Technically speaking, and quite frankly, Bitcoin is bearish and points to a bear market. These moving averages, each time it breaks through them, indicate a bear market.
🔺For it to return to a positive trend, it must break through them. Currently, breaking through requires a rise above approximately $108,000.
🔺This is my personal opinion, unrelated to technical analysis but based on fundamental analysis. The cycle isn't over, given the quantitative easing policy, the end of tightening, interest rate cuts, and numerous political factors. Strong institutional demand also indicates that we are still in an exceptional bull market. Bitcoin reserves are steadily decreasing, mining costs are higher than the price of Bitcoin, and projects are struggling. If they collapse, the entire market will collapse because everything is interconnected.
🔺Let's be honest with each other: this Bitcoin cycle has defied technical analysis, especially after the entry of funds, major companies, and countries. If your predictions were correct once or twice, most likely the rest were wrong. This isn't just my experience or yours. Now, there are major players who have entered the game and are controlling the market. While all predictions point to a bear market, suddenly it might suddenly rise. You all witnessed this cycle, how everyone contradicted the best approach. We rely on long-term network data; it's the most accurate and reliable.
🔺All indicators and analyses suggest we're in a bear market, and we expect everyone to go against the data at any moment, and the market will rise. Previously, all the data predicted a continued rise, yet it went against everyone and fell. This is a cycle of crushing losses, liquidations, and the entry of Wall Street into the game. We must get used to such behavior in a market governed by neither rules nor regulations (to put it bluntly, a lawless jungle). These people manipulated markets with rules; imagine what a market without any oversight!
Hedge funds are extremely bearish on the Japanese Yen:
Leveraged funds held ~85,000 contracts of net short positions on the Yen in the week ending December 14th, the 2nd-highest since July 2024.
This marks the 2nd consecutive week of heavily bearish positioning, following ~92,000 net short contracts recorded in the week ending December 9th.
Short positions have gradually accumulated since July as the US Dollar has strengthened against the yen.
This comes as the gap between US and Japanese rates remains large, at ~3.0 percentage points, limiting support for the currency despite the Bank of Japan's rate hikes.
Additionally, real interest rates in Japan remain deeply negative, as inflation continues to exceed policy rates, discouraging investors from holding yen-denominated assets.
A similar situation was observed last year, when the USD/JPY currency pair rose above 160, prompting the Ministry of Finance to intervene in July 2024 to defend the domestic currency.
AI cryptocurrencies have fallen by approximately 66% this year, wiping out over $53 billion in market capitalization and erasing the gains of 2023–2024.
Ripple has announced strong partnerships with Mizuho Bank, SMBC Nikko, and Securitize Japan, aiming to accelerate the adoption of the XRP Ledger network and strengthen its presence within the Japanese financial sector.
🚨 TRUMP OPENS THE DOOR FOR BIPARTISAN CRYPTO DEALS 🇺🇸
Donald Trump says he’s open to appointing Democrats at the SEC & CFTC “in certain areas.”
Why it matters: • Crypto bills stuck in partisan gridlock • Consensus appointments → faster regulatory clarity • Less SEC overreach • Green light for innovation without chaos
Trump isn’t shutting the door he’s leaving it open for deals.
Crypto just got a seat at the table. The rules for the next decade are being written now.
🚨BREAKING: Silver just dropped 13% from $83 to $73 and wiped out $550 BILLION from its market cap in a single day.
Here is what's happening👇
Over the last few days, silver surged aggressively, pushing toward a new ATH of $83/ounce.
This move followed a familiar pattern: sharp upside, heavy leverage, and rising volatility.
Then today something serious happened.
The CME raised silver margin requirements to $25,000 per contract, effective December 29. This means traders now need significantly more cash just to hold the same futures positions.
Why does this matter?
When margins are raised:
- Leveraged traders are forced to add cash or reduce positions - Many players choose to sell instead - This often creates sudden pullbacks, even if the long-term story remains intact
At the same time, rumours began circulating that a large, systemically important bank has failed to pay margin on its Silver positions and has been liquiditated.
This is not confirmed, but it added fuel to already fragile sentiment.
Historically, this setup is important.
In 1980 and 2011, silver saw:
- Rapid price spikes - Followed by multiple CME margin hikes in a short time - Which triggered forced selling and marked major cycle turning points
Today, silver still has a strong demand. But it has entered a highly volatile zone.
These margin hikes are a tool used to slow momentum, cool speculation, and reduce risk in the system.
When metals enter extreme moves and then get mechanically slowed down, liquidity often looks for the next asset.
In the past, after silver and gold cooled off, risk assets rallied hard, and this time, something similar could happen again.
🔥⚡🔥Arbitrum (@Arbitrum Foundation ) is the only project on L2 that has achieved the highest growth in total market size on Aava, exceeding $2 billion. This is greater than the combined growth of 9 other large blockchain protocol projects.
⚡I believe 2026 will be the year of the $ARB price explosion ⏳ and the development continues...
If you had to choose one cryptocurrency as a high reward, which would you pick: SUI, SEI, APT, or ARB?
With the anticipated decrease in political and geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, investors' appetite for riskier assets and markets will increase, potentially boosting liquidity in the cryptocurrency market. We saw this today following Trump's statements about the imminent end of the Russian war, as silver and gold prices fell and liquidity began flowing into Bitcoin.
🇺🇸 Scott Bessent: Crypto Doesn't Kill the Dollar… It Stabilizes It.
A recap of an important statement by Scott Bessent: Cryptocurrencies — especially stablecoins — are not a threat to the dollar's dominance, but may actually strengthen it.
Why?
Dollar-backed stablecoins are becoming a major buyer of US Treasury bonds.
$ZBT $ONT $USDC
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