$ETH Machi Big Brother's "Bloody" Losses, Reduces ETH Position, Cumulative Loss Exceeds $26 Million
The market's legendary contrarian figure, Machi Big Brother, is once again drawing community attention as he executes a series of moves to shrink his portfolio after days of heavy losses.
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(VVVUSDT)
🔸 Facing market pressure, Machi Big Brother decided to reduce risk exposure. He has cut his ETH Long position. Currently, the total ETH held in his account is only 2,300 tokens, equivalent to approximately $4.6 million USD. Additionally, he has completely closed his position on 8,000 $VVV
🔸 Financial data from Machi Big Brother's account paints a grim picture. In just the past week, his contract account has "evaporated" approximately $1.08 million USD. With his current position, he is carrying an unrealized loss of $100,000 USD .
🔸 Most notably, this "Whale's" total cumulative loss in the market has reached a staggering $26.02 million USD.
With a track record of "losing on every trade" totaling $26 million, the community now regards Machi Big Brother as a highly reliable "Counter Indicator." Could his reduction of Long positions this time be a signal that ETH is about to... surge?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.
$SOL is lifting into premium — a failed hold can open targets. 🔴
$SOL - SHORT
Trade Plan:
Entry: 84.96251 – 85.51749
SL: 86.90495
TP1: 83.57505
TP2: 83.02007
TP3: 81.91011
Why this setup?
4h setup is ARMED for a SHORT, with the 1D trend is bearish, reinforcing the bias.
Lower timeframe trigger inside (84.963-85.517) is the only green light.
If it confirms, TP1 at 83.575 is the first checkpoint before any extension. Lower TF RSI is stretched, so patience on entries matters.
Acceptance beyond 87.333 breaks the setup.
Debate:
Is this the start of the next leg toward 83.575, or does reclaim above 87.333 cancel the idea?
Trade here 👇
📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & MARKET SENTIMENT (FGI) REPORT – UPDATE 2026-02-15
The data shows the correlation between FGI and Win Rate remains low (r ~ -0.20). This reinforces that FGI is not a tool for predicting price direction or timing entries, but it is highly useful for quantifying positioning risk. In practice, trading performance tends to deteriorate when sentiment reaches extreme euphoria—making it more of an early risk-warning signal than an opportunity to expand profits.
Below is a reference summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum break-even R:R, and sample size (n) by sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R=1:1.47 • n=25
🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R=1:1.22 • n=215
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.6% • R:R=1:1.19 • n=138
😨 Fear (20–40): WR 46.8% • R:R=1:1.14 • n=175
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 48.6% • R:R=1:1.06 • n=40
Share of days with performance above the average baseline (45.7%) by zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 12.0%
🤤 Greed: 40.0%
😐 Neutral: 45.7%
😨 Fear: 56.6%
😱 Extreme Fear: 62.5%
➤ For scalpers, FGI can be used as a practical guide to adjust profit expectations:
📈 When FGI is high, aim for higher profit targets to maintain a sufficiently large R:R and compensate for the drop in win rate.
📉 When FGI is low, consider lowering profit targets to increase turnover speed and realize profits more easily.
#TradingStats #MarketSentiment
🚨US job market revisions have NEVER been larger: $ATM $KITE
$VVV US job numbers have been revised by -1,029,000 for December 2025, the largest annual revision in at least 20 years.
By comparison, the 2009-2010 combined downward revisions were roughly -1,200,000.
As a result, the 2025 payrolls average monthly change was revised to +15,083 from +48,667.
After these adjustments, 4 months of 2025 saw contracting employment: January, June, August, and October.
This is WILD.
🚨 $BTC Bear Market Cycles: The Anatomy of Maximum Pain
The chart reveals a recurring structural pattern across every major #Bitcoin bear phase since 2011. Each cycle begins with a vertical distribution top, followed by a cascading liquidity vacuum where drawdowns consistently breach the −70% to −85% zone before true capitulation forms.
2011: Extreme volatility with a near −93% collapse, driven by thin liquidity and speculative excess.
2013 to 2015: A prolonged compression phase, lower highs defining a macro downtrend channel before base formation.
2017 to 2018: Classic blow off top, sharp distribution, then a grinding deleveraging cycle erasing over 80% from peak.
