đ¨Chinaâs Open-Source AI Is Bursting the AI Bubble
Silicon Valley bets AI stays a premium luxury. Chinese open-source teams are proving itâs becoming a commodity â fast, free, and world-class.
Key evidence (2025â2026):
DeepSeek-V3: GPT-4 level performance for ~$5.6M (vs. OpenAIâs $3B+)
Qwen 2.5-Max: beats Claude Sonnet on Arena-Hard â completely free
DeepSeek API: ~$0.55/million tokens (20â30Ă cheaper than OpenAI/Claude)
Hardware edge: Parity with ~2,000 H800 chips via smarter architecture (vs. US chasing 100,000+ H100s)
Market impact:
Magnificent Seven & AI stocks priced for trillions in SaaS revenue and fat margins.
If frontier intelligence turns into a public utility, those growth dreams collapse â massive repricing ahead.
Bottom line:
The era of premium pricing for intelligence is dying.
US big-tech is most exposed.
This isnât hype â itâs structural disruption repeating the solar/battery playbook.
Watch closely. The bubbleâs foundation is cracking faster than headlines admit.
Notifications on â I'll flag the turns early. Stay positioned carefully.
