cryptoquant

📊 رؤية السوق | $DCR
بالمقارنة مع الدورات السابقة، لم تصل $BTC بعد إلى مناطق الاستسلام الكلاسيكية (-70% إلى -80%)، وذلك وفق بيانات CryptoQuant.
حاليًا، بيتكوين لا تزال أقل بحوالي 50% من أعلى مستوى لها على الإطلاق.
🔎 الخلاصة:
• لم نشهد قاع الذعر التاريخي بعد
• المجال لا يزال مفتوحًا لمزيد من التقلبات
• القاع الحقيقي غالبًا يُبنى مع الوقت… لا في يوم واحد
$BTC $PROVE
#Bitcoin #CryptoQuant #MarketCycle

⚡️ BITCOIN MAY ENTER A SIDEWAYS PHASE $ZAMA

Bitcoin could still see deep downside like past bear markets, but #CryptoQuant says the $DCR bigger risk right now isn’t a sudden crash.

Instead, BTC $PARTI may move sideways for an extended period, draining momentum and testing investor patience more than price levels.

📉 比特币跌破 70,000 美元：是彻底溃败还是抄底良机？Kaiko 与 CryptoQuant 深度解析
加密货币市场正面临严峻挑战。自 2025 年 10 月开始的熊市趋势在 1 月底进一步加剧。让我们来看看市场发生了什么，以及“底部”究竟在哪里。
🔍 暴跌背后的原因（Kaiko 分析）：
分析师指出市场出现了系统性下滑，主要诱因包括：
美联储与“鹰派”预期： 美联储维持利率不变的决定，加上可能任命立场强硬的凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh），粉碎了投资者对比特币作为“避险资产”的幻想。市场微观结构恶化： BTC 波动率飙升至 30% 以上，流动性枯竭（例如 DOGE 交易对流动性一个月内缩减 20%），且与 S&P 500 及 NASDAQ 的相关性再次升高。去杠杆化（Deleveraging）： 衍生品市场出现典型的“投降”迹象：成交量激增但持仓量（OI）骤降，意味着大量杠杆仓位被强制平仓。
📍 底部在哪里？预测指向 54,600 美元
CryptoQuant 分析师 (GugaOnChain) 提出了一个关键支撑位。根据基于月线布林带的 Market Cycle Signals 指标：
市场已结束“派发阶段”（Distribution）。目前正处于**“投降阶段”**（Capitulation）。54,600 美元 是转向**“积累阶段”**（Accumulation）的关键临界点。
📊 数据事实：
今年以来 BTC 已下跌 17%。过去 3 个月加密 ETF 资金流出高达 120 亿美元。投资者风险偏好极低，资金大规模撤回法币。
总结： 尽管市场情绪恐慌，但从历史经验看，大户的大规模抛售往往是趋势反转的前兆。54,600 美元附近可能成为下一个周期的重要底部支撑。
🚀 你怎么看？ 你认为 BTC 会跌到 54,000 美元吗？还是会提前反弹？欢迎在评论区讨论！👇
#BTC #比特币 #市场分析 #Kaiko #CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju 警告称，如果比特币（BTC）在短期内未能表现出强劲反弹，市场上出现“机构连锁抛售”的风险可能会显著增加。
在 2 月 6 日的一份声明中，Ju 关注了导致剧烈波动的潜在原因，特别是在比特币现货 ETF 市场。
Ju 的评估是针对 DeFi 发展经理 Parker White 的评论做出的，White 此前表示：“一家或多家与加密货币无关的香港对冲基金，可能是造成今日 IBIT（贝莱德比特币 ETF）暴跌的原因。”
CryptoQuant CEO 认为，市场上同时出现如此大规模的比特币抛售，只能用“强制平仓（强制抛售）”的情景来解释。
Ki Young Ju 指出，真正的危险在于这种强制抛售引发的“多米诺骨牌效应”。据他所说，随着资金被清算，价格会进一步下跌，从而在市场上产生额外的抛售压力；如果这一过程持续下去，矿工可能会面临破产风险。
Ju 还表示，即使是最后进行交易的小额投资者，也可能被迫陷入恐慌并开始抛售资产，这将进一步破坏市场心理。
CryptoQuant CEO 直言：“如果下个月比特币不能从当前水平大幅上涨，结构性和机构抛售的风险将显著增加。” 据 Ju 所言，如果机构投资者在底部“投降”，他们将很难重返市场，而恢复失去的信心可能需要很长时间。
您是否想深入了解目前 IBIT 的具体流出数据，或者是对比 矿工当前的盈利平衡点 进行分析？ #比特币 #CryptoQuant #郭咏洲 #BTC #加密货币

