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Cách bắt đáy Bitcoin đơn giản với chỉ số MVRV Z-Score
Một trong số rất ít các chỉ báo on-chain uy tín chỉ ra vùng bắt đỉnh đáy tối ưu trong dài hạn và đã chứng minh được hiệu quả trong 4 chu kỳ.
1. MVRV Z-Score là gì?
MVRV Z-Score đo: Mức độ chênh lệch giữa giá thị trường của Bitcoin (Market Value) và giá vốn on-chain của toàn bộ holder (Realized Value).
Nó giúp xác định:
Khi nào thị trường quá nóng (overvalued)Khi nào Bitcoin bị định giá thấp (undervalued)
2. Market Value
Market Value = Giá BTC hiện tại × số BTC đang lưu hành.
Giá trị này thường xuyên bị ảnh hưởng bởi nhiều yếu tố bên ngoài thị trường:
FOMO / Fear từ tin tứcĐòn bẩy
Giá thay đổi chủ yếu từ cung cầu ngoài thị trường.
3. Realized Value (giá trị thực)
Thay vì lấy cung lưu hành nhân với giá hiện tại, Realized Value lại được tính bằng giá trung bình tại thời điểm Bitcoin di chuyển lần cuối trên on-chain.
Mỗi BTC trên blockchain có một thời điểm “last moved”Lấy giá BTC tại thời điểm đó làm giá vốn cho đồng BTC đóTrung bình cộng rồi nhân với cung lưu hành → Realized Value
BTC không di chuyển thì giá vốn không đổi.
BTC di chuyển thì giá vốn được cập nhật.
Đây chính là giá vốn thực tế của người đang giữ BTC.
Vì sao dùng “giá BTC lần cuối di chuyển” là hợp lý?
Mỗi lần BTC di chuyển thường gắn với các quyết định kinh tế như mua, bán, tái phân bổ (ví dụ rút, nạp BTC lên sàn).
Do đó, Realized Value phản ánh sát hơn niềm tin thật của các holder Bitcoin.
Ví dụ: một ví hold BTC mua từ năm 2020 và không di chuyển cho đến nay, thì giá vốn vẫn được tính theo mức giá năm 2020.
4. Z-Score xuất hiện để làm gì?
Z-Score đo: Market Value đang lệch bao xa so với Realized Value, so với dữ liệu lịch sử.
Lệch quá xa: trạng thái bất thườngLệch thấp: thị trường bị nén
5. Cách đọc MVRV Z-Score
Z-Score vào vùng đỏ / hồng
Market Value >> Realized Value
Holder Bitcoin đang lãi lớn, có động lực chốt lời và phân phốiThị trường hưng phấn cực độ
Z-Score vào vùng xanh
Market Value << Realized Value
Holder dài hạn đang lỗThị trường bước vào pha tích lũy
#onchain #BTC
1. MVRV Z-Score là gì?
MVRV Z-Score đo: Mức độ chênh lệch giữa giá thị trường của Bitcoin (Market Value) và giá vốn on-chain của toàn bộ holder (Realized Value).
Nó giúp xác định:
Khi nào thị trường quá nóng (overvalued)Khi nào Bitcoin bị định giá thấp (undervalued)
2. Market Value
Market Value = Giá BTC hiện tại × số BTC đang lưu hành.
Giá trị này thường xuyên bị ảnh hưởng bởi nhiều yếu tố bên ngoài thị trường:
FOMO / Fear từ tin tứcĐòn bẩy
Giá thay đổi chủ yếu từ cung cầu ngoài thị trường.
3. Realized Value (giá trị thực)
Thay vì lấy cung lưu hành nhân với giá hiện tại, Realized Value lại được tính bằng giá trung bình tại thời điểm Bitcoin di chuyển lần cuối trên on-chain.
Mỗi BTC trên blockchain có một thời điểm “last moved”Lấy giá BTC tại thời điểm đó làm giá vốn cho đồng BTC đóTrung bình cộng rồi nhân với cung lưu hành → Realized Value
BTC không di chuyển thì giá vốn không đổi.
BTC di chuyển thì giá vốn được cập nhật.
Đây chính là giá vốn thực tế của người đang giữ BTC.
Vì sao dùng “giá BTC lần cuối di chuyển” là hợp lý?
