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$BTC squiggles
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out. If you average them, you'll get a feel for the broad concept I have. I can absolutely be wrong, but it's my take on things currently.
Note that I give the diagonal (dotted) trend lines some importance in controlling the price movements as well as the horizontal support levels.
This falls in alignment with my other post on the odds I give these Bitcoin scenarios.
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out. If you average them, you'll get a feel for the broad concept I have. I can absolutely be wrong, but it's my take on things currently.
Note that I give the diagonal (dotted) trend lines some importance in controlling the price movements as well as the horizontal support levels.
This falls in alignment with my other post on the odds I give these Bitcoin scenarios.
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$GALA 3h
- With strong bullish indicators but weak overall trend, I expect a possible short-term bounce to test resistance at 0.00318, 0.00322, and possibly 0.00332–0.00339.
- If price rejects strongly from 0.00318–0.00322 and forms a reversal, a move back down to 0.00304 or even 0.00295 is likely.
- The best long setup is if price retests 0.00304–0.00295 and shows strong reversal. Entry: 0.00304–0.00295 (on confirmation), Take Profit 1: 0.00318, TP2: 0.00322, TP3: 0.00332. Place your stop-loss below the swing low.
- If the price fails to reclaim and hold above 0.00322, bears may take control again.
- If price breaks and holds above 0.00339, momentum could accelerate upward toward 0.00349 and beyond, invalidating the bearish setup.
- With strong bullish indicators but weak overall trend, I expect a possible short-term bounce to test resistance at 0.00318, 0.00322, and possibly 0.00332–0.00339.
- If price rejects strongly from 0.00318–0.00322 and forms a reversal, a move back down to 0.00304 or even 0.00295 is likely.
- The best long setup is if price retests 0.00304–0.00295 and shows strong reversal. Entry: 0.00304–0.00295 (on confirmation), Take Profit 1: 0.00318, TP2: 0.00322, TP3: 0.00332. Place your stop-loss below the swing low.
- If the price fails to reclaim and hold above 0.00322, bears may take control again.
- If price breaks and holds above 0.00339, momentum could accelerate upward toward 0.00349 and beyond, invalidating the bearish setup.
$DOGE 4h | Market Structure
- Bias is mixed but leaning bearish, range-bound between 0.09646 and 0.10682
- Key support zone sits just below at 0.09646 watch closely for a liquidity sweep
- A reversal from this zone could trigger a +8% bounce toward resistance around 0.10158
- Volume and momentum remain weak; any breakout attempt might be a trap
- Something big is brewing near the lows the next move could catch many off guard...
Entry, take profit & the level that flips this trade
- Bias is mixed but leaning bearish, range-bound between 0.09646 and 0.10682
- Key support zone sits just below at 0.09646 watch closely for a liquidity sweep
- A reversal from this zone could trigger a +8% bounce toward resistance around 0.10158
- Volume and momentum remain weak; any breakout attempt might be a trap
- Something big is brewing near the lows the next move could catch many off guard...
Entry, take profit & the level that flips this trade
🟢 2.9x Unusual Buying Volume on $GUA , what's behind this move?
- I expect the price to rise in the short term after this massive volume spike and liquidity grab below the most recent swing low, especially if another bullish structure forms above 0.7519 or after a retest towards 0.7185 is defended. This has the hallmarks of smart money accumulation.
- The best setup is to wait for a bullish confirmation (such as a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or quick reclaim of 0.8220) before going long. Entry around 0.7520–0.7600 on confirmation, with first take profit at 0.8220, second at 0.8775.
- If price quickly loses 0.7185 and starts closing below the most recent swing low, avoid long positions and look for further downside targeting 0.6919 and then 0.6387.
- My bias will flip bearish only if there is a sustained move and close below 0.7185, invalidating the current reversal thesis.
- I expect the price to rise in the short term after this massive volume spike and liquidity grab below the most recent swing low, especially if another bullish structure forms above 0.7519 or after a retest towards 0.7185 is defended. This has the hallmarks of smart money accumulation.