​📉 $BTC
The "Boring" Sideways Grind or a Deeper Crash?
​While historical bear markets have seen Bitcoin plunge by -70% to -80%, the current 2026 cycle is throwing a curveball. According to recent CryptoQuant data, we might be facing a "sideways grind" rather than a vertical crash.
​🔍 Market Analysis:
​The Sideways Risk: Capital inflows have slowed down as investors rotate toward traditional equities and precious metals. This "boring" phase often tests traders' patience more than a sharp drop.
​Support Levels: Bitcoin is currently hovering near $64,000 - $66,000. A failure to hold the $60,000 psychological support could open the doors to the $56,000 zone.
​Altcoin Watch: While BTC stalls, assets like $DCR (Decred) and parti (Particle Network) are showing localized volatility. Specifically, $PARTI

has recently outperformed the smart contract sector with double-digit gains despite the macro gloom.
​Pro Tip: In a sideways market, liquidity is king. Watch the "Realized Cap" metric—if it stays flat, the bulls don't have the fuel for a breakout yet.
​Author: Nabiha Noor
Analyzing on-chain trends to keep you ahead of the curve.
​Like | Follow | Share
​#BTC #BitcoinCycle2026 #CryptoQuant #DCR #PARTI #MarketAnalysis #NabihaNoor

🚨 以太坊网络活跃度创历史新高：是增长信号还是暴跌前的陷阱？
以太坊（Ethereum）网络交易量正处于历史巅峰，但资深交易员们却倍感紧张。为什么看似“牛市”的指标，反而可能成为深调的预兆？让我们来看看链上数据的深度分析。👇
📈 活跃度的悖论
根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，以太坊转账次数的14天移动平均值已达到 110万次 —— 这是历史最高纪录。表面上看，这象征着技术的普及，但历史规律却给出了不同的警告。
⚠️ 历史警示：当活跃度“杀死”价格
分析师指出，历史上曾有两次交易量激增反而成为市场转折点的先例：
2018年1月： ICO热潮带动交易量登顶，随后ETH从1400美元跌至100美元。2021年5月： DeFi和NFT爆发期活跃度创新高，紧接着价格从4000美元上方腰斩至2000美元。
背后的逻辑很简单： 异常频繁的资金移动往往并不意味着新用户的涌入，而是持有者为了锁定利润，正大规模将资金转移到交易所准备抛售。
🐋 “巨鲸”压力正在积聚
交易所流入量 (Exchange Inflow Top 10) 指标进一步证实了看跌观点：
2月初，排名前10的大额转账向交易所注入了 130万枚 ETH（创年度新高）。大户同步向交易平台充值，这在传统上是卖压增加、价格进一步下行的强烈信号。
我们已经看到了局部反应：ETH 价格在短短两天内从 2230 美元跌破了 2100 美元。
💡 投资者总结
目前以太坊参与者的链上行为与往年的“熊市”周期开端惊人地相似。尽管技术在进步，但宏观经济风险和链上信号均显示，我们正处于高风险区。
您认为以太坊能守住当前关口，还是会重演2021年的剧本？欢迎在评论区分享您的观点！👇
#以太坊 #ETH #加密货币分析 #CryptoQuant #交易信号

🚨 NEW: CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says BTC–USDT perpetual leverage is cooling off.

According to him, leverage levels are returning to pre-ETF approval conditions as inflows from MSTR and spot ETFs are no longer preventing excessive long positions from being flushed out.

This suggests the market may be moving toward a healthier structure, with reduced overheating and lower liquidation risk in the short term.