Mỗi lần BTC di chuyển thường gắn với các quyết định kinh tế như mua, bán, tái phân bổ (ví dụ rút, nạp BTC lên sàn).
Do đó, Realized Value phản ánh sát hơn niềm tin thật của các holder Bitcoin.
Ví dụ: một ví hold BTC mua từ năm 2020 và không di chuyển cho đến nay, thì giá vốn vẫn được tính theo mức giá năm 2020.
4. Z-Score xuất hiện để làm gì?
Z-Score đo: Market Value đang lệch bao xa so với Realized Value, so với dữ liệu lịch sử.
Lệch quá xa: trạng thái bất thườngLệch thấp: thị trường bị nén
5. Cách đọc MVRV Z-Score
Z-Score vào vùng đỏ / hồng
Market Value >> Realized Value
Holder Bitcoin đang lãi lớn, có động lực chốt lời và phân phốiThị trường hưng phấn cực độ
Z-Score vào vùng xanh
Market Value << Realized Value
Holder dài hạn đang lỗThị trường bước vào pha tích lũy
#onchain #BTC
Tony Dong 2025:
Đúng rồi
Alerte Baleine : Un trade désastreux à $3.6M sur $SOL
Le portefeuille au nom évocateur degen-retard.sol vient de frapper à nouveau, et pas pour les bonnes raisons. La sentence est tombée : une perte sèche de 3,6 millions de dollars vient d’être actée sur le réseau Solana.
📉 L'anatomie d'un "top-buy"
Il y a deux semaines, cette baleine a déployé une force de frappe massive de 12,4 millions de dollars pour accumuler 100 196 SOL à un prix moyen de 124 $. Confiant dans un rebond imminent, l'investisseur a immédiatement staké l'intégralité de sa position.
🚩 La capitulation
Malheureusement, le marché n'a pas suivi le scénario espéré. Face à une absence de reprise des cours, la baleine a tout liquidé il y a seulement 6 heures, sortant de sa position profondément dans le rouge.
Le bilan historique est lourd :
Perte sur ce trade : $3.6MPertes précédentes sur $SOL : $6.6MTotal des pertes historiques : Plus de 10 millions de dollars > Capitulation forcée ou futur "revenge trade" ? Après deux échecs cuisants, reste à savoir si ce portefeuille tentera une énième fois de dompter le SOL ou s'il se retirera définitivement du jeu.
Restez connectés pour suivre les mouvements on-chain les plus fous.
Suivez Wendy pour ne rien manquer de l'actu 🚀
#SOL #WhaleAlert #OnChain #Trading #CryptoNews
📉 L'anatomie d'un "top-buy"
Il y a deux semaines, cette baleine a déployé une force de frappe massive de 12,4 millions de dollars pour accumuler 100 196 SOL à un prix moyen de 124 $. Confiant dans un rebond imminent, l'investisseur a immédiatement staké l'intégralité de sa position.
🚩 La capitulation
Malheureusement, le marché n'a pas suivi le scénario espéré. Face à une absence de reprise des cours, la baleine a tout liquidé il y a seulement 6 heures, sortant de sa position profondément dans le rouge.
Le bilan historique est lourd :
Perte sur ce trade : $3.6MPertes précédentes sur $SOL : $6.6MTotal des pertes historiques : Plus de 10 millions de dollars > Capitulation forcée ou futur "revenge trade" ? Après deux échecs cuisants, reste à savoir si ce portefeuille tentera une énième fois de dompter le SOL ou s'il se retirera définitivement du jeu.
Restez connectés pour suivre les mouvements on-chain les plus fous.
Suivez Wendy pour ne rien manquer de l'actu 🚀
#SOL #WhaleAlert #OnChain #Trading #CryptoNews
$BTC BlackRock Moves $250M+ BTC & ETH — Not a Panic Sell 🚨
Contrary to panic headlines, BlackRock has NOT dumped crypto on the market.
On-chain data shows large transfers from BlackRock ETF wallets (IBIT & ETHA) to Coinbase Prime, not direct market sells.
In the past hour, BlackRock transferred ~$250M+ worth of assets, including:
- Multiple 300 BTC batches from IBIT (Bitcoin ETF)
- ~20,000+ ETH from ETHA (Ethereum ETF)
All routed to Coinbase Prime custody, their primary execution and settlement venue.