- The best setup is to wait for a bullish confirmation (such as a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or quick reclaim of 0.8220) before going long. Entry around 0.7520–0.7600 on confirmation, with first take profit at 0.8220, second at 0.8775.
- If price quickly loses 0.7185 and starts closing below the most recent swing low, avoid long positions and look for further downside targeting 0.6919 and then 0.6387.
- My bias will flip bearish only if there is a sustained move and close below 0.7185, invalidating the current reversal thesis.
🔥 $PORTAL / USDT: Surging +10%! Pullback or Bull Trap?
Chasing this pump right now is highly risky. This is a heavily manipulated range, so buying blindly exposes you to a potential trap. Let the market settle and wait for clear confirmation.
The Long Setup
Entry Zone: Wait for a pullback to 0.02128 – 0.01996. Look for a higher low to form alongside bullish price action (engulfing candles, strong reversal, or demand re-absorption).
Targets: 0.03032 | 0.03377
Stop-Loss: Place strictly below the local swing low or the 0.01996 area.
The Short Scalp
Trigger Zone: If price surges directly into the 0.03032 – 0.03377 resistance without pulling back, watch lower timeframes closely for manipulation wicks or bearish reversal patterns.
Target: 0.024 – 0.021
Stop-Loss: Place above the wick high.
The Mega Pump Continuation
If price closes above 0.03377 on massive volume with zero reversal signals, expect an explosive move toward the equilibrium level at 0.032735 or higher. Be highly cautious of rapid reversals!
Manage your risk and watch the demand zones!
Chasing this pump right now is highly risky. This is a heavily manipulated range, so buying blindly exposes you to a potential trap. Let the market settle and wait for clear confirmation.
The Long Setup
Entry Zone: Wait for a pullback to 0.02128 – 0.01996. Look for a higher low to form alongside bullish price action (engulfing candles, strong reversal, or demand re-absorption).
Targets: 0.03032 | 0.03377
Stop-Loss: Place strictly below the local swing low or the 0.01996 area.
The Short Scalp
Trigger Zone: If price surges directly into the 0.03032 – 0.03377 resistance without pulling back, watch lower timeframes closely for manipulation wicks or bearish reversal patterns.
Target: 0.024 – 0.021
Stop-Loss: Place above the wick high.
The Mega Pump Continuation
If price closes above 0.03377 on massive volume with zero reversal signals, expect an explosive move toward the equilibrium level at 0.032735 or higher. Be highly cautious of rapid reversals!
Manage your risk and watch the demand zones!
$HOME 12h Update: - The trend is extremely bullish, and after such an explosive move, a pullback or consolidation is likely before continuation.
- I expect that, after a brief correction or sideways movement, there could be another upward leg if buyers step in at key support zones like 0.03484 or at the equilibrium 0.03325.
- Long setups should only be taken after confirmation at those levels, not at the current extended price. If price revisits 0.03484–0.03325 and shows reversal signals, a long trade can be considered with targets at 0.04696 and above.
- If price closes below 0.03325 and especially below 0.02660, the bullish outlook would weaken, and deeper corrections may follow.
- If there is a manipulation wick below the equilibrium or previous swing lows (e.g., a sharp move below 0.03325 that quickly gets bought up), this could be an ideal smart money entry for a long.
- I expect that, after a brief correction or sideways movement, there could be another upward leg if buyers step in at key support zones like 0.03484 or at the equilibrium 0.03325.
- Long setups should only be taken after confirmation at those levels, not at the current extended price. If price revisits 0.03484–0.03325 and shows reversal signals, a long trade can be considered with targets at 0.04696 and above.
- If price closes below 0.03325 and especially below 0.02660, the bullish outlook would weaken, and deeper corrections may follow.
- If there is a manipulation wick below the equilibrium or previous swing lows (e.g., a sharp move below 0.03325 that quickly gets bought up), this could be an ideal smart money entry for a long.
