【Four-Year Cycle Series Update📊】The current indicator in the chart has dropped to 1.38
In 2014, this indicator dropped to 1.38 and 66 days later reached the bear bottom ($0.15k) In 2018, this indicator dropped to 1.38 and 60 days later reached the bear bottom ($3.1k) In 2022, this indicator dropped to 1.38 and 12 days later reached the secondary bear bottom ($17.6k)
The market is unstable, and risks still exist. Is it now an opportunity to buy at the bottom? Is the method of carving a boat to seek a sword still effective? At this stage, the market is already dominated by whales, turning into a game of national competition and guided by venture capital. Is there still a chance for individuals? Compared to 10 years ago, there are many fewer opportunities, but chances still exist; until the clear cards are revealed, we are all dark horses.
The pancake is starting to take shape, and the testing has already incurred losses. But there will be no downward trend in the coming days. The bottom is approaching, get ready to rush in with U and grab it!
#plasma $XPL @Plasma @Binance BiBi @CZ @喜神 @CryptoChan @熬鹰资本 Dear big shots, no need to look. A small leek writes this post just for fun. Below is the official hype from the project party: New project in the Year of the Horse, Chinese project 🔥, everyone wants to get in, everyone wants to grab the money, global economic pool, your side sings and my side takes the stage, there are many tricks every year, especially many this year, WTM is here, dark horse… The horse 💩皮 is shiny, but inside it's all the same (a bag of health). Just for fun, not for anything else. Please do not disturb, thank you! If you like it, buy a little, maybe it will 📈 a bit.
Is the situation getting worse? The trade war is back on! Next week's opening may see huge fluctuations... 1. Trump is flexing his muscles again, imposing a 10% tariff on the eight European countries opposing the acquisition of Greenland. If unresolved in five months, an additional 25% will be added! How far off is Europe's counterattack?
2. European officials hint that the trade agreement with the U.S. may be voided, and a counterattack from Europe is likely to begin after Monday's workweek, especially from hardliners like Macron. However, the U.S. stock market will not open on Monday, so significant fluctuations will likely start on Tuesday, and the negative probability should not be ignored.
3. In my opinion, Putin and Trump are truly two sides of the same coin; one wants to annex northern Ukraine, the other wants to swallow Greenland—both have their ambitions. Trump will definitely act on this because it's his last term; he needs to make some historical achievements.
4. Therefore, this year is likely to be a tumultuous autumn, with the Federal Reserve expected to halt interest rate cuts by the end of January, while other countries have already stopped cutting rates, and even Japan continues to raise rates. Conditions are changing, but all types of global assets remain at historical highs, with the pressure for a correction accumulating—Bitcoin won't be immune. Don't be fooled by the current prosperity; an avalanche often happens in an instant...
@分析师舒琴 didn't see the sol short position layout, can you explain again?
分析师舒琴
·
--
Warning signs? Recently, dog-themed coins have dominated the market. I've arrived—Binance Life and other coins are surging wildly. Meme coin mania is often a signal that the market is nearing its peak.
1. Do you all know the pattern in the crypto market? It usually starts with major coins rising first. Bitcoin broke above its previous high of $94,700, followed by mainstream altcoins catching up. Pepe and Pengu surged dramatically, then smaller-cap meme coins took off.
2. Now it's the Meme coin boom on the BSC chain. Chinese-themed tokens are skyrocketing one after another, which aligns with the previous sector rotation. After a meme coin explosion, a deep correction is likely to follow.
3. So, if you've made profits on BSC, remember to take profits at higher levels. Profit-taking will eventually happen—only a matter of time.
4. As for Bitcoin, I personally expect a false breakout—ideally breaking above $92,600, then entering a major correction. If it happens, we go short. If not, it means the drop has already started. Our long-term short position at $94,500 will continue to profit. We'll hold until the end of January, preparing for the negative impact of no interest rate cut.
5. Additionally, WLFI has finally rebounded a bit. We're preparing to re-enter short positions at higher levels. Please keep an eye on resistance at $0.172 and $0.178. Those who haven't opened low-leverage short positions can build them in batches. Its incentive program ends on January 24th, and a significant correction is highly probable.
6. Overall, the wealth creation frenzy on Binance Chain is impressive. The founder has vision, everyone is making money. Remember to take profits at highs—no need to be overly aggressive. More opportunities like this will come; let's fight again next time~
Some have taken profits, while others are waiting to see.
分析师舒琴
·
--
Bitcoin crash? ZEC plunges dramatically! Is it time to buy the dip? Hurry and check it out. 1. First, regarding Bitcoin operations, BTC does have some support around 90,000, as shown in the chart. You can close part of your short positions here—I'm even considering taking a small long position to test the rebound.
2. Since we shorted BTC at 94,500, Shuqin has never asked anyone to go long before. But now, after a drop of 5,000 points and approaching the 90,000 support level, I'm finally considering my first attempt at a rebound trade. Any earlier move would have gotten us buried. Additionally, we still have long-term short positions for hedging—no matter how much further it drops, we won't lose, and we can accept that.
3. Then our long-term bearish ZEC unexpectedly crashed. It was so strong before, but now it's falling with such weakness—like a collapsing mountain. Regardless of it dropping to around 400, there is some support here. We might consider taking partial profits now, and wait for a significant rebound before re-entering short positions—damn it, let's do it!
4. Also, WLFI hasn't dropped much, but its positive news will end on January 24th. So I'll be gradually building short positions for WLFI over the next week, using a 1x long-term strategy. I'm not in a rush—the advantage is on our side. When the positive news is fully priced in, it's highly likely to crash just like ZEC did.