These movements are standard ETF operations — typically related to redemptions, rebalancing, or AP (authorized participant) settlement, not discretionary selling based on news or politics.
Crucially, no evidence shows immediate spot selling on exchanges. Transfers to Coinbase Prime ≠ market dumps.
Is this routine ETF flow — or are markets overreacting before confirming actual sell pressure? ⚡️
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #OnChain #wendy
Contrary to panic headlines, BlackRock has NOT dumped crypto on the market.
On-chain data shows large transfers from BlackRock ETF wallets (IBIT & ETHA) to Coinbase Prime, not direct market sells.
In the past hour, BlackRock transferred ~$250M+ worth of assets, including:
- Multiple 300 BTC batches from IBIT (Bitcoin ETF)
- ~20,000+ ETH from ETHA (Ethereum ETF)
All routed to Coinbase Prime custody, their primary execution and settlement venue.
These movements are standard ETF operations — typically related to redemptions, rebalancing, or AP (authorized participant) settlement, not discretionary selling based on news or politics.
Crucially, no evidence shows immediate spot selling on exchanges. Transfers to Coinbase Prime ≠ market dumps.
Is this routine ETF flow — or are markets overreacting before confirming actual sell pressure? ⚡️
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #OnChain #wendy
BTCUSDT
Trajne ter. pog.
20X
Odpiranje dolge
Neunovčeni dobiček/izguba
+771.00%
$BNB проанализировав даные мониторинга было обнаружено что кошельки с балансом от 10, 000 тысяч до 100,000 за последние 72 часа увеличили свои запасы около 2 %, основными покупателями являються кошельки не связаные с биржой, для долгосрочного удержания лучгих времён.
Также крупные игроки для закупки даного актива используют зону 605$ - 625$ словно пылесос срабатывает масивные ликвидные ордера что подтверждаеться длиными нижними фитилями на свечах дневного графика.
Можно сказать что актив #bnb находиться в фазе перераспределения. уровень $620 — это фильтр для слабых рук.
Закреп выше $650 подтвердит, что аккумуляция закончена. Дальше — цели $740 и $850.
#WhaleWatch #OnChain #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare
Также крупные игроки для закупки даного актива используют зону 605$ - 625$ словно пылесос срабатывает масивные ликвидные ордера что подтверждаеться длиными нижними фитилями на свечах дневного графика.
Можно сказать что актив #bnb находиться в фазе перераспределения. уровень $620 — это фильтр для слабых рук.
Закреп выше $650 подтвердит, что аккумуляция закончена. Дальше — цели $740 и $850.
#WhaleWatch #OnChain #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare
📊 #BTC CQ: рынок снова тестирует «боль» крупных держателей
Во время последнего пролива BTC опускался ниже реализованной цены когорты кошельков с 100–1000 BTC. Сейчас их средняя фактическая цена входа — около $69 000.
Это важная метрика: когда цена торгуется ниже базы крупных холдеров, начинается давление — либо они защищают уровень и аккумулируют, либо капитулируют.
Для сравнения, похожая ситуация была после ATH в июне 2022 года. Тогда BTC торговался ниже этой зоны около семи месяцев, прежде чем рынок сформировал устойчивое дно.
История не обязана повторяться, но такие периоды часто становятся зонами перераспределения, а не финала цикла.
#bitcoin #Onchain #crypto #BTC
Подписывайся — разбираем рынок глубже, чем просто свечи.
Во время последнего пролива BTC опускался ниже реализованной цены когорты кошельков с 100–1000 BTC. Сейчас их средняя фактическая цена входа — около $69 000.
Это важная метрика: когда цена торгуется ниже базы крупных холдеров, начинается давление — либо они защищают уровень и аккумулируют, либо капитулируют.
Для сравнения, похожая ситуация была после ATH в июне 2022 года. Тогда BTC торговался ниже этой зоны около семи месяцев, прежде чем рынок сформировал устойчивое дно.
История не обязана повторяться, но такие периоды часто становятся зонами перераспределения, а не финала цикла.
#bitcoin #Onchain #crypto #BTC
Подписывайся — разбираем рынок глубже, чем просто свечи.
