ScalpingX

📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & FEAR & GREED INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATE 2026-02-21

The statistical data shows that the correlation coefficient between FGI and Win Rate remains low (r ~ -0.21). This result continues to confirm that FGI is not a tool for predicting price direction or entry points, but it plays an important role in position risk calibration. Specifically, trading performance tends to decline clearly when market sentiment reaches extreme euphoria, making it an early risk warning signal rather than an opportunity to expand profit targets.

Below is a summary of Winrate (WR), minimum break-even R:R, and number of observed days (n) across sentiment zones for reference:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R=1:1.47 • n=25
🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R=1:1.22 • n=215
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.6% • R:R=1:1.19 • n=138
😨 Fear (20–40): WR 46.8% • R:R=1:1.14 • n=175
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 49.1% • R:R=1:1.04 • n=46

The percentage of days with performance above the overall average (45.74%) by sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 12.0%
🤤 Greed: 40.0%
😐 Neutral: 45.7%
😨 Fear: 56.6%
😱 Extreme Fear: 65.2%

➤ Scalping traders can use FGI as a guide to adjust expected profit targets when participating in trades:
📈 When FGI is high, profit expectations should be increased to ensure the R:R remains large enough to compensate for the risk of a lower win rate.
📉 When FGI is low, profit expectations can be reduced to improve capital turnover speed and realize profits more easily.

#TradingStatistics #MarketPsychology

Update 2026-02-21, community-wide trading data:

🔹The average win rate is 45.74%
🔹The day with the highest win rate was 2026-01-15 at 74.41%. The day with the lowest win rate was 2026-01-25 at 15.69%
🔹The weekday with the highest average win rate is Saturday at 45.94%. The weekday with the lowest average win rate is Monday at 45.49%
🔹The 7-day period with the highest average win rate ended on 2026-01-18 at 62.13%. The lowest period ended on 2025-03-12 at 36.64%
🔹The number of days with a win rate above the average is 281. The number of days with a win rate below or equal to the average is 318
🔹The number of days with a win rate above 50% is 137. The number of days with a win rate from 40%–50% is 357. The number of days with a win rate below 40% is 105

#TradingStatistics #CommunityPerformance

$MON - Mcap 218.57M$ - 80%/ 35.4K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.88%. The downtrend is in cycle 121, downside amplitude 5.01%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$NIL - Mcap 14.79M$ - 87%/ 9K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.81%. The downtrend is in cycle 212, downside amplitude 7.83%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$NEWT - Mcap 14.37M$ - 82%/ 4.7K votes Bullish

SC02 H4 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 8.21%. The downtrend is in cycle 141, downside amplitude 42.47%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$MET - Mcap 103.51M$ - 83%/ 3.2K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.48%. The downtrend is in cycle 150, downside amplitude 3.23%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$ANIME - Mcap 27.45M$ - 81%/ 37.9K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.48%. The downtrend is in cycle 91, downside amplitude 2.59%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$SOON - Mcap 71.59M$ - 71%/ 5.2K votes Bullish

SC02 H4 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 11.69%. The downtrend is in cycle 569, downside amplitude 89.77%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

Unlock schedule for the next 50 tokens: I only focus on trading Futures when it’s a Cliff Unlock event and the unlock size is greater than 25% of the daily trading volume. If you’re investing for the long term, keep an eye on these unlocks to optimize your entry after each release.

Right now, there are 5 unlock events worth watching due to their high unlock size relative to daily trading volume:

$SOON - 150.83%
$H - 59.69%
$ALT - 36.92%
$SAHARA - 36.03%
$APEX - 57.22%

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$COAI - Mcap 58.36M$ - 72%/ 177.8K votes Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.03%. The downtrend is in cycle 135, downside amplitude 6.54%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$FOGO - Mcap 95.9M$ - 80%/ 1.9K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + meets positive simplification with the previous Short order delivering profits, estimated stop-loss around 0.24%. The downtrend is in cycle 63, downside amplitude 1.22%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$ZAMA - Mcap 49.66M$ - 77%/ 1.9K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 1.85%. The downtrend is in cycle 137, downside amplitude 13.19%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

Global cryptocurrency market overview for the week of 16-22/02/2026 points to a fragile consolidation phase in a high-fear environment.

