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Brothers, good afternoon. At the moment, around the 64,000 level, the sell pressure accumulated above the key level is still extremely heavy. The bulls have repeatedly tried to push upward, but they still haven’t been able to effectively hold and break through. The momentum to drive price higher has long since shown clear signs of exhaustion. Currently, the price has rebounded slightly to around 63,800. This rebound is only a brief consolidation and repair during the downtrend—it is not a signal of a reversal turning bullish.

For the morning’s short-term trading idea, we still look to follow the trend for a pullback under pressure. Relying on the current 63,800 rebound high, we can position short trades accordingly. The primary target is to look toward the key support around 63,100.

Right now, the overall order book shows strong bearish suppression. Don’t blindly chase longs or go long out of impatience. Keep your positions at a reasonable size, and wait patiently for the market to gradually move downward and realize the available downside space. When price reaches the target support area, then decide when to take profit/close positions in batches. If, during the session, the price action shows any abnormal movement or turns direction, I will notify everyone immediately to adjust their position plan $BTC

In a bear market, besides prices falling,

there is another thing that will definitely happen.

That is, a batch of tokens that nobody trades or pays attention to will slowly fade out of the historical stage.

The market is never able to expand endlessly.

With new narratives, old projects will be eliminated.

A bear market is a major cleansing of the market

#hft #ACX

This week, it might be the most important week of August!

During this week, it’s recommended to focus on:

Tuesday: SpaceX’s first earnings report after its listing, and the AMD earnings report
Whether the AI and technology sectors can continue to stay hot will affect market risk appetite.

Thursday: The release of the first batch of SpaceX restricted shares
One of the largest-scale unlocks in history—markets will watch to see whether there is concentrated selling, and the impact on liquidity is worth paying attention to.

Friday: US July non-farm payroll employment data
This is the first comprehensive employment report after the Fed’s July meeting, and it will also influence expectations for the policy path in September.

In addition, speeches by Fed officials could also bring new market volatility.

This week, the market may not immediately reveal a clear direction.

But many key pieces of information that will affect the outlook for the next few weeks will gradually come to light.
#USToCancelIranAttackSubjectToDeal

What’s actually fun on-chain right now? The overall market is basically not doing well, and the sh*tcoins don’t have any liquidity at all. Other than the way whales perfectly control everything, you can’t see any hope at all. Is there anything fun you’d recommend? I want to go all in and start trading like crazy—IceCandy, I’m going to open [and] go for it!!

$BTC Monday weak open, short-term pullback risk increases!

On the weekend, Bitcoin moved upward slowly but kept facing pressure and failed to break through 64,000.
At the open, MACD bullish momentum is sluggish, lacking short-term upside drive.

Overall, keep the big-picture bullish mindset. During the day, first follow the trend and look for a short pullback setup.

Place short orders above 63,400, targeting 62,600. Pay close attention to whether support breaks.

Trump又要在发币的事情都传遍大街小巷了，所以兄弟们说的逆天改命的机会又到了？

1.
$BTC
基本上没什么波动了，大波动都去看美股了；

2.
$ETH
没有表现了，就静静跟着大饼走了；

3.
$SOL
这次川普也不在上面发了，不争取下了？

4. Michael Saylor again releases Bitcoin Tracker information, or discloses changes in holdings;

Boss, you always end up playing tricks like this.

5. Strategy keeps STRC dividends at 12% below $90;

6. The U.S. Senate has only one week left before summer recess, and the Clarity Act has not yet had its advancement motion submitted;

Great leader of the United States, are you trying to rush and issue another round of coins ahead of time?

7. Former CFTC chair urges the industry not to treat the CLARITY Act as decisive success or failure;

8. After granting CME its review, the SEC still maintains a suspended status for Nasdaq Bitcoin options;

9. Trump: U.S.-Iran talks will start tomorrow, and there is already an agreement for the Strait of Hormuz;

10. Buterin/Byun: The AI cycle is still in its early stage—positive on tech companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, and TSMC;

The U.S. stock market that the Chinese value-investing “god” likes;

11. USD to JPY down 0.6%, to 156.107;

Analyst: The joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan increases the risk of short covering for yen, but yen’s sustained appreciation still needs fundamental support;

12. Data: S&P 500 firms’ Q2 earnings beat expectations by 27%, and the AI boom has support from performance;

13. Allegedly, a Strategy-related wallet transferred 299.84 BTC about 9 hours ago, worth $18.91 million;

14. According to DefiLlama data, July marked the third consecutive month of net outflows for stablecoins;

The last time this happened was in 2022–2023, when stablecoins’ net inflows were negative for 17 straight months;

15. The stock markets in Korea and Japan continue to open lower—can brothers see a limit-up halt today?

----------------
This Trump is pretty interesting. He knows to give the brothers a second chance—this time, are the brothers going all-in with their underwear, or what’s the saying?

