Julissa Duvernois m3lh
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别空了快跑吧
$RAVE I haven't had the mood to post these days because of this coin...
Many people say I'm an ant trader, and I am quite competitive, I don't want to play the victim, don't you think it's embarrassing to lose...
All previous positions have been liquidated, and now I'm really afraid of a chain explosion 🥺🥺
Many people say I'm an ant trader, and I am quite competitive, I don't want to play the victim, don't you think it's embarrassing to lose...
All previous positions have been liquidated, and now I'm really afraid of a chain explosion 🥺🥺
See translation
一些人的便利和享受是建立在其他牛马上的，除非普及机器人🤖和AI
Just saw an article, is it good or bad?
Mark
Institutional Predictions for BTC's Deep Bear Bottom
Meow Uncle researched the latest weekend reports from numerous institutions and summarized their judgments on the position of BTC's deep bear bottom. Here are the conclusions:
First, after the big drop from 126K to 60K, the rebound has realized a historical peak loss of 2 billion dollars. Then there is a unanimous conclusion from multiple institutions: the market has a demand for a rebound in the short term, but it has not yet reached the true deep bear bottom zone of the crypto world.
Their analysis mainly focuses on four major data dimensions:
Classic indicators (NUPL, MVRV, SOPR, etc.) show that we have not yet entered the deep bear zone (historical bottom corresponds to the 55k-40k range), but the increase in network activity is a positive signal
First, after the big drop from 126K to 60K, the rebound has realized a historical peak loss of 2 billion dollars. Then there is a unanimous conclusion from multiple institutions: the market has a demand for a rebound in the short term, but it has not yet reached the true deep bear bottom zone of the crypto world.
Their analysis mainly focuses on four major data dimensions:
Classic indicators (NUPL, MVRV, SOPR, etc.) show that we have not yet entered the deep bear zone (historical bottom corresponds to the 55k-40k range), but the increase in network activity is a positive signal
What does the picture sent on the left mean in the conversation @Binance BiBi
Is there anyone who can give her?
Comment funny
#美联储FOMC会议
Is there any news? Suddenly spiking, is the spring river warm enough for the ducks to know first?
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
#美联储重启降息步伐
Is there any news? Suddenly spiking, is the spring river warm enough for the ducks to know first?
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
#美联储重启降息步伐
Seeing AI-flavored copy gives me chills down my back
Did you buy the dip today?
$BTC Today dropped below 86000, I originally thought it was just a regular sell-off.
Until I saw a number: 76%.
Then I spent several hours clarifying the entire logic.
The conclusion sends chills down my spine: This could be a precursor to a $14 trillion chain collapse.
76% probability: The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates in December.
The most talked-about thing in the market these days is that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates on December 18-19.
It's not a possibility; traders have already given a 76% probability, and the probability for a rate hike in January is as high as 90%.
The statements from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda have been very clear recently: 'We will weigh the pros and cons of raising the policy rate based on the economic, inflation, and financial market situations, and make decisions at the appropriate time.'
Until I saw a number: 76%.
Then I spent several hours clarifying the entire logic.
The conclusion sends chills down my spine: This could be a precursor to a $14 trillion chain collapse.
76% probability: The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates in December.
The most talked-about thing in the market these days is that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates on December 18-19.
It's not a possibility; traders have already given a 76% probability, and the probability for a rate hike in January is as high as 90%.
The statements from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda have been very clear recently: 'We will weigh the pros and cons of raising the policy rate based on the economic, inflation, and financial market situations, and make decisions at the appropriate time.'
Good
币安C2C中文
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Welcome C2C users to supervise and report poor-quality advertisers
To provide users with a better and safer trading environment, we welcome C2C users to supervise and report poor-quality advertisers. If you encounter issues such as non-real-name payments, price negotiations, or frozen receiving accounts in C2C transactions, please report! We will punish advertisers on the platform based on the Binance C2C Certification Advertiser Management Regulations, and severe cases will result in the direct cancellation of the advertiser's qualifications.
Reporting Route 1:
App: Click on the order page > History Orders > A specific order > Need Help > Report the other party > Select the reason for reporting and submit, the web path is the same.
Reporting Route 1:
App: Click on the order page > History Orders > A specific order > Need Help > Report the other party > Select the reason for reporting and submit, the web path is the same.