🚨 ON-CHAIN WARNING: $XRP SOPR < 1
$XRP has officially lost its holder cost basis.
Key Signals:
• SOPR collapsed from 1.16 → 0.96
• Coins moving on-chain at a loss
• Panic selling confirmed
At $1.43, this structure matches the 2021–2022 distribution phase. Weak hands are exiting, setting up a prolonged period of range building before any sustainable move higher.
No bottom yet — absorption comes first.
#XRP #Ripple #CryptoAnalysis #OnChain ⚠️
$XRP has officially lost its holder cost basis.
Key Signals:
• SOPR collapsed from 1.16 → 0.96
• Coins moving on-chain at a loss
• Panic selling confirmed
At $1.43, this structure matches the 2021–2022 distribution phase. Weak hands are exiting, setting up a prolonged period of range building before any sustainable move higher.
No bottom yet — absorption comes first.
#XRP #Ripple #CryptoAnalysis #OnChain ⚠️
$XRP On-Chain Update: SOPR Trend
XRP’s SOPR has recently moved from around 1.16 to 0.96, indicating that some coins are being transferred at a loss. When SOPR stays below 1.0, it often reflects short-term selling pressure as holders adjust their positions.
In previous market cycles, similar conditions have sometimes been followed by periods of sideways movement, where supply is gradually absorbed and volatility decreases. This phase can help establish more stable price ranges over time.
Observing how on-chain activity and liquidity develop can provide useful context for understanding market behavior in the coming weeks.
#xrp #Ripple #CryptoAnalysis #Onchain #XRPRealityCheck
XRP’s SOPR has recently moved from around 1.16 to 0.96, indicating that some coins are being transferred at a loss. When SOPR stays below 1.0, it often reflects short-term selling pressure as holders adjust their positions.
In previous market cycles, similar conditions have sometimes been followed by periods of sideways movement, where supply is gradually absorbed and volatility decreases. This phase can help establish more stable price ranges over time.
Observing how on-chain activity and liquidity develop can provide useful context for understanding market behavior in the coming weeks.
#xrp #Ripple #CryptoAnalysis #Onchain #XRPRealityCheck
$SOL $3.6M SOL Loss — Same Whale, Same Mistake
Wallet degen-retard.sol has just closed another disastrous SOL trade, locking in a loss of over $3.6M.
Around 2 weeks ago, the wallet bought 100,196 SOL at ~$124, deploying roughly $12.4M, then staked the entire position, betting on upside.
Just 6 hours ago, the whale sold all the $SOL , exiting deep in the red as prices failed to recover.
This marks yet another failed SOL cycle for the same wallet.
Notably, this trader had already lost more than $6.6M on $SOL previously, bringing total historical SOL losses to over $10M.
Is this forced capitulation — or will he try to revenge-trade $SOL again? 🐳
Follow Wendy for more latest updates
#SOL #WhaleAlert #OnChain #wendy
Wallet degen-retard.sol has just closed another disastrous SOL trade, locking in a loss of over $3.6M.
Around 2 weeks ago, the wallet bought 100,196 SOL at ~$124, deploying roughly $12.4M, then staked the entire position, betting on upside.
Just 6 hours ago, the whale sold all the $SOL , exiting deep in the red as prices failed to recover.
This marks yet another failed SOL cycle for the same wallet.
Notably, this trader had already lost more than $6.6M on $SOL previously, bringing total historical SOL losses to over $10M.
Is this forced capitulation — or will he try to revenge-trade $SOL again? 🐳
Follow Wendy for more latest updates
#SOL #WhaleAlert #OnChain #wendy
SOLUSDT
Trajne ter. pog.
5X
Odpiranje dolge
Neunovčeni dobiček/izguba
+425.00%
User-73975:
whale dnt mail before any action
🚨 $XRP SOPR < 1 = CAPITULATION MODE 😱
📉 Holders selling at a LOSS → weak hands out
🧊 Expect RANGE + ACCUMULATION phase
💧 Liquidity decides next big move
Red flag short-term, opportunity long-term 👀
#XRP #OnChain #CryptoSignal
📉 Holders selling at a LOSS → weak hands out
🧊 Expect RANGE + ACCUMULATION phase
💧 Liquidity decides next big move
Red flag short-term, opportunity long-term 👀
#XRP #OnChain #CryptoSignal
🚨 $XRP IS BUILDING UNDER THE HOOD WHILE PRICE DIPS 🚨
Short-term selling pressure means nothing. $XRP Ledger activity is screaming acceleration.