Leverage resets are often part of market cycles before the next major move. Stay cautious, manage risk, and always DYOR.

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoQuant #BinanceSquare #writetoearn $BTC

On-Chain Data Sounds Alarm – Is $60K BTC Inevitable? 📉
New data from CryptoQuant paints a concerning picture for the crypto market. The current downturn isn't just a pullback—it's showing signs of deepening beyond the early stages of the 2022 bear market.
Key Alerts from the Report:
🔻 Price & Structure: $BTC ’s next major support is now seen between $60,000 - $70,000, with widespread structural weakness across crypto markets.
🔻 Institutional Reversal: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have flipped to net selling after a year of sustained inflows—a major shift in momentum.
🔻 Retail Hesitation: The Coinbase Premium has stayed negative since mid-October, signaling weak buying interest from retail investors in the U.S.
🔻 Liquidity Tightening: Market liquidity is drying up, adding pressure to prices.
🔻 Demand Collapse: Perhaps the most striking stat—annualized spot BTC demand growth has fallen 93% in just four months, from 1.1M BTC to just 77K BTC.
What This Means:
The convergence of these factors suggests this isn't just a typical correction. With both institutional and retail demand weakening significantly, the path of least resistance appears downward for now.
Stay Alert: The $60K - $70K zone will be critical. If institutional flows don’t reverse soon or macroeconomic conditions worsen, a test of lower supports becomes increasingly likely.
Remember: On-chain data doesn’t predict the future, but it provides a real-time health check. This is a period for heightened risk management, strategic accumulation in zones of value, and close monitoring of ETF flow reversals.
What’s your take—are we headed toward $60K, or is this the fear before a reversal?
Follow for clear, data-driven market insights.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoQuant #OnChain #TradingAlert
$BTC

📊 Ethereum Network Activity Alert
Ethereum’s transfer count reached 1.17M (14-day SMA), according to CryptoQuant — a level previously observed near major market tops in 2018 and 2021.
Historically, such spikes in transfer activity often indicate peak volatility and potential distribution phases, where large holders move coins before price corrections. Traders should monitor network activity alongside price action for early signals of market shifts.
$ETH
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoMarket #OnChainData #CryptoQuant $ETH

🚨 CRYPTOQUANT BULL SCORE INDEX HITS ZERO
According to CryptoQuant data, the Bull Score Index has dropped to 0, signaling extremely weak market conditions and a clear lack of bullish momentum across the crypto market.
This level typically reflects: 🔻 Weak buying pressure
🔻 Low investor confidence
🔻 Defensive market positioning
Historically, such extreme readings often appear during periods of fear and uncertainty — phases where markets either continue consolidating or begin forming a base before recovery.
Traders should remain cautious, manage risk carefully, and avoid over-leverage during high uncertainty.#bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoMarket #CryptoQuant
$BTC $ETH $SOL $XRP

🔥According to CryptoQuant data, between "56,000 and 59,000 $BTC "were deposited into Binance on February 2nd and 3rd.🤯💸
#ADPWatch #BTC #bitcoin #KevinWarshNominationBullOrBear #CryptoQuant

🚨🚨🚨CRYPTOQUANT ALERT!

BITCOIN'S BEAR PHASE COULD DRAG ON FOR 100 MORE DAYS!

Despite the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remaining strongly bullish (with ETF adoption, halving cycles, and institutional interest still in play), on-chain data from CryptoQuant paints a cautious picture for the short-to-medium term.
The "Puell Multiple" has been deep in the discount zone since November 2025; that's already ~3 months of miner revenue pressure.
Historically, Bitcoin tends to stay in this undervalued/accumulation zone for an average of ~200 days. We're only about halfway through, which suggests another 100 days of potential weakness or sideways grinding ahead.

Compounding the pressure: smaller miners are capitulating shutting down rigs to cover costs; which adds more sell-side supply to the market.

Bottom line:This correction isn't over yet. On-chain signals point to more patience being required before a true, sustainable recovery kicks in.
But remember: these discount zones have historically been golden accumulation windows for long-term holders. Stack sats wisely, stay patient, and keep the big picture in mind!

