📢 🚨 BREAKING: U.S. CPI FORECAST — JANUARY INFLATION COOLING TO 2.5% 📉
The January Consumer Price Index (CPI) is forecast to rise +0.3% MoM, which would bring annual inflation down toward ~2.5%. This is a sign of continued moderation in price pressures.
However, history shows that January inflation has tended to surprise to the upside in recent years (e.g., 2023 & 2024). Analysts now suggest that seasonal price resets — not tariff changes — may be the main inflation driver.
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🧠 Why This Matters to Markets
🔹 Inflation Cooling = Policy Implications
A slower inflation rate tends to ease pressure on central banks, potentially reducing the urgency for further rate hikes.
🔹 Macro Sentiment Shift
Markets often react to inflation data first, then to the narrative around the drivers (seasonal vs structural inflation).
🔹 Risk Assets React
Lower inflation forecasts can boost risk assets — equities, crypto — as real yields and discount rates adjust.
🔹 Dovish Tailwind for Growth
If inflation stays near targets, investors may price in slower tightening or even rate stabilization.
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📊 What This Could Mean for Traders
✔ Short-Term Volatility
Inflation surprises can trigger quick price swings across all markets — trade with structure.
✔ Risk-On Bias Potential
Cooling inflation = less pressure on central banks → sentiment shift toward risk assets.
✔ Safe Haven Rotation
If inflation drivers are seen as temporary, demand for safe haven assets might ease.
✔ Narrative + Flow Combine
Seasonal resets dominating inflation vs tariffs can change how traders price risk.
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🚨 January CPI forecast +0.3% MoM → ~2.5% annual inflation 📉
Inflation cooling as markets watch seasonal price resets 🔄
Macro sentiment tilts toward risk-on if trend continues 📊🔥
#CPI #Inflation #Macro #Trading #CryptoSentiment $BTC
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📌 TL;DR
✔ CPI expected +0.3% in January
✔ Annual inflation easing ~2.5%
✔ Seasonal price changes may be key driver
✔ Risk assets might benefit from cooling inflation
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH leans under a descending lip, movement keeps shrinking.
Trading Plan (Short)
Entry: $1,960 – $2,015
SL: $2,050
TP: $1,900, $1,840, $1,760
Sits beneath the falling edge and keeps tapping up without getting anywhere, each probe thinner than the last. Upper tails show up fast, bodies overlap, volume flashes then goes quiet, effort but no reach. The bounce keeps folding back into the same pocket, nothing holds for more than a breath. I’m in with reduced risk, letting it bleed and watching how it behaves against this slanted cap. If price steps above the line and starts sitting there instead of slipping back, I’m flat immediately. Still unresolved, just pressing and waiting.
Short $ETH 👇
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Long ngắn $ZRO Kỳ vọng có nhịp hồi tại đây
Entry: 1.880 - 1.89
• Stop Loss (SL): Dưới vùng support thấp → 1.850 - 1.818 (khoảng 2-3.5% rủi ro từ entry, đặt dưới 1.862 để tránh wick). Nếu muốn chặt hơn: 1.870 (dưới dotted line thấp).
• Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 1.914 - 1.932 (target đầu, vùng resistance gần, RR ~1:2-1:2.5, bán 50% lock profit).
• TP2: 1.985 - 2.008 (target chính, RR ~1:4+, vùng supply cũ nếu momentum rebound).
• Nếu pump mạnh (break 1.932 với volume cao), extend lên 2.184-2.286 (nhưng partial sớm, trail SL).
{future}(ZROUSDT)
$BTC grinds under the mid shelf, bounce looks labored, tone heavy.
Trading Plan (Short)
Entry: $67,100 – $67.800
SL: $68,700
TP: $65,800, $64,400, $62,900
Presses into the overhead band and keeps giving it back, nothing sticks for long. Upper probes get met, closes overlap, volume shows effort without travel. The bounce loses shape fast, pace slows, pushes come back shorter. I’m holding with reduced risk, letting it lean here. If it steps above the band and starts sitting there without leaking, that invalidates it and I’m out. Otherwise watching for another weak lift that fades.
Short $BTC 👇
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
Short $PIPPIN dò đỉnh kèo rủi ro cao
Entry: 0.519- 0.523
• Stop Loss (SL): Trên vùng resistance cao → 0.526 - 0.530 (khoảng 1.5-2% rủi ro từ entry, đặt trên 0.523-0.526 để tránh breakout wick lên Strong High). Nếu muốn chặt hơn: 0.524 (trên dotted line cao).
• Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 0.509 - 0.484 (target đầu, vùng support cũ, RR ~1:2-1:3, bán 50% lock profit).
• TP2: 0.467 - 0.444 (target chính, RR ~1:4+, vùng thấp chart nếu dump mạnh break 0.509 với volume cao).
• Nếu continuation bear (funding rate perp positive cho short, volume bán tăng), extend xuống 0.43-0.42 (nhưng partial sớm, trail SL).
{future}(PIPPINUSDT)
$H grinding higher — clean trend, higher lows stacking.
+20% on the day and still holding structure.
Long $H
Entry: 0.190 – 0.198
SL: 0.170
TP1: 0.240
TP2: 0.300
TP3: 0.400
This isn’t a random spike — it’s a steady bid.
Price has been printing higher lows consistently, absorbing every pullback. No aggressive sell pressure, just controlled retracements followed by continuation.
Now we’re pushing into minor resistance around 0.195–0.200. If price accepts above this zone, momentum can expand quickly.
Volume is building with the breakout attempt — that’s what you want to see.
As long as 0.170 holds, structure stays intact.
Trend intact. Buyers in control.
Continuation setup if follow-through confirms.
Trade $H here 👇
{future}(HUSDT)
Midnight (MID) is sitting at a structural crossroads — and most traders are reading it wrong.
On the 4H chart, the broader trend remains bearish. Price is still trading below the 200 EMA (~0.0568), which continues to slope downward — a clear sign that macro momentum favors sellers. The structure has printed consecutive lower lows, with the most recent sweep near 0.045 before bouncing.
However, here’s where it gets interesting: price just formed a higher low around 0.049–0.050 after reclaiming short-term support. RSI is recovering toward 51, breaking out of its bearish compression, while MACD shows early signs of bullish convergence. Momentum is shifting — but structure has not fully flipped.
The key battlefield is the 0.055–0.056 “Key Resistance Zone.” This level previously acted as support and now aligns closely with the 200 EMA. If bulls break and hold above 0.0568 with strong volume, this becomes a confirmed trend reversal toward 0.060 and potentially 0.0657.
🔵 Long-Term Buy Setup (Breakout Strategy)
Entry: 0.057 on confirmed close above 200 EMA
TP1: 0.060
TP2: 0.0657
TP3: 0.070
SL: 0.052
🔴 Primary Sell Setup (Trend Continuation)
Entry: Rejection at 0.055–0.056 zone
TP1: 0.050
TP2: 0.045
TP3: 0.040
SL: 0.0585
Here’s the controversial take: most retail traders will try to front-run the reversal. But until MID reclaims the 200 EMA decisively, this remains a lower-high structure inside a broader downtrend. The real money waits for confirmation — or sells the resistance.
Break above 0.0568 and bears get trapped. Fail there, and this bounce becomes distribution.
Are you betting on reversal… or continuation?
Follow for more high-conviction technical breakdowns.
#MID #CryptoAnalysis