$BTC Yesterday’s market saw repeated long-and-short churn and washout. At present, BTC is consolidating above the 64,000 level, while ETH is moving in sync around 1,910.

Although the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, three dissenting votes have significantly raised the likelihood of rate hikes within the year. Combined with ongoing tensions in the Middle East, oil prices face upward pressure, and inflation expectations are unlikely to ease—further strengthening rate-hike expectations. At the same time, the probability that a clear bill will be passed in August is low, and the market lacks fundamental positive catalysts support, as the risk of a second dip is building.

From the current perspective, the market only has a real foundation for a reversal after three conditions align: easing Middle East tensions, the clear bill releasing positive signals, and rate hikes being carried out to create a “bad news is already priced in” effect. A truly decisive bullish “cha-ching” move may still take some time.

Intraday reference:
If BTC rebounds to the 64,500–65,000 range, watch for short signals. Downside to watch is around 63,000–63,500.

$SOL In this rebound, the rebound strength among the mainstream coins is the weakest. The low point at 73.12 has seen a slight recovery, but the long side’s takeover strength is insufficient and upward momentum is lacking, with the price action significantly weaker than BTC and ETH.

Resistance: 74.50–76.00.
Support: 72.30; strong support: 71.20.

Trading outlook
First, maintain a wait-and-see stance and wait for the market to provide a clear signal. Only consider a short-term long after there is a valid breakout above the overhead resistance. If the rebound is under pressure and fails to break through resistance, wait for a high-short opportunity rather than trying to bottom-buy or摸底 too early.

Trade ideas
After holding above 74.50, take a small position for a long trade; stop loss at 73.90, target 76.00.
If the rebound stalls in the 74.50–76.00 range, set up shorts; stop loss at 76.40, target 72.30. If it breaks down, look further down to 71.20.

$ETH on the day’s low of 1855, the recovery started and continued rising. The rebound’s elasticity is noticeably stronger than BTC, and the short-term buying interest is relatively active. However, the overall market is still in a sideways repair phase, with heavy resistance overhead. There is a clear upper limit to the rebound space, so it’s not advisable to blindly keep going long.

Overhead resistance: 1928-1960; near-term support: 1870; key support: 1855.

Trading ideas
Trade in ranges in line with the broader market rhythm. Rely on support and resistance levels, wait for signals, and avoid chasing orders at the current price. If support stabilizes, you can contend for a rebound; if price rises but meets resistance, set up short positions. Since ETH is more volatile, reasonably reduce position size.

Trade reference
On the rebound to 1928-1960, place shorts in batches. Stop loss: 1975. Target: 1890. If support breaks, look toward 1870.

$BTC market conditions bottoming out: after 63526, capital returned, leading to a rebound that repaired the deep selloff. In the short term, market sentiment has warmed up somewhat. However, this round of rise is defined as a technical rebound rather than a trend reversal. There is heavy selling pressure in the resistance zone above, and the bearish structure on the higher timeframe has not been fully repaired, so the risk of chasing the rally is relatively high.

Near-term resistance zone: 64170–64600. Primary support below: 63300; key strong support: 62600.

Trading ideas
In a consolidation and repair phase, opportunities exist for both bulls and bears—avoid overly aggressive one-way positioning. If a pullback finds support and stabilizes, it can be used to position for a short-term long. If the rebound rises to the resistance band and shows a stall/tailing-off signal, then look to time and place a short position.

Trade reference

Range-bound oscillation can be used to profit from short, small-range moves.
Sell/try shorts when the rebound meets resistance at 64170–64600; stop-loss 64760; take-profit 63600. If broken, look lower toward 63300.

A surprisingly steep drop—yet it still rallied despite missing expectations. Storage/warehousing is still kind of interesting; turns out the kind of volatility-heavy stuff that’s down too much is exactly what’s worth buying.

