自由的灵魂
18 Posts
自由的灵魂
大道至简！
24 Following
84 Followers
14 Liked
Posts
All
Quotes
Bitcoin Structural Analysis: 1. Since the weekly divergence decline, two waves have been completed, and we are currently in the third wave of decline which has not been completed, and the bottom reversal pattern has not formed. The conclusion is bearish, but since we are already in the third wave, there are risks in shorting, so it is advisable to observe at the weekly level and look for trading points only at the daily level and below. 2. Since the daily bottom divergence rebound, one wave has not yet been completed, and it can only be considered complete after surpassing 72239.87 points. After that, a top reversal pattern will confirm a selling point.
The above analysis is my personal notes and does not constitute investment advice.
The above analysis is my personal notes and does not constitute investment advice.
Happy Leftover Eggs!
CZ
·
--
Merry Christmas!🎅
Learned!!
龙哥加密日记
·
--
After eight years of hard work, I survived in the crypto market using the 'dumbest' volume analysis.
(@Chain Catcher · Original)
At three o'clock in the morning on the rooftop, the cool steamed buns mixed with the smell of smoke—this was me in 2017, with bursting reminders and 300,000 in debt on my phone screen.
This afternoon, ETH had a daily unrealized profit of 320,000, the sound of people queuing outside the milk tea shop buzzed, but I stared blankly at my account for half a minute. Eight years have passed, from starting with 10 US dollars to managing over 5,000, no one knows that I relied not on 'insider information' or 'bull market euphoria,' but on the persistence of analyzing the most basic volume data and filling my wrong question book.
1. Volume is the market's 'breath,' not the 'shadow' of candlesticks.
At three o'clock in the morning on the rooftop, the cool steamed buns mixed with the smell of smoke—this was me in 2017, with bursting reminders and 300,000 in debt on my phone screen.
This afternoon, ETH had a daily unrealized profit of 320,000, the sound of people queuing outside the milk tea shop buzzed, but I stared blankly at my account for half a minute. Eight years have passed, from starting with 10 US dollars to managing over 5,000, no one knows that I relied not on 'insider information' or 'bull market euphoria,' but on the persistence of analyzing the most basic volume data and filling my wrong question book.
1. Volume is the market's 'breath,' not the 'shadow' of candlesticks.
Huobi is a garbage platform and will eventually go out of business.
K-Dov 牛鸽进阶中
·
--
Anonymous exposure: Did Tradoor dump and run?
The crypto circle is so interesting! A while ago I posted on my social media wanting to be an exposure blogger (actually joking), but I didn't expect that today a whistleblower really found me! 😂😂
And it's the crashing coin I caught! @tradoor_io Tradoor! A few days ago Tradoor was crashing, I saw it rise high, the controlled coin was licking blood to short a wave, I didn't expect this thing to drop so smoothly with so many secrets behind it! (My x: kkkdovey)
It's a bit like a hidden clue, this is fate, so this secret must be exposed! (The parentheses are my comments and inner monologue, the rest is the original flavor of the exposure provided by the whistleblower!) 🤪
And it's the crashing coin I caught! @tradoor_io Tradoor! A few days ago Tradoor was crashing, I saw it rise high, the controlled coin was licking blood to short a wave, I didn't expect this thing to drop so smoothly with so many secrets behind it! (My x: kkkdovey)
It's a bit like a hidden clue, this is fate, so this secret must be exposed! (The parentheses are my comments and inner monologue, the rest is the original flavor of the exposure provided by the whistleblower!) 🤪
Bitcoin Pattern Analysis: First, let's look at the weekly direction. It is still in a state that could be completed from the highest point downward, but why say it is capable? It means it could be completed at any time, but it's uncertain. From the rebound state, it is essentially the weakest sideways pattern. So the current overall weekly pattern is a decline followed by sideways movement. Conclusion: a weak rebound after the decline, and the risk of going long is still very high! Moving to the daily chart to observe the details, the first segment of the decline has completed three moves, but there is no obvious divergence, which confirms the uncertainty of the completion of the first move down on the weekly chart. The daily chart is currently in the process of the second segment of the rebound, and it is highly likely to go through various complex pattern movements before hitting a new low. If divergence occurs, a more certain rebound will appear. Conclusion: Currently, the overall view on Bitcoin at the weekly level is still bearish, and both daily and weekly charts are in an uncertain state. Observe more and act less; if you really want to operate, reduce it to below the hourly level. Operation principle: wait for certainty in uncertainty. The above analysis is for entertainment reference only; investment carries risks!
