Trader specialized in crypto futures. I share real market setups, risk management strategies, and practical insights based on experience. TLgram:CryptoFrancoARG
The 15m structure shows lower highs, with sellers pressing on each bounce. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.37x the average). Bearish momentum remains active with no signs of recovery.
As long as it stays below 2.2196, the bias remains bearish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
The 15m structure shows lower highs, with sellers pressing on each bounce. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.24x the average). Bearish momentum remains active with no recovery signals.
As long as it stays below 0.012597, the bias remains bearish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
The 15m structure shows rising lows, with buyers defending each pullback. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (3.71x the average). Bullish momentum remains active with no signs of exhaustion.
As long as it stays above 0.084431, the bias remains bullish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
The 15m structure shows higher lows, with buyers defending every pullback. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.92x the average). Bullish momentum remains active with no signs of exhaustion.
As long as it stays above 235.71, the bias remains bullish. Good risk/reward to ride the move.
The CFTC, the U.S. federal derivatives regulator, moved to halt a Michigan court order that required the prediction platform Kalshi to unwind trades that had already been executed. The regulator argued that a state cannot “intimidate” a company under federal jurisdiction into reversing valid trades. This brings to the forefront a clash of powers between state courts and federal regulators—something you don’t see every day. The dispute centers on prediction markets, which are increasingly playing a bigger role in the crypto and DeFi ecosystem.
If the CFTC wins this battle, it sends a clear message: prediction markets and on-chain derivatives have more regulatory protection than many thought, which could be very bullish for the sector in the medium term.
Do you think this kind of regulatory conflict ends up opening doors for decentralized markets—or making them even more complicated?
WHAT IS THE FUNDING RATE AND WHY SHOULD YOU LOOK AT IT?
If you trade perpetual futures and you’ve never paid attention to the Funding Rate, this post is for you.
The Funding Rate is a periodic payment (every 8 hours) between traders with long and short positions.
When it’s positive → the LONG holders pay the SHORT holders.
When it’s negative → the SHORT holders pay the LONG holders.
What’s the point of knowing this?
As an indicator of market sentiment.
Very high positive Funding Rate → too many opening LONG positions. A possible correction signal. Very high negative Funding Rate → too many in SHORT. A possible rebound signal.
It’s not an entry signal by itself, but when combined with technical analysis it gives you a real edge.
Also, if you keep positions open for hours, the Funding Rate directly affects your profitability. A LONG position with a high Funding Rate costs you money every 8 hours.
Details like these make the difference between an amateur trader and one who understands the market.
Analysis with real market context, every day. Everything in my profile. $BTC $ETH $BNB
The 15m structure shows higher lows, with buyers defending each pullback. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.15x the average). Bullish momentum remains active without any signs of exhaustion.
As long as it stays above 0.038230, the bias remains bullish. Good risk/reward ratio to ride the move.
The 15m structure shows higher lows, with buyers defending every pullback. The volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.97x the average). Bullish momentum remains active with no exhaustion signals.
As long as it stays above 581.17, the bias remains bullish. Great risk/reward ratio to follow the movement.
The 15m structure shows higher lows, with buyers defending every pullback. The volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.40x the average). The RSI is not overbought — there’s room ahead.
As long as price stays above 64365.4, the bias remains bullish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
The 15m structure shows higher lows, with buyers defending every pullback. The volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.46x the average). Bullish momentum remains active with no signs of exhaustion.
As long as it stays above 0.162457, the bias remains bullish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
The 15m structure shows higher lows, with buyers defending every pullback. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.05x the average). The RSI is not overbought—there’s room ahead.
As long as it stays above 0.410100, the bias remains bullish. Good risk/reward to follow the move.
The 15m structure shows higher lows, with buyers defending every pullback. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.95x the average). Bullish momentum remains active with no signs of exhaustion.
As long as it stays above 0.853957, the bias remains bullish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
⚡ The federal government puts the brakes on a state judge. This is big.
Kalshi, a regulated prediction markets platform, received an order from a Michigan court to unwind trades that have already been executed. But the CFTC —the federal regulator that oversees Kalshi— came out swinging: it said that state has no right to “intimidate” a company under federal jurisdiction in order to reverse trades. In short, there’s a power struggle between a state and the federal government over who calls the shots in financial markets. And this isn’t a minor issue.
When federal regulators start actively defending the integrity of already-executed trades, it sends a bullish signal to the entire decentralized markets and crypto ecosystem: the rules of the game are the rules, and they don’t change after the match.
Do you think this kind of regulatory dispute ends up strengthening crypto adoption or creates more uncertainty for investors?
5 MISTAKES YOU MAKE ALMOST EVERYONE WHO STARTS IN FUTURES
I made them. You see them in every forum. And you probably already made one.
1. OPERATING WITHOUT A STOP LOSS "The price will come back." Sometimes it does. Sometimes it doesn’t. Without a Stop Loss, a trade can liquidate you before you even have time to react.
2. USING TOO MUCH LEVERAGE x50 or x100 from day one. With that leverage, a 2% move against you can wipe out half your capital.
3. ENTERING OUT OF FOMO You see that $BTC went up 8% and you enter because "it’s going to keep going up." Usually, when retail enters out of FOMO, the move is already over.
4. MOVING THE STOP LOSS Your trade hits the Stop, and you move it "just a little." The price keeps going. You move it again. Result: you lose 3 times more than you planned.
5. NOT HAVING A PLAN Entering without knowing exactly where you take profit and where you take a loss is pure speculation—not trading.
What’s the solution to all these mistakes? Process, discipline, and risk management.
Signals with a clear plan for entry, Stop, and targets. Everything in my profile. $BTC $ETH $SOL
The 15m structure shows lower highs with sellers pressing on every rebound. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.06x the average). Bearish momentum remains active with no recovery signals.
As long as it stays below 0.007069, the bias remains bearish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
The 15m structure shows lower highs with sellers pressing at each bounce. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.74x the average). Bearish momentum remains active with no recovery signals.
As long as it stays below 0.012668, the bias remains bearish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
The 15m structure shows lower highs with sellers pressing on each rebound. Volume confirms real participation behind the move (1.14x the average). Bearish momentum remains active with no recovery signals.
As long as it stays below 0.048520, the bias remains bearish. Good risk/reward ratio to follow the move.
Mizuho has just put its thumb down on Circle, the company behind $USDC , cutting its price target to $50 and labeling it "underperform." The reason is specific: Open USD, a new stablecoin that directly shares the yield from its reserves with distributors. That’s exactly what Circle DOESN’T do, and that’s the problem. If Open USD gains traction, Circle’s margins get squeezed and its business model starts to wobble right when it needs to shine the most in front of investors.
My take: this isn’t minor noise. If the market starts pricing in that Circle is losing its competitive edge in the stablecoin business, the impact could land directly on confidence in $USDC as the ecosystem’s dominant asset.
Do you think $USDC can maintain its leadership, or is Open USD a real threat that the market is ignoring?