What are your thoughts? HODLing through or waiting for clearer signals? Drop in below 👇
$ICP $LTC $TAO

"The market rewards the sharp and patient; be both."
#Bitcoin #CryptoQuant #PuellMultiple #CryptoMarket

70% BITCOIN CRASH COMING? CRYPTOQUANT CEO SAYS ONE FACTOR COULD DECIDE
Bitcoin’s recent pullback is being viewed by analysts less as a technical breakdown and more as a liquidity slowdown. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju explained that the previous rally was heavily supported by steady capital inflows, but that flow has now weakened — changing the market structure and increasing uncertainty about the next phase.
According to Ki, a deep full-cycle crash similar to past 70% bear markets is not guaranteed. He believes such a scenario would likely depend on one major condition: whether Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) shifts from being a consistent Bitcoin buyer to a large-scale seller. As long as major accumulation players remain supportive, the probability of an extreme collapse may stay limited.
He also highlighted that Bitcoin’s Realized Cap has flattened, signaling that fresh capital is not entering the ecosystem. When realized cap stalls while market cap declines, it typically reflects a lack of bullish momentum rather than the expansion phase seen in strong bull markets. Profit-taking has been ongoing for months, but ETF inflows and corporate buying previously absorbed selling pressure and kept prices elevated.
Another key concern is shrinking stablecoin liquidity. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted that stablecoin supply — often used as a measure of deployable crypto capital — has started to decline after strong growth since 2023. Exchange flow data suggests investors are becoming more defensive, with outflows indicating reduced risk appetite across the market.
Despite these warnings, analysts do not see confirmation of a market bottom yet. Instead of a sudden crash, many expect a prolonged sideways phase where volatility remains high but strong upward trends struggle to form without new buyers stepping in. For now, liquidity conditions and institutional behavior remain the biggest variables shaping Bitcoin’s next move.
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BTC #CryptoMarket #BinanceSquare #CryptoAnalysis #MarketUpdate #TradingPsychology #Liquidity #CryptoQuant

⚠️ BITCOIN SUPPLY IN LOSS HITTING DANGER ZONE! ⚠️

$BTC Supply in Loss metric climbing fast to 44% according to CryptoQuant data. This level historically signals major downside pressure brewing. Are we setting up for a bottom or more pain? Context is everything right now. Keep your powder dry.

• $BTC at 44% Loss Zone
• Elevated downside pressure incoming

#Bitcoin #CryptoQuant #MarketSentiment #BTC $📉

Bitcoin Market Strains: Net Loss Realization Flags Early Bear Momentum
CryptoQuant data shows Bitcoin investors have entered a rare net‑loss phase, with roughly 69,000 BTC—over $6.1 billion—realized as losses since late December, marking the first negative cycle since October 2023 and signaling weakening market conviction 📉⚠️;
$UNI
realized profits have collapsed to around 2.5M BTC, levels last seen in March 2024 and mirroring conditions that preceded the 2021–2022 bear transition, indicating fading demand strength despite prices previously holding near cycle highs.
$XMR

On‑chain metrics confirm that holders are transitioning from profit‑taking to loss‑realization, with lower profit peaks recorded throughout 2024–2025, revealing a structural downturn in market momentum as BTC trades below key cost‑basis thresholds and shows early‑bear characteristics across profitability ratios and supply‑side metrics 📊🐻;
$XRP
CryptoQuant notes that this shift aligns with prior early bear phases, where falling realized profits and rising loss‑taking signaled exhaustion of buying power before deeper corrections emerged.

Although long‑term holders remain mostly profitable, the trend of short‑term “tourist” holders exiting at losses reinforces caution, as market structure now reflects waning strength and elevated downside risk—making this a critical inflection zone for BTC traders tracking macro flows and on‑chain stress indicators 🔍🧨. [blockonomi.com] [cointelegraph.com] [cryptonews.com]
#BitcoinMarket ,#CryptoQuant ,#OnChainData ,#BİNANCESQUARE

СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКИЙ ГАМБИТ ДЖАСТИНА САНА 323 МЛН ТРАНЗАКЦИЙ!
$TRX

CryptoQuant подтвердил TRON зафиксировал ATH активности — 323 млн транзакций в месяц.