Must like!
链上天哥
·
--
Who hasn't seen a liquidation notification at three in the morning? But the scene at 1:37 AM when my phone vibrated like it could fry an egg is something I will never forget.
The voice of a fan from Shenzhen was filled with tears, almost leaking through the receiver: 'Bro! I opened a full position on an account of 10,000 U at 10 times leverage, and when it retraced by 3 points, the money just disappeared! Where did I go wrong?'
I asked him to send the transaction record immediately; a quick glance hit the nail on the head: 9500U went in with a full position, without even setting a stop-loss. This isn't trading; it's just giving 'spending money' to the market!
After 5 years of analyzing cryptocurrency assets, I've seen 90% of liquidations fall into the same trap: treating 'full position' as 'all in'! Many people think that 'putting all the money in increases risk tolerance,' which is a huge misconception — a full position is a double-edged sword; if misused, it can lead to liquidation 10 times faster than a partial position. The core issue is never about how high the leverage is, but rather that you've turned your position into a 'last-ditch bet.'
I asked him to send the transaction record immediately; a quick glance hit the nail on the head: 9500U went in with a full position, without even setting a stop-loss. This isn't trading; it's just giving 'spending money' to the market!
After 5 years of analyzing cryptocurrency assets, I've seen 90% of liquidations fall into the same trap: treating 'full position' as 'all in'! Many people think that 'putting all the money in increases risk tolerance,' which is a huge misconception — a full position is a double-edged sword; if misused, it can lead to liquidation 10 times faster than a partial position. The core issue is never about how high the leverage is, but rather that you've turned your position into a 'last-ditch bet.'
$BTC The large pancake has come down from the peak. The weekly chart has met the completion conditions, and we are now observing the daily chart. The next segment of three movements has also been completed, but the divergence is not obvious. The bottom divergence rebound on the 4-hour chart has already started, so the second rebound at the weekly level could unfold at any time. Although it's still uncertain when and how strong the rebound will be, the risk of shorting is very high! Conclusion: At least tonight, do not short; the same goes for other coins, as shorting carries high risks. If, after a weak rebound, the daily chart makes a new low with divergence, going long would be a relatively certain opportunity. In summary, waiting is a wise choice, or consider operating at levels below the 4-hour chart.
Reliable!
加密朵儿
·
--
Today, no calls, just a reminder for friends with less than 800U in capital: If you want to turn things around in the crypto world, first stop and look at these 3 life-saving profit-making rules. Much better than rushing in. $BTC $ETH
Last year, I guided a novice with 500U, from not distinguishing order types to earning 28,000 U in three months, with zero liquidations, relying not on luck but on strict discipline:
1. Divide the capital into three parts, leave a good exit strategy.
Split 500-800U into three portions:
30%-40% for day trading: Only focus on BTC and ETH, take profit when there’s a 3%-5% fluctuation, execute 1-2 trades a day and stop, do not touch altcoins;
30%-40% for swing trading: Wait for the 4-hour K-line to break the range and for the trading volume to increase before entering, hold for 3-5 days, target a profit of 15%-20%;
20%-30% as “emergency funds”: Do not move even in extreme market conditions, without it, there’s no chance to turn things around.
2. Follow the trend, do not exhaust yourself with fluctuations.
In the crypto world, 80% of the time is sideways, frequent trading just incurs transaction fees.
If there’s no signal, wait; take half of the profit at 12%, aim for stability with a small capital and don’t be greedy.
3. Prioritize rules, control your hands.
Each trade’s stop-loss should not exceed 3% of the capital, must exit when the point is reached;
If profits exceed 5%, reduce half of the position, set stop-loss at the cost price for the remaining;
Do not add to losing positions, do not let emotions lead you astray.
The advantage of small capital lies in flexibility, but fear the gambling nature of “turning it around in one go.” Follow the rules to protect capital, accumulate profits, rolling 800U to 20,000 U is not difficult; the key lies in discipline and patience.
In the past, I was stumbling around in the dark, now the light is in my hands.
