fedratedecisions
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Según el “FedWatch” de CME, hasta el cierre de ayer la probabilidad de que la Reserva Federal mantenga las tasas sin cambios en marzo subió a 94 %, mientras que la probabilidad de un recorte quedó en solo 6 %.
¿Por qué esto es un golpe bajista tan fuerte para el mercado accionario?
Porque las valoraciones actuales de Wall Street se sostienen sobre la narrativa de “aterrizaje suave + recorte de tasas a mitad de año”. Esta expectativa de un endurecimiento de la liquidez a nivel macro elimina por completo el impulso de corto plazo para que las acciones sigan subiendo.#FedRateDecisions #WallStreetNews #criptonews #cripto #news
¿Por qué esto es un golpe bajista tan fuerte para el mercado accionario?
Porque las valoraciones actuales de Wall Street se sostienen sobre la narrativa de “aterrizaje suave + recorte de tasas a mitad de año”. Esta expectativa de un endurecimiento de la liquidez a nivel macro elimina por completo el impulso de corto plazo para que las acciones sigan subiendo.#FedRateDecisions #WallStreetNews #criptonews #cripto #news
🚨 联邦基金利率解读 🚨
美联储降息仍有希望，但并不急于求成！ 📉
瑞银（UBS）最新观点：
即使就业数据强劲，通胀放缓 仍是主旋律，美联储降息大方向未变！⚖️
市场预期： 累计降息 50个基点 💰
首降时间： 锁定 7月 📅
$BTR $TAKE $ME
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #FedRateDecisions #USTechFundFlows #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USIranStandoff
美联储降息仍有希望，但并不急于求成！ 📉
瑞银（UBS）最新观点：
即使就业数据强劲，通胀放缓 仍是主旋律，美联储降息大方向未变！⚖️
市场预期： 累计降息 50个基点 💰
首降时间： 锁定 7月 📅
$BTR $TAKE $ME
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #FedRateDecisions #USTechFundFlows #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USIranStandoff
FED’S BOSTIC TAKES THE MIC IN 30 MINUTES.
HE’S KNOWN FOR DROPPING SUBTLE CLUES ABOUT WHAT THE FED DOES NEXT.
MARKETS ARE LISTENING. EVERY WORD MATTERS 👀$BTC #FedRateDecisions
HE’S KNOWN FOR DROPPING SUBTLE CLUES ABOUT WHAT THE FED DOES NEXT.
MARKETS ARE LISTENING. EVERY WORD MATTERS 👀$BTC #FedRateDecisions
#FedRateDecisions 🚨 LIQUIDITY WARNING SIGNAL 🚨
$DUSK
Macro expert Lyn Alden says the Fed is likely to keep expanding its balance sheet, tracking the growth of bank assets and nominal GDP.
What does that really mean? 👇 $AXS
More money printing
More bond buying
More liquidity flowing into the system
Historically, liquidity expansion = tailwind for risk assets.
When the Fed prints, hard assets don’t stay quiet for long.
Eyes on the balance sheet.
The printer may not be done yet. 👀📈 $AGT
$DUSK
Macro expert Lyn Alden says the Fed is likely to keep expanding its balance sheet, tracking the growth of bank assets and nominal GDP.
What does that really mean? 👇 $AXS
More money printing
More bond buying
More liquidity flowing into the system
Historically, liquidity expansion = tailwind for risk assets.
When the Fed prints, hard assets don’t stay quiet for long.
Eyes on the balance sheet.
The printer may not be done yet. 👀📈 $AGT
IS THE FED ALREADY TOO LATE FOR RATE CUTS?
Truflation is showing US inflation near 0.68% while layoffs, credit defaults, and bankruptcies are all rising, yet the Fed still says the economy is strong.
If you look at the economy right now and compare it with what the Fed is saying publicly, there is a very clear disconnect building.
The Fed keeps repeating that the job market is still strong. But real data coming out from layoffs, hiring slowdowns, and wage trends is telling a different story.
We are already seeing cracks forming beneath the surface. The labor market is not collapsing overnight, but it is clearly weakening faster than what official statements suggest.
The same disconnect shows up in inflation data.
The Fed continues to say inflation is still sticky and not fully under control. But real time inflation trackers like Truflation are now showing inflation running close to 0.68%.
$XRP
That level is not signaling overheating.
It is signaling that price pressures are cooling rapidly and the economy is moving closer toward disinflation and potentially deflation if the trend continues.
And deflation is a much bigger risk than inflation. Inflation slows spending but deflation stops spending. When consumers expect prices to fall, they delay purchases, businesses cut production, margins shrink, and layoffs accelerate.
That is when economic slowdowns turn into deeper recessions.
Another area flashing warning signs is credit stress. Credit card delinquencies are rising. Auto loan defaults are rising. Corporate credit stress is rising.
These are late cycle signals that usually appear when households and businesses are already struggling with higher rates.
Bankruptcies are also moving higher across sectors.
This shows that the cost of capital is starting to break weaker balance sheets. Small businesses and over-leveraged companies are feeling the pressure first but that pressure spreads if policy stays tight for too long.
So the bigger question becomes policy timing.
