Bitcoin’s 15-Year Cycle: Is the Biggest Move Already Over?
This long-term logarithmic chart tells a very different story.
Since Bitcoin’s inception, we can potentially identify a major 5-wave impulsive structure:
1️⃣ Wave 1
2️⃣ Wave 2
3️⃣ Wave 3
4️⃣ Wave 4
5️⃣ Wave 5
My interpretation is that Bitcoin may have already completed this major 5-wave structure by 2025.
If that’s correct, the next phase could be a much larger corrective cycle.
⚠️ This doesn’t mean BTC can’t rally further.
Bitcoin could still move higher and create another strong corrective rally.
But I don’t believe BTC necessarily needs to make a new ATH before the larger correction begins.
And if this long-term structure plays out as I expect, the next major bear market could be far more aggressive than most investors anticipate.
🎯 My long-term BTC bear-market target: $13,888 or LOWER.
I know that sounds crazy at today’s price.
But Bitcoin has historically gone through massive drawdowns, and this is a 15+ year logarithmic chart, not a short-term prediction.
The key question isn't:
“How high can Bitcoin go?”
It’s:
“What if the 5-wave cycle is already complete?”
I’m watching the structure closely.
Price will ultimately prove this thesis right or wrong.