The light is always on, will you follow? @加密朵儿
#特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场回调
Last year, I guided a novice with 500U, from not distinguishing order types to earning 28,000 U in three months, with zero liquidations, relying not on luck but on strict discipline:
1. Divide the capital into three parts, leave a good exit strategy.
Split 500-800U into three portions:
30%-40% for day trading: Only focus on BTC and ETH, take profit when there’s a 3%-5% fluctuation, execute 1-2 trades a day and stop, do not touch altcoins;
30%-40% for swing trading: Wait for the 4-hour K-line to break the range and for the trading volume to increase before entering, hold for 3-5 days, target a profit of 15%-20%;
20%-30% as “emergency funds”: Do not move even in extreme market conditions, without it, there’s no chance to turn things around.
2. Follow the trend, do not exhaust yourself with fluctuations.
In the crypto world, 80% of the time is sideways, frequent trading just incurs transaction fees.
If there’s no signal, wait; take half of the profit at 12%, aim for stability with a small capital and don’t be greedy.
3. Prioritize rules, control your hands.
Each trade’s stop-loss should not exceed 3% of the capital, must exit when the point is reached;
If profits exceed 5%, reduce half of the position, set stop-loss at the cost price for the remaining;
Do not add to losing positions, do not let emotions lead you astray.
The advantage of small capital lies in flexibility, but fear the gambling nature of “turning it around in one go.” Follow the rules to protect capital, accumulate profits, rolling 800U to 20,000 U is not difficult; the key lies in discipline and patience.
In the past, I was stumbling around in the dark, now the light is in my hands.
The light is always on, will you follow? @加密朵儿
#特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场回调
I'll give you a Japanese name: Fresh Calf!
观察员jack
·
--
Bearish$ZEC Binance ZEC contract bearish hammer confirmed! Current price 488 USD, boldly short, looking bearish at 380 USD tomorrow!
Brothers in the crypto circle, don't hesitate! The long and short game of Binance ZEC contracts has become clear, with technical breakdowns + whale exits + divergence between volume and price creating a triple bearish resonance. Shorting now is like picking up money; tomorrow will definitely accelerate the downward trend!
1. Latest key news on Binance ZEC contracts
1. The largest long whale has reduced holdings by 5,000 ZEC, locking in 5.15 million USD profit, with unrealized profits previously plummeting by 90%. Institutions have completely lost confidence in the subsequent price increase;
2. 24-hour contract liquidation reached 42 million, with over 80% of short positions liquidated. After extreme emotions, a deep correction is inevitable, and the current rebound is precisely the shorting window;
3. Although the open interest in Binance ZEC contracts has increased, the funding rate issued a peak signal 6 hours in advance, making it difficult for long positions to be sustained.
2. Core view at the current price of 488 USD: The bubble must burst, and the bulls are at the end of their tether!
ZEC has surged over 700% from a low position, entirely relying on privacy narrative hype, with no substantial application landing, leading to a severely inflated valuation. On-chain data shows that whales have transferred 170,000 chips to exchanges for sale at the tail end of the rise, with clear distribution characteristics of price increases and volume decreases, and retail investors chasing highs are becoming the bag holders.
3. Tomorrow's trend forecast: Breaking below 380 USD is a foregone conclusion!
1. Technical death trio: 1H chart breaks through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, MACD breaks below the 0 axis, and the BTC exchange rate falls below the 200-day moving average, with clear breakout signals;
2. Support levels are virtually non-existent: The strong support at 500 USD has weakened, with only weak support at 450 USD below. Once broken, it directly points to 380 USD;
3. Capital outflow is hard to reverse: Recently, the net inflow of ZEC into exchanges reached a peak, and selling pressure is concentrating and releasing. The rebound is weak and will accelerate the downward trend.
4. Call to action: Decisively short, seize certain profits!
It is recommended to gradually short in the 480-490 USD range for Binance ZEC/USDT contracts, with a stop-loss set at 500 USD (strong resistance level), initially targeting 420 USD, and if broken, directly aiming for 380 USD!
Cryptocurrency speculative assets fall harder than they rise. The bearish sentiment has completely fermented at this moment, with a shorting win rate far exceeding 90%! Boldly position, follow institutions and technical trends to profit, hesitating will lead to missed opportunities!
Brothers in the crypto circle, don't hesitate! The long and short game of Binance ZEC contracts has become clear, with technical breakdowns + whale exits + divergence between volume and price creating a triple bearish resonance. Shorting now is like picking up money; tomorrow will definitely accelerate the downward trend!