If inflation is already cooling…
If the labor market is already weakening…
If credit stress is already rising…
Then holding rates restrictive for too long can amplify the slowdown instead of stabilizing it.
Monetary policy works with a lag. Which means by the time the Fed reacts to confirmed weakness in lagging data, the damage is often already done.
That is the risk the market is starting to price in now. This is no longer just about inflation control.
It is about whether policy is now overtight relative to real-time economic conditions.
And if that is the case, then the next phase of the cycle will not be driven by inflation fears… It will be driven by growth fears and policy reversal expectations.
That is why the Is the Fed too late? question is starting to matter more for markets going into the next few months.
#WarshFedPolicyOutlook #FedRateDecisions #FedRateCut
If you look at the economy right now and compare it with what the Fed is saying publicly, there is a very clear disconnect building.
The Fed keeps repeating that the job market is still strong. But real data coming out from layoffs, hiring slowdowns, and wage trends is telling a different story.
We are already seeing cracks forming beneath the surface. The labor market is not collapsing overnight, but it is clearly weakening faster than what official statements suggest.
The same disconnect shows up in inflation data.
The Fed continues to say inflation is still sticky and not fully under control. But real time inflation trackers like Truflation are now showing inflation running close to 0.68%.
$XRP
That level is not signaling overheating.
It is signaling that price pressures are cooling rapidly and the economy is moving closer toward disinflation and potentially deflation if the trend continues.
And deflation is a much bigger risk than inflation. Inflation slows spending but deflation stops spending. When consumers expect prices to fall, they delay purchases, businesses cut production, margins shrink, and layoffs accelerate.
That is when economic slowdowns turn into deeper recessions.
Another area flashing warning signs is credit stress. Credit card delinquencies are rising. Auto loan defaults are rising. Corporate credit stress is rising.
These are late cycle signals that usually appear when households and businesses are already struggling with higher rates.
Bankruptcies are also moving higher across sectors.
This shows that the cost of capital is starting to break weaker balance sheets. Small businesses and over-leveraged companies are feeling the pressure first but that pressure spreads if policy stays tight for too long.
So the bigger question becomes policy timing.
If inflation is already cooling…
If the labor market is already weakening…
If credit stress is already rising…
Then holding rates restrictive for too long can amplify the slowdown instead of stabilizing it.
Monetary policy works with a lag. Which means by the time the Fed reacts to confirmed weakness in lagging data, the damage is often already done.
That is the risk the market is starting to price in now. This is no longer just about inflation control.
It is about whether policy is now overtight relative to real-time economic conditions.
And if that is the case, then the next phase of the cycle will not be driven by inflation fears… It will be driven by growth fears and policy reversal expectations.
That is why the Is the Fed too late? question is starting to matter more for markets going into the next few months.
#WarshFedPolicyOutlook #FedRateDecisions #FedRateCut
#WarshFedPolicyOutlook 🚨NEXT WEEK'S SCHEDULE IS GIGA VOLATILE! $ASTER
MONDAY → FOMC PRESIDENT ANNOUNCEMENT
TUESDAY → FED MONEY INJECTION ($8.3 BILLION)
WEDNESDAY → FEDERAL BUDGET BALANCE
THURSDAY → FED BALANCE SHEET
FRIDAY → U.S. ECONOMIC SURVEY
SATURDAY → CHINA MONEY SUPPLY DATA
SUNDAY → JAPAN GDP $AIO
GET READY FOR THE BIGGEST WEEK OF 2026!! $DUSK
#ADPDataDisappoints #FedRateDecisions
MONDAY → FOMC PRESIDENT ANNOUNCEMENT
TUESDAY → FED MONEY INJECTION ($8.3 BILLION)
WEDNESDAY → FEDERAL BUDGET BALANCE
THURSDAY → FED BALANCE SHEET
FRIDAY → U.S. ECONOMIC SURVEY
SATURDAY → CHINA MONEY SUPPLY DATA
SUNDAY → JAPAN GDP $AIO
GET READY FOR THE BIGGEST WEEK OF 2026!! $DUSK
#ADPDataDisappoints #FedRateDecisions
🇺🇸 TRUMP ON HIS FED PICK: “I HOPE HE LOWERS RATES”🥳 $BTC
👀Trump says Kevin Warsh is “so good” he may receive Democrat votes.💯$ZK
"I hope he's going to lower rates."📈
“He has to do what he wants to do.”🚀🚀
$PAXG
#WhenWillBTCRebound #TRUMP #WhoIsNextFedChair #FedRateDecisions #MarketCorrection
👀Trump says Kevin Warsh is “so good” he may receive Democrat votes.💯$ZK
"I hope he's going to lower rates."📈
“He has to do what he wants to do.”🚀🚀
$PAXG
#WhenWillBTCRebound #TRUMP #WhoIsNextFedChair #FedRateDecisions #MarketCorrection
$BTC Lets Goooooo 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
Economic activity has continued in solid space
Powell Will retain 2% Inflation Goal
BTC 110K 💥💥💥
#Write2Earn #FedRateDecisions #BinanceAlphaAlert #TrumpCryptoSupport $ETH $TRUMP
Economic activity has continued in solid space
Powell Will retain 2% Inflation Goal
BTC 110K 💥💥💥
#Write2Earn #FedRateDecisions #BinanceAlphaAlert #TrumpCryptoSupport $ETH $TRUMP
🔥Fed Rate Cuts Prediction ! 2025 💡
Franklin Templeton anticipates that the Federal Reserve may implement one or two interest rate cuts in 2025. This projection aligns with recent developments indicating a more cautious approach by the Fed. Notably, the median expectation has shifted to just 0.5 percentage points of cuts in 2025, down from a full 1% projected earlier.
