Analysis of the ETH chart: is there a chance of a bounce after the short-term drop?

📊 Overview of the current movement

Current price: around US$ 3,147

Short-term high: approximately US$ 3,220

Recent low: around US$ 3,146

👉 After the formation of the top,

👉 the price continues in a gradual and continuous downward movement,

👉 with attempts at a bounce, but no clear signs of trend reversal so far.

📉 Analysis of moving averages (MA)

MA7 / MA25: aligned downwards → weakness structure in the short term

MA99: slightly tilted downwards, with the price acting close to or below it

📌 Interpretation

Short term: evident weakness

Medium term: correction phase

Long term: main structure still preserved

👉 The recovery of MA25 and MA99 is the first condition for a more consistent reversal

📊 Analysis of the Bollinger Bands

Upper band: around US$ 3,162

Central line: approximately US$ 3,150

Lower band: around US$ 3,144

👉 The price operates close to the lower band, indicating

👉 predominant selling pressure and approaching oversold region in the short term

🔑 Key supports and resistances

🟢 Important supports

US$ 3,145 ~ 3,140

Recent low

Loss may accelerate the drop

US$ 3,120

Psychological support and relevant level in the medium term

🔴 Important resistances

US$ 3,160

First resistance in a potential bounce

US$ 3,180 ~ 3,200

Region of MA99 and former support converted into resistance

Recovery of this range improves the short-term structure

📦 Volume & RSI

Volume

Reduced volume during the drop

No panic selling ❌

No strong entry of buyers ❌

👉 Controlled drop, with the market in wait mode

RSI

RSI (14): around 30

Close to oversold zone

👉 Possibility of a technical bounce,

👉 but still insufficient to confirm trend reversal

🧠 Possible scenarios

⚠️ Scenario 1: Continuation of selling pressure (main)

Loss of US$ 3,145

→ Tests at US$ 3,120 → US$ 3,100

✅ Scenario 2: Technical bounce

Maintenance of support at US$ 3,140

Volume entry

→ Retest of US$ 3,160 → US$ 3,180

Above US$ 3,200, structure improves

🎯 Conclusion in one sentence

Ethereum is still operating in a correction context,

with the possibility of a technical bounce, but no confirmation of reversal in the short term.

The moment requires caution and observation of support levels.

⚠️ Important warning

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

All decisions and risks are the responsibility of the investor.

Always consider your profile and risk management before trading.