$BTC Holders in Profit Overview
Short-Term Holders (STH): 28% are still in profit
Long-Term Holders (LTH): 64% are still in profit
The market has been showing weakness for some time, and historically, major cycle bottoms tend to happen when both STH and LTH are under heavy unrealized losses.
Set alerts now on the most important key levels and get notified when this happens.
Short-Term Holders (STH): 28% are still in profit
Long-Term Holders (LTH): 64% are still in profit
The market has been showing weakness for some time, and historically, major cycle bottoms tend to happen when both STH and LTH are under heavy unrealized losses.
Set alerts now on the most important key levels and get notified when this happens.
$POND : +5.4% Breakout! Real Pump or Bull Trap?
This explosive pump looks strong, but the sudden volume spike and high volatility suggest a high probability of a short-term pullback before any real continuation. Do NOT FOMO into green candles blindly. Let price prove its strength.
The Game Plan
Primary Entry Zone: Wait for a retracement to the demand zone at 0.00175 – 0.00162. Look for clear reversal signals (bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong lower wick on 15m/5m charts).
Aggressive Breakout Entry: If momentum stays massive and price reclaims 0.00216 decisively after a brief dip, look for a consolidation/bull flag breakout to enter.
Targets & Risk
TP1: 0.00216 (Equilibrium level)
TP2: 0.00284 (Recent swing high)
Stop-Loss: Place strictly at the swing low under 0.00148.
The Invalidation / Deep Flush
If price fails to hold above 0.00162 and loses 0.00148 decisively, the bullish setup is dead. Expect a deeper flush towards 0.00135 or even 0.00113. Avoid longs entirely unless a strong flush is followed by a rapid V-shape recovery.
If confirmation is weak or price keeps bleeding, step aside!
This explosive pump looks strong, but the sudden volume spike and high volatility suggest a high probability of a short-term pullback before any real continuation. Do NOT FOMO into green candles blindly. Let price prove its strength.
The Game Plan
Primary Entry Zone: Wait for a retracement to the demand zone at 0.00175 – 0.00162. Look for clear reversal signals (bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong lower wick on 15m/5m charts).
Aggressive Breakout Entry: If momentum stays massive and price reclaims 0.00216 decisively after a brief dip, look for a consolidation/bull flag breakout to enter.
Targets & Risk
TP1: 0.00216 (Equilibrium level)
TP2: 0.00284 (Recent swing high)
Stop-Loss: Place strictly at the swing low under 0.00148.
The Invalidation / Deep Flush
If price fails to hold above 0.00162 and loses 0.00148 decisively, the bullish setup is dead. Expect a deeper flush towards 0.00135 or even 0.00113. Avoid longs entirely unless a strong flush is followed by a rapid V-shape recovery.
If confirmation is weak or price keeps bleeding, step aside!
$FARTCOIN 12h | Chart Analysis
- Price is in a bearish trend but has just swept liquidity below the last swing low at 0.1424 and reacted up, this is often where smart money enters for a short-term bounce.
- If there is a bullish confirmation here, expect a move first to 0.1567, then up to 0.1625, and possibly 0.1894 if momentum builds.
- If no bullish reversal forms and price closes below 0.1424, look for a further drop toward 0.1101.
- My expectation is for a short-term bounce if reversal signals show up, but the overall trend remains bearish until 0.1894 – 0.2038 is reclaimed.
- Entry and profit-taking should always follow clear confirmations wait for a strong bullish signal before jumping in, and place your stop below the most recent local low.
- Price is in a bearish trend but has just swept liquidity below the last swing low at 0.1424 and reacted up, this is often where smart money enters for a short-term bounce.
- If there is a bullish confirmation here, expect a move first to 0.1567, then up to 0.1625, and possibly 0.1894 if momentum builds.
- If no bullish reversal forms and price closes below 0.1424, look for a further drop toward 0.1101.
- My expectation is for a short-term bounce if reversal signals show up, but the overall trend remains bearish until 0.1894 – 0.2038 is reclaimed.