2021 to 2022: Institutional participation increased depth, but drawdown still respected historical bear market thresholds near −77%.
Now observe the 2025+ structure. The current drawdown remains materially shallower relative to prior cycles. Momentum compression is visible, yet forced capitulation has not reached historical extremes.
Technically, this suggests one of two paths:
Either structural maturity is reducing volatility amplitude, or the market has not completed its full cyclical reset yet
Key insight: Every prior macro bottom formed only after volatility expansion followed deep liquidity purges. If history rhymes, the final phase is defined not by panic headlines, but by exhaustion in selling pressure ⚠
The real question is not whether a correction happens.
It is whether this cycle breaks the historical drawdown script or simply delays it.
$UNI is offering a clean risk box — if it holds, targets come into view. 🟢
$UNI - LONG
Trade Plan:
Entry: 3.39326 – 3.42273
SL: 3.31959
TP1: 3.49641
TP2: 3.52588
TP3: 3.58483
Why this setup?
4h structure is at a decision point inside (3.393-3.423).
I want a hold and follow-through — that’s the confirmation.
Once confirmed, TP1 at 3.496 is the first level to test. Lower TF RSI is not screaming overbought, leaving room for upside.
If price accepts beyond 3.440, the bias flips and the trade is invalid.
Debate:
Is 3.496 the first stop, or does reclaim above 3.440 change the whole read?
Trade here 👇
14 ALTCOIN BỊ “SOI” NHIỀU NHẤT
Thị trường bắt đầu nóng trở lại… Và đây là 14 cái tên đang được tìm kiếm nhiều nhất chỉ trong vài giờ qua 👀
💰 Vốn hóa thị trường hiện tại:
Bitcoin (BTC) – 1,37 nghìn tỷ USD
Ethereum (ETH) – 242,02 tỷ USD
Solana (SOL) – 49,68 tỷ USD
Siêu thanh khoản (HYPE) – 7,39 tỷ USD
Sui (SUI) – 3,79 tỷ USD
Pepe (PEPE) – 1,94 tỷ USD
Bittensor (TAO) – 1,77 tỷ USD
Pi Network (PI) – 1,56 tỷ USD
$NEAR Giao thức (NEAR) – 1,36 tỷ USD
Kaspa (KAS) – 853,01 triệu USD
Pippin (PIPPIN) – 704,68 triệu USD
PENGU – 451,56 triệu USD
$VIRTUAL – 424,33 triệu USD
LayerZero (ZRO) – 365,63 triệu USD
Venice Token ($VVV) – 168,66 triệu USD
👀 Nhìn vào danh sách này thấy gì?
BTC và ETH vẫn dẫn đầu. Nhưng dòng tiền tìm kiếm đang đổ mạnh về nhóm mid-cap và low-cap.
Altcoin mùa mới đang manh nha? Hay chỉ là sóng hồi kỹ thuật? 🤔
Anh em đang hold coin nào trong danh sách này? Comment để kiểm chứng cộng đồng xem dòng tiền thật sự đang ở đâu nhé! 🔥
$INIT INIT/USDT – Khung 1H
Chiến lược giao dịch đề xuất (CẢNH BÁO FOMO – Ưu tiên chờ điều chỉnh)
• Entry an toàn: 0.105 – 0.115
• Entry sâu (nếu điều chỉnh mạnh): 0.090 – 0.095
• TP1: 0.150
• TP2: 0.180
• TP3: 0.220
• SL: 0.084
⸻
Tổng quan xu hướng
INIT đang bùng nổ với mức tăng hơn 87% trong 24h, giá hiện giao dịch quanh 0.1328 sau khi chạm đỉnh 0.1381. Cấu trúc 1H là một pha breakout thẳng đứng (vertical rally) với thân nến lớn và volume đột biến.
MA7 > MA25 > MA99 và khoảng cách giữa các đường MA mở rộng rất mạnh → xu hướng tăng cực kỳ rõ ràng. Tuy nhiên, đây là trạng thái tăng nóng, dễ xuất hiện nhịp điều chỉnh sâu.