1.
$BTC
Pulling back together with US stocks. It hasn’t yet come back above, so just be patient and wait;

2.
$ETH
It has performed relatively well—only can say it’s strong;

3.
$SOL
Seems pretty average—nothing more than a small-farmer economy;

4. A US lawmaker is pushing to include crypto assets in the traditional “wash sale” rules to plug tax loopholes;

5. CryptoQuant: Crypto exchange TradFi perpetual futures are a bright growth highlight—doubling in two months to over $2 billion;

Casinos mostly prefer gambling;

6. Ondo Finance abandons its Layer 1 plan and launches a private, high-speed trading network called Ondo Network;

Is it a scam?

7. SEC chair: Optimistic about Congress passing the CLARITY Act;

8. Robinhood Chain: On-chain trading volume and user count continue to decline after an initial Meme-coin-driven surge;

9. The informal ceasefire fell through. This morning, Iran fired missiles at US military bases; crude oil jumped 4%.

Are both sides treating war like a game?

10. Block Scholes analyst Thahbib Rahman: If the Fed releases any even slightly dovish signals or any positive news for Bitcoin;

11. RL1 blockchain network goes live and the underlying platform processes over €700 million in transactions over three years;

Are they running it under the table?

12. Jump Capital has raised a $350 million fund for AI investments;

13. Grayscale: HYPE is still undervalued—its forward P/E is roughly 15 to 18x;

There’s reason to suspect Grayscale is going to launch an HYPE ETF;

14. Fidelity Q3 signal report: Net unrealized gains/losses for BTC, ETH, and SOL are all at historical lows, with multiple indicators nearing the capitulation zone;

15. Nvidia’s 5-year credit default swaps surged, and AI infrastructure cycle financing raises concerns about attracting funds from bond markets;

Everyone who knows cyclic loans understands.

16. Financial Services Commission of South Korea: If demand for single-stock leveraged ETFs doesn’t cool down, it will consider setting limits on individual investment quotas;

Everything you could think of, you can get— but if you don’t use leverage, how do you break even?

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Is today a day of big miracles for global stock markets? Just wait, wait—are we finally getting back to even? I can’t take this nonstop decline anymore.

The biggest highlight this week isn’t whether or not the Fed will raise rates.

Markets widely expect that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged.

What will truly move the market is the statement after the meeting and Powell’s remarks.

If it continues to emphasize inflation risks, the period for which high interest rates are maintained could be longer than what the market expects; the US dollar and Treasury yields may strengthen, and BTC and ETH could fall in the short term.

If it sends a more dovish signal, market risk appetite is likely to rebound and recover
#USStorageStocksExtendLosses

Trump is putting pressure on the Federal Reserve again.

He has once again publicly called for the Fed to cut interest rates, even saying the U.S. should have the lowest interest rates in the world.

But the real decision on interest rates still lies with the Federal Reserve, not the White House.

If the Federal Reserve continues to keep interest rates high this week, the market’s focus will be on Chair Powell’s remarks about inflation, the economy, and the future policy path.
#USStorageStocksExtendLosses

Have the stored market signals stopped here, everyone? Why is the storage collective getting stabbed at the same time? How should this be handled? Pinching spikes really is the crypto circle’s secret technique!

1.
$BTC
Straight back to grandma’s house—so that’s the legendary “come from somewhere and go back to somewhere”?

2.
$ETH
Yesterday everyone was asking what’s going on with the world computer starting to pull the market, and today it got thrown back;

3.
$SOL
The signs of something that nobody cares about actually appeared;

4. Trump: If there’s enough patience to reach a new agreement with Iran, otherwise we’ll go to war;

The great K-line god;

5. A South Korean trading platform triggers the KOSPI index sidecar mechanism, and programmatic trading is paused for 5 minutes;

South Korea’s trading hours—only heaven and hell;

6. Ethereum Foundation discloses AI-agent review protocol code’s security practices, shifting the AI x Crypto narrative focus toward infrastructure security;

7. SEC Commissioner Peirce reiterates: On-chain activity doesn’t automatically exclude the application of securities laws, and the Vault and yield strategy need to be reviewed for legal structure;

8. The latest disclosed synchronization of net outflows for US spot BTC/ETH ETFs indicates institutional spot demand hasn’t been confirmed as repaired;

9. Circle acquires a set of IBM blockchain patent assets, expanding its moat in stablecoins and on-chain financial infrastructure;

10. The Federal Reserve holds its policy decision meeting over the next two days—macroeconomic volatility windows are officially open;

11. K3 Capital announces a partnership with Galaxy and Accountable to launch institutional yield vaults;

12. Castle Securities: This week, the Fed chair Waller may unexpectedly hike rates to strengthen its anti-inflation credibility;

13. Tom Lee says Lighter is crucial to Ethereum infrastructure;

Pretty interesting— is this paid shilling?