Being young is great, just sleep immediately
唐华斑竹
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To ride the roller coaster, learn from this girl—how brave she is, not making a sound throughout the ride, only fainting a few times $SOL
Descending Continuation Triangle
This is how Bitcoin moves, the bottom shake is about to end!!
The one-sided excitement is about to begin!
The one-sided excitement is about to begin!
Mark
K线人生飞哥
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Let me popularize how to determine when large funds and liquidity in the cryptocurrency circle are entering and exiting???
The method I am going to tell you has an accuracy rate of over 90%.
I think a very important indicator is to pay attention to the price of USDC. Currently, the cryptocurrency circle has become the dog of the US stock market, with Wall Street manipulating BTC and ETH. The mainstream trading pair with the largest trading volume in the crypto market is USDT, but Americans use USDC for their inflows and outflows.
So, fluctuations in the price of USDC can be used to judge when Americans and Wall Street are entering and exiting the market.
If the price of USDC experiences a slight decline, it may indicate that funds are selling USDC, exchanging it for USDT, and then further buying BTC or ETH. This means that Americans and Wall Street may be increasing their positions or stealthily entering the market, increasing the probability of a price rise later.
If the price of USDC rises, it indicates that someone is buying USDC, which may be due to selling BTC/ETH first, exchanging for USDT, and then converting to USDC to prepare for exit. This usually represents that the American market makers are retreating, and the probability of a market crash later is very high.
Although this method is not absolutely accurate, it can be used as a tool to monitor the direction of major funds in a short cycle. You can refer to it; I have been paying attention for a long time, and the accuracy rate is over 90%.
Additionally, I would like to remind you that recently the trading volume of USDC/USDT has hit a new high. Previously, the maximum daily trading volume for the USDC/USDT trading pair was 2 billion, but now it has astonishingly reached 11.304 billion in a single day, which is a positive phenomenon.
The method I am going to tell you has an accuracy rate of over 90%.
I think a very important indicator is to pay attention to the price of USDC. Currently, the cryptocurrency circle has become the dog of the US stock market, with Wall Street manipulating BTC and ETH. The mainstream trading pair with the largest trading volume in the crypto market is USDT, but Americans use USDC for their inflows and outflows.
So, fluctuations in the price of USDC can be used to judge when Americans and Wall Street are entering and exiting the market.
If the price of USDC experiences a slight decline, it may indicate that funds are selling USDC, exchanging it for USDT, and then further buying BTC or ETH. This means that Americans and Wall Street may be increasing their positions or stealthily entering the market, increasing the probability of a price rise later.
If the price of USDC rises, it indicates that someone is buying USDC, which may be due to selling BTC/ETH first, exchanging for USDT, and then converting to USDC to prepare for exit. This usually represents that the American market makers are retreating, and the probability of a market crash later is very high.
Although this method is not absolutely accurate, it can be used as a tool to monitor the direction of major funds in a short cycle. You can refer to it; I have been paying attention for a long time, and the accuracy rate is over 90%.
Additionally, I would like to remind you that recently the trading volume of USDC/USDT has hit a new high. Previously, the maximum daily trading volume for the USDC/USDT trading pair was 2 billion, but now it has astonishingly reached 11.304 billion in a single day, which is a positive phenomenon.
Mark
Let's talk about $ACT , the crash is a long story, so please be patient as I explain it slowly.
First, let me provide some background:
It all started with Binance's announcement. On March 31st, Binance reduced the maximum position size for a single account holding Act from 9 million to 4.5 million, cutting it by half. But that wasn't the end; within 24 hours, at 2:30 AM on April 1st, they announced further cuts, reducing the maximum position size from 4.5 million to 3.5 million, another 20% cut. What's even harsher is that the announcement at 2:30 AM was set to take effect at 5 AM.
Now, the big holders couldn't sit still; my fate is in my own hands, and I decide my positions. Since they couldn't hold more positions, they had to choose to close their perpetual contracts and sell off their spot holdings. This selling triggered a domino effect, with other bots following suit; long positions started to liquidate, and prices continued to drop, leading to more sell-offs, creating a cascading effect.
Some may wonder, why crash it so hard? Wouldn't a slow sell-off recover more?
In fact, these spot holdings are held by bots for hedging purposes. If they sold slowly, the market-making bots could earn stable profits. So they either hold back or strike with a powerful blow.
