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🚨 BTC WARNING — THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS BACK 🚨
Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
$SOL – Dead bounce into resistance, sellers still pressing.
Short $SOL
Entry: 79.5–81.0
SL: 84.5
TP1: 75.0
TP2: 71.0
TP3: 67.5
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SOL here 👇
Short $SOL
Entry: 79.5–81.0
SL: 84.5
TP1: 75.0
TP2: 71.0
TP3: 67.5
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SOL here 👇
$ETH – Weak bounce into supply
Short $ETH
Entry: 1,940–1,970
SL: 2,050
TP1: 1,880
TP2: 1,736
TP3: 1,650
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ETH here 👇
Short $ETH
Entry: 1,940–1,970
SL: 2,050
TP1: 1,880
TP2: 1,736
TP3: 1,650
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ETH here 👇
$BTC – Dead cat bounce into supply.
Short $BTC
Entry: 66,900 – 67,400
SL: 69,200
TP1: 64,800
TP2: 62,500
TP3: 59,800
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BTC here 👇
Short $BTC
Entry: 66,900 – 67,400
SL: 69,200
TP1: 64,800
TP2: 62,500
TP3: 59,800
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BTC here 👇
$DOGE – Lower highs, weak bounce, sellers still in control.
Short $DOGE
Entry: 0.0930 – 0.0940
SL: 0.0975
TP1: 0.0885
TP2: 0.0830
TP3: 0.0795
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
Short $DOGE
Entry: 0.0930 – 0.0940
SL: 0.0975
TP1: 0.0885
TP2: 0.0830
TP3: 0.0795
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
$ZAMA – Rejection at reclaim, sellers still in control
Short $ZAMA
Entry: 0.0177 – 0.0183
SL: 0.0195
TP1: 0.0166
TP2: 0.0150
TP3: 0.0135
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ZAMA here 👇
Short $ZAMA
Entry: 0.0177 – 0.0183
SL: 0.0195
TP1: 0.0166
TP2: 0.0150
TP3: 0.0135
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ZAMA here 👇
$RIVER – Relief bounce into heavy supply.
Short $RIVER
Entry: 19.0 – 20.0
SL: 22.5
TP1: 16.5
TP2: 14.0
TP3: 11.0
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $RIVER here 👇
Short $RIVER
Entry: 19.0 – 20.0
SL: 22.5
TP1: 16.5
TP2: 14.0
TP3: 11.0
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $RIVER here 👇
$PTB – Relief bounce into supply
Short $PTB
Entry: 0.00145 – 0.00152
SL: 0.00165
TP1: 0.00130
TP2: 0.00120
TP3: 0.00110
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PTB here 👇
Short $PTB
Entry: 0.00145 – 0.00152
SL: 0.00165
TP1: 0.00130
TP2: 0.00120
TP3: 0.00110
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PTB here 👇
$PIPPIN – Relief bounce into supply after a sharp rejection.
Short $PIPPIN
Entry: 0.50 – 0.52
SL: 0.58
TP1: 0.44
TP2: 0.30
TP3: 0.15
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PIPPIN here 👇
Short $PIPPIN
Entry: 0.50 – 0.52
SL: 0.58
TP1: 0.44
TP2: 0.30
TP3: 0.15
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PIPPIN here 👇
$CLO – Relief bounce into resistance.
Short $CLO
Entry: 0.089 – 0.093
SL: 0.106
TP1: 0.078
TP2: 0.065
TP3: 0.053
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $CLO here 👇
Short $CLO
Entry: 0.089 – 0.093
SL: 0.106
TP1: 0.078
TP2: 0.065
TP3: 0.053
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $CLO here 👇
$NAORIS – Dead cat bounce into resistance after a failed expansion.
Short $NAORIS
Entry: 0.0260 – 0.0266
SL: 0.0280
TP1: 0.0238
TP2: 0.0215
TP3: 0.0180
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $NAORIS here 👇
Short $NAORIS
Entry: 0.0260 – 0.0266
SL: 0.0280
TP1: 0.0238
TP2: 0.0215
TP3: 0.0180
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $NAORIS here 👇
$AZTEC – Blow-off top, weak bounce
Short $AZTEC
Entry: 0.0215 – 0.0220
SL: 0.0245
TP1: 0.0200
TP2: 0.0182
TP3: 0.0168
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $AZTEC here 👇
Short $AZTEC
Entry: 0.0215 – 0.0220
SL: 0.0245
TP1: 0.0200
TP2: 0.0182
TP3: 0.0168
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $AZTEC here 👇
$AKE – Relief rally into resistance.
Short $AKE
Entry: 0.0003050 – 0.0003150
SL: 0.0003450
TP1: 0.0002600
TP2: 0.0002200
TP3: 0.0001870
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $AKE here 👇
Short $AKE
Entry: 0.0003050 – 0.0003150
SL: 0.0003450
TP1: 0.0002600
TP2: 0.0002200
TP3: 0.0001870
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $AKE here 👇
$BTR – Blow-off move into resistance. Sellers stepping in.
