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BTC down 53%: a shallower decline than in 2018 and 2022, but not a milder oneIn percentage terms, the decline of $BTC this time looks mild: from a closing peak of 124.659 USD (06/10/2025) to a low of 58.625 USD (30/06/2026), or −53%, compared with −83% in 2018 and −77% in 2022. But BTCUSDT data on Binance from 08/2017 to 01/11/2026 reveals a few points that get less attention.
1. Adjusted for volatility, the drawdown is close to 2022 levels
BTC now fluctuates much more slowly: annualized volatility during the decline was only about 47%, compared with 106% (2018) and 66% (2022). Dividing the size of the decline by volatility gives: 0.78 times in 2018, 1.16 times in 2022, and 1.13 times this time. This is a way to adjust the figures for comparison; it does not mean the risks were the same in both periods.
BTC down 53%: a shallower decline than in 2018 and 2022, but not a milder one
In percentage terms, the decline of $BTC this time looks mild: from a closing peak of 124.659 USD (06/10/2025) to a low of 58.625 USD (30/06/2026), or −53%, compared with −83% in 2018 and −77% in 2022. But BTCUSDT data on Binance from 08/2017 to 01/11/2026 reveals a few points that get less attention.
1. Adjusted for volatility, the drawdown is close to 2022 levels
BTC now fluctuates much more slowly: annualized volatility during the decline was only about 47%, compared with 106% (2018) and 66% (2022). Dividing the size of the decline by volatility gives: 0.78 times in 2018, 1.16 times in 2022, and 1.13 times this time. This is a way to adjust the figures for comparison; it does not mean the risks were the same in both periods.
1. Adjusted for volatility, the drawdown is close to 2022 levels
BTC now fluctuates much more slowly: annualized volatility during the decline was only about 47%, compared with 106% (2018) and 66% (2022). Dividing the size of the decline by volatility gives: 0.78 times in 2018, 1.16 times in 2022, and 1.13 times this time. This is a way to adjust the figures for comparison; it does not mean the risks were the same in both periods.
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