$RIVER
RIVER experienced a parabolic advance from the 11 area to a peak near 86, followed by a sharp rejection at the highs. The long upper wick and subsequent bearish candles indicate distribution after an unsustainable move.
🔍 Market Structure
Blow-off top formed at 86.00
Failure to hold above the 72–75 resistance zone
Lower high confirmed on the daily chart
Supertrend has flipped bearish, signaling trend weakness
Momentum has shifted in favor of sellers
📊 Key Levels
Resistance (Supply Zones):
56 – 60: Previous support turned resistance
72 – 75: Strong rejection zone
86: Structural high / invalidation level
Support (Demand & Liquidity Zones):
39 – 41: First major demand area
22 – 25: High-probability liquidity zone
12 – 15: Origin of the impulsive move
🎯 Trading Bias
Bearish below 60
Rallies into resistance are viewed as sell-side opportunities
Trend bias remains negative until price reclaims and holds above key resistance with volume confirmation
🧠 Conclusion
The current price action reflects a classic expansion → distribution → correction cycle. Risk management is essential, and traders should avoid emotional entries after parabolic moves.
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