5. As for our long-term short positions across various coins, Shuqin plans to hold them until the January 27th interest rate meeting, preparing for the negative impact of no rate cut. We built our major long-term short positions at 94,500. For short-term shorts, we'll take partial profits, and if there's a significant rebound, we can short again. Ignore the noise from market makers or media distractions. Stick to our trading plan—this time, we will definitely win!
Let's see, why can we receive it, what are the conditions.
颜驰Bit
·
--
Seeing everyone getting Moutai and shoes from Binance for the festival, I couldn't help but angrily pound my desk, staring at this thing—can't drink it, can't wear it...
🎈This year I must work harder and strive to get Moutai too! #BNB
Scaring the mouse on the piano, almost got G... I was at 3180 empty, and then ETH rushed to 3220, almost got me sent away. Did you see it? In the picture, our stop-loss is just above the second resistance level at 3220; I set mine at 3227, just a little bit away from being eaten by the market maker. QAQ
So how can we avoid this situation? When I place orders, I usually set my stop-loss a little above the next resistance level, so this time it was above 3220. This way, if it breaks through two levels of resistance, I will take a loss; as long as it doesn't break through, if it pulls back once, I can turn losses into profits, or at least break even.
Now that ETH has surged quite a bit, I'm not aiming for 3110 for a take profit anymore. As shown in the picture, I started to close my positions around 3150, choosing to observe for now. Additionally, I think an opportunity for BTC's operation may be coming.
Around the previous high of Bitcoin near 94,500 is very worthwhile to short a hand. I'm not aiming for big gains, but I think the odds of catching a pullback of 1000-2000 points are quite high. Besides that, I will also open a mid to long-term short position, and this one won't have a take profit; I will hold until the Fed meeting at the end of January.
Previously, BTC had no significant fluctuations, so we didn’t pay attention to it. Now that it has risen, we are waiting for it at the upper resistance level, it won't bounce for long. Taking advantage of the recent rebound, I will rebuild my low-leverage short positions around mid-January, entering in batches. I will trade short-term and long-term as well~
From Aztec to Zcash: Privacy is Evolving from a 'Gray Market Tool' to an 'Institutional Necessity'
2025 witnessed the launch of several new privacy-centric blockchains at different stages of development.
Author: Daniel Kuhn
Source: BitpushNews
Since Satoshi Nakamoto penned the Bitcoin white paper, the limitations of blockchain privacy have been evident. This cryptocurrency pioneer pointed out that despite the use of anonymous mechanisms, Bitcoin addresses could still potentially be traced back to real identities.
In the years that followed, this "pseudo-anonymity" feature was always assumed to be "acceptable," leading most blockchain privacy projects to remain marginalized for a long time.
However, this year, interest in blockchain privacy has been rekindled, with Zcash becoming one of the best-performing assets of the year, and the Ethereum Foundation launching several end-to-end encryption initiatives. The concept of "Pragmatic Privacy" has also begun to take root, aiming to balance individual privacy with compliance considerations.
Can the big loser ZEC be shorted again? What about Ethereum? Let's discuss the money-making strategies for the next few days.
1. First, let's talk about ZEC, this big loser has gone up again! This is the rhythm of giving us money, and it has reached the resistance of 450-470, a familiar formula. However, we have already shorted here 3 times before, so this time let's be a bit cautious and just short with the profits we made earlier. 2. I have set a larger position for ZEC at the resistance of 550; once it reaches here, we must short, as the resistance is very strong, and the chances of a successful short are extremely high. For the current small short position at 450, our profit-taking points remain at 430 and 410 for staggered profit-taking. A 1x short position will not get liquidated; if caught in a loss, just hold on, it will eventually come down to profit. Remember to place a short order around 550 for a more stable position.
Is Ethereum acting up again? A drop of 100 points, will it drop further? And how should we operate with ZEC now? Let's take a look at this from Ben's perspective. 1. As shown in the chart, Bitcoin and Ethereum have now been confirmed as false breakouts with a sharp decline. The trend is very weak. In the past few days, the US stock market and gold have generally risen, but the cryptocurrency market is falling, which itself is a signal of decline. $BTC
2. However, everyone should not rush to short just yet; it has merely dropped back into the consolidation range, finding support in the 2930-2940 area and starting a small rebound. So how should we operate? 3. I personally operate quite conservatively; although I am overall bearish, I will not recklessly short unless this 2930 support is clearly broken. Especially since there are often false breakouts. $ETH
4. Therefore, since it has returned to the oscillation range, I will wait for it to rebound to the upper edge of the oscillation range before shorting. Particularly around 3000 and 3060, entering in batches will be more comfortable. Meanwhile, our long-term short position at 3400 can still be held; ETH is expected to drop to 2000 or even 1500 in mid to late next year, and we can talk about bottom fishing then.
5. As for ZEC, it encountered resistance in the 450-470 range and dropped again. The current support is around 410, and in the short term, we can choose to take profits here, then consider re-shorting when it rebounds to around 430 and 450. $ZEC
6. I must say, this ZEC is really a big sucker! The day before yesterday we shorted at 450 and took profits at 430. Shu Qin instructed everyone to short again when it rebounded, and now it has dropped again. As long as you short at the resistance level mentioned by Shu Qin, it will definitely be profitable. We only short ZEC and do not go long; when it rebounds to the resistance level, we short. After playing for 2 months, I still don’t know how many times ZEC has given us profit from shorting. He's still pretty good! 😂
A Ping, newcomers can't understand the table above. Can you explain it? @Binance BiBi interpret the table above, especially what the values with background color mean.
兰亭社区
·
--
Intraday Key Support and Resistance Levels Reference Table $BTC $ETH