Additionally, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond is approaching 5%, a level not seen since April. This increase is attracting investor attention, as higher yields can make bonds more appealing compared to stocks.
Recent economic data has influenced these expectations. In December 2024, U.S. job growth unexpectedly surged, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 256,000 jobs, significantly surpassing the forecast of 160,000. The unemployment rate decreased to 4.1% from 4.2% in November. This robust performance suggests that the labor market is strong, causing the Federal Reserve to maintain its cautious approach to interest rate cuts in 2025.
Investors are now closely monitoring upcoming inflation reports, as higher-than-expected inflation could further influence the Fed's policy decisions. The December consumer price index (CPI) report, scheduled for release on January 15, is particularly anticipated.
In summary, while Franklin Templeton foresees potential rate cuts in 2025, recent economic indicators and the Fed's cautious stance suggest that any reductions may be limited, with only one or two cuts likely.
#FedRateDecisions #USPPITrends #Write2Earn $BTC $XRP $ETH
Franklin Templeton anticipates that the Federal Reserve may implement one or two interest rate cuts in 2025. This projection aligns with recent developments indicating a more cautious approach by the Fed. Notably, the median expectation has shifted to just 0.5 percentage points of cuts in 2025, down from a full 1% projected earlier.
Additionally, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond is approaching 5%, a level not seen since April. This increase is attracting investor attention, as higher yields can make bonds more appealing compared to stocks.
Recent economic data has influenced these expectations. In December 2024, U.S. job growth unexpectedly surged, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 256,000 jobs, significantly surpassing the forecast of 160,000. The unemployment rate decreased to 4.1% from 4.2% in November. This robust performance suggests that the labor market is strong, causing the Federal Reserve to maintain its cautious approach to interest rate cuts in 2025.
Investors are now closely monitoring upcoming inflation reports, as higher-than-expected inflation could further influence the Fed's policy decisions. The December consumer price index (CPI) report, scheduled for release on January 15, is particularly anticipated.
In summary, while Franklin Templeton foresees potential rate cuts in 2025, recent economic indicators and the Fed's cautious stance suggest that any reductions may be limited, with only one or two cuts likely.
#FedRateDecisions #USPPITrends #Write2Earn $BTC $XRP $ETH
Današ. D/I
2025-01-14
+$48,78
+2.85%
Fed’s Shocking Move-Fed Holds Rates! Inflation Up, Growth Down – What Now?
🔥 Market Shock: Fed Holds Rates Steady – What’s Next?⚠️ Fed Freezes Rates,
Fed Stays Cautious While Inflation Rises! 🚨 Fed’s Big Decision: No Cuts, But Trouble Ahead?
Before I begin...🔥I'll likely make👉 my content private soon, and my content will show only to my followers. so make sure to follow me here , so u won't miss this and my future content.
—The Federal Reserve just announced that it will keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25-4.5% 📉, meaning borrowing costs remain the same... for now. But here’s the twist – they raised their inflation outlook while lowering growth expectations for 2025. 🤯
—This signals that the economy isn’t as strong as some hoped, and inflation is still a bigger problem than expected. The Fed is now playing it safe, watching the situation closely before making any big moves. Will they cut rates later this year, or is more pain ahead? ⚠️
—For traders, this means uncertainty is the name of the game. Stocks, crypto, and forex markets could see wild swings as investors try to predict what’s next. Are we heading for a recession, or will the Fed pull off a soft landing? 🚀📉
—Why Follow My Analysis?💥👇👇 ✅ I’ll be sharing VIP signals for free, Crypto News, Latest Insights, and along with chart breakdowns and updates to help you stay ahead of market moves. Don’t miss out on these expert insights designed to give you an edge.
#FedWatch #FedRateDecisions #fomcmeeting #FedNoRateCut #FedMeeting
What’s your move in this market? Bullish or bearish? Let’s discuss in the comments! ⬇️🔥$BTC $ETH
Fed Stays Cautious While Inflation Rises! 🚨 Fed’s Big Decision: No Cuts, But Trouble Ahead?
Before I begin...🔥I'll likely make👉 my content private soon, and my content will show only to my followers. so make sure to follow me here , so u won't miss this and my future content.
—The Federal Reserve just announced that it will keep interest rates unchanged at 4.25-4.5% 📉, meaning borrowing costs remain the same... for now. But here’s the twist – they raised their inflation outlook while lowering growth expectations for 2025. 🤯
—This signals that the economy isn’t as strong as some hoped, and inflation is still a bigger problem than expected. The Fed is now playing it safe, watching the situation closely before making any big moves. Will they cut rates later this year, or is more pain ahead? ⚠️
—For traders, this means uncertainty is the name of the game. Stocks, crypto, and forex markets could see wild swings as investors try to predict what’s next. Are we heading for a recession, or will the Fed pull off a soft landing? 🚀📉
—Why Follow My Analysis?💥👇👇 ✅ I’ll be sharing VIP signals for free, Crypto News, Latest Insights, and along with chart breakdowns and updates to help you stay ahead of market moves. Don’t miss out on these expert insights designed to give you an edge.
