Analista | Especulador | Inversor Crypto
Te invito a unirte a mi canal de Telegram🚀 https://t.me/FelipeAballay
Te invito a unirte a OKX https://www.okx.com/join/FELIPECL
$BTC 🚨 BITCOIN IN CALM… LOW VOLATILITY SCARES ANYONE 🔴 LIVE NOW https://youtube.com/live/zX8eTV40uRM?feature=share Bitcoin is still practically not moving, and volatility continues to vanish. Is this just a pause, or is the market building tension before a major move? Today we’ll review BTC, the key zones I’m watching, possible scenarios for the next few hours, and the trades we’re currently following. 📊 See you live. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #ETH
In our last posts, we reviewed the 3 core indicators of our strategy: Moving Averages, Squeeze Momentum, and ADX.
Now the next step is to learn how to combine them correctly, because in trading we don’t look for a magical signal or for a single indicator to tell us when to buy or sell. We’re looking to add supporting arguments in the same direction.
Before entering the market, we can ask ourselves:
📈 1. Trend Do the moving averages show a bullish structure, a bearish one, or are we moving sideways?
💰 2. Price Are we entering an actually interesting zone, or are we chasing the move?
💥 3. Momentum What does the Squeeze show us? Is the move starting, accelerating, or losing strength?
💪 4. Strength Does ADX confirm there’s a strong trend, or are we in a market with no direction?
🧠 The key: we’re not looking for an indicator to tell us what to do. We want different elements of the chart to tell the same story.
📌 A good entry doesn’t come from a single signal—it comes from a confluence of arguments.
📅 Thursday, August 13 ⏰ 08:30 — Monthly PPI ⏰ 08:30 — Monthly Core PPI ⏰ 08:30 — Initial jobless claims
📅 Friday, August 14 ⏰ 08:30 — Monthly retail sales ⏰ 08:30 — Core retail sales ⏰ 10:00 — University of Michigan inflation expectations ⏰ 10:00 — University of Michigan consumer sentiment
📌 A calm week to start, since today Monday we won’t have any relevant economic news in the United States. Most attention will be on Wednesday with the inflation data (CPI), followed by Thursday’s PPI and Friday’s retail sales—data that could generate higher volatility in Bitcoin and traditional markets.
$BTC 🚨 THERE IS NO MAGIC INDICATOR IN TRADING 🚨 🎥 https://youtube.com/shorts/OkPVL1x77GA?si=H0yJhWkqtmt9Cjo2 All the indicators we use in trading react to price action. There is no tool that, by itself, can tell us when to buy or sell. The key is understanding what information each indicator gives us and how to combine it with the market context. 📌 In this Short, I explain why we should stop looking for the “perfect signal” and start building trading setups with confluence, judgment, and risk management. Go watch the video and tell me what you think. 📊🔥 #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #ETH
$BTC 🚨 DO YOU LIKE TRADING AND WANT TO LEARN IN REAL TIME? 🚨 📺 www.youtube.com/@Felipe_Aballay On our YouTube channel, we share content focused on trading, Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, and financial markets, always seeking to analyze the market with a plan and not from emotions. 📊 Live Trading We analyze Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, and Wall Street in real time, looking for opportunities and reviewing different market scenarios. 🧠 Analysis and education We share strategies, capital management, indicators, and concepts that we use every day in our trading. 🎁 Giveaways and prizes We run different contests for our community, with prizes in USDT, memberships, and other benefits. 💬 Telegram community Also, we have an active Telegram community where we share analysis, news, market updates, and notifications from our live sessions. 📌 Subscribe and become part of our community. See you in the next live sessions. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #BNBChain#
The CLARITY Act will not be voted on before the U.S. Congress recess.
This means the market will remain without a clear regulatory framework for digital assets, keeping uncertainty about which cryptocurrencies will be regulated by the SEC and which by the CFTC.
📌 Most important:
• The bill was not rejected. It was simply postponed until when the Senate resumes its sessions. • There is no confirmed date for the vote, as negotiations are still ongoing to gather the necessary votes. • Lack of progress could delay the entry of new institutional participants who are waiting for greater regulatory clarity before expanding their exposure to the sector.
⚠️ In other words: for now, the market loses one of the year’s most important regulatory catalysts. Attention will now shift to what happens when Congress returns from recess and it becomes known whether there is an agreement to finally bring the CLARITY Act to a vote.
