分析师舒琴

Wow, the rebound is here! Will Bitcoin keep rising too? Short crude oil? Let’s talk about current trading opportunities.

1. First, Bitcoin: the big support around 63,700 has bounced as expected! Right now, the minor resistance is near 65,000. Congratulations on taking the profit—longs could consider taking profit on the way up. The question is: can we flip and short?

2. You can try, but the cost-effectiveness isn’t great. Bitcoin at 65,000 has some minor resistance. As it gets close to this area, a slight pullback is possible, but the “meat” isn’t much—so the risk-reward is average. For shorting, I’d rather look for shorts around 65,700 and near the previous high of 67,000, where there’s stronger resistance. If you catch a pullback of about 1,000 points there, the odds are higher.

3. As for longs: the support above 63,500—like at 63,700—can still be considered for another long. When it gets there, you can try. But the same old rule applies: at the same entry level, the second time you trade should be with a smaller position. The first time it comes around is the safest. Yesterday, Shu Qin also called for a rebound—congrats on the profits~

4. Also, good news for CLUSDT crude oil: it dropped from 94 to 85, a full 10% fall. So any short you entered at previous prices should have been quite profitable. If there’s a rebound, you can continue planning for a long-term short, as shown in the chart. Shu Qin also made a small profit of tens of thousands—one trade, and this half a year’s food and drinks are basically covered.

5. And then the Sol bottom-fishing we discussed yesterday was also very solid. Today it rebounded nearly 3%. With the BTC long positions and the crude oil shorts together, it’s been a rewarding weekend. Now I see many coins have decent trading opportunities—time to set off~

Terrible! Crypto and the U.S. stock market both plunge at the same time—can we still buy the dip? Here’s what you should do now.

1. First, the conclusion. I’m going long! The support around $63,700 for Bitcoin is very strong. Even if it keeps falling afterward, it should bounce back from here. The ideal take-profit level is $65,000. Of course, I’ll also take partial profits around $64,500 where there’s minor resistance.

2. Actually, the situation is not great. The current drop isn’t mainly due to crypto itself. It’s mostly because of the U.S.-Iran war and oil prices soaring again, so inflation pressure is back. Next week’s FOMC meeting will definitely be hawkish, and it could even lead to rate hikes by year-end.

3. So this pullback is a forced one. It’s not just crypto falling—stocks are dropping even worse. The tech sector is collectively down 30%+, so in comparison, crypto is actually doing “not too badly.” From $67,000 to $64,000, it fell about 4%. Also, we already cleared out near $67,000, so there’s not much regret. With the market direction unclear, how should we act?

4. My plan is very clear: passive arbitrage. I’ll buy the rebound at major support levels and short at major resistance levels. Bitcoin’s strong support is around $63,500–$63,700. I’ll first try to catch a rebound—80% odds of winning. Then the next support is at $61,500. Once it reaches there, I’ll go all-in with a large position. Wherever the price goes, we’ll operate accordingly.

5. Besides that, we also “escaped the top” on Ethereum at 1,940. I think the current pullback is a good opportunity to buy back on dips. Strong support is around 1,800. Just be patient and wait for the U.S.-Iran conflict to stop—then the market will restart.

6. And Sol also has a decent opportunity. We ran at 83. It’s getting close to the strong support around 72 soon, so you can gradually buy it back—buy when nobody cares, sell when everyone does.

Something’s off! Bitcoin can’t go up anymore? It’s down to 64,000—can you still buy the dip? Let’s take a look at what opportunities are still available right now.

1. First, let’s talk about BTC. Don’t panic. This time, Bitcoin has hit the 67,000 high-pressure line. It rallied from 57,000 to this resistance area—so it should pull back hard once. We’ve made it clear that as we approached 67,000, we fully cashed out and went short. We called it for two weeks, and finally we achieved it. So what do we do next?

2. The answer is: buy back on dips! That’s right—after selling at the high, the next step is definitely to buy back on dips. Current support is around 64.7k and 63.6k. Eat one bounce first and then see. As shown in the chart, yesterday we went long one position at 64.7k and successfully took profit. If BTC comes back near 63.6k, you can go long with a large position and buy spot on the dip! Because the support here is really, really strong—maybe this is the bottom of this pullback.