#FedWatch #FedRateDecisions #fomcmeeting #FedNoRateCut #FedMeeting
What’s your move in this market? Bullish or bearish? Let’s discuss in the comments! ⬇️🔥$BTC $ETH
🚨 قرار الفيدرالي هذا الأربعاء – هل سنشهد رفعًا، خفضًا، أم توقفًا جديدًا؟
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 التوقعات:
✅ بعض المحللين يتوقعون خفضًا في أسعار الفائدة بسبب تباطؤ الاقتصاد الأمريكي
✅ آخرون يرون أن الفيدرالي قد يبقي الأسعار دون تغيير حتى تتضح تأثيرات التضخم والسياسات التجارية
✅ هناك احتمال ضعيف لرفع الفائدة، لكن ذلك يعتمد على بيانات التضخم الأخيرة
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📌 لماذا هذا مهم؟
🔹 يؤثر القرار على أسواق الأسهم والعملات المشفرة
🔹 قد يكون مؤشرًا على اتجاه الاقتصاد الأمريكي في الأشهر القادمة
🔹 المستثمرون يترقبون القرار لتحديد استراتيجياتهم المالية
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📈 انعكاسات على السوق:
💰 خفض الفائدة قد يدفع الأسواق المالية للصعود
⚖️ التوقف عن الخفض قد يعكس حذر الفيدرالي بشأن التضخم
💡 رفع الفائدة قد يؤدي إلى تقلبات في الأسواق
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📍 ما رأيك؟ هل تتوقع خفضًا أم استمرار التوقف؟
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
LEGENDARY_007
#CryptoNewss #LEGENDARY_007 #FedRateDecisions
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 التوقعات:
✅ بعض المحللين يتوقعون خفضًا في أسعار الفائدة بسبب تباطؤ الاقتصاد الأمريكي
✅ آخرون يرون أن الفيدرالي قد يبقي الأسعار دون تغيير حتى تتضح تأثيرات التضخم والسياسات التجارية
✅ هناك احتمال ضعيف لرفع الفائدة، لكن ذلك يعتمد على بيانات التضخم الأخيرة
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📌 لماذا هذا مهم؟
🔹 يؤثر القرار على أسواق الأسهم والعملات المشفرة
🔹 قد يكون مؤشرًا على اتجاه الاقتصاد الأمريكي في الأشهر القادمة
🔹 المستثمرون يترقبون القرار لتحديد استراتيجياتهم المالية
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📈 انعكاسات على السوق:
💰 خفض الفائدة قد يدفع الأسواق المالية للصعود
⚖️ التوقف عن الخفض قد يعكس حذر الفيدرالي بشأن التضخم
💡 رفع الفائدة قد يؤدي إلى تقلبات في الأسواق
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📍 ما رأيك؟ هل تتوقع خفضًا أم استمرار التوقف؟
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
LEGENDARY_007
#CryptoNewss #LEGENDARY_007 #FedRateDecisions
Here is My bold Analysis in this Situation.
As you can see, stocks and crypto have already dropped significantly. If there are no rate cuts, stocks may decline further, which could also weaken the U.S. economy—something the country wants to avoid.
In my opinion, we might see a slight rate cut if the U.S. makes a wise decision. So, while most people expect no rate cut, I believe there’s a chance we could see one.
#ratecuts #FedRateDecisions
As you can see, stocks and crypto have already dropped significantly. If there are no rate cuts, stocks may decline further, which could also weaken the U.S. economy—something the country wants to avoid.
In my opinion, we might see a slight rate cut if the U.S. makes a wise decision. So, while most people expect no rate cut, I believe there’s a chance we could see one.
#ratecuts #FedRateDecisions
✅ URGENT! Key points from #FOMC meeting today:
1. Economy is in a solid position
2. During summer we will see the data which shows how much tariffs effect inflation and based on that decide our further set of actions
3. Labor market and unemployment rates are good for now but expecting some weakness during summer
4. FED stays on the course of their actions, they are very forward-looking and don't want to take immediate steps of changing policy until they see their goal of inflation and labor market data to be met
5. They are making buyouts of treasuries to show they are good guys - translation is wait some more buyouts of treasuries during summer
What I think (not financial advice):
1. During summer no changes in FED policy and QT won't fully end until September at least
2. Crypto prices will surge even without FED rate cuts
3. Pawel is well-positioned and guy is just doing his job to make sure economy is in a normal condition
4. We are getting close to final phase of bull run, so be prepared
#FedRateDecisions
1. Economy is in a solid position
2. During summer we will see the data which shows how much tariffs effect inflation and based on that decide our further set of actions
3. Labor market and unemployment rates are good for now but expecting some weakness during summer
4. FED stays on the course of their actions, they are very forward-looking and don't want to take immediate steps of changing policy until they see their goal of inflation and labor market data to be met
5. They are making buyouts of treasuries to show they are good guys - translation is wait some more buyouts of treasuries during summer
What I think (not financial advice):
1. During summer no changes in FED policy and QT won't fully end until September at least
2. Crypto prices will surge even without FED rate cuts
3. Pawel is well-positioned and guy is just doing his job to make sure economy is in a normal condition
4. We are getting close to final phase of bull run, so be prepared
#FedRateDecisions
Riesgo reputacional ¡Eliminado! La (FED) ya hablo.