$BTC 🚨 BITCOIN LOSES $64,000... DOES A BIGGER DROP BEGIN? https://youtube.com/live/kmhG_Gv2_rc?feature=share Bitcoin lost a key zone and bearish pressure increases. We’ll analyze the most important supports, the possible scenarios, and how far the correction could extend. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #ETH
$BTC 🚨 ATTENTION, TRADERS 🚨 📊 Today we’re talking about the ADX (Average Directional Index), one of the indicators used in our strategy. The ADX measures the strength of a trend, regardless of whether the move is bullish or bearish. 👉 The higher the ADX, the stronger the trend. When it starts to fall, it means the momentum of the move is weakening. 💥 Key level: point 23 Point 23 works as a barrier between a sideways market and a trending one. 🔹 When the ADX crosses this level upward, it indicates the market is gaining strength. 🔹 It can signal that the consolidation or sideways phase is coming to an end. 🔹 From that moment on, breakouts are more likely to continue in the dominant direction. 🔄 What happens when the ADX turns? The ADX turn is one of the most important signals for interpreting trend strength. 📉 When the ADX stops rising and starts to fall, it doesn’t necessarily mean the trend has changed. 💡 Example to look for SHORT positions Let’s assume we are inside a bearish trend, but the price starts to bounce while the ADX stays below point 23, showing no strength. What could happen when the price starts falling again and the ADX turns upward? 📉 The bearish trend resumes. 🔹 The bullish bounce would have been weak, and selling pressure would continue to dominate. 🔹 If the ADX rises again after the bounce, a chance may appear to re-enter in line with the main trend. 🔹 The market would simply be gathering momentum before continuing to fall. 💭 What should we trade in this scenario? 👉 Look for SHORT entries on a rejection at the moving average, or with the appearance and confirmation of a green valley in Squeeze Momentum. ➢ Learning to interpret the ADX helps you differentiate between a weak bounce and a real trend change. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #ETH
$BTC 🚨 LIVE TRADING: BITCOIN WITHOUT VOLATILITY AND THE S&P 500 AT HIGHS... TOTAL DECORRELATION? https://youtube.com/live/uWKnyzk6xIs?feature=share Bitcoin continues to show no volatility, while the S&P 500 stays at highs. We'll analyze this possible decoupling, the most important levels, and the opportunities the market could offer. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #BNBChain#
$BTC 🚨 LIVE TRADING: IS BITCOIN READY TO BREAK OUT UPWARDS? | TRADING WALL STREET https://youtube.com/live/sgHoo6CIpKI?feature=share Bitcoin is in a key zone. We’ll analyze whether it’s ready to break upwards and review trading opportunities in crypto and Wall Street. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #ETH
$BTC 🚨News of the Week🚨 I’m sharing the most relevant economic news from the week so you can take it into account and stay well informed. (All times are in UTC-4) 📅 Monday, August 3 ⏰ 09:45 — Manufacturing PMI ⏰ 10:00 — ISM manufacturing PMI 📅 Tuesday, August 4 ⏰ 10:00 — JOLTS job offers survey 📅 Wednesday, August 5 ⏰ 08:15 — ADP non-farm employment change ⏰ 09:45 — Services PMI ⏰ 10:00 — ISM non-manufacturing PMI ⏰ 10:30 — IEA crude oil inventories 📅 Thursday, August 6 ⏰ 08:30 — New unemployment benefit claims 📅 Friday, August 7 ⏰ 08:30 — Monthly average hourly earnings ⏰ 08:30 — Non-farm payrolls ⏰ 08:30 — Unemployment rate 📌 A data-heavy week related to economic activity and the labor market in the United States. Extra attention to Wednesday and Friday, as they could generate higher volatility in Bitcoin and traditional markets. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #Bitcoin
