Polymarket traders predict a 68% chance Bitcoin drops to $60K before reaching $80K.
Market sentiment shows short-term caution despite long-term optimism.
Volatility and macro trends remain key drivers of price direction.
Market Bets Signal Caution
Crypto traders on Polymarket are signaling a cautious outlook for Bitcoin. According to the latest betting data, users assign a 68% probability that Bitcoin will touch $60,000 before climbing to $80,000.
This Bitcoin $60K prediction highlights growing uncertainty in the short term. While many investors remain confident in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory, recent price swings and global economic pressures appear to be influencing sentiment.
Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to place real-money bets on future events. Because participants have financial incentives, many traders view these markets as a reflection of genuine market expectations rather than simple speculation.
Why Traders Expect a Pullback
The Bitcoin $60K prediction may be driven by several factors. First, Bitcoin has experienced strong rallies in recent months, and markets often correct after rapid gains. Traders could be anticipating a temporary pullback before the next major upward move.
Second, macroeconomic conditions continue to play a significant role. Interest rate policies, inflation data, and global liquidity conditions impact investor appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin. If economic uncertainty increases, short-term downside pressure could follow.
Technical indicators may also support the idea of a retracement. Key resistance levels near $80,000 could slow upward momentum, making a dip toward $60,000 more likely before another breakout attempt.
NOW: Polymarket users predict a 68% chance Bitcoin hits $60K before $80K. pic.twitter.com/UmIrYRbXdA
— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) February 13, 2026
Long-Term Outlook Remains Intact
Despite the strong probability behind the Bitcoin $60K prediction, it does not necessarily signal bearish long-term sentiment. Many traders still believe Bitcoin could reach or exceed $80,000 eventually. The question is simply about which level comes first.
Historically, Bitcoin has gone through multiple cycles of sharp corrections followed by even stronger recoveries. A move toward $60,000 could be viewed as a healthy reset rather than a breakdown.
As always, prediction markets reflect current sentiment, which can shift quickly. Investors should treat these probabilities as insight into trader expectations—not guaranteed outcomes.
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