bricsdedollisation

Principal Content
$BTC $BNB $ETH The article details the ongoing decline of the US dollar, driven by BRICS countries developing a parallel financial system that bypasses traditional Western-controlled channels. Key elements include linking central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) like the e-rupee and digital yuan, creating direct digital payment pathways among BRICS members, and increased bilateral trade in national currencies—already covering 90% of Russia-China trade. BRICS nations also leverage their substantial control over critical natural resources and huge gold reserves to support commodity-backed trade, strengthening their position against the dollar. The expiration of the petrodollar agreement with Saudi Arabia marks a significant turning point, with new trade arrangements in yuan and commodities expanding. Nonetheless, implementation of a fully interoperable system faces technical and political challenges and is projected for 2028-2030, with the US dollar retaining a dominant but likely shrinking role in the global economy.
Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment currently shows heightened concern and uncertainty regarding the long-term dominance of the US dollar. The 1.3% one-day dollar drop—the largest since April 2025—reflects growing anxiety over geopolitical shifts and declining trust in US monetary hegemony. The dismissive rhetoric from US political leaders appears to contrast with market realities, amplifying a cautious yet watchful mood among investors. Social media trends and expert analyses increasingly discuss de-dollarization and multipolar currency futures, generating a mixture of apprehension and speculative optimism about a new global order. Quantitatively, the dollar index approaching lows unseen since early 2022 reinforces bearish signals on the currency.
Past & Future Forecast
- Past: Historical parallels include the gradual erosion of the British pound post-World War II and the extended battle for reserve currency status leading to the US dollar's rise after Bretton Woods in 1944. Similar structural transitions in reserve currencies took decades, with geopolitical and economic shifts underpinning gradual devaluation.
- Future: Looking forward, the dollar index could dip toward 94 by mid-2026, reflecting pressure from trade reorientation and BRICS progress. The full BRICS financial infrastructure rollout is unlikely before 2028-2030 due to required technological and diplomatic convergence. Nonetheless, the dollar will remain central but increasingly challenged in a multipolar currency landscape. Investors should anticipate continued volatility and potential reallocation toward commodities, gold, and CBDC-linked assets.
The Effect
The BRICS-led de-dollarization initiative poses systemic risks to global financial stability by fragmenting the traditionally US-dominated currency and payment networks. Disruptions in trade financing, shifts in foreign exchange reserves, and increased competition among currencies can elevate market volatility. Countries dependent on dollar liquidity might face higher borrowing costs, and geopolitical tensions could intensify as economic influence diffuses. Although the dollar won’t disappear, its weakened anchor status may trigger capital flow rotations and necessitate rethinking macro-hedging strategies. Quantitatively, a sustained dollar decline above 5-10% over months could exacerbate these ripple effects.
Investment Strategy
Recommendation: Hold
- Rationale: The news signals a transformational, but gradual shift away from dollar dominance rather than an immediate collapse. While prices and macro risks suggest caution, the dollar’s entrenched position and the long timeline for BRICS systems justify maintaining current positions without aggressive changes.
- Execution: Maintain existing dollar-related holdings and gradually accumulate commodity-related assets and gold as hedges. Monitor dollar index technical levels, especially the 94 forecast for Q2 2026, and watch moving averages and volume for signs of trend changes.
- Risk Management: Use trailing stops on dollar investments to protect against sharp dips while allowing participation if the dollar stabilizes. Diversify across currencies and digital assets linked to emerging CBDCs to benefit from potential shifts.
This cautious hold strategy aligns with institutional investor approaches that balance protection against structural risk with the dollar’s still dominant role in global finance, emphasizing risk-adjusted returns and phased exposure rather than speculative moves.#BRICS #bricsdedollisation #BRICSDigitalCurrency

$BTC BRICS De-Dollarisation Strategy is not a single, unified plan but rather a complex and multi-faceted collection of efforts by member nations to reduce their dependence on the US dollar in the global financial system. The ultimate goal appears to be fostering a more "multipolar world" (The Daily Economy). However, the approach is characterized by differing priorities, significant challenges, and varying levels of commitment among its members.
Here is a breakdown of the strategy and its associated complexities:
### Core Strategic Elements
Increasing Gold Reserves & Alternative Assets
One tangible move by BRICS countries involves bolstering their national gold reserves. This is a classic geopolitical strategy to diversify away from dollar-denominated assets and create a store of value independent of US monetary policy (Mint, WION).
Developing Alternative Payment Systems
The bloc is exploring the creation of new payment systems. While some analysts suggest this is about more than just de-dollarisation (SAIIA), it is a foundational step toward creating an infrastructure that can bypass traditional, dollar-centric networks like SWIFT.
Promoting Trade in Local Currencies
A key, and perhaps more practical, element of the strategy is encouraging bilateral trade using the national currencies of member states. This approach avoids the complexities of a common currency while still chipping away at the dollar's dominance in trade settlements.
Exploring Digital Currencies
China is actively promoting its digital yuan (e-CNY) as a tool to catalyze de-dollarisation, representing a technological front in this financial shift.
# Challenges and Divergent Views
The path to de-dollarisation is fraught with obstacles and internal disagreements:
India's Dissenting Stance
Numerous reports from sources like the Times of India and Business Standard indicate that India does not consider an aggressive de-dollarisation policy to be part of its agenda. Officials, including the RBI Governor, have explicitly stated that no such strategy is in place, clarifying that India's focus is on promoting the use of the Indian Rupee in international trade, not on a broader anti-dollar bloc policy.
Enduring Dominance of the Dollar
The US dollar's deep integration into the global economy remains a massive hurdle. Its role as the primary reserve currency, its liquidity, and the trust in US financial markets make it difficult to replace. Articles from India Today and J.P. Morgan research highlight why de-dollarisation may not be possible in the near term.
External Pressure
The strategy has drawn significant attention from the United States. Reports mention that threats of tariffs from figures like Donald Trump have been made to deter the bloc's de-dollarisation moves, adding a layer of political risk to the strategy.
The Common Currency Dilemma
While a "BRICS currency" is often discussed, it remains a highly contentious and futuristic idea. There is little consensus among members, with India in particular expressing a lack of interest in such a project.
In conclusion, the BRICS de-dollarisation "strategy" is more of a long-term ambition than a coordinated, actionable plan. It is primarily driven by China and Russia, with other members like India taking a more cautious and independent approach focused on their own national interests. The bloc is taking incremental steps, such as increasing gold holdings and promoting local currency trade, but faces the monumental challenge of the dollar's deep-rooted global dominance and divisions within its own ranks.
Content is for investor reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. #BRICSDigitalCurrency #bricsdedollisation #BRICSvsUSA #BRICSBlockchain