- Entry and profit-taking should always follow clear confirmations wait for a strong bullish signal before jumping in, and place your stop below the most recent local low.
$H : 3.7x Sell Volume Spike! Distribution or Shakeout? 🐻
Smart money looks to be using this volume spike to unload positions, accelerating the downside. The sell-off is likely to continue unless we print a violent reversal signal. No chasing after a huge drop—let the setup come to you.
The Short Setup
Trigger Zone: Wait for a relief pop up to 0.58721 – 0.62815. Look for confirmation: a bearish engulfing candle, a clear rejection wick on lower timeframes, or a minor trendline break.
Entry: Short near the zone only after rejection confirmation is present.
Targets & Risk
TP1: 0.38090 (First major level)
TP2: 0.34571 (If the sell-off accelerates)
TP3: 0.29157 (Deep liquidation target)
Stop-Loss: Place strictly above the rejection candle's swing high or above the 0.62815 resistance.
The Bullish Invalidation
If the market instead reclaims and closes above 0.67076 with strong bullish momentum and volume, the bearish thesis is dead. Bias shifts cautiously bullish, opening the door for a move toward 0.78142 or even 0.86533.
Stay disciplined, wait for the rejection!
Smart money looks to be using this volume spike to unload positions, accelerating the downside. The sell-off is likely to continue unless we print a violent reversal signal. No chasing after a huge drop—let the setup come to you.
The Short Setup
Trigger Zone: Wait for a relief pop up to 0.58721 – 0.62815. Look for confirmation: a bearish engulfing candle, a clear rejection wick on lower timeframes, or a minor trendline break.
Entry: Short near the zone only after rejection confirmation is present.
Targets & Risk
TP1: 0.38090 (First major level)
TP2: 0.34571 (If the sell-off accelerates)
TP3: 0.29157 (Deep liquidation target)
Stop-Loss: Place strictly above the rejection candle's swing high or above the 0.62815 resistance.
The Bullish Invalidation
If the market instead reclaims and closes above 0.67076 with strong bullish momentum and volume, the bearish thesis is dead. Bias shifts cautiously bullish, opening the door for a move toward 0.78142 or even 0.86533.
Stay disciplined, wait for the rejection!
$TA : 17.1x Volume Spike! Smart Money or Bull Trap? ⚡️
The massive volume surge suggests institutional buying, but anomalies like this usually trigger a shakeout before the real move. Do NOT FOMO long at current levels (0.08761). Wait for the retracement.
The Game Plan
Entry Zone: Patience for a pullback to 0.08499 - 0.08382. Look for a 1m/5m bullish confirmation (wick rejection, pin bar, or engulfing candle) paired with high buy volume.
Targets:
0.08992
0.09135
0.09190+ (Moon target)
Stop-Loss: Strictly below 0.08382 (adjust lower if volatility is extreme).
Invalidation & Bearish Flip
A sharp break below 0.08382 without an immediate recovery confirms a bull trap. If that level fails, the bias flips heavily bearish. Protect your capital, stay out, or look to short toward deeper support at 0.08189 and 0.08046.
The massive volume surge suggests institutional buying, but anomalies like this usually trigger a shakeout before the real move. Do NOT FOMO long at current levels (0.08761). Wait for the retracement.
The Game Plan
Entry Zone: Patience for a pullback to 0.08499 - 0.08382. Look for a 1m/5m bullish confirmation (wick rejection, pin bar, or engulfing candle) paired with high buy volume.
Targets:
0.08992
0.09135
0.09190+ (Moon target)
Stop-Loss: Strictly below 0.08382 (adjust lower if volatility is extreme).
Invalidation & Bearish Flip
A sharp break below 0.08382 without an immediate recovery confirms a bull trap. If that level fails, the bias flips heavily bearish. Protect your capital, stay out, or look to short toward deeper support at 0.08189 and 0.08046.
$BTC
Fisrt target reached
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out
Fisrt target reached
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out
+8.1% Pump & 28.4x Volume Spike on $arc , what's happening here?