Short $BTR
Entry: 0.136 – 0.142
SL: 0.150
TP1: 0.120
TP2: 0.100
TP3: 0.080
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BTR here 👇
Short $BTR
Entry: 0.136 – 0.142
SL: 0.150
TP1: 0.120
TP2: 0.100
TP3: 0.080
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BTR here 👇
$BTC — WARNING ⚠️
This looks just like 2018… and that didn’t end well.
Bitcoin may be repeating the exact same pattern we saw right before the brutal capitulation in November 2018.
First: a heavy dump.
Then: a fast bounce to give hope.
Then: a slow bleed that drains confidence.
And what happened next in 2018?
Another sharp drop. A final flush. A clean bottom.
Are we about to see the same move again?
Stay sharp.
Bitcoin may be repeating the exact same pattern we saw right before the brutal capitulation in November 2018.
First: a heavy dump.
Then: a fast bounce to give hope.
Then: a slow bleed that drains confidence.
And what happened next in 2018?
Another sharp drop. A final flush. A clean bottom.
Are we about to see the same move again?
Stay sharp.
Is the Bitcoin Bottom Finally In?
Bitcoin crashed into the low $60Ks — and fear exploded.
Now a top on-chain analyst says the tide may be turning.
🔥 Here’s the Shock
Panic selling just hit levels not seen since the 2022 bottom.
Around $1.5 billion per day in realized losses.
ETFs saw $7.5 billion in outflows.
Most recent buyers got crushed.
This is classic capitulation.
🎯 The Big Call
James “Checkmate” Check says:
There’s about a 60% chance the bottom is already in.
But only a 15–20% chance of a new all-time high in 2026 without a major economic shift.
His view?
If Bitcoin isn’t going to zero, this zone looks like serious value.
⚠️ Reality Check
Bottoms don’t happen in one candle.
Expect:
Sharp fake drops
Boring sideways action
Lingering fear
That’s how markets reset.
📍 Current Price
Bitcoin: $67,788
Bottom Line
The panic phase may be ending.
The odds of a floor are rising.
But don’t expect fireworks overnight.
Now a top on-chain analyst says the tide may be turning.
🔥 Here’s the Shock
Panic selling just hit levels not seen since the 2022 bottom.
Around $1.5 billion per day in realized losses.
ETFs saw $7.5 billion in outflows.
Most recent buyers got crushed.
This is classic capitulation.
🎯 The Big Call
James “Checkmate” Check says:
There’s about a 60% chance the bottom is already in.
But only a 15–20% chance of a new all-time high in 2026 without a major economic shift.
His view?
If Bitcoin isn’t going to zero, this zone looks like serious value.
⚠️ Reality Check
Bottoms don’t happen in one candle.
Expect:
Sharp fake drops
Boring sideways action
Lingering fear
That’s how markets reset.
📍 Current Price
Bitcoin: $67,788
Bottom Line
The panic phase may be ending.
The odds of a floor are rising.
But don’t expect fireworks overnight.
$ADA – Weak bounce into supply. Sellers still in control.
Short $ADA
Entry: 0.255 – 0.262
SL: 0.275
TP1: 0.240
TP2: 0.220
TP3: 0.200
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ADA here 👇
Short $ADA
Entry: 0.255 – 0.262
SL: 0.275
TP1: 0.240
TP2: 0.220
TP3: 0.200
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ADA here 👇
$RIVER – Panic flush, now reclaiming ground.
Long $RIVER
Entry: 19.0 – 20.0
SL: 17.5
TP1: 23.0
TP2: 28.0
TP3: 34.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $RIVER here 👇
Long $RIVER
Entry: 19.0 – 20.0
SL: 17.5
TP1: 23.0
TP2: 28.0
TP3: 34.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $RIVER here 👇
$ZRO – Sharp pullback into support after a breakout. Buyers still defending structure.
Long $ZRO
Entry: 1.95 – 2.05
SL: 1.78
TP1: 2.30
TP2: 2.58
TP3: 2.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ZRO here 👇
Long $ZRO
Entry: 1.95 – 2.05
SL: 1.78
TP1: 2.30
TP2: 2.58
TP3: 2.80
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ZRO here 👇
$BLUR – Relief bounce into resistance
Short $BLUR
Entry: 0.0200 – 0.0210
SL: 0.0235
TP1: 0.0185
TP2: 0.0168
TP3: 0.0145
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BLUR here 👇
Short $BLUR
Entry: 0.0200 – 0.0210
SL: 0.0235
TP1: 0.0185
TP2: 0.0168
TP3: 0.0145
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BLUR here 👇
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