• Successful transactions hit all-time highs recently.
• Daily counts are consistently above two million transactions.
• This mirrors Ripple's push for institutional adoption and new custody upgrades.
Institutions are using the rails now. Lowered barriers mean faster onboarding for banks. Increased volume confirms infrastructure-level growth is real, regardless of current chart weakness. Watch for this underlying utility to dictate future moves.
#XRP #Ripple #OnChain #Adoption
🔥
Short-term selling pressure means nothing. $XRP Ledger activity is screaming acceleration.
• Successful transactions hit all-time highs recently.
• Daily counts are consistently above two million transactions.
• This mirrors Ripple's push for institutional adoption and new custody upgrades.
Institutions are using the rails now. Lowered barriers mean faster onboarding for banks. Increased volume confirms infrastructure-level growth is real, regardless of current chart weakness. Watch for this underlying utility to dictate future moves.
#XRP #Ripple #OnChain #Adoption
🔥
🚨 BlackRock $250M+ BTC & ETH Move ≠ Panic Sell
Despite alarmist headlines, BlackRock is not dumping crypto.
On-chain data shows transfers from IBIT (BTC ETF) and ETHA (ETH ETF) wallets to Coinbase Prime — not to spot exchanges.
What actually happened in the last hour: • Multiple ~300 BTC transfers from IBIT
• ~20,000+ ETH moved from ETHA
• All sent to Coinbase Prime custody, BlackRock’s primary settlement venue
These are routine ETF flows — typically tied to: • Redemptions
• Rebalancing
• Authorized Participant (AP) settlement
⚠️ Key point:
Transfers to Coinbase Prime ≠ market selling.
There is no on-chain evidence of immediate spot sell pressure.
Markets may be reacting first and verifying later.
📊 Routine ETF mechanics — not panic.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #BTC #ETH #Onchain #ETFs
Despite alarmist headlines, BlackRock is not dumping crypto.
On-chain data shows transfers from IBIT (BTC ETF) and ETHA (ETH ETF) wallets to Coinbase Prime — not to spot exchanges.
What actually happened in the last hour: • Multiple ~300 BTC transfers from IBIT
• ~20,000+ ETH moved from ETHA
• All sent to Coinbase Prime custody, BlackRock’s primary settlement venue
These are routine ETF flows — typically tied to: • Redemptions
• Rebalancing
• Authorized Participant (AP) settlement
⚠️ Key point:
Transfers to Coinbase Prime ≠ market selling.
There is no on-chain evidence of immediate spot sell pressure.
Markets may be reacting first and verifying later.
📊 Routine ETF mechanics — not panic.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #BTC #ETH #Onchain #ETFs
SHIBA INU: EXCHANGE RESERVES CRASHING BELOW 82 TRILLION!
⚠️ MAJOR SHIFT IN HOLDER BEHAVIOR DETECTED FOR $SHIB . Price action is weak, but on-chain metrics scream accumulation.
• Exchange reserves dropped below the critical 82T $SHIB threshold.
• This signals coins moving OFF exchanges into private wallets.
• Holders might be positioning for long-term storage, not immediate dump.
• Technical pressure remains, but dwindling supply could stabilize price when market turns.
The chart looks rough, but the smart money is moving assets offline. Watch the general market sentiment closely.
#SHIBA #CryptoAlpha #OnChain #MemeCoin 📉
⚠️ MAJOR SHIFT IN HOLDER BEHAVIOR DETECTED FOR $SHIB . Price action is weak, but on-chain metrics scream accumulation.
• Exchange reserves dropped below the critical 82T $SHIB threshold.
• This signals coins moving OFF exchanges into private wallets.
• Holders might be positioning for long-term storage, not immediate dump.
• Technical pressure remains, but dwindling supply could stabilize price when market turns.
The chart looks rough, but the smart money is moving assets offline. Watch the general market sentiment closely.
