The strategy is live and officially launched. This is a BTC futures trading strategy based on multi-factor quant analysis, covering a 4-hour timeframe, while supporting both long and short positions.
Core of the strategy: Oscillation factors: RSI / StochRSI / MFI Trend factors: MACD / Supertrend / MA crossover Daily candlestick pattern matching + probabilistic entry model
Operating method: Automatically identifies bull and bear cycles, dynamically adjusting based on market conditions; Every trade is transparent and fully traceable.
This is the starting point of the first bear market cycle. The strategy will continuously track and publicly share all trade records.
Follow me and let's witness the growth of the B Strategy together.
BTC holds steady around $63.6k. LTH capitulation momentum is fading; belief buyers have been aggressively accumulating near $60k. Valuation at the 16/100 level sits in the cycle discount end. However, ETF outflows and weak money flow (30/100) mean the final piece needed to confirm a recovery is still missing.
Key signals: 1. [onchain] LTH capitulation exhaustion: LTH capitulation is running out of steam, loss momentum has faded, showing behavior typical of the late stage of a bear market 2. [onchain] Belief buyer accumulation: strong hands are buying; the pattern resembles 2022. When BTC dropped to $60k in January, belief buyers saw their largest increase in holdings 3. [profitability] Valuation percentile: valuation is in the cycle discount zone, percentile 16/100 — Cheap and improving 4. [institutional] ETF flows: ETF outflows and thin spot liquidity are suppressing the market; the money flow score is only 30/100 5. [macro] Macro momentum: the macro score is +24 this month; crypto has begun gradually catching up with stocks over the past two months
【B Strategy Live Tracking】1.6 Time: 2026-08-19 04:00 UTC Asset/Interval: BTC/USDT | 4h Execution Direction: Short
Execution Summary - Reference Zone: Around 64.3k - Signal Status: High-confirmation signal / Clearer structure - Positioning Pace: Relatively high-risk exposure
Strategy Assessment - Structure: A downward structure has already formed with relatively high consistency, increasing the weight of trend continuation. - Risk Control: Do not max out the risk exposure; keep room to maneuver to avoid any single trade overly impacting the equity curve. - Pace: The current location is worth tracking, but it is not suitable for emotion-driven add-on trades.
Intraday Plan With both signal quality and structure in place, this round will focus mainly on the short direction. After executing continuously, it becomes even more important to control the pace and avoid emotion-fueled acceleration. Equity Curve: Noticeable staged uplift
Note: Public records only retain the directional, pacing, and risk-control framework; full execution parameters are not disclosed. The content is for strategy review and does not constitute investment advice.
✅ Triangle Strategy It has been 87 days of silence since the last position was opened based on the strategy. That’s great—very patient. Continue waiting.
✅ Increase Reserve Funds I bought USDT worth ¥300,000 and kept it in the account. It won’t be used for trading; it’s only to respond to possible market changes over the next few months. It may not end up being used.
✅ (2.0.0) Plan For the next bull market, prepare the following adjustments: 1. Adjust the quantitative strategy to an aggressive mode; leverage can be increased up to a maximum of 5x. 2. Change the quantitative strategy capital to no more than 20%. 3. Buy BTC spot with the remaining funds and store it in a cold wallet.
Although this is still not adding leverage, the risk exposure is smaller and the future ceiling is higher as well—but the difficulty also increases. Based on current backtests with the optimized parameters, the risk is decreasing. After confirming the final data, we will run it when the time is right in the next bull market.
BTC trading volume across the entire market contracts by 21-47%. Realized Cap 30D shows a net outflow of -0.3%. Consumer confidence hits a new low without benefiting BTC. The bottom area continues to wait for direction.