⸻
Động lượng & Cảnh báo rủi ro
• RSI(6) ~98
• RSI(12) ~97
• RSI(24) ~94
RSI đang ở vùng quá mua cực đoan. Đây là mức thường xuất hiện trước các nhịp:
• Rũ bỏ mạnh
• Điều chỉnh nhanh 15–30%
• Hoặc tích lũy lại để hấp thụ cung
Khối lượng giao dịch tăng vọt xác nhận dòng tiền lớn tham gia, nhưng cũng cho thấy khả năng chốt lời ngắn hạn sẽ xuất hiện.
⸻
Các vùng kỹ thuật quan trọng
• Hỗ trợ gần: 0.110 – 0.115
• Hỗ trợ mạnh: 0.090 – 0.095
• Kháng cự tâm lý: 0.150
• Kháng cự mở rộng: 0.180 – 0.220
Nếu giữ được trên 0.110 sau nhịp điều chỉnh, xu hướng tăng vẫn được duy trì.
⸻
Kịch bản rủi ro
Nếu đóng nến 1H dưới 0.084 với khối lượng lớn, INIT có thể quay về vùng 0.070 – 0.075 để tích lũy lại toàn bộ pha tăng.
{future}(INITUSDT)
$NIL
{future}(NILUSDT)
$KITE
{future}(KITEUSDT)
#PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine #TradeCryptosOnX #MarketRebound #CPIWatch #USNFPBlowout
$XRP XRP Nets $7.6 Million Inflow Last Week, Franklin & Canary "Carry the Team," Grayscale Faces Dumping
The spot XRP ETF market closed out the trading week of Feb 9-13 with a positive signal as capital flows returned to the green, supporting the token's +4.44% price increase on the board.
[Get 30% Cashback on Transactions at Binance Wallet/Web3 Here](https://web3.binance.com/referral?ref=BSQ3495A)
🔸 XRP ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $7.65 million USD for the week. This indicates that institutional investor interest remains steadily maintained .
{future}(XRPUSDT)
🔸 The battle for capital is intensifying, with Franklin and Canary rising while "giant" Grayscale faces selling pressure:
Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) led the market this week with an impressive net inflow of $5.42 million USD. This fund's total historical inflow now stands at $328 million USD .
Canary XRP ETF (XRPC) ranked second with an inflow of $4.21 million USD. Canary is currently one of the best capital-attracting funds, with total accumulation reaching $413 million USD .
Grayscale XRP Trust (GXRP): Contrary to the general trend, Grayscale continued to experience the strongest net outflow, with $5.90 million USD leaving the fund.
While Franklin and Canary continuously attract capital, Grayscale faces outflows. In your opinion, is the capital fleeing Grayscale leaving the market entirely, or simply "moving house" to cheaper ETF options?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.
#TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned
trích dẫn dữ liệu Arkham , vào lúc 01:24, 984,88 BTC (trị giá khoảng 67,8 triệu đô la) đã được chuyển từ một địa chỉ nặc danh(bắt đầu bằng bc1qq4ms7...) sang một địa chỉ nặc danh khác (bắt đầu bằng bc1qpe0k...). Sau đó, địa chỉ này đã chuyển một phần BTC (0,02653561) đến Binance.
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$INIT
{future}(INITUSDT)
$KITE
{future}(KITEUSDT)
🏹 $HOME LONG
Entry: 0.0266000 - 0.0258020
🎯 TARGETS:
TP1: 0.0267527
TP2: 0.0273084
TP3: 0.0278641
TP4: 0.0284198
🛡️ STOP LOSS: 0.0249242
📊 STRATEGIC ANALYSIS:
The market is currently compressing within a calculated accumulation structure. By utilizing dual entry points, we optimize our position cost in anticipation of a massive capital surge. The Bulls are silently gathering their resources, and our arrows are notched, ready to fly the moment the momentum triggers.
⚖️ WARRIOR DISCIPLINE:
Capital Management: Strictly allocate only 5-10% account risk to this position.
Psychological Control: Maintain the cold, focused mindset of a financial master. Do not let minor fluctuations distract you from the strategic vision. Discipline is the boundary between a gambler and a warrior.
🥷 THE DariX MINDSET:
"Patience is the sharpest weapon in an archer's quiver. While the masses lose themselves in chaos, we silently deploy our formation and await the moment of explosion to harvest our rewards. Let DariX light your path. Just execute!"