Most orders on centralized exchanges, especially perpetual contracts, are posted by market-making bots. Professional market makers generally do not go naked short or long; they hedge their positions by buying spot while opening shorts, and vice versa.
There is an unspoken rule with perpetual contracts; to ensure positions do not get liquidated, exchanges occasionally reduce the positions held by large accounts.
Those wild funds, market makers, and investors also have their own costs; they have repayment deadlines and interest, so they need to study how to maximize the efficiency of their capital.
In simple terms, they will instantly purchase a large amount of spot to ensure there are no arbitrage opportunities, while simultaneously driving up the price of perpetual contracts, consuming the market's short positions, and then maintaining the corresponding price.
Why use perpetual contracts instead of spot? Because perpetual contracts can be leveraged. This sudden price increase forces the market-making bots that executed the short orders to buy spot aggressively to hedge, thus pushing up the spot price. Other bots' short positions get consumed, leading them to buy more spot for hedging, creating a repeated cycle.
Recently, I've mainly been sharing internally; those I meet should pay more attention.
$ETH #美国加征关税
First, let me provide some background:
It all started with Binance's announcement. On March 31st, Binance reduced the maximum position size for a single account holding Act from 9 million to 4.5 million, cutting it by half. But that wasn't the end; within 24 hours, at 2:30 AM on April 1st, they announced further cuts, reducing the maximum position size from 4.5 million to 3.5 million, another 20% cut. What's even harsher is that the announcement at 2:30 AM was set to take effect at 5 AM.
Now, the big holders couldn't sit still; my fate is in my own hands, and I decide my positions. Since they couldn't hold more positions, they had to choose to close their perpetual contracts and sell off their spot holdings. This selling triggered a domino effect, with other bots following suit; long positions started to liquidate, and prices continued to drop, leading to more sell-offs, creating a cascading effect.
Some may wonder, why crash it so hard? Wouldn't a slow sell-off recover more?
In fact, these spot holdings are held by bots for hedging purposes. If they sold slowly, the market-making bots could earn stable profits. So they either hold back or strike with a powerful blow.
Most orders on centralized exchanges, especially perpetual contracts, are posted by market-making bots. Professional market makers generally do not go naked short or long; they hedge their positions by buying spot while opening shorts, and vice versa.
There is an unspoken rule with perpetual contracts; to ensure positions do not get liquidated, exchanges occasionally reduce the positions held by large accounts.
Those wild funds, market makers, and investors also have their own costs; they have repayment deadlines and interest, so they need to study how to maximize the efficiency of their capital.
In simple terms, they will instantly purchase a large amount of spot to ensure there are no arbitrage opportunities, while simultaneously driving up the price of perpetual contracts, consuming the market's short positions, and then maintaining the corresponding price.
Why use perpetual contracts instead of spot? Because perpetual contracts can be leveraged. This sudden price increase forces the market-making bots that executed the short orders to buy spot aggressively to hedge, thus pushing up the spot price. Other bots' short positions get consumed, leading them to buy more spot for hedging, creating a repeated cycle.
Recently, I've mainly been sharing internally; those I meet should pay more attention.
$ETH #美国加征关税
Good
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看不懂的sol
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A visual guide to the 40 hardcore tools used by top traders in the cryptocurrency space‼️
From high-intensity trading platforms to monitoring zero-sum Gas
From exploiting cross-chain bridges to scraping on-chain data
From squeezing private keys to the social three-piece set, and more
If you don't understand the crypto space, quickly copy the homework, don't wait until it goes to zero to shout for help! With tools in hand, even the big players will steer clear of you!
From high-intensity trading platforms to monitoring zero-sum Gas
From exploiting cross-chain bridges to scraping on-chain data
From squeezing private keys to the social three-piece set, and more
If you don't understand the crypto space, quickly copy the homework, don't wait until it goes to zero to shout for help! With tools in hand, even the big players will steer clear of you!
Agree
The Logic Behind Sudden Price Surge: Beware of Prelude to Crash, Adjust Trading Strategies
In the market, a sudden price surge without a transition is usually not a sign of an upward trend, but rather a prelude to a crash. This suggests the accumulation and liquidation actions of the manipulators, and retail investors need to be cautious and adjust their strategies to improve survival and success rates.
1. The Manipulators' Intent: Accumulation and Stress Testing
• Accumulation Phase: The sudden surge is meant to test resistance, luring retail investors into handing over their shares, followed by a possible crash to clear out floating positions.