- This explosive volume and price spike is often seen at the beginning of a sustained move, but it can also represent a late-stage bull trap if there’s no healthy consolidation or retrace
- If price pulls back and finds support between 0.0791 and 0.07673, and you spot a bullish candlestick pattern or reversal confirmation on the 5m/1m chart, a long entry can be considered with targets at 0.08339 and 0.08625
- Example setup: Wait for price to dip into 0.0791–0.07673 with a bullish reaction (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing), enter long, target 0.08339 first, then 0.08625; stop-loss should be placed below a recent swing low (such as below 0.07515 or 0.073, depending on how much risk you want)
- If price pushes above 0.08625 and immediately reverses with high volume, this could signal exhaustion and a possible bull trap; watch for rejection and lower highs for short opportunities back towards the FVGs around 0.07673
- If price falls below 0.073 with momentum, the bullish thesis is invalidated and you should avoid longs or look for reversal setups after new liquidity is swept
- This explosive volume and price spike is often seen at the beginning of a sustained move, but it can also represent a late-stage bull trap if there’s no healthy consolidation or retrace
- If price pulls back and finds support between 0.0791 and 0.07673, and you spot a bullish candlestick pattern or reversal confirmation on the 5m/1m chart, a long entry can be considered with targets at 0.08339 and 0.08625
- Example setup: Wait for price to dip into 0.0791–0.07673 with a bullish reaction (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing), enter long, target 0.08339 first, then 0.08625; stop-loss should be placed below a recent swing low (such as below 0.07515 or 0.073, depending on how much risk you want)
- If price pushes above 0.08625 and immediately reverses with high volume, this could signal exhaustion and a possible bull trap; watch for rejection and lower highs for short opportunities back towards the FVGs around 0.07673
- If price falls below 0.073 with momentum, the bullish thesis is invalidated and you should avoid longs or look for reversal setups after new liquidity is swept
$HOME rallied +7.9%
- With this aggressive pump and volume spike, it’s likely we see some profit taking and a short-term retrace before another leg up.
- I expect price to revisit the 0.04548-0.04195 USDT zone to shake out late buyers and test real demand.
- A potential long setup: Wait for price to retrace into 0.04548-0.04195 USDT and show strong bullish reversal signals (such as a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or a double bottom on lower timeframes). Enter on confirmation.
- Target first take profit at 0.04696 USDT, then trail up towards the next resistance at 0.05046 USDT if momentum resumes.
- The stop-loss should be set below the swing low of the entry candle or below the 0.04195 USDT support.
- My bias would turn bearish if price closes firmly below 0.04195 USDT, especially with strong volume, in which case price might target the 0.03484 USDT swing low region.
- If price continues to rally without pulling back and breaks 0.04696 USDT with strong volume and no bearish reversal, you could consider a breakout momentum play, but only with confirmation (e.g., strong bullish candle close above resistance).
- With this aggressive pump and volume spike, it’s likely we see some profit taking and a short-term retrace before another leg up.
- I expect price to revisit the 0.04548-0.04195 USDT zone to shake out late buyers and test real demand.
- A potential long setup: Wait for price to retrace into 0.04548-0.04195 USDT and show strong bullish reversal signals (such as a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or a double bottom on lower timeframes). Enter on confirmation.
- Target first take profit at 0.04696 USDT, then trail up towards the next resistance at 0.05046 USDT if momentum resumes.
- The stop-loss should be set below the swing low of the entry candle or below the 0.04195 USDT support.
- My bias would turn bearish if price closes firmly below 0.04195 USDT, especially with strong volume, in which case price might target the 0.03484 USDT swing low region.
- If price continues to rally without pulling back and breaks 0.04696 USDT with strong volume and no bearish reversal, you could consider a breakout momentum play, but only with confirmation (e.g., strong bullish candle close above resistance).
Bluechip
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$HOME just saw 3.1x selling volume, smart money exiting?