1. Latest key news on Binance ZEC contracts
1. The largest long whale has reduced holdings by 5,000 ZEC, locking in 5.15 million USD profit, with unrealized profits previously plummeting by 90%. Institutions have completely lost confidence in the subsequent price increase;
2. 24-hour contract liquidation reached 42 million, with over 80% of short positions liquidated. After extreme emotions, a deep correction is inevitable, and the current rebound is precisely the shorting window;
3. Although the open interest in Binance ZEC contracts has increased, the funding rate issued a peak signal 6 hours in advance, making it difficult for long positions to be sustained.
2. Core view at the current price of 488 USD: The bubble must burst, and the bulls are at the end of their tether!
ZEC has surged over 700% from a low position, entirely relying on privacy narrative hype, with no substantial application landing, leading to a severely inflated valuation. On-chain data shows that whales have transferred 170,000 chips to exchanges for sale at the tail end of the rise, with clear distribution characteristics of price increases and volume decreases, and retail investors chasing highs are becoming the bag holders.
3. Tomorrow's trend forecast: Breaking below 380 USD is a foregone conclusion!
1. Technical death trio: 1H chart breaks through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, MACD breaks below the 0 axis, and the BTC exchange rate falls below the 200-day moving average, with clear breakout signals;
2. Support levels are virtually non-existent: The strong support at 500 USD has weakened, with only weak support at 450 USD below. Once broken, it directly points to 380 USD;
3. Capital outflow is hard to reverse: Recently, the net inflow of ZEC into exchanges reached a peak, and selling pressure is concentrating and releasing. The rebound is weak and will accelerate the downward trend.
4. Call to action: Decisively short, seize certain profits!
It is recommended to gradually short in the 480-490 USD range for Binance ZEC/USDT contracts, with a stop-loss set at 500 USD (strong resistance level), initially targeting 420 USD, and if broken, directly aiming for 380 USD!
Cryptocurrency speculative assets fall harder than they rise. The bearish sentiment has completely fermented at this moment, with a shorting win rate far exceeding 90%! Boldly position, follow institutions and technical trends to profit, hesitating will lead to missed opportunities!
The daily line is now sideways, so the trend is rising sideways. Experience it yourself.
Quoted content has been removed
The technical indicators on the daily chart show no obvious top divergence. After the pullback, there is a high probability of new highs. If you short, it’s best to take profits, as the risks are quite significant.
校长小助理
·
--
Bearish$ZEC Now there are 100 zec, if the price drops to 300, I can earn another 3wu
Bitcoin dropped from 72,000 to 64,000? At first, I thought the article was quite good 😂
倾听视野
·
--
The 'funding gap' in the global market: When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, US Treasuries become a vampire.
In the past week, the entire market has seemed a bit 'exhausted'. No matter which variety you look at—US stocks, gold, oil, cryptocurrencies—almost all are falling. The most typical scene is: the S&P 50 has dropped for three consecutive days at a high, BTC and ETH have fallen simultaneously, even gold, a safe-haven asset, couldn't withstand it.
Behind this synchronized sell-off is not an emotional collapse, but a sudden tightening of US dollar liquidity.
Many people's first reaction is: Didn't the Federal Reserve just cut interest rates on October 30? Logically, a rate cut should mean 'easing', it should mean loosening, so why is it tighter instead?
Behind this synchronized sell-off is not an emotional collapse, but a sudden tightening of US dollar liquidity.
Many people's first reaction is: Didn't the Federal Reserve just cut interest rates on October 30? Logically, a rate cut should mean 'easing', it should mean loosening, so why is it tighter instead?
Continuation of Bitcoin trend analysis.
Since the weekly top divergence, we have now seen an effective second bearish candlestick. To complete this move, we need more than two candlesticks and two new lows. Conclusion: Taking long positions at the weekly level remains high risk.
Entering the daily observation, the first segment of the decline created a new low, meeting the completion conditions. A second segment of a rebound could start at any time, but when it starts and how high it rebounds remains to be observed, as Bitcoin's volatility is too severe. Conclusion: At the daily level, taking short positions is high risk.
Since the weekly top divergence, we have now seen an effective second bearish candlestick. To complete this move, we need more than two candlesticks and two new lows. Conclusion: Taking long positions at the weekly level remains high risk.