#SHIBA #CryptoAlpha #OnChain #MemeCoin 📉
🚨 BREAKING: TOM LEE’S BITMINE LOADS UP ON ETH AGAIN 🚨
On-chain data and multiple reports confirm that BitMine Immersion Technologies ($BMNR), chaired by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, has purchased another 20,000 ETH — roughly $42M — accelerating its strategy to become the world’s largest Ethereum treasury holder.
📊 Key Highlights:
• Total ETH accumulation continues despite market drawdowns
• ~$538M cash on hand
• Zero debt covenants
• No forced selling pressure
💬 BitMine makes it clear: this is long-term accumulation, not a trade.
🔥 BITMINE ISN’T DONE BUYING THE DIP
Smart money keeps stacking while fear dominates the market.
#ETH #Ethereum #TomLee #BMNR #CryptoNews #OnChain #BuyTheDip
On-chain data and multiple reports confirm that BitMine Immersion Technologies ($BMNR), chaired by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, has purchased another 20,000 ETH — roughly $42M — accelerating its strategy to become the world’s largest Ethereum treasury holder.
📊 Key Highlights:
• Total ETH accumulation continues despite market drawdowns
• ~$538M cash on hand
• Zero debt covenants
• No forced selling pressure
💬 BitMine makes it clear: this is long-term accumulation, not a trade.
🔥 BITMINE ISN’T DONE BUYING THE DIP
Smart money keeps stacking while fear dominates the market.
#ETH #Ethereum #TomLee #BMNR #CryptoNews #OnChain #BuyTheDip
🚨Bitcoin Holders Capitulating? Yes But This Is the Final Flush
on chain data shows real capitulation from weak hands right now. Short term holders and leveraged positions are dumping as BTC tests lower levels
But here's the key This is textbook cycle behavior. Capitulation clears over leveraged players and exhausted sellers, creating the clean base for the next leg up
This isn't the end it's the reset
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Capitulation #OnChain #CryptoRebound
on chain data shows real capitulation from weak hands right now. Short term holders and leveraged positions are dumping as BTC tests lower levels
But here's the key This is textbook cycle behavior. Capitulation clears over leveraged players and exhausted sellers, creating the clean base for the next leg up
This isn't the end it's the reset
$BTC
#Bitcoin #Capitulation #OnChain #CryptoRebound
🚨 $XRP UTILITY EXPLOSION UNDER THE HOOD! 🚨
Selling pressure is LIES. On-chain metrics for $XRP Ledger are hitting ALL-TIME HIGHS in activity. Transactions are surging past two million daily!
• Network activity accelerating despite price weakness.
• Ripple pushing hard on institutional custody and staking upgrades.
• Increased volume directly correlates with institutional onboarding.
The infrastructure is being built NOW. Price action doesn't reflect the underlying utility growth. Expect major moves when sentiment flips.
#XRP #Ripple #OnChain #CryptoUtility 📈
Selling pressure is LIES. On-chain metrics for $XRP Ledger are hitting ALL-TIME HIGHS in activity. Transactions are surging past two million daily!
• Network activity accelerating despite price weakness.
• Ripple pushing hard on institutional custody and staking upgrades.
• Increased volume directly correlates with institutional onboarding.
The infrastructure is being built NOW. Price action doesn't reflect the underlying utility growth. Expect major moves when sentiment flips.