Key signals: 1. [onchain] Change in realized market cap over 30D: 30D Realized Cap change -0.3%, with monthly net capital outflow; the macro capital environment remains in contraction 2. [institutional] ETF trading volume contraction: Total market trading volume including ETFs falls 21-47% compared to last month, indicating reduced institutional participation 3. [derivatives] Futures/options trading volume shrinking: Futures and options trading volumes are down 21-47% from last month, with subdued leverage activity 4. [macro] Capital rotation ignores BTC: Consumer confidence hits a new low; funds rotate toward stocks/AI/commodities, leaving BTC clearly neglected 5. [onchain] Spot trading volume: Spot trading volume declines 21-47% from last month; price remains flat, indicating pure activity deprecation
Belief buyers, crossing through a -49% drawdown, accumulated to ~4M BTC; meanwhile ETH sellers were exhausted down to the lowest level in ten years. Realized volatility is at a historical bottom of 3%, and the bottoming signals are notably strengthened. However, buyers are absent. Options GEX shows the $60K–$70K area as the key showdown range: negative gamma amplifies downside moves below the low $60K, while positive gamma buffers upside near $70K.
Key signals: 1. [onchain] LTH/Belief buyer accumulation: Belief buyers have continued to absorb during the -49% drawdown, now holding ~4M BTC, reflecting long-term holders’ conviction to stock coins in the bottom zone 2. [onchain] Seller exhaustion (ETH): ETH sellers are exhausted to a ten-year low; realized volatility is at the historical bottom of 3%, and over 60% of supply is underwater. Sellers are flushing liquidity, but buyers must show up 3. [derivatives] GEX/Gamma distribution: Negative gamma clusters in the low $60K region, making BTC below that level more fragile. Positive gamma near ~ $70K provides upside hedging and stability. $60K–$70K is the battleground for directional choice 4. [derivatives] Options IV and Skew: IV and skew continue to compress; near-term panic fades. The options market’s defensiveness decreases, but it is not complacent
BTC is compressed between converging cost lines; on-chain activity is the quietest since 2019. Sellers are worn out but buyers are absent. Leverage has run ahead of the recovery, but the data does not support it.
Key signals: 1. [profitability] Cost-line convergence: Price trades around converging cost bases, with long/short costs coming closer together—turning point is near 2. [onchain] On-chain activity: On-chain transaction volume is the lowest since 2019; sell pressure is exhausted, but buyers are missing 3. [derivatives] Leverage positions: Leveraged traders are pricing in a recovery early, but on-chain data has yet to confirm it—there is a risk of squeeze
🔥 Wall Street Morning News: Hawkish voices before Non-Farm Payrolls weigh heavily on the market; storage and AI software stocks come under pressure, with copper prices nearing record highs
On SpaceX’s day of a release worth one hundred billion, shares surged by over 6%; the Dow fell to end a five-day winning streak. Michael Burry disclosed short positions in Oracle and NEBIUS. Microsoft hit a new intra-year high, and Google’s latest bond issuance was oversubscribed by more than 4 times.
As the earnings season draws to a close, the market is starting to focus more on future earnings guidance, rather than the performance already priced in
Between ups and downs, the hardest part has never been judging—it’s execution.
⚡ Musk’s AI encyclopedia Grokipedia reportedly hasn’t been updated for months, with edit requests left unhandled
xAI’s AI-generated encyclopedia Grokipedia stopped processing any edit requests as of April 24. More than three months have passed. Previously, edits were handled quickly, but since then all pending edits have remained in the “under review” status— the system no longer approves or rejects any changes.
Grokipedia’s automated back-end system stopped submitting model-generated edits in stages between March and mid-April. After that, all edit requests came exclusively from human users, entering an unending loop with no one handling them.
Fact corrections submitted by users account for 97% of all submissions. Previously, the system approved or adopted 76.5% of them. Archive snapshots from about 480 pages show that the main text had no changes around April 24. It is still unclear whether xAI is preparing major revisions or has abandoned the project
What falls is the price; what remains is understanding.
📊 Google AI Team Undergoes Major Changes; Uniswap Launches a Token Issuance Platform on the Robinhood Chain Pools
Japanese Stablecoin Company JPYC Completes $38M Series B Funding; Sequoia Capital Completes $10B+ Another Round and Plans to Invest $2.5B in Anthropic; ByteDance Integrates Doubao, Feishu, and Volcano Engine, Shifting Its AI Business Focus to B2B Productivity
Seeing the account’s ups and downs is hard not to feel a bit wistful—slow is fast.
