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💥 The 2026 Bull Run Pattern $BTC
January: Market recovery
February: Bitcoin rally $STX
March: Altseason
April: Bitcoin ATH ~$180K $BTTC
May: Bull trap
June: Bear market
Markets love patterns… until they don’t.
If this plays out, April–May is where euphoria peaks and risk flips fast.
Bookmark it. We’ll see who was early and who was exit liquidity. 🔖
January: Market recovery
February: Bitcoin rally $STX
March: Altseason
April: Bitcoin ATH ~$180K $BTTC
May: Bull trap
June: Bear market
Markets love patterns… until they don’t.
If this plays out, April–May is where euphoria peaks and risk flips fast.
Bookmark it. We’ll see who was early and who was exit liquidity. 🔖
💥$BTC SHARPE RATIO PLUMMETS TO BEAR MARKET LOWS $NKN
Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio has fallen to around −10, the lowest since March 2023. $AXS
A negative reading means investors aren’t being paid for the risk they’re taking.
Historically, this level has coincided with the deepest points of prior bear cycles.
Analysts warn this phase could last months - and more downside may come first.
Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio has fallen to around −10, the lowest since March 2023. $AXS
A negative reading means investors aren’t being paid for the risk they’re taking.
Historically, this level has coincided with the deepest points of prior bear cycles.
Analysts warn this phase could last months - and more downside may come first.
💥CHINA IS QUIETLY PULLING BACK FROM U.S. TREASURIES $GPS
China just told its big banks to limit and cut their holdings of U.S. Treasuries. $AXS
It now only holds $683B in U.S. govt bonds, its LOWEST in years, down from $1.3T in 2013. $DCR
For years, Chinese banks piled into Treasuries as “safe” assets.
Now, regulators say "US debt may expose banks to sharp swings."
China just told its big banks to limit and cut their holdings of U.S. Treasuries. $AXS
It now only holds $683B in U.S. govt bonds, its LOWEST in years, down from $1.3T in 2013. $DCR
For years, Chinese banks piled into Treasuries as “safe” assets.
Now, regulators say "US debt may expose banks to sharp swings."
💥BITHUMB ERROR SPARKS KOREA'S CRACKDOWN ON CRYPTO $NKN
South Korea’s regulators plan to actively investigate market manipulation in crypto this year. $GPS
Officials are targeting price-manipulation tactics used by large traders and exchanges.
These include “whale pumping,” fake price support, and sudden mass-buy spikes.
The move follows Bithumb’s accidental 620,000 BTC transfer, which briefly sent $BTC down to $55K on the exchange.
South Korea’s regulators plan to actively investigate market manipulation in crypto this year. $GPS
Officials are targeting price-manipulation tactics used by large traders and exchanges.
These include “whale pumping,” fake price support, and sudden mass-buy spikes.
The move follows Bithumb’s accidental 620,000 BTC transfer, which briefly sent $BTC down to $55K on the exchange.
⚡️Key Economic Events This Week: $GPS
Monday - December Retail Sales data $NKN
Wednesday - January Jobs Report $AXS
Thursday - Initial Jobless Claims data, January Existing Home Sales data
Friday - January CPI Inflation data
Plus: 5 Fed speaker events throughout the week, more government shutdown data incoming.
Which event will have the biggest impact on crypto markets?
Monday - December Retail Sales data $NKN
Wednesday - January Jobs Report $AXS
Thursday - Initial Jobless Claims data, January Existing Home Sales data
Friday - January CPI Inflation data
Plus: 5 Fed speaker events throughout the week, more government shutdown data incoming.
Which event will have the biggest impact on crypto markets?
$ETH SUPPLY JUST HIT 2016 LEVELS $AXS
Ethereum exchange balances are now back to mid-2016 levels - almost a decade ago. $ZIL
That’s wild when you think about how much bigger the ecosystem is today.
While Bitcoin has seen coins move back onto exchanges recently, ETH has quietly been leaving. Most of this ETH isn’t lost or abandoned - it’s investor-owned and simply not sitting on the sell side.
OTC supply has increased a bit, but it’s still small compared to total ETH supply. If exchange balances stay this tight and OTC liquidity dries up too, price discovery doesn’t happen smoothly - it happens fast.
When demand shows up, there may not be much ETH left to meet it.
👀
Ethereum exchange balances are now back to mid-2016 levels - almost a decade ago. $ZIL
That’s wild when you think about how much bigger the ecosystem is today.
While Bitcoin has seen coins move back onto exchanges recently, ETH has quietly been leaving. Most of this ETH isn’t lost or abandoned - it’s investor-owned and simply not sitting on the sell side.
OTC supply has increased a bit, but it’s still small compared to total ETH supply. If exchange balances stay this tight and OTC liquidity dries up too, price discovery doesn’t happen smoothly - it happens fast.
When demand shows up, there may not be much ETH left to meet it.
👀
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