14. A Pennsylvania bill proposes to ban companies from making markets for prediction markets;

The market makers for prediction markets are actually the biggest providers of liquidity;

15. Ondo launches a new execution network, calling it the “evolution of Ondo Chain”;

In principle, all good news is to facilitate distribution—because it has no effect on the token;

16. Aave: Stable Vaults have passed Certora formal verification;

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This Robin Hood is pretty much the same as BSC—it’s all about taking a cut of the “water.” The RB people pay attention to likes, reposts, and comments can all pull the market up, and it’s really hard to play—everything is a launchpad.

$BANK Settle the fee rate directly at a 30% point drop!~！

$ETH Synchronized index repairs modestly and rebounds. The market awaits this week’s interest rate decision, on-site trading activity shrinks. Rebound volume fails to keep up, limiting the strength of the near-term rebound. Overall, the market maintains a range-bound “churning” pattern.

Near-term pressure is at 1890–1900, with 1956 acting as the key strong resistance at this stage. Core support lies at 1850 and 1830. After consecutive declines, low-level absorption has appeared; as long as support is not broken effectively, the consolidation structure remains intact.

If prices pull back to 1830–1850, stay alert; defense is below 1810. The upside target is around 1880.

$BTC Morning outside-market risk appetite shows signs of recovery. Prices rebound and hold steady around the 65,000 level. Geopolitical tensions ease and alleviate the earlier suppression, and funds have modestly returned to the market. However, this week’s key interest-rate-related news has not yet been released, so the longs’ offensive strength remains limited. In the short term, the market is mainly expected to repair and rebound in a range-bound manner, making it difficult to break into a one-way strong rally.

The near-term resistance zone lies at 65,300–65,800, with 66,300 acting as the current strong pressure point. On the downside, the core supports are 64,500 and 63,660. The prior low-area accumulation has been firm, and there has been no effective breakdown of the earlier-to-midterm consolidation structure. Short-term indicators have been repaired from low levels, but upside rebound potential is constrained.

On a pullback, watch the 64,500–63,660 area closely. Keep defense below 63,200. The target is around 65,500.
#SHIBSurges36%

The weekend ultimately still waited for Trump’s <tcao>, but based on past situations, after the Monday open, the reversal will start again. After all, the old man has a very bad memory.

1.
$BTC
Everything is heading in a good direction—moving toward a rebound. It looks like we captured the rise from <tcao>;

2.
$ETH
Among mainstream assets, it takes the lead in outperforming, with short-term risk appetite stronger than the “big pie”;

3.
For the meme coin, the first place people think of is this—also where yesterday $CATI topped the fastest;

4. In July, the FOMC enters the event window, and macro risk priority rises;

5. Strategy has not increased its BTC holdings for four straight weeks, and cash reserves have risen to about $3.225b;

6. Circle has received final OCC approval to establish National Trust Bank, and USDC compliance infrastructure continues to move forward;

7. The WEMIX contract ownership was hacked and issued more than 5.22 million additional WEMIX tokens. Cross-chain funds have been transferred to Ethereum and BSC;

Isn’t this already the n-th time this crappy project has been hacked?

8. Storj Labs filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization in the United States; the business will continue operating;

After bankruptcy, is it good for pumping, or does it just smash down and move on?

9.
In the past 24 hours, no withdrawals exceeding $25,000 each have been processed.

I heard withdrawals are difficult—don’t know if that’s true;

10. South Korea’s KOSPI index turns down during the day, after having risen more than 1.7% earlier;

South Koreans can’t save South Korea;

11. Coinbase CEO: AI will make crypto more important; Coinbase is building Agentic Finance;

Believe me, it’s always just blowing smoke, always shouting slogans first, and then it never amounts to anything;

12. The Fed’s interest-rate decision sets up a standoff between 104 economists and 36% betting on a rate hike;

13. Bitwise CIO: The next crypto bull cycle will revolve around stablecoins, tokenization, and institutional DeFi;

Around it? Still?

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Workdays are here—the stocks are back to work. Brothers, you’ve got even more time to lose money. Are you happy? In another 20 minutes, the moment to witness a miracle is here.