📉 The crypto market saw sharp volatility this week without a new major shock, with $BTC trading mostly in the 65.8k-70k USD range and closing the week near 68k USD. Total market capitalization held around 2.33-2.35 trillion USD, while Bitcoin dominance stayed near 58-58.5%, showing that capital still favored the leading asset.

😨 Market sentiment remained highly cautious as the Fear & Greed Index stayed around 14, reflecting an “Extreme Fear” backdrop. Many altcoins dropped hard early in the week and rebounded slightly toward the weekend, but the recovery was still not strong enough to confirm a broad market reversal.

💸 Short-term pressure continued to come from institutional flows as U.S. spot $BTC ETFs posted outflows for multiple consecutive weeks. Even so, the market showed signs of divergence, with some capital rotating selectively into assets or ecosystems with their own catalysts.

🏛️ The clearest bright spot this week was the SEC-related stablecoin guidance, with a more practical haircut treatment for payment stablecoins than before. This may not trigger an immediate price reaction, but it is a constructive signal for deeper stablecoin integration into institutional financial infrastructure.

🌊 Overall market liquidity remained weak due to holiday effects and defensive positioning, reflected in lower trading volume and cooler leverage activity. This setup looks more like an orderly deleveraging phase than a fresh panic sell-off, meaning the market is still resetting after the sharp decline earlier this month.

🧭 In the short term, the most reasonable scenario remains a range-bound $BTC market around 65k-70k USD until clearer signals emerge from ETF flows and U.S. macro data. Supportive factors include a more constructive stablecoin regulatory backdrop and some on-chain accumulation signals, but risks from a strong USD and weak sentiment have not disappeared.

#CryptoInsights #MarketUpdate

$NS - Mcap 5.63M$ - 87%/ 15.9K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry includes POC + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.46%. The downtrend is in cycle 359, downside amplitude 5.30%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$ACU - Mcap 24.36M$ - 88%/ 6.4K votes Bullish

SC02 M15 - Long order has been triggered, no profit yet. Entry is within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, stop-loss 4.32%. The uptrend has lasted 110 cycles, upside amplitude 22.49%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

$HIPPO - Mcap 6.23M$ - 87%/ 46.3K votes Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry is within HVN + meets positive simplification with the previous Short order delivering very strong profits, estimated stop-loss around 0.53%. The downtrend is in cycle 207, downside amplitude 4.15%.

#TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

Global Energy Market Overview for the Week of Feb 16-22, 2026

🛢️ The energy market’s main highlight last week was crude oil, with prices rising about 5% and reaching near six-month highs as market sentiment was driven by U.S.-Iran tensions. Brent ended the week around $71-72/barrel, while WTI held near $66/barrel.

⚠️ Oil moved from a cautious tone early in the week to a stronger rally midweek as geopolitical risk around the Strait of Hormuz was repriced by the market. Concerns over potential disruption to this key shipping route added a risk premium to prices, even though no major real supply disruption had occurred.

📉 U.S. inventory data also supported oil in the short term, with commercial crude inventories falling sharply by 9 million barrels, signaling tighter supply than expected. This helped reinforce the weekly price gains, especially while early-week market liquidity was still thin.

🌬️ In gas and LNG, the picture was clearly regionally split as U.S. Henry Hub and Europe’s TTF faced pressure from mild weather, stronger wind output, and high production, while Asian LNG held a firmer price base on post-winter restocking demand. Even so, relatively low EU gas storage levels remain an important variable if weather conditions shift.

📊 In the medium term, oil still faces headwinds from the IEA’s 2026 oversupply outlook, with supply growth expected to outpace demand growth. That means energy prices may remain highly sensitive to U.S.-Iran headlines and inventory data in the short term, but upside could be limited unless a new supply shock emerges or OPEC+ signals a stronger supply tightening stance after its early-March meeting.

#EnergyMarkets #WeeklyInsight $USDT

Global agricultural market overview for the week of Feb 16–21, 2026

🔎The market continued to digest the latest WASDE report as U.S. corn ending stocks were reduced by 100 million bushels to 2.127 billion, driven by stronger exports, providing a clear price floor despite low liquidity during the holiday period.

