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Crypto Auris
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Crypto Auris

X (Twitter): crypto_auris | Simplifying Crypto | Fast Market News & Analysis | Trading | #Bitcoin since 2017 | crypto-auris.com
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$BTC sitting around $98K-$100K, crucial level right now. It’s simple if $98K support breaks, we could nuke to $92K to fill the CME gap. If it holds, expect a bounce toward $104K-$107K. Overall, market sentiment is weak. I’ve turned short-term bearish too, but long-term I’m not changing my stance, we’re still going higher. What really scares me? The stock market bubble talk. S&P500 looks overvalued, and if equities dump, crypto won’t stay untouched. Someone will surely take advantage of it to manipulate the market, even though lately correlation has been low. Either way, I’m slowly accumulating #Altcoins here, waiting patiently for better entries with each dip.
$BTC sitting around $98K-$100K, crucial level right now.

It’s simple if $98K support breaks, we could nuke to $92K to fill the CME gap.

If it holds, expect a bounce toward $104K-$107K.

Overall, market sentiment is weak. I’ve turned short-term bearish too, but long-term I’m not changing my stance, we’re still going higher.

What really scares me?
The stock market bubble talk. S&P500 looks overvalued, and if equities dump, crypto won’t stay untouched.
Someone will surely take advantage of it to manipulate the market, even though lately correlation has been low.

Either way, I’m slowly accumulating #Altcoins here, waiting patiently for better entries with each dip.
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The whole market looks oversold, with a lot of uncertainty. Everyone got too used to easy gains, but sustainable growth takes time. Now, with all the meme coin/pump-fun madness and liquidity traps, we’re seeing the real consequences. Add macroeconomic pressures on top of that, and it’s no surprise we’re in this situation. But markets always cycle. Those who stay patient and build during these times will be the ones who benefit most when things turn around. 🚀 Buy in fear, sell in greed.
The whole market looks oversold, with a lot of uncertainty.

Everyone got too used to easy gains, but sustainable growth takes time. Now, with all the meme coin/pump-fun madness and liquidity traps, we’re seeing the real consequences. Add macroeconomic pressures on top of that, and it’s no surprise we’re in this situation. But markets always cycle. Those who stay patient and build during these times will be the ones who benefit most when things turn around. 🚀

Buy in fear, sell in greed.
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$BTC leverage is building fast. Open Interest is now at a 3+ month high, while SPOT volume is at a yearly low. That means positioning is getting crowded without strong underlying demand. Too much leverage in the system.
$BTC leverage is building fast.

Open Interest is now at a 3+ month high, while SPOT volume is at a yearly low.

That means positioning is getting crowded without strong underlying demand. Too much leverage in the system.
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#Bitcoin dominance just hit its highest point since November 2025. Altcoins continue to bleed even with $BTC pumping.
#Bitcoin dominance just hit its highest point since November 2025.

Altcoins continue to bleed even with $BTC pumping.
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Sentiment in crypto and $BTC is extremely fearful once again. Most traders got wiped out and liquidated over the past months. This won't change until retail and fresh liquidity come back, something we haven’t seen all year. BUT as always, sentiment can flip faster than anyone expects.
Sentiment in crypto and $BTC is extremely fearful once again.

Most traders got wiped out and liquidated over the past months.

This won't change until retail and fresh liquidity come back, something we haven’t seen all year.

BUT as always, sentiment can flip faster than anyone expects.
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If anyone told me 5 years ago that gold would reach $5K before $ETH , I’d have laughed and called them crazy. Harsh reality. Peter Schiff gets his moment, let’s hope it doesn’t last long.
If anyone told me 5 years ago that gold would reach $5K before $ETH , I’d have laughed and called them crazy.
Harsh reality.

Peter Schiff gets his moment, let’s hope it doesn’t last long.
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$BTC CME gap at the $88,200 level has officially been closed. You were warned. As I said, historically and statistically CME gaps have around a ~95% closure rate, and this one was no different, even though it took some time. Obviously, the recent correction and sell-off accelerated due to global tensions, but this level was still very much in play. Now, #Bitcoin has formed a new small CME gap to the upside around $93,000 👀
$BTC CME gap at the $88,200 level has officially been closed. You were warned.

As I said, historically and statistically CME gaps have around a ~95% closure rate, and this one was no different, even though it took some time.

Obviously, the recent correction and sell-off accelerated due to global tensions, but this level was still very much in play.

Now, #Bitcoin has formed a new small CME gap to the upside around $93,000 👀
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💥🇺🇸 President Trump says "I'm also working to ensure America remains the crypto capital of the world." He's really embracing $BTC and crypto.
💥🇺🇸 President Trump says "I'm also working to ensure America remains the crypto capital of the world."

