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I don’t flip flop my market view.
I don’t play the game of who calls the bear market first or last.
I stand by my views until the data tells me otherwise and right now, the data combined with market psychology does not support calling a bear market from here.
For over two months now, I’ve clearly laid out why I don’t believe we enter a bear market at this stage, and why the more likely window is around Q2 2026.
Everything people are searching for
from critical thinking to multi-confluence metrics and I’ve already laid out everything publicly on my timeline.
I’ve navigated this market for over six years. I know how to recognize the end of a cycle versus the continuation of one. And despite what price action may suggest on the surface, this cycle does not look finished.
What has changed is people’s emotions.
The confusion is coming from the growing disparity between stocks, crypto, and gold.
It’s coming from seeing $BTC maintain its HTF structure while #alts are down 90% from their March 2024 ATHs.
This LTF-wide correction has thrown a lot of people off….including legitimate analysts and traders because we’ve never seen market behavior like this before. And that confusion is completely understandable.
But sometimes you need to step back and view the market from a different perspective.
This phase requires more than just TA.
It requires market psychology.
And that’s exactly what helps you navigate environments like this.
I don’t play the game of who calls the bear market first or last.
I stand by my views until the data tells me otherwise and right now, the data combined with market psychology does not support calling a bear market from here.
For over two months now, I’ve clearly laid out why I don’t believe we enter a bear market at this stage, and why the more likely window is around Q2 2026.
Everything people are searching for
from critical thinking to multi-confluence metrics and I’ve already laid out everything publicly on my timeline.
I’ve navigated this market for over six years. I know how to recognize the end of a cycle versus the continuation of one. And despite what price action may suggest on the surface, this cycle does not look finished.
What has changed is people’s emotions.
The confusion is coming from the growing disparity between stocks, crypto, and gold.
It’s coming from seeing $BTC maintain its HTF structure while #alts are down 90% from their March 2024 ATHs.
This LTF-wide correction has thrown a lot of people off….including legitimate analysts and traders because we’ve never seen market behavior like this before. And that confusion is completely understandable.
But sometimes you need to step back and view the market from a different perspective.
This phase requires more than just TA.
It requires market psychology.
And that’s exactly what helps you navigate environments like this.
Everywhere is a bull market except #ALTS
And that’s exactly where the confluence starts to appear.
Crypto is dead
#ALTS are going to go down another 90%.
Sentiment is extremely bearish
#GOLD and #SILVER are the only play right now.
Sound familiar ?
This is precisely what you want to see.
While they quietly turn on the bullish propaganda machine for precious metals and send them to Valhalla, #ALTS are making lower lows, getting written off, ignored, and mocked.
All of this while $BTC is still above its HTF structure….something many thought would make these alt levels impossible.
The reverse psychology is playing out right in front of our eyes.
They did it with metals.
They’ll do it again just as fast with the altcoin market.
Most will be sidelined.
Most won’t trust the pump.
PTSD will do the rest.
No risk. No reward.
And that’s exactly where the confluence starts to appear.
Crypto is dead
#ALTS are going to go down another 90%.
Sentiment is extremely bearish
#GOLD and #SILVER are the only play right now.
Sound familiar ?
This is precisely what you want to see.
While they quietly turn on the bullish propaganda machine for precious metals and send them to Valhalla, #ALTS are making lower lows, getting written off, ignored, and mocked.
All of this while $BTC is still above its HTF structure….something many thought would make these alt levels impossible.
The reverse psychology is playing out right in front of our eyes.
They did it with metals.
They’ll do it again just as fast with the altcoin market.
Most will be sidelined.
Most won’t trust the pump.
PTSD will do the rest.
No risk. No reward.
#Altcoin Alert: Historic Weakness 🚨
Only 3% of Binance-listed altcoins are trading above their 200-day MA.
$XAU
What it Means:
- Deep liquidation phase, not a normal correction
- Alt market cap down 36% since early October
- Liquidity is leaving the market, not rotating narratives
Why it Matters:
- Capital is shifting into defense mode
- Historic weakness often precedes opportunity
- Next regime shift could be significant
No Timeframe for Reversal:
But history rarely ignores signals like this. 🚀
$ZEN #USGDPUpdate #Altsseason #Alts
Only 3% of Binance-listed altcoins are trading above their 200-day MA.
