BTC Market Analysis Using Technical Indicators

The current chart is based on BTCUSDT Perpetual Futures on the daily timeframe (1D).

It can be seen that the overall market structure is in a clear downtrend, even with a temporary rebound after a significant drop in price.

Analysis of Moving Averages

The chart shows MA(7), MA(25), and MA(99).

MA(99): Represents the long-term trend. The price continues to be below MA(99), indicating that the long-term bearish trend remains.

MA(25): Serves as mid-term resistance. In previous rebounds, the price failed to stay above this moving average.

MA(7): Responds quickly to short-term movement, but has not yet surpassed MA(25) and MA(99).

The arrangement of moving averages is in bearish alignment (long > mid > short), indicating that selling pressure is stronger than buying pressure.

Price Structure and Trend

A clear Lower High and Lower Low structure can be seen, which is a common characteristic of downtrends.

The last rebound did not create a higher high compared to the previous peak, and was immediately followed by another decline.

In the latest decline, there was a strong reaction around 59,800 USDT, where a long wick can be seen. However, this is more of a technical rebound than a true trend reversal.

Volume Analysis

A significant increase in volume is noticeable during the price decline.

This indicates that the decline was accompanied by panic selling or forced liquidation, not just a simple correction.

Although there is still volume in the rebound, there is not yet enough evidence of continuous buying pressure that would prove a trend change.

Support and Resistance Levels

Key Support

59,800 ~ 60,000 USDT

This is the most important short-term support zone based on the last low.

Short-term Resistance

Around 70,000 USDT

A psychological level and former support that is now resistance.

Mid-term Resistance

80,000 ~ 90,000 USDT area (near MA(99))

It is important to break this to confirm the trend reversal.

Overall Analysis

Currently, the BTCUSDT chart shows the following:

✔ Continued long-term downtrend

✔ Panandaliang rebound matapos ang matinding pagbaba

✔ Bearish moving average alignment

✔ High volume during price decline

A short-term rebound may continue, but to say there is a true trend change, the price needs to hold above MA(25) and create a higher high.

As long as this does not happen, the possibility of a retest or another decline after the rebound still prevails.