Как они это сделали? В августе TRON снизил стоимость энергии на 60%, уронив комиссии до смешных $0.53. Результат?

Сеть променяла краткосрочную прибыль на глобальное доминирование.

Пока другие блокчейны дорожают, TRON становится бесплатным воздухом для экономики. #TRON #TRX #CryptoQuant #MassAdoption

📉 Ki Young Ju氏：ビットコインは「底打ち」前、長期停滞の可能性を示唆
CryptoQuantのCEO、Ki Young Ju氏が現在のBTC市場について分析を公開しました。要約すると「大暴落のリスクは低いが、本格的な上昇まではまだ時間がかかる」という見解です。
📌 主なポイント:
• 70%の下落は考えにくい： 「クジラ（大口投資家）」が公開市場で投げ売りを始めない限り、これ以上の極端な暴落の可能性は低いと見ています。
• 新規資金の不足： 現在、個人投資家による売り圧力がある一方で、市場に新しい資金が入ってきていないことが停滞の要因です。
• 本当の「底」はまだ先： 世界的な金融市場の不透明感から、大口プレーヤーは静観しており、まだ真の底値には到達していない可能性が高いとのことです。
• 「弱い手」の振り落とし： 現在の低ボラティリティ期間は、短期スペキュレーターを排除するためのプロセスであり、将来の強気相場に向けた土台となります。
結論： 現在は「忍耐」のフェーズです。市場が次のサイクルに向けて力を蓄えている時期と言えるでしょう。
皆さんはどう思いますか？ここが底値だと思いますか、それともまだ「横ばい」が続くと思いますか？ 👇
#BTC #ビットコイン #CryptoQuant #仮想通貨 #相場分析 $BTC

📉 Ki Young Ju: BTC Bottom Not Yet In, Long-Term Stagnation Ahead
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju remains cautious about Bitcoin’s immediate price action. While he doesn't see a massive crash on the horizon, he warns that the "boring" phase might last a while.
Key Takeaways:
• The 70% Drop Myth: A massive capitulation is unlikely as long as "Whales" keep their coins off the open market.
• No New Liquidity: The lack of fresh capital inflow, combined with retail selling pressure, is keeping the price in a tight range.
• Searching for the Bottom: Ki Young Ju believes the true market bottom isn't in yet. Institutional players are staying sidelined due to global macro uncertainty.
• Market "Flush-Out": This period of low volatility is a classic "cleansing" of weak hands and short-term speculators—historically a necessary foundation for the next Bull Cycle.
The Verdict: We are in a accumulation and waiting phase. For now, patience is the most profitable strategy.
Are you buying this dip, or waiting for a clearer signal that the bottom is in? 👇
#BTC #CryptoQuant #Bitcoin #MarketUpdate #CryptoAnalysis

📉 Ki Young Ju：比特币仍未触底，或将迎来长期横盘
CryptoQuant 首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 近日分享了其对当前市场的深度见解。简而言之：目前虽无恐慌性暴跌风险，但距离“To the Moon”仍需时日。
核心观点总结：
• 不会出现 70% 的崩盘。 分析师认为，只要“巨鲸”们不选择在公开市场大规模抛售，重现历史性大跌的可能性极低。
• 停滞将成为新常态。 由于缺乏新资金流入，加之散户投资者的持续抛压，币价上涨乏力。
• 底在哪里？ Ki Young Ju 指出，市场尚未触及真正的底部。在全球宏观环境充满不确定性的背景下，大资金普遍选择持币观望。
• 市场大清洗。 当前的低波动期正处于“清洗”杠杆和散户弱势仓位的阶段。这往往是牛市周期开启前必经的基石夯实期。
结论： 我们正处于筑底阶段，耐心是本赛季最重要的资产。
大家怎么看？你认为现在已经接近局部底部，还是会继续长达数月的“横盘走势”？👇
#BTC #CryptoQuant #比特币 #加密货币 #行情分析