#FedRateDecisions
La decisión de la Junta de la Reserva Federal (Fed) de eliminar el “riesgo reputacional” como componente de los programas de supervisión bancaria marca un giro estratégico profundo que también podría tener repercusiones directas e indirectas sobre el ecosistema cripto.
A continuación, te explico las implicaciones claves:
🧨 1. Mayor libertad para que bancos interactúen con empresas cripto
Eliminar el "riesgo reputacional" —que antes era una herramienta para justificar vetos a ciertas industrias— abre la puerta a que los bancos trabajen con exchanges, emisores de stablecoins y plataformas DeFi sin temor a represalias regulatorias.
➡️ Esto desmantela barreras no escritas que limitaban el acceso al sistema financiero tradicional por parte del mundo cripto.
🟢 Positivo para: USDC, Tether, bancos cripto-friendly, Coinbase, Circle, etc.
🏦 2. Bancos ya no podrán discriminar industrias "políticamente incorrectas"
El “riesgo reputacional” se utilizó para bloquear acceso bancario a industrias como el cannabis, juegos de azar, armas y, por supuesto, criptomonedas, sin necesidad de una base legal sólida.
Al desaparecer este criterio:
Las decisiones deberán basarse en riesgos financieros reales, no en prejuicios institucionales.Stablecoins, plataformas P2P y pools DeFi institucionales podrían recibir un trato más justo.
🚨 3. Posible efecto dominó global
Cuando la Fed cambia las reglas, otros bancos centrales observan.
Esto puede provocar:
Reevaluación de marcos regulatorios en Europa y Asia.Mayor presión sobre el BIS (Banco de Pagos Internacionales) y el FMI para permitir innovación en pagos digitales descentralizados.
🧠 4. Riesgos: bancos podrían ahora asumir relaciones con entidades de reputación dudosa
No todo es positivo. Sin el filtro reputacional:
Algunos bancos podrían vincularse con actores maliciosos disfrazados de innovadores Web3.Esto podría abrir la puerta a más casos de lavado de dinero, si no se refuerza la debida diligencia técnica (KYC/AML).
🧬 Conclusión objetiva y estratégica:
📌 Esta medida es una victoria indirecta para las criptomonedas que luchan por integrarse en la economía tradicional. Aunque aún falta regulación clara, la Fed acaba de retirar una barrera silenciosa que mantenía a muchas empresas Web3 en la sombra.
¿Estamos viendo el inicio de una nueva etapa en la integración entre banca tradicional y cripto?
¿Podría esto acelerar la adopción de stablecoins bancarias o institucionales?
$XRP
La decisión de la Junta de la Reserva Federal (Fed) de eliminar el “riesgo reputacional” como componente de los programas de supervisión bancaria marca un giro estratégico profundo que también podría tener repercusiones directas e indirectas sobre el ecosistema cripto.
A continuación, te explico las implicaciones claves:
🧨 1. Mayor libertad para que bancos interactúen con empresas cripto
Eliminar el "riesgo reputacional" —que antes era una herramienta para justificar vetos a ciertas industrias— abre la puerta a que los bancos trabajen con exchanges, emisores de stablecoins y plataformas DeFi sin temor a represalias regulatorias.
➡️ Esto desmantela barreras no escritas que limitaban el acceso al sistema financiero tradicional por parte del mundo cripto.
🟢 Positivo para: USDC, Tether, bancos cripto-friendly, Coinbase, Circle, etc.
🏦 2. Bancos ya no podrán discriminar industrias "políticamente incorrectas"
El “riesgo reputacional” se utilizó para bloquear acceso bancario a industrias como el cannabis, juegos de azar, armas y, por supuesto, criptomonedas, sin necesidad de una base legal sólida.
Al desaparecer este criterio:
Las decisiones deberán basarse en riesgos financieros reales, no en prejuicios institucionales.Stablecoins, plataformas P2P y pools DeFi institucionales podrían recibir un trato más justo.
🚨 3. Posible efecto dominó global
Cuando la Fed cambia las reglas, otros bancos centrales observan.
Esto puede provocar:
Reevaluación de marcos regulatorios en Europa y Asia.Mayor presión sobre el BIS (Banco de Pagos Internacionales) y el FMI para permitir innovación en pagos digitales descentralizados.
🧠 4. Riesgos: bancos podrían ahora asumir relaciones con entidades de reputación dudosa
No todo es positivo. Sin el filtro reputacional:
Algunos bancos podrían vincularse con actores maliciosos disfrazados de innovadores Web3.Esto podría abrir la puerta a más casos de lavado de dinero, si no se refuerza la debida diligencia técnica (KYC/AML).