Entering the daily observation, the first segment of the decline created a new low, meeting the completion conditions. A second segment of a rebound could start at any time, but when it starts and how high it rebounds remains to be observed, as Bitcoin's volatility is too severe. Conclusion: At the daily level, taking short positions is high risk.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Currently at the position, after the weekly highest point divergence, a pullback occurred. After several candlesticks absorbed and consolidated, it is still just one, meaning that no complete transaction has been made. Conclusion: Medium-term long positions are high risk! Analyzing the daily chart, the first transaction has been completed, and after 101516 it has been consolidating sideways, forming a downward consolidation pattern. After breaking down through the low point and completing two transactions, the segment of the daily high point pullback is highly likely to occur, which is consistent with the conclusion from the weekly chart. Therefore, the best opportunity for long positions can only be found at the 30-minute level or below; otherwise, it is high risk!
Currently at the position, after the weekly highest point divergence, a pullback occurred. After several candlesticks absorbed and consolidated, it is still just one, meaning that no complete transaction has been made. Conclusion: Medium-term long positions are high risk! Analyzing the daily chart, the first transaction has been completed, and after 101516 it has been consolidating sideways, forming a downward consolidation pattern. After breaking down through the low point and completing two transactions, the segment of the daily high point pullback is highly likely to occur, which is consistent with the conclusion from the weekly chart. Therefore, the best opportunity for long positions can only be found at the 30-minute level or below; otherwise, it is high risk!
30 minutes of sideways movement, a breakdown of the platform is likely, followed by a possibility of a rebound.
ALIZY PK RAI KHARAL
·
--
Bullish$YB /USDT – AGGRESSIVE BULLISH BREAKOUT IMMINENT 🚀🔥
$YB is showing strong accumulation signals near $0.48–$0.49, preparing for a powerful bullish breakout toward the $0.55+ zone. The price has held above its short-term MA(7) while compressing under major resistances, indicating an imminent volatility expansion. With volume picking up and buyers defending higher lows, momentum is shifting decisively to the upside.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $0.4820 – $0.4900
Take Profit 1: $0.5250
Take Profit 2: $0.5550
Take Profit 3: $0.5850
Stop Loss: $0.4590
📊 Market Outlook:
Momentum indicators point upward with growing bullish pressure. MA(7) crossing below MA(25) resistance suggests an upcoming breakout attempt above $0.51–$0.52, which would confirm trend reversal. Holding above $0.48 keeps the bias firmly bullish; a close over $0.5586 could trigger a strong continuation rally toward $0.60+.
#Write2Earn #BinanceHODLerZBT #MarketPullback #USBankingCreditRisk #PowellRemarks
Buy and Trade Here $YB
$YB is showing strong accumulation signals near $0.48–$0.49, preparing for a powerful bullish breakout toward the $0.55+ zone. The price has held above its short-term MA(7) while compressing under major resistances, indicating an imminent volatility expansion. With volume picking up and buyers defending higher lows, momentum is shifting decisively to the upside.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $0.4820 – $0.4900
Take Profit 1: $0.5250
Take Profit 2: $0.5550
Take Profit 3: $0.5850
Stop Loss: $0.4590
📊 Market Outlook:
Momentum indicators point upward with growing bullish pressure. MA(7) crossing below MA(25) resistance suggests an upcoming breakout attempt above $0.51–$0.52, which would confirm trend reversal. Holding above $0.48 keeps the bias firmly bullish; a close over $0.5586 could trigger a strong continuation rally toward $0.60+.
#Write2Earn #BinanceHODLerZBT #MarketPullback #USBankingCreditRisk #PowellRemarks
Buy and Trade Here $YB
The Big and Beautiful Act has passed, and the risks are not just significant!
L与狼共舞
·
--
100 times short, I don't care anymore, I'll hold until death, if I get liquidated, I accept it.
Big pie's sustainable structure analysis record: It breaks below 24581 to complete the second period of the weekly correction. I don't know how deep it can go. Let's make a preliminary estimate, which is around 21710. Therefore, what is relatively certain among the uncertainties is that the risk of going long above 24581 is greater than going short in the near future (of course, if short-cycle low profit margin operations do not exist), the risk of going short below is greater than going long.
Log in to explore more content