• Liquidating Shorts: The surge may also be aimed at cleaning up high-leverage short positions, creating more space for subsequent market movements.
2. Retail Investor Strategies: Increase Tolerance
1. Don't Set Stop-Loss Too Close
• Setting stop-loss too close can easily lead to being “washed out” by the manipulators; slightly widen the stop-loss range to allow for market fluctuations.
2. Reduce Leverage
• Low-leverage trading provides a greater margin for error in the account, allowing one to withstand the manipulators' washout actions and avoiding liquidation due to temporary fluctuations.
3. Be Patient and Wait for the Cycle
• Don't rush for short-term wealth; a complete market cycle takes time. The key is to protect the principal and seize significant opportunities.
3. Tactical Thinking to Grasp Market Movements
• Build Positions Gradually: Avoid placing heavy positions all at once; use a gradual approach to average out costs, adapting to market volatility.
• Long-term Layout: Focus on potential assets, not being misled by short-term fluctuations, and pay attention to cyclical opportunities.
• Risk Control: Set reasonable position ratios and stop-loss strategies to avoid significant losses due to emotional trading.
Summary
The sudden price surge may signal the manipulators' accumulation and liquidation of shorts. Retail investors need to lower leverage, widen stop-loss ranges, and improve survival rates through gradual operations and patient layouts. The market is a large cycle; mastering the rhythm allows for steady progress and seizing one's victory opportunities.
Feel free to follow for more insights. I will analyze the trends and levels of mainstream cryptocurrencies and popular altcoins daily. Wishing everyone prosperity and a bountiful year ahead!
In the market, a sudden price surge without a transition is usually not a sign of an upward trend, but rather a prelude to a crash. This suggests the accumulation and liquidation actions of the manipulators, and retail investors need to be cautious and adjust their strategies to improve survival and success rates.
1. The Manipulators' Intent: Accumulation and Stress Testing
• Accumulation Phase: The sudden surge is meant to test resistance, luring retail investors into handing over their shares, followed by a possible crash to clear out floating positions.
• Liquidating Shorts: The surge may also be aimed at cleaning up high-leverage short positions, creating more space for subsequent market movements.
2. Retail Investor Strategies: Increase Tolerance
1. Don't Set Stop-Loss Too Close
• Setting stop-loss too close can easily lead to being “washed out” by the manipulators; slightly widen the stop-loss range to allow for market fluctuations.
2. Reduce Leverage
• Low-leverage trading provides a greater margin for error in the account, allowing one to withstand the manipulators' washout actions and avoiding liquidation due to temporary fluctuations.
3. Be Patient and Wait for the Cycle
• Don't rush for short-term wealth; a complete market cycle takes time. The key is to protect the principal and seize significant opportunities.
3. Tactical Thinking to Grasp Market Movements
• Build Positions Gradually: Avoid placing heavy positions all at once; use a gradual approach to average out costs, adapting to market volatility.
• Long-term Layout: Focus on potential assets, not being misled by short-term fluctuations, and pay attention to cyclical opportunities.
• Risk Control: Set reasonable position ratios and stop-loss strategies to avoid significant losses due to emotional trading.
Summary
The sudden price surge may signal the manipulators' accumulation and liquidation of shorts. Retail investors need to lower leverage, widen stop-loss ranges, and improve survival rates through gradual operations and patient layouts. The market is a large cycle; mastering the rhythm allows for steady progress and seizing one's victory opportunities.
Feel free to follow for more insights. I will analyze the trends and levels of mainstream cryptocurrencies and popular altcoins daily. Wishing everyone prosperity and a bountiful year ahead!
Oh
Market Cap and Price Predictions at Bull Market Highs
According to the observation of market trends in the past few bull markets, the total market capitalization of the Crypto market usually falls back to the high point of the previous bull market during the bear market. For example:
2019: The market cap fell about 80% from its highs.
2022: Market cap also drops by about 80%.
Assuming a similarly sharp pullback in market capitalization (approximately 65-75%) in the next bear market, the market capitalization is expected to fall to approximately $2.8 trillion. According to this extrapolation, during the peak of the bull market, the market value may reach the level of 8 trillion US dollars.