$XAU
What it Means:
- Deep liquidation phase, not a normal correction
- Alt market cap down 36% since early October
- Liquidity is leaving the market, not rotating narratives
Why it Matters:
- Capital is shifting into defense mode
- Historic weakness often precedes opportunity
- Next regime shift could be significant
No Timeframe for Reversal:
But history rarely ignores signals like this. 🚀
$ZEN #USGDPUpdate #Altsseason #Alts
ETHUSDT
دائم
150X
جارٍ فتح صفقة شراء
الأرباح والخسائر غير المحققة
-241.00%
#traders are waiting for $BTC
to PUMP 😦😦😦
While my I am WAITING for #Alts
to PUMP 😊😊😊
let me know about your current
CONDITION in .......💬👇👇👇
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #altsesaon
$LUNA2 $HYPER
to PUMP 😦😦😦
While my I am WAITING for #Alts
to PUMP 😊😊😊
let me know about your current
CONDITION in .......💬👇👇👇
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #altsesaon
$LUNA2 $HYPER
2025 performance check 📊
Silver +127%
Gold +63%
Copper +40%
Stocks +13–21%
Crypto?
$BTC −9%
$ETH −14%
#Alts −44%
By the numbers, crypto is the worst-performing asset class of 2025.
Capitulation usually comes before the turn — not after. 👀 #CryptoMarket #BTC #altcoins #Investing" @Hamza-Anjum
Silver +127%
Gold +63%
Copper +40%
Stocks +13–21%
Crypto?
$BTC −9%
$ETH −14%
#Alts −44%
By the numbers, crypto is the worst-performing asset class of 2025.
Capitulation usually comes before the turn — not after. 👀 #CryptoMarket #BTC #altcoins #Investing" @Hamza-Anjum
Market check-in 📊
$BTC holding its ground.
$ETH moving calmly.
#Alts mixed — some strength, some fatigue.
No rush. No panic.
Just watching structure and liquidity.
#BTCVSGOLD #CPIWatch
$BTC holding its ground.
$ETH moving calmly.
#Alts mixed — some strength, some fatigue.
No rush. No panic.
Just watching structure and liquidity.
#BTCVSGOLD #CPIWatch
ALTS Market Cap Clean Read
The altcoin market cap is still holding structure. Price is trading above the rising support trendline of the ascending triangle, and the Ichimoku Cloud is acting as a solid support zone, suggesting buyers are still defending this area.
As long as this support holds, a technical bounce remains the higher-probability scenario, which could bring short-term relief across altcoins.
That said, this is a key decision zone. A clear breakdown below the triangle support and the cloud would shift momentum bearish, opening the door for a deeper corrective phase in the altcoin market.
In short:
Structure intact for now but this level matters. How #ALTS reacts here will likely set the tone for the next move.
The altcoin market cap is still holding structure. Price is trading above the rising support trendline of the ascending triangle, and the Ichimoku Cloud is acting as a solid support zone, suggesting buyers are still defending this area.
As long as this support holds, a technical bounce remains the higher-probability scenario, which could bring short-term relief across altcoins.
That said, this is a key decision zone. A clear breakdown below the triangle support and the cloud would shift momentum bearish, opening the door for a deeper corrective phase in the altcoin market.
In short:
Structure intact for now but this level matters. How #ALTS reacts here will likely set the tone for the next move.
#ALTS MARKET CAP ANALYSIS
The ALTS market cap is trading above the support trendline of the ascending triangle pattern, with the Ichimoku Cloud acting as support.
A bounce from this level is expected. However, a breakdown of the pattern could lead to further correction in the altcoin market.
The ALTS market cap is trading above the support trendline of the ascending triangle pattern, with the Ichimoku Cloud acting as support.
A bounce from this level is expected. However, a breakdown of the pattern could lead to further correction in the altcoin market.
Who said the market was sleeping?
Check the $VTHO /USDT chart right now. We are seeing a +17% surge while others are sideways.
💥 Current Price: 0.000962
💥 Trend: Strong bullish crossover on the short timeframes.
The VeChain ecosystem is heating up ahead of the 2026 roadmap changes. Is this the start of a massive repricing event for the VET/VTHO duo?
🔥 Question for the Squad:
Is VTHO undervalued at sub-0.001? Drop a "🚀" if you're holding, or a "🐻" if you're shorting this pump!
#VTHO #Alts #CryptoTrading #Binance #ToTheMoon
Check the $VTHO /USDT chart right now. We are seeing a +17% surge while others are sideways.
💥 Current Price: 0.000962
💥 Trend: Strong bullish crossover on the short timeframes.
The VeChain ecosystem is heating up ahead of the 2026 roadmap changes. Is this the start of a massive repricing event for the VET/VTHO duo?
🔥 Question for the Squad:
Is VTHO undervalued at sub-0.001? Drop a "🚀" if you're holding, or a "🐻" if you're shorting this pump!
#VTHO #Alts #CryptoTrading #Binance #ToTheMoon
Miss ghazi:
done
#BTC - Quick Update:
Weekly high: $90,365
Weekly low: $84,450
Daily & weekly DOJI = Very neutral area & period ⏳
Higher low & bearish retest of the trend + resistances again on the H1 - H4 basis! 🔴📉
Next move: Possibly a dump to revisit the 86,500− 86,000 area!
As mentioned few weeks ago, sideway phase still ongoing (weekly KUMO). Boring market, but the bias remain bearish on the daily basis. 📉
Not a safe time for SWING play, except for few #alts .