$BTC 🚨 ATTENTION, TRADERS 🚨 📊 Today we talk about SQUEEZE MOMENTUM, one of the pillars of our strategy. This indicator helps us measure market pressure and momentum, allowing us to identify consolidation periods and anticipate possible breakouts. 👉 Its main function is to detect when the market is “building energy” before it develops a strong move, whether bullish or bearish. 💥 THE KEY POINT: RED AND GREEN VALLEYS The color and size of the histogram show the direction and the strength of the momentum: 🔹 Growing green → bullish momentum increases. 🔹 Growing red → bearish momentum increases. 🔹 Dark green → bullish momentum begins to lose strength. 🔹 Dark red or maroon → bearish momentum begins to weaken. 💡 EXAMPLE: Let’s say the market is in an uptrend, the price starts to correct, and the indicator forms a red valley. When that valley starts to shrink and the first maroon bars appear, we can interpret that bearish pressure is losing strength and that the correction may be coming to an end. 👉 At that moment, we can start looking for LONG opportunities, always waiting for additional confirmations, such as: ✅ Strength in ADX. ✅ Recovery or breakout of a relevant EMA. ✅ Confirmation of the price structure. ⏳ EACH PATTERN HAS AN APPROXIMATE DEVELOPMENT TIME: ✅ 4H chart → 2 to 3 days. ✅ Daily chart → 12 to 16 days. ✅ Weekly chart → 4 to 6 months. 🧠 WHAT HAPPENS WHEN TIME PASSES, BUT THE PRICE DOESN’T FALL? Let’s assume we’re in an uptrend and Squeeze Momentum develops red valleys, but the price doesn’t correct deeply and only moves sideways without losing important supports. That can be a sign of strength. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Trump #ETH
$BTC 🚨 ATTENTION, TRADERS 🚨 📊 Today we learned about Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), one of the simplest indicators, but also one of the most important within our strategy. We use two moving averages: 🔹 EMA 10 🔹 EMA 57 💥 What information do they provide us? EMAs smooth the price movement and allow us to recognize the direction, momentum, and strength of a trend more clearly. 📈 Bullish crossover When EMA 10 crosses above EMA 57, it means buying momentum is increasing. ➡️ It may indicate the start of an uptrend or the continuation of an existing move. 📉 Bearish crossover When EMA 10 crosses below EMA 57, selling momentum begins to dominate. ➡️ It may anticipate the start of a downtrend or a deeper correction. 🔄 Trend bounces EMAs are not only used to analyze crossovers. They are also very useful for finding opportunities during price pullbacks. 💡 Example: In an uptrend, we can expect the price to pull back toward EMA 57 and show an upward reaction. 👉 This bounce can give us an entry opportunity in LONG in favor of the main trend. In a downtrend, we can expect the price to rise toward EMA 57 and get rejected. 👉 This rejection can give us an entry opportunity in SHORT in favor of the bearish move. 🔥 Key points: 🔹 The greater the separation between the EMAs, the stronger the trend may be. 🔹 If the EMAs cross constantly and the price remains between both of them, the market may be ranging. 🔹 When the price consistently respects the EMAs, we are looking at a more orderly and healthy trend. ➢ EMAs not only help us understand what already happened. They also help us identify when a pullback can turn into an opportunity. #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #ETH
$BTC 🚨 LIVE TRADING: IS BITCOIN ON THE EDGE OF COLLAPSE? HERE’S WHY https://youtube.com/live/1f-sJsr4f68?feature=share We’ll analyze Bitcoin’s current scenario, the key zones that could define its next move, and what would need to happen to confirm a bigger drop. See you live! 📊🔥 #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #Trump
$BTC 🚨 LIVE TRADING: BITCOIN HOLDING IN A KEY ZONE… IS A BULLISH MOVE COMING? https://youtube.com/live/okf3naAF6ZI?feature=share We'll analyze in real time the strength Bitcoin is showing, the key zones it must hold, and the signals that could confirm the next bullish move. See you live! 📊🔥 #BTC #BTC Price Analysis #Macro Insights #Altcoin Season #ETH
It’s time to talk about Bitcoin’s mid- and long-term scenarios, especially for those accumulating for the first time.
We’ll review what you should consider before buying, the possible alternative scenarios, and how to make better decisions based on probabilities—without relying on a single projection.
I’ll also explain the capital management I’m currently applying and my main working scenarios.
I’ll see you live🔥 #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #ETH
We’ll analyze live Bitcoin’s current scenario, the market’s key levels, and how upcoming data and FED decisions could influence its next move 📊 #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #Ethereum
We will analyze live Bitcoin’s current scenario, the zones that could confirm a major correction, and the opportunities we’re watching in the market. 📊🔥 #BTC #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season# #ETH