🧬 Conclusión objetiva y estratégica:
📌 Esta medida es una victoria indirecta para las criptomonedas que luchan por integrarse en la economía tradicional. Aunque aún falta regulación clara, la Fed acaba de retirar una barrera silenciosa que mantenía a muchas empresas Web3 en la sombra.
¿Estamos viendo el inicio de una nueva etapa en la integración entre banca tradicional y cripto?
¿Podría esto acelerar la adopción de stablecoins bancarias o institucionales?
$XRP
Trump ke Tariff Claims aur Powell ki Chinta: Inflation Debate ka Jaiza
Assalam-o-Alaikum, crypto doston aur economic sochne walon! Aaj main aapko ek bohot bada topic discuss karna chahti hoon jo social media par aur uss se bhi zyada charcha mein hai: President Trump ka ye bold statement ke tariffs ne inflation par “zero” asar nahi kiya, aur unka Jerome Powell ko rate cut karne ka zor dar call. Yeh baat July 8, 2025 ko share hui, aur yeh ab ek storm sa ban gaya hai. Main aapko latest insights ke sath iska breakdown deti hoon. Chalo, facts, debate, aur yeh humare crypto aur global economy ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, sab explore karte hain!
The Claim: Tariffs aur “Zero” Inflation Impact
President Trump$TRUMP ka kehna hai ke January 2025 se lagaaye gaye tariffs ne inflation par koi asar nahi daala. Woh toh Powell ko “whining like a baby about non-existent inflation” tak keh rahe hain aur rate cut ki demand kar rahe hain. Yeh statement tab aur bhi bold lagta hai jab aaj, July 9, 2025 ko 90-day tariff pause khatam ho raha hai, jiss se naye trade policies shuru ho sakte hain.
Mujhe jo maloom hua, ek 2023 ke National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) study se thori support milti hai Trump ke point ko. Yeh study kehta hai ke tariffs ka U.S. inflation par direct asar limited hai, sirf 0.1% se 0.4% ka increase, kyunki businesses supply chains adjust kar lete hain. Yeh Trump ke argument ko thodi himmat de sakta hai—tariffs itna bada inflation ka darpoka nahi jitna log samajhte hain.
The Counterargument: Powell ki Hoshyari
Lekin Jerome Powell aur Federal Reserve is “zero impact” wali baat se mutabiq nahi hain. Recent data se, JPMorganChase Institute (2025) ke mutabiq, mid-sized U.S. businesses ko tariffs ki wajah se $82.3 billion extra costs face karna pad rahe hain. Yeh costs consumers tak ja sakte hain, jo indirectly prices ko upar le ja sakte hain—ek point jo Powell ne Fed statements mein stress kiya hai. May 2025 mein U.S. inflation rate 2.4% hai (Labor Department data), jo Fed ke 2% target se upar hai, jiss se Powell ko rates ko 4.4% par steady rakhne ka reason milta hai.
Powell ki chinta 2022 ke Fed ke success se bhi juri hai, jab unhone 9% se inflation ko 2.4% tak control kiya tha aggressive rate hikes se. Woh shayad tariff situation ka wait kar rahe hain, khas tor par aaj 90-day pause khatam hone ke baad. Ek report (July 5, 2025) ke mutabiq, experts jaise Goldman Sachs ke John Waldron ko yeh lagta hai ke agar tariffs badhe toh is summer mein zyada inflation aa sakti hai.
The Economic Ripples Effects
Yeh clash sirf political drama nahi hai—yeh markets ko hila raha hai. U.S. dollar March 2025 se 5% weak ho chuka hai (ek report ke mutabiq), partly tariff uncertainties aur Trump ke Fed pressure ki wajah se. Hum crypto walon ke liye yeh ek game-changer ho sakta hai. Weak dollar aksar Bitcoin aur altcoins ko boost karta hai jab investors hedges dhundte hain, aur Trump ka pro-crypto stance isme aur mazbooti deta hai.
Lekin Powell ka rate cut na karna yeh bullish scenario ko delay kar sakta hai. Agar Fed zyada wait karega aur recession aa gaya (jaise ek warning mein kaha gaya, July 7, 2025), toh emergency cuts aane par majboor ho sakte hain. Trump apni marzi manwa sakte hain, lekin timing thodi messy ho sakti hai.
Mera Nazariya: Balance se Kaam Lena
Jaisa ke main Binance Square par yeh track kar rahai hoon, mujhe dono sides samajh aati hain. Trump ka tariff push shayad directly inflation nahi badhata, lekin indirect costs ko nazar andaaz karna mushkil hai. Powell ka “wait-and-see” approach data ke hisab se theek hai, lekin agar tariffs ne heat badhaya toh unki zid growth ko rok sakti hai. Crypto holders ke liye yeh ek watch-and-trade moment hai—dollar trends aur Fed announcements par nazar rakho.
Aap kya sochte hain? Kya Powell ko ab rate cut kar dena chahiye, ya Trump tariff impact ko oversimplify kar rahe hain? Apne views niche comment mein daalein, aur chalo discuss karte hain ke yeh humare crypto portfolios ko kaise shape kar sakta hai. Informed rahein, aagey rahein—happy trading!
