 👇
Short $STABLE
Entry: 0.0275 – 0.0285
SL: 0.0302
TP1: 0.0240
TP2: 0.0215
TP3: 0.0185
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $STABLE here 👇
$FHE – Weak bounce into supply.
Short $FHE
Entry: 0.052–0.055
SL: 0.062
TP1: 0.045
TP2: 0.038
TP3: 0.030
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $FHE here 👇
Short $FHE
Entry: 0.052–0.055
SL: 0.062
TP1: 0.045
TP2: 0.038
TP3: 0.030
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $FHE here 👇
$SIREN – Violent expansion, shallow pullback. Buyers still in control.
Long $SIREN
Entry: 0.175 – 0.185
SL: 0.158
TP1: 0.210
TP2: 0.245
TP3: 0.280
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SIREN here 👇
Long $SIREN
Entry: 0.175 – 0.185
SL: 0.158
TP1: 0.210
TP2: 0.245
TP3: 0.280
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SIREN here 👇
$INIT – Liquidity sweep into aggressive reclaim
Long $INIT
Entry: 0.096 – 0.102
SL: 0.083
TP1: 0.118
TP2: 0.135
TP3: 0.158
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $INIT here 👇
Long $INIT
Entry: 0.096 – 0.102
SL: 0.083
TP1: 0.118
TP2: 0.135
TP3: 0.158
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $INIT here 👇
$BTC Weekly Chart
Disaster avoided. Just barely.
This weekly close comes in slightly below the last… but that’s not weakness — that’s stability.
Bitcoin is locking into the key yellow zone. And it’s holding.
Now we watch it coil. Tight. Controlled. Ready.
If bulls defend this level, expect weeks of sideways action before the next real move.
And here’s the kicker — altcoins are waking up.
That’s fuel for the bigger Bitcoin breakout story. 🚀
This weekly close comes in slightly below the last… but that’s not weakness — that’s stability.
Bitcoin is locking into the key yellow zone. And it’s holding.
Now we watch it coil. Tight. Controlled. Ready.
If bulls defend this level, expect weeks of sideways action before the next real move.
And here’s the kicker — altcoins are waking up.
That’s fuel for the bigger Bitcoin breakout story. 🚀
🚨 Is Bitcoin Heading for a Brutal Drop to $45K?
Bitcoin is under pressure.
It’s currently trading around $68,600, down about 1.5% on the day. Price recently wicked as low as $59,800 before bouncing — but the structure still looks heavy.
A powerful long-term indicator called CVDD — which has identified major Bitcoin bottoms since 2012 — sits around $45,225.
That’s the level to watch.
Historically, when Bitcoin drops near this line, it marks deep bear market lows before major recoveries.
If price holds above the $60K region → short-term stability may continue.
If momentum fades and sellers push it lower → the path toward deeper correction opens, with $45K as the long-term structural floor.
$45K isn’t guaranteed.
But if tested, it would signal extreme market stress.
The battle isn’t over — and the chart is still fragile.
It’s currently trading around $68,600, down about 1.5% on the day. Price recently wicked as low as $59,800 before bouncing — but the structure still looks heavy.
A powerful long-term indicator called CVDD — which has identified major Bitcoin bottoms since 2012 — sits around $45,225.
That’s the level to watch.
Historically, when Bitcoin drops near this line, it marks deep bear market lows before major recoveries.
If price holds above the $60K region → short-term stability may continue.
If momentum fades and sellers push it lower → the path toward deeper correction opens, with $45K as the long-term structural floor.
$45K isn’t guaranteed.
But if tested, it would signal extreme market stress.
The battle isn’t over — and the chart is still fragile.
$ZEC – Lower highs, weak bounce.
Short $ZEC
Entry: 290–300
SL: 322
TP1: 260
TP2: 220
TP3: 185
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ZEC here 👇
Short $ZEC
Entry: 290–300
SL: 322
TP1: 260
TP2: 220
TP3: 185
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ZEC here 👇
$SUI – Holding the floor after aggressive selloff.
Long $SUI
Entry: 0.95 – 0.98
SL: 0.87
TP1: 1.05
TP2: 1.15
TP3: 1.30
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SUI here 👇
Long $SUI
Entry: 0.95 – 0.98
SL: 0.87
TP1: 1.05
TP2: 1.15
TP3: 1.30
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SUI here 👇
$SIREN – Blow-off top vibes. Momentum fading after the vertical spike.
Short $SIREN
Entry: 0.138 – 0.145
SL: 0.168
TP1: 0.120
TP2: 0.098
TP3: 0.072
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SIREN here 👇
Short $SIREN
Entry: 0.138 – 0.145
SL: 0.168
TP1: 0.120
TP2: 0.098
TP3: 0.072
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SIREN here 👇
$PENGU – Bounce into resistance, sellers still in control.
Short $PENGU
Entry: 0.0070 – 0.0072
SL: 0.0078
TP1: 0.0062
TP2: 0.0055
TP3: 0.0048
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PENGU here 👇
Short $PENGU
Entry: 0.0070 – 0.0072
SL: 0.0078
TP1: 0.0062
TP2: 0.0055
TP3: 0.0048
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PENGU here 👇
$AVAX – Bear trap or base forming.
Long $AVAX
Entry: 9.15 – 9.35
SL: 8.70
TP1: 9.85
TP2: 10.60
TP3: 11.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $AVAX here 👇
Long $AVAX
Entry: 9.15 – 9.35
SL: 8.70
TP1: 9.85
TP2: 10.60
TP3: 11.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $AVAX here 👇
$SPACE – Relief bounce into resistance.
Short $SPACE
Entry: 0.0085 – 0.0090
SL: 0.0105
TP1: 0.0070
TP2: 0.0055
TP3: 0.0042
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SPACE here 👇
Short $SPACE
Entry: 0.0085 – 0.0090
SL: 0.0105
TP1: 0.0070
TP2: 0.0055
TP3: 0.0042
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SPACE here 👇
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