3. What if it doesn’t drop and instead goes up? Then even better—you can short again around 67,000. Because there’s also that possibility. Right now, the market is tied to oil prices. Recently, oil prices have surged and the coin price has fallen, but Trump could call off hostilities at any time. Then coin prices and U.S. stocks will both rebound. So when it reaches 67,000, you can short again—because resistance here is still very strong.

4. Ethereum, too, has dropped in a very satisfying way. The 1,950 resistance has pinned it down tightly. This strong resistance is something we’ve analyzed several times—hope you’ve gained something from it. For support, there’s a minor support around 1,860, but the strong support is still around the neckline near 1,800. If it reaches there, I will definitely try to trade a bounce.

5. And then there’s crude oil. We just set up a short a moment ago, and it started dumping like crazy—it’s faster than I expected. Congratulations, everyone! However, the situation with the Iran–U.S. conflict is unpredictable. I will keep posting shorts above; if oil prices move up, I’ll also lay out shorts in batches. Every day there are plenty of coin opportunities. When it hits your levels, “舒琴” will call on everyone to go all out~

Look! Shu Qin has revealed her real trading positions on her spot account—how much has she lost?

What needs to happen has still happened. I couldn’t hold up under the pressure anymore, so I opened up my real trading account for my futures contracts and let everyone take a closer look. As shown in Figure 1, you can see it on my plaza homepage.

My profits are relatively stable, rising steadily without any big drawdowns. The main reason is my win rate is 90%, and I’m quite satisfied. Because this isn’t data from just a few days—it’s 365 days of data. I’ve seen many fans in the comments always say I guarantee profit forever. That’s actually true, so please stop arguing with me.

A bear market is the best quality inspector. In a bull market, everyone longs blindly and makes money. The bigger the leverage, the more profit you might get. But even in a bear market, I can still manage to earn steadily—no matter if it’s bull or bear, performance stays stable.

Actually, I didn’t want to open my real trading account before, because it makes me too concerned about short-term gains and losses. For example, crude oil is suitable for a long-term setup for short positions, entering in batches. Before the war ends and a ceasefire happens, the position might be floating at a loss. Many people might see that and say, “Oh, Shu Qin got it wrong again.” But that’s not the whole story—after the ceasefire, you’ll see that it will make a lot of money right away.

So opening my real trading account doesn’t really benefit me. It affects my mindset. For now, I’m only temporarily showing everyone what the situation is, and then I’ll turn it off later. I have several accounts, so I may not open it on every one. But after Binance Plaza added the proof-of-trading feature, all my funds are now transferred to several of my Binance accounts for trading, and I even help manage a fund.

In fact, I’ve already passed the stage of getting rich overnight when trading crypto. As you can see in Figure 3, in my last cycle I achieved financial freedom. I’m moving into the next phase: protecting my wealth and fully cashing out, not trying to make even more. Because I can’t spend it all if I make too much. But once a “black swan” event happens, what I earned before could all go wrong—and I don’t want that.

So now trading crypto is even more like a profession for me. I only allocated 200,000 U for my contracts. Every time the contracts accumulate some profit, I cash out. I don’t want to roll a雪球 (keep compounding) like that. Look at the withdrawal amount in Figure 1—that’s the kind where I only withdraw, not add more. If a trade makes me 1,000 U, I’d already be really happy. That would cover a month’s food expenses.

Then everyone, please keep following my updates on the plaza. Let’s make progress together and wait patiently for the bull market to arrive.

67,000 Achieved! Has Bitcoin topped? What opportunities are there now for Ethereum and crude oil—take a look quickly.

1. Bitcoin is really something right now. Since 57,000, it has already rebounded by 10,000 points! But now, it’s about to face a powerful neckline resistance at 67,000–68,000. It will be hard to break through directly—this is the opportunity to short and catch the retracement. So how do we trade it?

2. As shown, yesterday Qicheng first set shorts for everyone at 66.9k, taking a 2% retracement. But this isn’t over yet. After $BTC bounces back up, it should be possible to short again. Since this resistance is pretty strong, taking it twice shouldn’t be a problem. As for smaller support levels, they are around 65.5k and 64.5k. If it drops too much, I’ll start looking to buy the rebound.