He's really embracing $BTC and crypto.
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💥 The S&P 500 falls over -2% in its worst day since October 2025, wiping out ~$1.3 trillion in market cap and erasing all 2026 gains. This comes amid rising U.S.-EU trade tensions, ongoing weakness in Japan’s bond market, and pension funds reducing exposure to U.S. Treasuries, driving a broad sell-off across stocks, bonds, crypto, and the dollar.
💥 The S&P 500 falls over -2% in its worst day since October 2025, wiping out ~$1.3 trillion in market cap and erasing all 2026 gains.

This comes amid rising U.S.-EU trade tensions, ongoing weakness in Japan’s bond market, and pension funds reducing exposure to U.S. Treasuries, driving a broad sell-off across stocks, bonds, crypto, and the dollar.
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$ZEC is selling off after core developers walked away, stating they couldn’t deliver on the original privacy vision and are starting a new project instead. I never fully bought into the Zcash hype. I stayed out as price exploded too quickly and most entries happened near the top. Outside of early investors, many are likely deep in the red now. Be cautious.
$ZEC is selling off after core developers walked away, stating they couldn’t deliver on the original privacy vision and are starting a new project instead.

I never fully bought into the Zcash hype. I stayed out as price exploded too quickly and most entries happened near the top.

Outside of early investors, many are likely deep in the red now. Be cautious.
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Let’s speculate a bit, what if $BTC is repeating the same structure we saw in January 2025, now in 2026? This #Bitcoin setup looks very familiar. 👀
Let’s speculate a bit, what if $BTC is repeating the same structure we saw in January 2025, now in 2026?

This #Bitcoin setup looks very familiar. 👀
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💥 MSCI confirmed it will continue including #Bitcoin and crypto treasury companies in its indexes. This uncertainty was a key driver of the October 10th crash that erased ~$19B in one day. The announcement also removes FUD around $MSTR being forced to liquidate its $BTC holdings. A clear bullish signal for the crypto market.
💥 MSCI confirmed it will continue including #Bitcoin
and crypto treasury companies in its indexes.

This uncertainty was a key driver of the October 10th crash that erased ~$19B in one day.

The announcement also removes FUD around $MSTR being forced to liquidate its $BTC holdings.

A clear bullish signal for the crypto market.
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$BTC broke above $95K, but are we really back? Bitcoin has now formed two CME gaps. The first gap sits around $90.6K, the second around $88.2K. Since October 2025, Bitcoin has filled every CME gap within a week. So stay alert, even though the structure looks bullish, this week is likely to remain very volatile. 👀
$BTC broke above $95K, but are we really back?

Bitcoin has now formed two CME gaps.

The first gap sits around $90.6K, the second around $88.2K.
Since October 2025, Bitcoin has filled every CME gap within a week.

So stay alert, even though the structure looks bullish, this week is likely to remain very volatile. 👀
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#Bitcoin is up ~6%, $ETH ~6.5% in Q1 so far. Historically, Q1 has been one of the strongest quarters, averaging ~48% for Bitcoin and ~70% for Ethereum. After a weak Q4 2025, the current pace looks more like an early recovery than late cycle hype, leaving room for further upside if conditions improve. Do you think this quarter will be a bullish for crypto? 🤔
#Bitcoin is up ~6%, $ETH ~6.5% in Q1 so far.

Historically, Q1 has been one of the strongest quarters, averaging ~48% for Bitcoin and ~70% for Ethereum.

After a weak Q4 2025, the current pace looks more like an early recovery than late cycle hype, leaving room for further upside if conditions improve.

Do you think this quarter will be a bullish for crypto? 🤔
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$BTC range mid may get rejected again. Since December mid, the $89.5K level has rejected Bitcoin 4 times. Each push above swept liquidity, traded briefly, then failed to close, leaving big upper wicks. We’ve been consolidating for weeks, which usually means a big move is coming. A break in either direction likely triggers a squeeze. This type of price action happens during low spot volume periods, where breakouts are futures-led and unreliable. Once real volume steps in after the squeeze, moves tend to run hard, sidelined traders regret again. Important downside level: lose $87K and a move back to $84K–$85K is very likely. Short-term, I wouldn’t rule out a dip to that liquidity. If so, I’ll share strong buy setups with a potential push back toward $100K next month.
$BTC range mid may get rejected again.

Since December mid, the $89.5K level has rejected Bitcoin 4 times. Each push above swept liquidity, traded briefly, then failed to close, leaving big upper wicks.

We’ve been consolidating for weeks, which usually means a big move is coming.
A break in either direction likely triggers a squeeze.