#TrumpTariffs #JeromePowel #FedRateDecisions #InflationDebate #CryptoMarket
$TRUMP
$BTC
The Claim: Tariffs aur “Zero” Inflation Impact
President Trump$TRUMP ka kehna hai ke January 2025 se lagaaye gaye tariffs ne inflation par koi asar nahi daala. Woh toh Powell ko “whining like a baby about non-existent inflation” tak keh rahe hain aur rate cut ki demand kar rahe hain. Yeh statement tab aur bhi bold lagta hai jab aaj, July 9, 2025 ko 90-day tariff pause khatam ho raha hai, jiss se naye trade policies shuru ho sakte hain.
Mujhe jo maloom hua, ek 2023 ke National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) study se thori support milti hai Trump ke point ko. Yeh study kehta hai ke tariffs ka U.S. inflation par direct asar limited hai, sirf 0.1% se 0.4% ka increase, kyunki businesses supply chains adjust kar lete hain. Yeh Trump ke argument ko thodi himmat de sakta hai—tariffs itna bada inflation ka darpoka nahi jitna log samajhte hain.
The Counterargument: Powell ki Hoshyari
Lekin Jerome Powell aur Federal Reserve is “zero impact” wali baat se mutabiq nahi hain. Recent data se, JPMorganChase Institute (2025) ke mutabiq, mid-sized U.S. businesses ko tariffs ki wajah se $82.3 billion extra costs face karna pad rahe hain. Yeh costs consumers tak ja sakte hain, jo indirectly prices ko upar le ja sakte hain—ek point jo Powell ne Fed statements mein stress kiya hai. May 2025 mein U.S. inflation rate 2.4% hai (Labor Department data), jo Fed ke 2% target se upar hai, jiss se Powell ko rates ko 4.4% par steady rakhne ka reason milta hai.
Powell ki chinta 2022 ke Fed ke success se bhi juri hai, jab unhone 9% se inflation ko 2.4% tak control kiya tha aggressive rate hikes se. Woh shayad tariff situation ka wait kar rahe hain, khas tor par aaj 90-day pause khatam hone ke baad. Ek report (July 5, 2025) ke mutabiq, experts jaise Goldman Sachs ke John Waldron ko yeh lagta hai ke agar tariffs badhe toh is summer mein zyada inflation aa sakti hai.
The Economic Ripples Effects
Yeh clash sirf political drama nahi hai—yeh markets ko hila raha hai. U.S. dollar March 2025 se 5% weak ho chuka hai (ek report ke mutabiq), partly tariff uncertainties aur Trump ke Fed pressure ki wajah se. Hum crypto walon ke liye yeh ek game-changer ho sakta hai. Weak dollar aksar Bitcoin aur altcoins ko boost karta hai jab investors hedges dhundte hain, aur Trump ka pro-crypto stance isme aur mazbooti deta hai.
Lekin Powell ka rate cut na karna yeh bullish scenario ko delay kar sakta hai. Agar Fed zyada wait karega aur recession aa gaya (jaise ek warning mein kaha gaya, July 7, 2025), toh emergency cuts aane par majboor ho sakte hain. Trump apni marzi manwa sakte hain, lekin timing thodi messy ho sakti hai.
Mera Nazariya: Balance se Kaam Lena
Jaisa ke main Binance Square par yeh track kar rahai hoon, mujhe dono sides samajh aati hain. Trump ka tariff push shayad directly inflation nahi badhata, lekin indirect costs ko nazar andaaz karna mushkil hai. Powell ka “wait-and-see” approach data ke hisab se theek hai, lekin agar tariffs ne heat badhaya toh unki zid growth ko rok sakti hai. Crypto holders ke liye yeh ek watch-and-trade moment hai—dollar trends aur Fed announcements par nazar rakho.
Aap kya sochte hain? Kya Powell ko ab rate cut kar dena chahiye, ya Trump tariff impact ko oversimplify kar rahe hain? Apne views niche comment mein daalein, aur chalo discuss karte hain ke yeh humare crypto portfolios ko kaise shape kar sakta hai. Informed rahein, aagey rahein—happy trading!
#TrumpTariffs #JeromePowel #FedRateDecisions #InflationDebate #CryptoMarket
$TRUMP
$BTC
I might be completely wrong, but my intuition tells me there's some manipulation in the data. On March 12, we received CPI data that came in below the forecast, which hasn’t happened in nearly 10 months—the last time was in August 2024. Every other month, the data has either matched or exceeded the forecast. This was a bullish signal for crypto, yet we didn’t see any major movements.
On March 13, the PPI data also came in bullish for crypto, but again, the market barely reacted.
Today, March 14, unemployment data was once again favorable for crypto, and this time, we did see some market movements.
Now, the focus shifts to March 19. I don’t expect a Fed rate cut. However, the market could still rally, similar to December, when we saw a 25 bps cut, but the market reacted in the opposite direction. Given this setup, I suspect that manipulation is happening at a much higher level than in the past four years.
That said, before any potential rally, we might witness another bloodbath in the market.
#MarketRebound #FedRateDecisions #TRUMP
On March 13, the PPI data also came in bullish for crypto, but again, the market barely reacted.
Today, March 14, unemployment data was once again favorable for crypto, and this time, we did see some market movements.