3. Then crude oil—$CL has been rising especially aggressively lately, jumping from 60 to 88. I’m ready to make a move! I’ll place doubled short orders in batches—hanging 10% position-size shorts every 5 dollars near 90, 95, and 100.

4. Once oil prices get higher, Trump will back down or call for a ceasefire to hit oil prices down. Also, the war isn’t permanent. After later peace talks, oil prices will fall back to a normal level around 60. Be patient—just don’t chase leverage multiples, and you won’t get liquidated. In the end, it will drop and we’ll be able to profit.

5. In addition, our $ETH short has also been a huge success. Entering at the 1940 resistance level—this is the second short. It’s only suitable with a smaller position size, but it still worked and got the short executed successfully. Our entry levels are fine. Usually, I take a resistance level about two times. So if ETH later comes to 1940 for a third time, I probably won’t short then. I’ll wait around the next resistance at 2050–2060.

6. So once that 2050 level comes, you can go directly in. There’s a 95% probability of a significant pullback. Because on the first test of a resistance level, the odds of a short are the best, and the pullback amplitude is usually larger. And both CRCL and Pengu have successfully bottomed out and rebounded—every day there are plenty of opportunities for both longs and shorts. Trade in real time~

😂 Guys, it’s unreal... I can’t believe I made it onto Binance’s 7-day profit leaderboard...
With such a small amount of capital, I still managed to get on the list—I really didn’t expect that.
Thanks everyone for recognizing me. I’ll keep working hard!

It broke through! Bitcoin is taking off— is the bull market coming back? What to do now? Take a look.

1. First, let’s talk about $BTC — it finally broke through! Yesterday, Shu Qin issued the final ultimatum: Bitcoin must break through this week, or something would happen. It shows BTC wasn’t meant to go to zero— and it really did break through. It’s about to reach our final target: the 67,000 neckline resistance! So can we short it?

2. Yes, you can try! The neckline resistance at 67,000–68,000 for Bitcoin is quite strong. At the very least, it should pull back by 2%+ that you can potentially short. Personally, I will sell part of my BTC spot holdings near the time—this is the first attempt in weeks—to see if there’s a good pullback to buy back into.

3. After all, we’ve been holding out for 67,000 for way too long. We waited a full three weeks just to get here. Long-time viewers know: our target for Bitcoin was never just 65,000. We’ve always been calling for 67,000—the neckline. We started shouting 67,000 from 60,000. Many people thought it wouldn’t happen. So what about now?

4. Therefore, as shown in the chart, the 20WU of Bitcoin I bottom-picked at 60,000 is now decided to sell some. And $ETH , encouraged by the BTC breakout, has started a second attempt to test the 1,950 major resistance—this is ETH’s second time coming here.

5. The first time, we already shorted it— the second time is less certain. Aggressive traders can try with a small position. If you want to be safer, you can watch for a short setup around the next resistance level near 2,060. Once it gets there, you can short without overthinking. The most stable move is to short at the first resistance.

6. Besides that, the $CRCL we previously set up has also taken off again—ripping from 60 to nearly 70. Everyone on the whole network is bearish, but we have no FUD—we’re just quietly holding. Today is harvest day. For those who want to be safer, you can move out part of your position, or hold long-term into the bull market. There’s a lot to be done—daily execution, step by step, move by move!

Family, we did it! Ethereum’s 1890 level successfully turned and headed downward—will it keep falling? Let’s take a look at how to handle Bitcoin.

1. First, BTC—once again, it got knocked down. Bitcoin has now tried to break through the 6.45–6.5 resistance zone for the fourth time, and things don’t look great. In general, if a breakout is real, it usually only needs one or two tests. But it has failed four times—can it come with a fifth attempt?

2. If you look at the daily MACD, it’s already very close to a death cross. Upward momentum is being steadily drained. If it can’t break through this week, the market is likely to turn into a death cross and head downward. I’ll be closely watching this—if the situation reverses, I’ll let everyone know. For those who want to be cautious, spot positions can also add a portion on the highs.

3. For trading, Bitcoin’s consolidation support is around 63,000, and resistance is around 65,000. Shuqin previously led everyone to do this several times, but that support and resistance have been tested so many times that it’s likely to break soon. For the more aggressive traders, you can take a small position and scalp a swing—profits of nearly 2,000 points are quite possible. If there’s a slight breakdown, set a stop loss.

