🥇 Gold Hits $5,000 for the First Time — Three Risks Driving the Rush

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Gold surged past $5,000 per ounce for the first time in history, as investors rushed into safe-haven assets amid a sharp escalation in global macro risks.

The rally comes as geopolitical, currency, and fiscal stress converge.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump reignited trade tensions by threatening 100% tariffs on Canadian imports over Canada’s alleged ties with China’s EV sector. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney quickly pushed back, stating that Ottawa has no plans to pursue a free-trade agreement with Beijing.

At the same time, currency markets are on edge over a potential yen intervention, following reports that the Federal Reserve contacted major banks regarding USD/JPY conditions. Adding to the uncertainty, prediction markets now price a 78% probability of a U.S. government shutdown, further amplifying risk aversion.

📈 Gold has climbed more than $650 in January alone.

Last week’s 8.5% surge marked the largest weekly gain in dollar terms on record, and the strongest percentage jump since the March 2020 Covid-era panic.

Silver followed aggressively, breaking above $100 per ounce and rising 44% year-to-date, underscoring a broad flight into precious metals as confidence in traditional risk assets weakens.

⚠️ The Triple Threat Behind the Panic

The surge into safe havens reflects mounting concern over three overlapping risks:

1️⃣ Escalating U.S.–Canada–China trade tensions

2️⃣ Potential coordinated yen intervention

3️⃣ Rising probability of a U.S. government shutdown

Together, these forces are reshaping capital flows, pushing investors toward protection rather than growth — and sending gold into uncharted territory.

Markets are no longer reacting to a single headline, but to a systemic buildup of uncertainty.

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