Now, the focus shifts to March 19. I don’t expect a Fed rate cut. However, the market could still rally, similar to December, when we saw a 25 bps cut, but the market reacted in the opposite direction. Given this setup, I suspect that manipulation is happening at a much higher level than in the past four years.
That said, before any potential rally, we might witness another bloodbath in the market.
#MarketRebound #FedRateDecisions #TRUMP
Bitcoin Price Drops 5% Amid U.S. Bitcoin Reserve Shock
The bitcoin price, which has doubled since this time last year, fell by 5% as traders brace for a September shock following U.S. President Donald Trump dropping a $12.2 trillion bombshell.
Bitcoin’s bearish reversal comes as U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed that the U.S. holds far fewer bitcoin than previously thought—putting the government’s bitcoin reserves at just "$15 billion to $20 billion", well below earlier estimates of over $23 billion.
This figure was mentioned as Bessent appeared to rule out buying more bitcoin for the strategic reserve promised by President Trump, saying instead:$BNB
> “We’re not going to be buying that, but we are going to use confiscated assets and continue to build that up. We’re going to stop selling that,”
– Bessent, in an interview with Fox Business.
Estimates from sources like Arkham Intelligence suggest the U.S. may hold close to 200,000 BTC, yet Bessent’s comments imply the real figure might be closer to 30,000 BTC.
Later, Bessent clarified on X (formerly Twitter):
> “Treasury is committed to exploring budget-neutral pathways to acquire more bitcoin… the forfeited BTC forms the foundation of the strategic reserve President Trump established in his March executive order.”
---
08/16 Update: Fed Rate Cuts Incoming?
Bessent also stated the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, mirroring a surprise 2024 rate cut that previously boosted bitcoin’s price.
> “There’s a very good chance of a 50 basis-point rate cut. Rates are too constrictive. We should probably be 150 to 175 basis points lower,” $BTC
– Bessent, to Bloomberg.
Markets now price in a 92% probability of a 25 basis-point cut, per CME’s FedWatch. This macro optimism continues to fuel crypto markets.
---
White House Crypto Strategy
White House crypto czar David Sacks confirmed that Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick will decide on acquiring additional BTC via “budget-neutral” methods, such as selling gold reserves.
The reserve was created following a Trump campaign promise made during the Bitcoin 2024 Conference.
Meanwhile, Senator Cynthia Lummis has expressed concern over reports that the U.S. may have sold 80% of its BTC, potentially leaving just ~29,000 coins:
> “If true, this is a total strategic blunder and sets the United States back years in the bitcoin race.”
If accurate, this would push the U.S. to 4th place globally behind:
🇨🇳 China – 194,000 BTC
🇬🇧 UK – 61,000 BTC
🇺🇦 Ukraine – 46,000 BTC
🇧🇹 Bhutan – 13,000 BTC
---
#BTC #HOTJULYPPI #BitcoinReserve #CryptoNew #TRUMP #FedRateDecisions
Bitcoin’s bearish reversal comes as U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed that the U.S. holds far fewer bitcoin than previously thought—putting the government’s bitcoin reserves at just "$15 billion to $20 billion", well below earlier estimates of over $23 billion.
This figure was mentioned as Bessent appeared to rule out buying more bitcoin for the strategic reserve promised by President Trump, saying instead:$BNB
> “We’re not going to be buying that, but we are going to use confiscated assets and continue to build that up. We’re going to stop selling that,”
– Bessent, in an interview with Fox Business.
Estimates from sources like Arkham Intelligence suggest the U.S. may hold close to 200,000 BTC, yet Bessent’s comments imply the real figure might be closer to 30,000 BTC.
Later, Bessent clarified on X (formerly Twitter):
> “Treasury is committed to exploring budget-neutral pathways to acquire more bitcoin… the forfeited BTC forms the foundation of the strategic reserve President Trump established in his March executive order.”
---
08/16 Update: Fed Rate Cuts Incoming?
Bessent also stated the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, mirroring a surprise 2024 rate cut that previously boosted bitcoin’s price.
> “There’s a very good chance of a 50 basis-point rate cut. Rates are too constrictive. We should probably be 150 to 175 basis points lower,” $BTC
– Bessent, to Bloomberg.
Markets now price in a 92% probability of a 25 basis-point cut, per CME’s FedWatch. This macro optimism continues to fuel crypto markets.
---
White House Crypto Strategy
White House crypto czar David Sacks confirmed that Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick will decide on acquiring additional BTC via “budget-neutral” methods, such as selling gold reserves.
The reserve was created following a Trump campaign promise made during the Bitcoin 2024 Conference.
Meanwhile, Senator Cynthia Lummis has expressed concern over reports that the U.S. may have sold 80% of its BTC, potentially leaving just ~29,000 coins:
> “If true, this is a total strategic blunder and sets the United States back years in the bitcoin race.”
If accurate, this would push the U.S. to 4th place globally behind:
🇨🇳 China – 194,000 BTC
🇬🇧 UK – 61,000 BTC
🇺🇦 Ukraine – 46,000 BTC
🇧🇹 Bhutan – 13,000 BTC
---
#BTC #HOTJULYPPI #BitcoinReserve #CryptoNew #TRUMP #FedRateDecisions
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