This type of price action happens during low spot volume periods, where breakouts are futures-led and unreliable.

Once real volume steps in after the squeeze, moves tend to run hard, sidelined traders regret again.

Important downside level: lose $87K and a move back to $84K–$85K is very likely.

Short-term, I wouldn’t rule out a dip to that liquidity. If so, I’ll share strong buy setups with a potential push back toward $100K next month.
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🇺🇸 ارتفعت نسبة البطالة في الولايات المتحدة من 4.4% إلى 4.6%، مما خالف التوقعات وبلغت أعلى مستوى لها منذ نوفمبر 21. أحيانًا يمكن أن تكون الأخبار السيئة أخبارًا جيدة. إنها تزيد قليلاً من فرص خفض سعر الفائدة مرة أخرى. هذا أمر إيجابي للأصول النادرة، حيث تميل السيولة الزائدة إلى دعم الدورات الصاعدة في الأصول مثل $BTC . على المدى القصير؟ قد ترتفع التقلبات وعدم اليقين مع عودة مخاوف الركود.
🇺🇸 ارتفعت نسبة البطالة في الولايات المتحدة من 4.4% إلى 4.6%، مما خالف التوقعات وبلغت أعلى مستوى لها منذ نوفمبر 21.

أحيانًا يمكن أن تكون الأخبار السيئة أخبارًا جيدة.

إنها تزيد قليلاً من فرص خفض سعر الفائدة مرة أخرى.

هذا أمر إيجابي للأصول النادرة، حيث تميل السيولة الزائدة إلى دعم الدورات الصاعدة في الأصول مثل $BTC .

على المدى القصير؟ قد ترتفع التقلبات وعدم اليقين مع عودة مخاوف الركود.
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هناك المزيد من الخوف عند $BTC $86.5K اليوم أكثر من الوقت الذي سجل فيه #Bitcoin قاع سوق الدب في نوفمبر '22 عند $15.5K 👀 هذا يشير إلى أن الخوف يتسبب به التذبذب الأخير أكثر من الأساسيات، وهو نمط غالبًا ما يؤدي إلى عكس المشاعر قبل عكس الأسعار.
هناك المزيد من الخوف عند $BTC $86.5K اليوم أكثر من الوقت الذي سجل فيه #Bitcoin قاع سوق الدب في نوفمبر '22 عند $15.5K 👀

هذا يشير إلى أن الخوف يتسبب به التذبذب الأخير أكثر من الأساسيات، وهو نمط غالبًا ما يؤدي إلى عكس المشاعر قبل عكس الأسعار.
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$BTC لديه حاليا مجموعتين رئيسيتين من السيولة: السيولة الصعودية: 97 ألف دولار - 98 ألف دولار السيولة الهبوطية: حوالي 85 ألف دولار مع قدوم بيانات اقتصادية رئيسية اليوم، خاصة تضخم PPI، توقع تقلبات. قد يؤدي PPI أقل من المتوقع إلى #Bitcoin تحرك للأعلى. من المحتمل أن يؤدي PPI أعلى من المتوقع إلى سحب السعر نحو السيولة الهبوطية.
$BTC لديه حاليا مجموعتين رئيسيتين من السيولة:

السيولة الصعودية: 97 ألف دولار - 98 ألف دولار
السيولة الهبوطية: حوالي 85 ألف دولار

مع قدوم بيانات اقتصادية رئيسية اليوم، خاصة تضخم PPI، توقع تقلبات.

قد يؤدي PPI أقل من المتوقع إلى #Bitcoin تحرك للأعلى.

من المحتمل أن يؤدي PPI أعلى من المتوقع إلى سحب السعر نحو السيولة الهبوطية.
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لقد وصلنا للتو إلى أدنى مستويات الخوف في التاريخ، أقل من تلك التي شهدناها خلال انهيار FTX. تجار التجزئة تعرضوا للعب بشكل قاسي. حتى مؤشر الخوف والجشع للأسهم ينخفض إلى 8، وهو الأدنى منذ أبريل 2025، بينما مؤشر S&P 500 يبعد فقط 5% عن أعلى مستوى تاريخي جديد. 👀
لقد وصلنا للتو إلى أدنى مستويات الخوف في التاريخ، أقل من تلك التي شهدناها خلال انهيار FTX.

تجار التجزئة تعرضوا للعب بشكل قاسي.

حتى مؤشر الخوف والجشع للأسهم ينخفض إلى 8، وهو الأدنى منذ أبريل 2025، بينما مؤشر S&P 500 يبعد فقط 5% عن أعلى مستوى تاريخي جديد. 👀
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