- With this volume and the speed of the drop, I expect more volatility but momentum is down, so the path of least resistance is still bearish until proven otherwise
- If price rebounds to 0.04195 - 0.04103 and strongly rejects, a short entry is favored confirmation needed via a bearish engulfing or strong wick rejection; first target 0.03484, second target 0.03107
- If price sweeps liquidity below 0.03484 and instantly reclaims this level with strong buy interest (bullish engulfing on the 5m/15m or a clear reversal pattern), you can try a quick long scalp up to 0.03678 or possibly 0.04103, but only with confirmation
- Stop-loss should be placed above the swing high if shorting, or below the sweep if longing do not skip this, volatility is high!
- If price breaks and closes above 0.04195, bias shifts to neutral/bullish and I’d stand aside until a new pattern emerges
- If price breaks and closes below 0.03107, expect further downside to 0.02884 or even 0.02666
{future}(HOMEUSDT)
- With this volume and the speed of the drop, I expect more volatility but momentum is down, so the path of least resistance is still bearish until proven otherwise
- If price rebounds to 0.04195 - 0.04103 and strongly rejects, a short entry is favored confirmation needed via a bearish engulfing or strong wick rejection; first target 0.03484, second target 0.03107
- If price sweeps liquidity below 0.03484 and instantly reclaims this level with strong buy interest (bullish engulfing on the 5m/15m or a clear reversal pattern), you can try a quick long scalp up to 0.03678 or possibly 0.04103, but only with confirmation
- Stop-loss should be placed above the swing high if shorting, or below the sweep if longing do not skip this, volatility is high!
- If price breaks and closes above 0.04195, bias shifts to neutral/bullish and I’d stand aside until a new pattern emerges
- If price breaks and closes below 0.03107, expect further downside to 0.02884 or even 0.02666
{future}(HOMEUSDT)
The $BTC liquidation map just printed the most lopsided setup of 2026. $88.7B in stacked shorts vs $45.7B in longs. 66% short-heavy.
Here's our 6-step short-squeeze playbook and where the magnetic levels actually are.
BTC: $72,812. Tape: short-heavy. The crowd is fading every bounce. We're mapping the trigger ladder.
1. Confirm short-heavy regime. Shorts/Longs ratio > 1.5x. Today: 88.7/45.7 = 1.94x. ✅
2. First wick risk: $72,192 (-0.9%) sits on $2.5B in long liqs. Pin candidate before any squeeze fires.
3. Trigger 1: $78,802 (+8.2%) $1.8B short cluster. First pop is violent, expect a 3-4% candle in minutes.
4. Trigger 2: $83,459 (+14.6%) $1.8B stacked. Acceleration zone if Trigger 1 prints.
5. Trigger 3: $84,060 (+15.4%) $2.0B. Cascade probability spikes once $78.8K taps.
6. Confirmation: Funding flips deeply positive on the way up = squeeze is real, not a bull trap.
The pattern: when liquidation distribution skews >65% short-heavy AND spot holds the lower wick zone, the median forward-21-day BTC return is +11.4%. Twelve of fourteen historical setups since 2021 squeezed inside that window.
ETF-flow analysts are watching the wrong tape. The fuel is sitting on derivatives books.
Here's our 6-step short-squeeze playbook and where the magnetic levels actually are.
BTC: $72,812. Tape: short-heavy. The crowd is fading every bounce. We're mapping the trigger ladder.
1. Confirm short-heavy regime. Shorts/Longs ratio > 1.5x. Today: 88.7/45.7 = 1.94x. ✅
2. First wick risk: $72,192 (-0.9%) sits on $2.5B in long liqs. Pin candidate before any squeeze fires.
3. Trigger 1: $78,802 (+8.2%) $1.8B short cluster. First pop is violent, expect a 3-4% candle in minutes.
4. Trigger 2: $83,459 (+14.6%) $1.8B stacked. Acceleration zone if Trigger 1 prints.
5. Trigger 3: $84,060 (+15.4%) $2.0B. Cascade probability spikes once $78.8K taps.
6. Confirmation: Funding flips deeply positive on the way up = squeeze is real, not a bull trap.
The pattern: when liquidation distribution skews >65% short-heavy AND spot holds the lower wick zone, the median forward-21-day BTC return is +11.4%. Twelve of fourteen historical setups since 2021 squeezed inside that window.
