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Ride_the_Wave
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有人正在大量购买这些押注降息的期权。考虑到美联储 7 月维持利率不变的可能性为 91%，这些期权值得关注。所以这个人正在押注大量资金押注经济数据走弱，也许这个人有一些内幕消息。
#stock
免责声明：含第三方意见，不构成财务建议，并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
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hahaha the retard clickbait shitposting literally saying without investment following by a lot of options all requires investment
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In terms of the chart, $BTC stays in the bull flag if it holds this 55/56K area. And if that gets broken then next support is 50K area, but as we can see on the weekly chart, this is still a rising trend, the large rising trend line which started from 15K is still not even touched yet. Similarly for $ETH , the rising trend line which supported this entire bull run from the 800s has not been touched yet. ETH has pireced the 3180 support, so next support is at 3000 area, and in extreme case in can get to low 2800s like the lows from April. But overall, I still think the market is being too pessimistic on the ETH ETF situation, and when the market is being so pessimistic on ETH, then any good news can make ETH do a sudden bounce. Any upside surprise with the ETH ETFs can make it bounce, and the bad news and disappointments have been mostly priced in, so the risk-reward is in ETH’s favour the more it approaches 3000. The ETH ecosystem such as ENS is still quite good risk-reward IMO, so ENS at 21.5 or below is still a nice entry into the ETH Ecosystem. UNI is also a narrative leader in the ETH ecosystem, although not as strong as ENS, but a dip to mid-6s on $UNI is probably good DCA point. NFA, DYOR.
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Another reason for the sell off of Spot BTCs is due to the miners in big trouble. The miners are now producing only half as much BTC as before (due to the halving) but still using the same amount of electricity, so a lot of them are shutting down, because they are no longer profitable to operate. And this is why we see a big drop in Hash Rate, down 7.6%, it means that 7.6% of those unprofitable miners have turned off their mining machines. Since they are closing down, they are leaving the $BTC business so they would sell their inventory, which is the BTCs they mined the last 2 or 3 months. The bankrupt miners would sell these (before the Mt Gox guys) and get some cash to pay back their debt. But like in any mining business, whether it be gold or copper, when the miners are going bankrupt, then it is usually a sign that Bottom is coming. Because if some Miners stop mining, then there is less supply coming to the market. (For BTC, the supply does not change, it’s the mining difficulty that gets adjusted to be easier). But the phenomenon still applies to BTC, we saw last time Hash Rate was down 7.6% when BTC bottomed at 15K. That was Nov 2022. So just based on the Hashrate going down this much, I do think BTC is near levels that would find major support, historically speaking.
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In terms of the chart, BTC stays in the bull flag if it holds this 55/56K area. And if that gets broken then next support is 50K area, but as we can see on the weekly chart, this is still a rising trend, the large rising trend line which started from 15K is still not even touched yet. Similarly for $ETH , the rising trend line which supported this entire bull run from the 800s has not been touched yet. ETH has pireced the 3180 support, so next support is at 3000 area, and in extreme case in can get to low 2800s like the lows from April. But overall, I still think the market is being too pessimistic on the ETH ETF situation, and when the market is being so pessimistic on ETH, then any good news can make ETH do a sudden bounce. Any upside surprise with the ETH ETFs can make it bounce, and the bad news and disappointments have been mostly priced in, so the risk-reward is in ETH’s favour the more it approaches 3000. The ETH ecosystem such as $ENS S is still quite good risk-reward IMO, so ENS at 21.5 or below is still a nice entry into the ETH Ecosystem. UNI is also a narrative leader in the ETH ecosystem, although not as strong as ENS, but a dip to mid-6s on UNI is probably good DCA point. NFA, DYOR.
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$QNT is again one of those high quality cryptos that have not participated in this small bull run so far. It is legit in so many ways, I've written quite a number of messages on QNT's fundamentals in the past. The market is ignoring it for now, but that could easily change in the 2nd half of the year. We can see the number of QNT coins on exchanges have fallen off to a new low. So there are not much QNT to sell on those exchanges. And as I explained the market is anti-VC coins for now, but QNT is 80% unlocked already, so there is only 20% coins to unlock from here. Overall I think QNT can do well, at just $1.2 Bn FDV, it can still do 5-10X if we suddenly get the right kind of news. EU could suddenly release news of adoption and catch the market by surprise. The upside resistance is at 88-90 area, then 107. And if $BTC decides to retest the 50s again, we could see QNT at 64/65 support level. A lot of this depends on BTC once again.
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