Market capitalization ratio and price speculation of the top 10 currencies
Historical data shows that the market capitalization of the top 10 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins) accounts for approximately 80% of the total market capitalization, or approximately $6.4 trillion. Based on the proportions of the past two bull markets, the prices of major cryptocurrencies at the high point of the bull market may be as follows:
Bitcoin (BTC): $130,000 - $140,000
Ethereum (ETH): $10,000 - $11,000
Solana (SOL): $700 - $800
Ripple (XRP): $5
Binance Coin (BNB): $3,000 - $3,200
Dogecoin (DOGE): $1.5
High prices typically only last a few weeks.
#BTC☀
According to the observation of market trends in the past few bull markets, the total market capitalization of the Crypto market usually falls back to the high point of the previous bull market during the bear market. For example:
2019: The market cap fell about 80% from its highs.
2022: Market cap also drops by about 80%.
Assuming a similarly sharp pullback in market capitalization (approximately 65-75%) in the next bear market, the market capitalization is expected to fall to approximately $2.8 trillion. According to this extrapolation, during the peak of the bull market, the market value may reach the level of 8 trillion US dollars.
Market capitalization ratio and price speculation of the top 10 currencies
Historical data shows that the market capitalization of the top 10 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins) accounts for approximately 80% of the total market capitalization, or approximately $6.4 trillion. Based on the proportions of the past two bull markets, the prices of major cryptocurrencies at the high point of the bull market may be as follows:
Bitcoin (BTC): $130,000 - $140,000
Ethereum (ETH): $10,000 - $11,000
Solana (SOL): $700 - $800
Ripple (XRP): $5
Binance Coin (BNB): $3,000 - $3,200
Dogecoin (DOGE): $1.5
High prices typically only last a few weeks.
#BTC☀
Went to Heaven
In addition to the martial law in South Korea and the passing of Qiong Yao in recent days, there is one person's name that I hope everyone will remember: 'Chen Meihui'
She is the chief blockchain financial crime investigator at Taiwan's XREX cryptocurrency exchange.
She assisted a male investigator from the Criminal Investigation Bureau in multiple fraud cases without compensation, freezing 9.3 billion in fraudulent funds.
Creative private projects and the 88 Club and other major cases also had their financial flows investigated with her assistance.
A hero without a cape, her wish this year was to freeze 10 billion in funds and help victims get their money back.
But this wish will never come true.
On 12/3, she and her boyfriend were named defendants in a leak case due to an internal whistleblower, and they were interrogated at the Taichung District Prosecutor's Office until dawn without bail.
At 3 AM, while returning to Hsinchu on National Highway No. 1, they encountered "traffic jams," just as four vehicles were lined up in front. Chen's car was forced to slow down, and at that moment, a "rented SUV" behind could not stop in time and crashed into them, resulting in Chen Meihui's instant death, leaving behind two young children.
Just as someone inside reported the leak
Just as there were four vehicles side by side on the highway at 3 AM
Just as a rented SUV from behind crashed into them without braking.
I have seen this, the drug lord 'Mexico'
There is not much that can be done, only to help raise awareness.
I don't know if the truth can be uncovered, maybe everything is just so "coincidental."
But I hope everyone remembers that there was once this nameless hero who quietly sought justice for the victims.
She is the chief blockchain financial crime investigator at Taiwan's XREX cryptocurrency exchange.
She assisted a male investigator from the Criminal Investigation Bureau in multiple fraud cases without compensation, freezing 9.3 billion in fraudulent funds.
Creative private projects and the 88 Club and other major cases also had their financial flows investigated with her assistance.
A hero without a cape, her wish this year was to freeze 10 billion in funds and help victims get their money back.
But this wish will never come true.
On 12/3, she and her boyfriend were named defendants in a leak case due to an internal whistleblower, and they were interrogated at the Taichung District Prosecutor's Office until dawn without bail.
At 3 AM, while returning to Hsinchu on National Highway No. 1, they encountered "traffic jams," just as four vehicles were lined up in front. Chen's car was forced to slow down, and at that moment, a "rented SUV" behind could not stop in time and crashed into them, resulting in Chen Meihui's instant death, leaving behind two young children.
Just as someone inside reported the leak
Just as there were four vehicles side by side on the highway at 3 AM
Just as a rented SUV from behind crashed into them without braking.
I have seen this, the drug lord 'Mexico'
There is not much that can be done, only to help raise awareness.
I don't know if the truth can be uncovered, maybe everything is just so "coincidental."
But I hope everyone remembers that there was once this nameless hero who quietly sought justice for the victims.
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