#XRP #Ripple #OnChain #CryptoUtility 📈
🔥 #WhaleDeRiskETH — نشط الآن
اللي قاعد يصير باختصار 👇
🐋 حيتان كبيرة بدأت تخفيف تعرضها على ETH
مو بيع ذعر … بل إعادة تموضع ذكية للمخاطر
📉 ماذا يعني De-Risk؟
تقليل الرافعة المالية
تحويل جزء من ETH إلى:
Stablecoins
BTC
أو أصول أقل تقلبًا
استعداد لمرحلة تذبذب أو ضغط سعري قصير
⚠️ نقطة مهمة:
هذا السلوك غالبًا يسبق حدث:
بيانات اقتصادية
قرار فائدة
أو حركة مفاجئة في السوق
🧠 القراءة الصحيحة:
ليس إشارة انهيار
وليس إشارة صعود فوري
إشارة حذر ذكي من اللاعبين الكبار
💬 سؤال : هل تشوفها حركة حماية أرباح؟
أم استعداد لفرصة شراء أعمق؟
#WhaleActivity #CryptoMarket #RiskManagement #Onchain
اللي قاعد يصير باختصار 👇
🐋 حيتان كبيرة بدأت تخفيف تعرضها على ETH
مو بيع ذعر … بل إعادة تموضع ذكية للمخاطر
📉 ماذا يعني De-Risk؟
تقليل الرافعة المالية
تحويل جزء من ETH إلى:
Stablecoins
BTC
أو أصول أقل تقلبًا
استعداد لمرحلة تذبذب أو ضغط سعري قصير
⚠️ نقطة مهمة:
هذا السلوك غالبًا يسبق حدث:
بيانات اقتصادية
قرار فائدة
أو حركة مفاجئة في السوق
🧠 القراءة الصحيحة:
ليس إشارة انهيار
وليس إشارة صعود فوري
إشارة حذر ذكي من اللاعبين الكبار
💬 سؤال : هل تشوفها حركة حماية أرباح؟
أم استعداد لفرصة شراء أعمق؟
#WhaleActivity #CryptoMarket #RiskManagement #Onchain
🚨 $BTC UPDATE: BlackRock Moves Over $250M in BTC and ETH — No Signs of Panic Selling
In spite of sensationalist news, BlackRock has NOT unloaded cryptocurrency onto the market.
Tracking on the blockchain indicates notable fund transfers from BlackRock’s ETF wallets (IBIT & ETHA) into Coinbase Prime, their main platform for custody, execution, and settlement — not into retail trading platforms.
What has occurred in the last hour:
Multiple transfers of 300 BTC each from the IBIT Bitcoin ETF
More than 20,000 ETH moved from the ETHA Ethereum ETF
📦 Overall worth: $250M+
📍 Endpoint: Coinbase Prime (custody and settlement)
These activities are typical for ETFs, including:
Settlements with Authorized Participants (AP)
Redemption of funds
Adjustment of portfolio allocations
There are no indications on the blockchain suggesting immediate selling in the spot market.
Transfers to Coinbase Prime do not equate to forced sales on the market.
Thus, the key inquiry is:
Are we observing standard ETF fund activities — or is the market overreacting without confirming genuine sell pressure?
⚡️ Remain focused on the data.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoETFs #OnChain #WAGMI
$BTC
$ETH
In spite of sensationalist news, BlackRock has NOT unloaded cryptocurrency onto the market.
Tracking on the blockchain indicates notable fund transfers from BlackRock’s ETF wallets (IBIT & ETHA) into Coinbase Prime, their main platform for custody, execution, and settlement — not into retail trading platforms.
What has occurred in the last hour:
Multiple transfers of 300 BTC each from the IBIT Bitcoin ETF
More than 20,000 ETH moved from the ETHA Ethereum ETF
📦 Overall worth: $250M+
📍 Endpoint: Coinbase Prime (custody and settlement)
These activities are typical for ETFs, including:
Settlements with Authorized Participants (AP)
Redemption of funds
Adjustment of portfolio allocations
There are no indications on the blockchain suggesting immediate selling in the spot market.
Transfers to Coinbase Prime do not equate to forced sales on the market.
Thus, the key inquiry is:
Are we observing standard ETF fund activities — or is the market overreacting without confirming genuine sell pressure?
⚡️ Remain focused on the data.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoETFs #OnChain #WAGMI
$BTC
$ETH
Michaël van de Poppe's latest $ETH read centers on something most price-focused traders tend to overlook: the divergence between on-chain activity and market valuation. Stablecoin transaction volumes on Ethereum are expanding. Price isn't reflecting that yet.
According to van de Poppe, this specific combination—network utility growing ahead of price response—mirrors what Ethereum showed in 2019, months before a sustained reprice actually materialized.
What makes this worth paying attention to isn't the prediction itself, but the mechanism behind it. Stablecoin flows indicate real economic activity on the network. When that activity grows while price stays compressed, it suggests demand is building beneath the surface rather than evaporating.
The 2019 parallel isn't a guarantee. Patterns echo, they don't repeat exactly. But the structural similarity between then and now—accelerating network usage, flat price, early-cycle positioning—is the kind of divergence that tends to resolve in one direction eventually. Whether that resolution happens soon or months from now is the part nobody can time cleanly.