4. Also, Ethereum’s trend is doing very well. Support is around 1,810, and resistance is around 1,890 and 1,940—see the chart. Shuqin also told everyone yesterday to short aggressively around 1,890, with not a single surprise. Congratulations, everyone! Making money trading crypto isn’t that hard—go long at support, short at resistance. If you’ve got hands, you can do it~

The rebound is here! Can we short now? I’m going to make my move at this level!

1. First, let’s talk about $ETH . It’s been fattened up—should we slaughter it now? It bounced from 1800 up to 1870. The bounce range looks solid. It’s about to approach the resistance level at 1890. I’ll wait and place the short just a bit below the resistance, to see if we can catch roughly a 2% pullback.
How about Bitcoin—can we short that?

2. $BTC makes me a lot more cautious! Because it has already bounced into the 64.5–65k resistance zone for the fourth time. It has bounced so many times—maybe this time it will break through. So for BTC, I actually don’t really want to short. We’ve already shorted it one or two times before, and there isn’t much regret. I’m still being conservative with BTC. I’ll short it again near the previous high around 67k.

3. As for buying, Shu Qin is even more bullish on $SOL . It has already retraced from 84 and corrected by nearly 15%. The cost-performance is much better than ETH. Personally, I’ll definitely sell ETH on the way up and then buy Sol back on the way down.
Actually, Sol is a lesson from ETH’s past. Sol used to be so aggressive—rallied hard, but after it went up too much, it just couldn’t keep rising. The capital rotated over to ETH. ETH’s strong resistance is around 1950, and its weaker resistance is near 1890.

4. But all of this is just pure crypto-market price action. On Monday, the U.S., China, and South Korea stock markets will open—tech stocks will definitely see big volatility, which will greatly affect the crypto market. So when you place orders, make sure you set stop-losses. Or if you want to be safe, just wait until Monday and see how things look before placing trades.
However, Bitcoin overall is still quite strong. It’s in a recovery phase—if it drops, it can still repair back upward. But the stock market’s repeated bad news is gradually draining BTC’s momentum.

5. Personally, I really like high volatility. As shown in the chart, the high volatility over the past month has brought me excellent returns. Because our strategy is: when price reaches the support, we add a position; when it hits resistance, we catch the pullback; when it breaks through, we stop out.
You can trade both up and down—as long as there’s enough volatility to push the price to reach the support and resistance levels. Trade every day, be on high alert, and strike decisively—one hit, one kill!

The God of War returns! I’m getting fat here. Bitcoin starts to rebound—will it keep going up? Ethereum looks a bit ominous!

1. Let’s talk about ETH first. As shown in the chart, Ethereum’s month-long rebound is very likely close to the end. The RSI has already reached the overbought zone. At this point, you should take profits when it’s high—not chase and buy high. Meanwhile, Sol is fast approaching the buy zone.
So what about Bitcoin? Can it still rise?

2. $BTC is actually a bit lagging in its rebound. The rebound strength is clearly weaker and slower than ETH and Sol. Those have already risen 30–40%, while Bitcoin has only just rebounded about 15%. Theoretically, BTC should rebound to 67,000. But now global tech stocks are in free fall, bringing a bit of uncertainty to the market.

3. Actually, the crypto market overall is still strong. When tech stocks trade sideways, crypto goes up; when tech stocks crash, crypto can still rebound after the drop. But this momentum is definitely being consumed. For Bitcoin, I’ll still play it safe. Yesterday I called for a long at 62,800. Long positions can be closed, but for shorts, I only want to short again when it reaches 67,000. Let’s see if tech stocks falling this much can rebound a bit.

4. And this time, the main stars are undoubtedly Micron $MU and Micron’s counterpart, Hynix. For Micron: we shorted at 1,000, covering just above 800 to get you into a rebound play. I believe that no matter whether you’re seeing my post or my video, the “babies” who bought above 800 should have already gone long. The target of 880 is hit! As shown, Shu Qin even flipped and shorted once—made it a 50,000U short just for fun.