ETF-flow analysts are watching the wrong tape. The fuel is sitting on derivatives books.
I mean, how much more clear does it get than this recent consoildation?
It's actually a bear flag too.
Decision point soon. $BTC
It's actually a bear flag too.
Decision point soon. $BTC
Bluechip
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Baisse (björn)$BTC Decision Point: Mid-$60k's incoming?
We have an H&S Top pattern. It's currently retesting the neck line where it broke down from. If it rejects from here, that is a strong confirmation of the H&S as a top pattern.
Furthermore, notice the price compression [marked by the two white arrows] in the last 2-4 days between the blue neck line and the yellow trend line of the channel.
Bitcoin is being forced to make a decision. It should happen very soon-- within a day or two.
And because a breakdown would simultaneously be a breakdown of the H&S as well as a breakdown of the channel, its target is the mid $60k's.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
We have an H&S Top pattern. It's currently retesting the neck line where it broke down from. If it rejects from here, that is a strong confirmation of the H&S as a top pattern.
Furthermore, notice the price compression [marked by the two white arrows] in the last 2-4 days between the blue neck line and the yellow trend line of the channel.
Bitcoin is being forced to make a decision. It should happen very soon-- within a day or two.
And because a breakdown would simultaneously be a breakdown of the H&S as well as a breakdown of the channel, its target is the mid $60k's.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
3.0x Unusual Selling Volume on $JCT , what just happened?
- After a huge selloff on massive volume, I expect *more downside* in the short term unless there’s an immediate reclaim of key resistance at 0.004408 or a powerful reversal signal at support.
- My bias: look for short setups if price fails to get back above 0.004408. Entry could be at 0.004408 - 0.004739 zone if there’s a bearish rejection or reversal candle; target the 0.004124 FVG/demand and then 0.003985 support. Always put your stop at a significant swing high above your entry.
- If price drops to the 0.004124 - 0.003985 support zone and prints a clear reversal (pin bar, bullish engulfing, or double bottom especially on lower timeframes), you can consider a countertrend scalp long up to 0.004408. Place your stop at the swing low just below 0.003985.
- Bias would flip to bullish if price reclaims 0.004739 on strong volume and holds above then look for a squeeze back to the most recent high 0.005548.
- Remember, after these kinds
- After a huge selloff on massive volume, I expect *more downside* in the short term unless there’s an immediate reclaim of key resistance at 0.004408 or a powerful reversal signal at support.
- My bias: look for short setups if price fails to get back above 0.004408. Entry could be at 0.004408 - 0.004739 zone if there’s a bearish rejection or reversal candle; target the 0.004124 FVG/demand and then 0.003985 support. Always put your stop at a significant swing high above your entry.
- If price drops to the 0.004124 - 0.003985 support zone and prints a clear reversal (pin bar, bullish engulfing, or double bottom especially on lower timeframes), you can consider a countertrend scalp long up to 0.004408. Place your stop at the swing low just below 0.003985.
- Bias would flip to bullish if price reclaims 0.004739 on strong volume and holds above then look for a squeeze back to the most recent high 0.005548.
- Remember, after these kinds
$EPIC is surging +6.6%, can it hold?