#Ethereum #ETH #Onchain #CryptoAnalysis #MarketCycles
According to van de Poppe, this specific combination—network utility growing ahead of price response—mirrors what Ethereum showed in 2019, months before a sustained reprice actually materialized.
What makes this worth paying attention to isn't the prediction itself, but the mechanism behind it. Stablecoin flows indicate real economic activity on the network. When that activity grows while price stays compressed, it suggests demand is building beneath the surface rather than evaporating.
The 2019 parallel isn't a guarantee. Patterns echo, they don't repeat exactly. But the structural similarity between then and now—accelerating network usage, flat price, early-cycle positioning—is the kind of divergence that tends to resolve in one direction eventually. Whether that resolution happens soon or months from now is the part nobody can time cleanly.
#Ethereum #ETH #Onchain #CryptoAnalysis #MarketCycles
Bitcoin Near a Historic Buy Zone💥
The Mayer Multiple just dropped to 0.65, a level not seen in four years 📉
Historically, this indicator has marked deep corrections — and some of the best long-term buying opportunities.
What it means:
⚡ BTC trading far below its 200-day average
⚡ Similar levels appeared near past cycle bottoms
⚡ Market psychology driven by fear, not fundamentals
Unlike 2022, today’s market has stronger institutional adoption, clearer regulations, and resilient network fundamentals. Still, risk management is key — DCA, sizing, and patience matter more than ever 🧠
Is $40K fear… or the setup of the next cycle?
Follow the page for deep crypto market insights
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #OnChain #bitinsider
The Mayer Multiple just dropped to 0.65, a level not seen in four years 📉
Historically, this indicator has marked deep corrections — and some of the best long-term buying opportunities.
What it means:
⚡ BTC trading far below its 200-day average
⚡ Similar levels appeared near past cycle bottoms
⚡ Market psychology driven by fear, not fundamentals
Unlike 2022, today’s market has stronger institutional adoption, clearer regulations, and resilient network fundamentals. Still, risk management is key — DCA, sizing, and patience matter more than ever 🧠
Is $40K fear… or the setup of the next cycle?
Follow the page for deep crypto market insights
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #OnChain #bitinsider
Before we start — a small but important note.
Everything written here is just the author’s personal thoughts and observations.
Not financial advice, not a call to action, not a signal.
Just analysis, logic, and a bit of common sense.
My only goal is simple:
to stop treating crypto investing like a casino
and finally admit that most of us here are just hamsters being fed to liquidity 🐹💸
Alright, let’s talk about $LYN.
If you look at this token the way most Telegram or YouTube “investors” do, it actually looks… decent:
— $15M+ raised from funds
— 2 million tokens sold at the IDO
— Twitter is not dead, there are followers
— interactions with other projects
— the chart looks like accumulation
— and of course, the classic thought: “this could go for multiples”
And sure — it’s crypto, anything is possible.
But then the real questions start.
Who is actually using this AI?
Where does the money come from?
Who pays for the product?
Why is the project valued at $146M?
What exactly justifies that number?
No clear answers.
So yeah… strange project.
Instead of guessing, let’s do the only reasonable thing:
look inside and see what’s actually going on under the hood 👀
On-chain.
#NILPUK #ONCHAIN #TEZER
Everything written here is just the author’s personal thoughts and observations.
Not financial advice, not a call to action, not a signal.
Just analysis, logic, and a bit of common sense.
My only goal is simple:
to stop treating crypto investing like a casino
and finally admit that most of us here are just hamsters being fed to liquidity 🐹💸
Alright, let’s talk about $LYN.
If you look at this token the way most Telegram or YouTube “investors” do, it actually looks… decent:
— $15M+ raised from funds
— 2 million tokens sold at the IDO
— Twitter is not dead, there are followers
— interactions with other projects
— the chart looks like accumulation
— and of course, the classic thought: “this could go for multiples”
And sure — it’s crypto, anything is possible.
But then the real questions start.
Who is actually using this AI?
Where does the money come from?
Who pays for the product?
Why is the project valued at $146M?
What exactly justifies that number?
No clear answers.
So yeah… strange project.
Instead of guessing, let’s do the only reasonable thing:
look inside and see what’s actually going on under the hood 👀
On-chain.
#NILPUK #ONCHAIN #TEZER
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