See you tomorrow for the Weekly & Higher time frame update! 📊
#bitcoin
Weekly high: $90,365
Weekly low: $84,450
Daily & weekly DOJI = Very neutral area & period ⏳
Higher low & bearish retest of the trend + resistances again on the H1 - H4 basis! 🔴📉
Next move: Possibly a dump to revisit the 86,500− 86,000 area!
As mentioned few weeks ago, sideway phase still ongoing (weekly KUMO). Boring market, but the bias remain bearish on the daily basis. 📉
Not a safe time for SWING play, except for few #alts .
See you tomorrow for the Weekly & Higher time frame update! 📊
#bitcoin
US #CPI Inflation Update 🚨
Inflation numbers are in, and they're lower than expected!
The Numbers:
- Headline CPI: 2.7% (vs 3.1% expected)
- Core CPI: 2.6% (vs 3.0% expected)
- Monthly Change: +0.2%
What it Means:
- Lower inflation = stronger case for rate cuts in 2026
Market Reactions:
- Dollar & Yields: Down
- Equities: Up
- Gold: New all-time high
- Crypto: BTC stable, #alts gaining interest..
$SOMI $XRP #BTCVSGOLD #CPIWatch #TrumpTariffs
Inflation numbers are in, and they're lower than expected!
The Numbers:
- Headline CPI: 2.7% (vs 3.1% expected)
- Core CPI: 2.6% (vs 3.0% expected)
- Monthly Change: +0.2%
What it Means:
- Lower inflation = stronger case for rate cuts in 2026
Market Reactions:
- Dollar & Yields: Down
- Equities: Up
- Gold: New all-time high
- Crypto: BTC stable, #alts gaining interest..
$SOMI $XRP #BTCVSGOLD #CPIWatch #TrumpTariffs
XMR sitting at 16.3% off its 8 year high
Meanwhile ARB sits at 92% off its ATH nearly 2 years ago and Raiblocks (Nano) sits at 97.9% off its ATH from 8 years ago
Moral of the story : Arbitrum and Raiblocks have both been terrible investments if you bought them (granted Raiblocks is fast and feeless ofc)
#alts
Meanwhile ARB sits at 92% off its ATH nearly 2 years ago and Raiblocks (Nano) sits at 97.9% off its ATH from 8 years ago
Moral of the story : Arbitrum and Raiblocks have both been terrible investments if you bought them (granted Raiblocks is fast and feeless ofc)
#alts
🇯🇵 JAPAN’S RATE HIKE: A MACRO TEST FOR CRYPTO
The Bank of Japan just raised rates for the first time in 17 years.
Conventional logic says: rising rates = bad for risk assets.
But crypto is rewriting the playbook.
What Happened:
Instead of panic selling, the market absorbed the news, priced it in, and rotated back into risk.
Why? Because markets hate uncertainty more than they hate bad news. Once the rate move was clear, sidelined capital came off the sidelines.
The Signal:
Proof that crypto isn’t just a speculative bubble—it’s a macro-sensitive asset class that moves on global liquidity shifts.
When the BoJ acted, altcoins like LIGHT surged +70% in 24 hours, backed by massive volume.
What This Means Going Forward:
· The “fear of the unknown” is often worse than the known itself.
· Once macro clarity emerges, capital flows back toward high-growth, high-conviction narratives.
· Tokens with strong fundamentals and use cases are becoming liquidity magnets in a rate-shifting world.
Bottom Line:
Japan’s move wasn’t a breaking point—it was a stress test.
And crypto passed.
Are you watching narratives or flows?
#Crypto #Macro #BoJ #InterestRates #Alts
$LIGHT
$XAU
$PAXG
The Bank of Japan just raised rates for the first time in 17 years.
Conventional logic says: rising rates = bad for risk assets.
But crypto is rewriting the playbook.
What Happened:
Instead of panic selling, the market absorbed the news, priced it in, and rotated back into risk.
Why? Because markets hate uncertainty more than they hate bad news. Once the rate move was clear, sidelined capital came off the sidelines.
The Signal:
Proof that crypto isn’t just a speculative bubble—it’s a macro-sensitive asset class that moves on global liquidity shifts.
When the BoJ acted, altcoins like LIGHT surged +70% in 24 hours, backed by massive volume.
What This Means Going Forward:
· The “fear of the unknown” is often worse than the known itself.
· Once macro clarity emerges, capital flows back toward high-growth, high-conviction narratives.
· Tokens with strong fundamentals and use cases are becoming liquidity magnets in a rate-shifting world.
Bottom Line:
Japan’s move wasn’t a breaking point—it was a stress test.
And crypto passed.
Are you watching narratives or flows?
#Crypto #Macro #BoJ #InterestRates #Alts
$LIGHT
$XAU
$PAXG
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