- This pump is strong and backed by volume and trend, but after such vertical moves, there is usually a correction or sideways action before any further leg up
- DO NOT enter a long position here at the top; the risk of a bull trap is elevated right after a +6.6% 15m candle
- Best scenario: If price dips to the 0.299–0.284 zone and shows reversal confirmation (like a bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong bounce on lower timeframes), consider a long entry
- Entry idea: Long if you see bullish confirmation in the 0.299–0.284 area
- Take profit 1: 0.337 (prior swing high). Take profit 2: 0.380 (next resistance above)
- Place your stop-loss at a clear swing low below the 0.284 or 0.271 zone, depending on your risk tolerance and confirmation structure
- If price closes below 0.271 on strong volume, the bullish scenario weakens, and I'd expect a deeper retrace toward 0.251 or lower
- If the price does not pull back and just consolidates above 0.318, you could try a breakout trade, but only after a solid structure forms and with confirmation avoid impulse entries at the highs
- This pump is strong and backed by volume and trend, but after such vertical moves, there is usually a correction or sideways action before any further leg up
- DO NOT enter a long position here at the top; the risk of a bull trap is elevated right after a +6.6% 15m candle
- Best scenario: If price dips to the 0.299–0.284 zone and shows reversal confirmation (like a bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong bounce on lower timeframes), consider a long entry
- Entry idea: Long if you see bullish confirmation in the 0.299–0.284 area
- Take profit 1: 0.337 (prior swing high). Take profit 2: 0.380 (next resistance above)
- Place your stop-loss at a clear swing low below the 0.284 or 0.271 zone, depending on your risk tolerance and confirmation structure
- If price closes below 0.271 on strong volume, the bullish scenario weakens, and I'd expect a deeper retrace toward 0.251 or lower
- If the price does not pull back and just consolidates above 0.318, you could try a breakout trade, but only after a solid structure forms and with confirmation avoid impulse entries at the highs
$INJ 3D Update
- I expect price to continue its bullish momentum towards the 7.92–9.18 zone first. If it breaks and closes above that region with strong volume and a bullish structure (bullish engulfing, strong close), the next target area would be around 16.55.
- For a long trade setup: Wait for a pullback into the 6.106 or 5.257 support area. Look for a bullish reversal candle (like a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or strong rejection wick) on the 3D or a lower timeframe to confirm entry. Entry could be near 5.257 with take profit levels at 7.92 and 16.55. Stop-loss should be placed below the swing low or just under 4.437 support, where the trend would be invalidated.
- For a short trade: If price sweeps above the 7.92–9.18 resistance zone and fails to close above, look for a bearish reversal pattern (like a shooting star or bearish engulfing on 3D/lower timeframe). Enter short at the close of confirmation, targeting 6.106 and 5.257 for partial profits. Stop-loss ought to be set above the recent swing high, depending on where the reversal forms.
- My bias remains bullish while price holds above 5.257 and especially 4.437. If price loses these supports with strong momentum, I would look for a move down toward the 2.724 demand zone and reevaluate.
- Always wait for confirmation a strong pin bar, bullish engulfing, or clear reversal on a lower timeframe before entry, especially if entering on a pullback
- I expect price to continue its bullish momentum towards the 7.92–9.18 zone first. If it breaks and closes above that region with strong volume and a bullish structure (bullish engulfing, strong close), the next target area would be around 16.55.
- For a long trade setup: Wait for a pullback into the 6.106 or 5.257 support area. Look for a bullish reversal candle (like a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or strong rejection wick) on the 3D or a lower timeframe to confirm entry. Entry could be near 5.257 with take profit levels at 7.92 and 16.55. Stop-loss should be placed below the swing low or just under 4.437 support, where the trend would be invalidated.
- For a short trade: If price sweeps above the 7.92–9.18 resistance zone and fails to close above, look for a bearish reversal pattern (like a shooting star or bearish engulfing on 3D/lower timeframe). Enter short at the close of confirmation, targeting 6.106 and 5.257 for partial profits. Stop-loss ought to be set above the recent swing high, depending on where the reversal forms.
- My bias remains bullish while price holds above 5.257 and especially 4.437. If price loses these supports with strong momentum, I would look for a move down toward the 2.724 demand zone and reevaluate.
- Always wait for confirmation a strong pin bar, bullish engulfing, or clear reversal on a lower timeframe before entry, especially if entering on a pullback
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