📊The USDA’s early outlook for 2026/27 highlights a notable acreage shift, with corn dropping sharply to 94 million acres while soybeans rise to 85 million, signaling changing profit dynamics and a relatively tighter corn supply outlook in the medium term.

🌍Recent export data reinforced real demand, with U.S. soybean net sales reaching nearly 800,000 tons, including over 400,000 tons from China, while corn exports remained strong even as sales pace slowed.

🌦️In South America, Brazil continues to accelerate soybean harvesting, while Argentina has only seen partial soil moisture recovery from recent rains, with near-term dryness risks still present and potentially impacting final yields.

⚖️Overall, grains and oilseeds are trading within a narrow range with support from exports and tighter stock adjustments, while soft commodities remain under pressure from oversupply, highlighted by cocoa falling to multi-year lows.

#AgriMarkets #CommoditiesInsights $USDT

Global stock market overview for the week of February 16-21, 2026 tilted slightly positive after a volatile stretch

🌍Global equities closed the week with a mild gain despite sharp swings during the week, as investor sentiment kept shifting between geopolitical concerns, Fed signals, and earnings season headlines. A clearer rebound emerged into the end of the week, helping the overall picture finish more balanced than the midweek pullbacks suggested.

🇺🇸 The main focus was the U.S., where major indexes including the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq all ended higher versus the start of the trading week. The key driver came on February 20, after the U.S. Supreme Court rejected President Trump’s broad tariff program, easing part of the trade-risk overhang and supporting risk appetite.

🇪🇺 Europe stayed near elevated levels but lacked a clear breakout trend, as support from banks and some cyclical names was offset by mixed earnings and concerns that interest rates may stay higher for longer. In Asia, trading was thinner due to Lunar New Year holidays, while Japan faced mild pressure after weaker GDP data.

🔄Capital flows remained selective, with continued pressure on parts of tech and software due to concerns over AI spending efficiency, while energy and some defensive sectors held up better. U.S. economic data still did not show a clear recession signal, but hawkish-leaning Fed minutes remained a constraint on a full risk-on shift.

⚠️The main risk to watch is still U.S.-Iran tension and its spillover into oil prices, as this could push inflation pressure higher again. Next week, markets will likely react strongly to PCE, GDP, and PMI data, so the current rebound will look more durable only if incoming numbers stay soft enough to keep policy expectations stable.

#GlobalMarkets #StockInsights #NVDAon

Global metals market overview for the week of Feb 16–21, 2026

🌀This week’s price action was largely amplified by thin liquidity due to the U.S. Presidents’ Day and Lunar New Year in China, making early-week selloffs appear exaggerated before stabilizing as liquidity returned midweek.

🪙Precious metals saw a sharp shakeout followed by a strong rebound, with gold trading within the 4,860–5,070 USD/oz range and silver outperforming with a nearly 6% surge on Feb 18, signaling resilient dip-buying despite liquidity-driven volatility.

📦The key narrative in base metals was copper facing pressure from rising inventories, which weakened short-term deficit expectations and pushed prices below 12,600 USD/ton before stabilizing near 12,800 USD/ton as selling momentum eased.

🧱In the ferrous segment, iron ore declined toward 95–98 USD/ton amid elevated Chinese port inventories and cautious pre-holiday demand, while rebar remained relatively stable, reflecting a “wait-for-demand” phase rather than a structural shift.

🧲Nickel stood out as a structural catalyst, with Indonesia tightening annual RKAB quotas and sharply reducing output at major sites, reinforcing supply discipline expectations for H1 2026 and supporting prices despite mixed EV demand signals.

🏛️At the same time, LME regulatory updates—including warehouse adjustments, fee changes, lending rules, and tighter restrictions on Russian aluminum in EU warehouses—highlight growing operational and compliance costs, adding a layer of “rule-based risk” beyond pure price action.

📌Overall, the week was driven more by liquidity and inventory dynamics than fundamental shifts, with focus now shifting to China’s post-holiday demand recovery, ongoing LME/SHFE inventory trends, and macro signals from USD and yields as new U.S. data unfolds.

#MetalsMarket #CommoditiesInsights $XAU $XAG