šØ U.S. government shutdown now projected around February 14 ā and markets might not handle it well.
Prediction markets are pricing roughly a ~74% chance of the next shutdown by Valentineās Day as funding for the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) lapses if Congress canāt agree.
If you think itās just āpolitics,ā think again ā uncertainty is the marketās enemy:
ā¢ Shutdown risk has been climbing as negotiators stall over DHS funding tied to immigration reforms.
ā¢ Past shutdowns have delayed key economic data and rattled confidence, adding pressure to stocks, crypto and bonds.
And this isnāt just about office doors closing:
ā Federal paychecks can be delayed or paused.
ā Government contracts and approvals slow or stop.
ā Reports like jobs data get pushed back.
ā Market anxiety spikes.
In previous shutdown-linked drawdowns, risk assets have seen sell-offs and heightened volatility as traders price in uncertainty. (Crypto and equities often feel it first.)
Right now many traders think it wonāt matter, but complacency has a history of breaking before the headline lands.
Iāve been tracking markets for a decade and called major turning points ā including the Bitcoin October all-time high.
Follow and turn on alerts if you want the real heads-up before the news hits.
$POWER $PIPPIN $RIVER