🔔 Wall Street Morning Post: Dow hits another new high as tech stocks retreat; expectations miss from SanDisk and Western Digital guides; after-hours plunge; gold surges 4% lifting the mining sector; Google AI leadership adjustments drag shares
Two Fed officials turn hawkish; Nvidia posts a fifth straight gain to hit a two-month high; SpaceX, AMD, and Google all fall, weighing on the Nasdaq. Memory, optical communications, and photovoltaic sectors face broad pressure, while gold mining and healthcare become winners.
SanDisk and Western Digital fell 8% and 12% in the after-hours session respectively; AppLovin sharply weakened by more than 25%. Crypto miners CleanSpark, MARA, and others are set to release earnings soon
How many people get shaken out of the ride at this stage, leaving only a sigh.
⚡ MarsCoin Detonates on BNB Chain: Meme Coins Enter the RWA Era?
In the future, competition among meme coins may no longer be just about fighting for attention, but about fighting for how to turn that attention into real asset value
It’s all fun and excitement, but friends who chase after pumps—remember to buckle up.
🔔 Google AI leadership shake-up: AGI deep-water showdown and a physical split from everyday model sparring
In August 2026, Google’s AI division underwent the most intense personnel reshuffle in its history. Hassabis stepped down as CEO to go straight into the AGI strategy. Koray took over the daily-model sparring, while Jeff Dean left along with four founding veterans to start Discovery Loop.
Behind this overhaul is Google’s strategic trade-off between its long-term AGI vision and short-term commercial competition. This article breaks down the “split and plug-in” logic, offering developers and industry observers deep insights into where Google AI is headed.
It’s exciting, but if you’re the type to chase the top, remember to buckle up.
🔥 Binance will list Coca-Cola and Reddit-related U-based TradFi perpetual contracts today
According to an official announcement, the Binance Futures platform will list the Coca-Cola Company (KO) USDT perpetual contract at 17:00 on 2026-08-06 (UTC+8), and the Reddit (RDDT) USDT perpetual contract at 17:05. Both will support up to 20x leverage.
The market has its own rhythm—those who panic should exit first.
🔔 Tiger Research: The Stories of Four Ordinary People, Revealing the Final Destination of Blockchain in 2036
How will blockchain in 2036 change the world? Stablecoins replace fiat currency, assets trade around the clock, public chains undergo drastic consolidation, and content monetization enters the era of machine economics. Through the stories of four ordinary people, we reveal these future trends that are already taking shape
🔔 PayPal’s new CEO launches business reorganization: will split its three main business lines for the first time and set revenue targets
PayPal’s incoming CEO, Enrique Lores, said the company plans to begin independently disclosing its three core business units for the first time, and set specific revenue targets for each line to help investors more clearly assess the growth potential of each division.
He said PayPal will adjust how it reports its finances and set more clearly defined business goals, including specific growth metrics for different business units. Previously, PayPal had faced slowing growth, intensifying competition, and market uncertainty about the company’s strategic direction.
Meanwhile, there have also been reports in the market that potential acquirers are interested in PayPal. Enrique Lores said the new business split and target management approach will help the company improve transparency and help investors better understand the value of different business segments.
The market is always open, and opportunities are always there.
📡 Bitwise CIO: If the CLARITY Act fails to pass this week, what will happen to the crypto market?
If the CLARITY Act hits roadblocks, where does the crypto market go from here? Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer delivers an in-depth take on the industry trends behind the congressional deadlock—institutions stay on the sidelines, the SEC takes the baton, and the bull-market window is still not closed.
Only those who make it through the downturn deserve the upside ahead.
🔔 ByteDance launches audio and video full-duplex model SeedRealtime; SpaceX shares fall more than 10% before the opening bell
Chinese AI company YanYu Tech is reportedly considering a Hong Kong IPO, with an expected valuation of $3 billion; Liang Wenfeng’s Quant fund, HuSuan Quant, suffered a severe blow in July—9 products saw monthly declines of more than 20%; Robinhood launches a $200 million fund; digital investment services platform InvestiFi completes a $20 million funding round, led by Vibe Credit Union
This kind of momentum is right on the timing—feels great.