After failing to hold $2.16–$2.20, XRP has slipped back into a weak range around $2.04–$2.06, with volatility cooling but pressure rising. The entire market is now watching one line: $2.00. Hold it, and bulls regain momentum. Lose it, and the chart opens straight toward $1.90 and possibly the $1.80 zone.
Yet fundamentals refuse to turn bearish. XRP ETFs have now posted 15 straight days of inflows, pushing total assets above $861M, signaling heavy institutional accumulation even while retail sentiment sits at “Extreme Fear” (23). Ripple’s ecosystem growth — Chainlink partnership, stablecoin expansion, and regulatory clarity after the SEC case closure — continues strengthening the long-term outlook.
Technically, the short-term trend remains bearish. Intraday rallies fade at $2.08–$2.12, while resistance at $2.16–$2.20 is the key “flip zone” for any meaningful recovery. A daily close above $2.22 would finally break the cycle and open room toward $2.38–$2.59.
But the opposite is just as clear: a decisive breakdown below $2.00 exposes $1.95, then $1.87–$1.80.
This is a pressure cooker — low sentiment, high leverage, and a critical support test all converging at once.
Price is hovering around $2.02–$2.05, sitting right above the most important support of the month: $2.00. Liquidity is stacked on both sides, with bulls defending $2.05–$2.10 while sellers wait at $2.17 and the heavy ceiling at $2.28–$2.30. A clean breakout above that zone opens the path toward $2.50–$2.60—but a breakdown below $2.00 exposes $1.90–$1.91 quickly.
Fundamentals remain heavily in XRP’s favor. The SEC lawsuit is fully closed, ETFs (XRPI/XRPR) continue attracting institutional inflows above $160M, and Ripple’s expanded Singapore MPI license boosts global utility heading into 2026. Large holders are increasing, exchange reserves are dropping, and ecosystem funding above $500M strengthens long-term confidence.
Technically, XRP is neutral-bearish in the short term. Indicators show weak momentum, short MAs are tilting down, and intraday sentiment still leans “sell.” But as long as $2.00 holds, bulls keep the advantage and a reclaim of $2.12–$2.20 could flip the market fast. The real volatility trigger remains the same: $2.20 up or $2.00 down.
This is a tight range, a high-risk zone, and the place where smart traders sharpen their entries. Stay alert—XRP’s next big move is loading.
$XRP is grinding between $2.00 and $2.20, tightening into a pressure zone where volatility usually explodes. Price dipped to $2.10–$2.12, and even though it’s down 4–5% in the last 24 hours, bulls are still defending the all-important $2.00 psychological level. This is the line separating a routine pullback from a deeper breakdown toward $1.90–$1.80.
Short-term momentum looks choppy: intraday bounces keep failing under $2.14–$2.18, while liquidity maps show heavy sell-side clusters at $2.22–$2.33. If XRP reclaims $2.20–$2.22, it unlocks the short-squeeze path into $2.30–$2.33, and only above that does the high-volatility expansion toward $2.38–$2.40 start to make sense. Until then, expect fast swings and messy charts.
But the fundamentals remain a bullish backbone.
The SEC case is officially over, removing the one narrative cap holding XRP down for years. Vanguard is onboarding multiple XRP ETFs for retail and institutions — a massive shift for an $11T asset manager. Add SBI Holdings’ $200M push into XRP adoption, accelerating ETF inflows, deepening Ripple–Thunes partnerships, and CME futures volume surging above $26B, and it’s clear: long-term demand is building beneath the surface.