5. As for going long: we already took 800 as support once—on the first rebound attempt, the odds were as high as 90%. But the odds for the second time are only around 60–70%. So for the more aggressive “babies,” you can try adding a long just above 800, but only with a small position.

6. Then $ETH was also a close call but turned out fine. Our plan was to catch the rebound at 1,820. Yesterday, U.S. stocks had just opened and got dragged down by tech stocks, arriving at the 1,800 support. At the same time, Micron (MU) also reached the 800 support. Without any suspense, it rode the index higher and completed our rebound target of 1,850. That saved my reputation as “本琴” (Ben Qin). It was really a bit nerve-wracking—thanks for your hard work, everyone!

Congratulations! Micron is up 880. Ethereum is slightly up too—pretty good. It’s mainly thanks to Micron.

Is Bitcoin about to run into trouble? The crypto market collectively plunges—has it already bottomed out, and can you buy the dip now? Take a look quickly.

1. First, the conclusion: this blame doesn’t belong to the crypto world! The current crash is mainly because semiconductors across the board have fallen sharply, and China is no exception. One of the AI leaders, Zhipu, even dropped 30% in a single day. So compared to that, the crypto market down 2% is relatively mild—it’s just passively following the sell-off. So the question is: can you buy the dip?

2. You can try! Because the price is now down near a support level. $BTC is 62.7k, and $ETH is 1820–1830. These two levels are fairly strong supports. Based on past patterns, there’s a high likelihood they will hold, and you could capture a rebound of about 2% or more—just hope semiconductors don’t keep dragging things down.

3. But the good news is that storage leader Micron (MU) has also dropped to around the 800 support area. In the afternoon, Shu Qin mentioned this to everyone—so it has already rebounded about 3% now. That’s very good. If it rebounds to around 850, you can start exiting some positions.

4. To be honest, this time $MU is down 40%. If there really is a strong rebound, it could bounce quite a lot—maybe even to 880 or higher. But we’ve always been cautious, so let’s exit in batches. Also, ETH went in slightly above 1820—let’s see if it can reach around 1850 to take profit.

5. As for MU, we’ve gone long for the second time. This time was a long at 800. The first long was actually based on support at 900, and we took profit at the 1000 resistance level. Then we even flipped to short. And today we finally got a perfect take-profit—definitely a day worth celebrating. To the babies who followed along, congratulations to you~

Damn! Semiconductors drag down the whole market.
But the good news is that the support levels around Ethereum 1820 and MU 800 are here—hoping we can bounce as expected.😘

Done, was I fooled? Bitcoin’s breakout failed—was it a fake breakout? Micron and Hynix have completely collapsed. What should you do now? Come take a look.

1. So unfortunate… First, let’s talk about why it dropped. When $BTC broke out yesterday, it just happened to hit a semiconductor bloodbath. Micron fell from 1000 to the high-$80s, dragging down the US stocks as well. The great breakout momentum in the crypto market was wiped out—just like that. So the question is: will it go up again?

2. You can try! But only go long at strong support. BTC’s current strong support is around 633k and 628k. At that level, a rebound of about 1000 points is not an issue. Right now, be a bit more conservative with your moves, since the Korean stock market is basically going insane—big drops and circuit breakers happen out of nowhere. That will affect the whole capital market.

3. And $ETH is even stronger, so its support level is higher than BTC’s: around 1875 and 1830. Especially at 1830—this was the top of the previous consolidation range. Once it broke out, support and resistance swapped. Now that area turns into support for a drop. If it can get there, Shu Qin will definitely go in with another aggressive long.

4. Also, our ETH top-spotting was pretty accurate. Shu Qin said yesterday that ETH would break out, and he expected it to tap the resistance around 1950. Well, last night ETH really climbed to around 1950, and a bunch of you even flipped to short—nice work! If ETH breaks above 1950, the next resistance is at 2050. Remember these levels.

5. Besides that, semiconductors have been dropping extremely hard lately, as shown in the chart. Shu Qin is holding short positions. Previously, I told everyone to have Micron $MU 900 do a rebound toward the big resistance around 1000, then top it off and flip to a short. Now MU’s support is around 880 and 790. I’ll take profit on the way down—another big win~

Ready for takeoff~ This has completely broken through. Ethereum now has a chance to approach the major 1950 resistance level.