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Cardano price steadies at $0.28 after failing to break through the key resistance level.
Derivatives data suggest limited recovery, with ADA’s open interest at very low levels alongside negative funding rates.
Santiment data indicate mixed sentiment, with some holders accumulating, while social dominance continues to decline.
Cardano (ADA) steadies at $0.28 on Wednesday after failing to break through a key resistance zone over the weekend. Mixed signals from the derivatives and on-chain metrics suggest that ADA’s short-term outlook remains uncertain, limiting the scope for a recovery.
Cardano futures Open Interest (OI) falls to $436 million on Wednesday, having been steadily declining since mid-January and nearing the February 12 level of $407 million. This drop in OI reflects waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook.
Cardano’s derivatives data show bearish bias
Santiment’s Supply Distribution data supports a positive outlook for Cardano, as certain whales are buying ADA at recent price dips.
In addition, Coinglass’s OI-Weighted Funding Rate data shows that the number of traders betting that the price of Cardano will slide further is higher than those anticipating a price increase. The metric turned negative on Wednesday and stands at -0.0130%, nearing the February 6 levels, when ADA dropped sharply. The negative ratio suggests that shorts are paying longs, suggesting bearish sentiment toward ADA.
Cardano supply distribution metric chart. Source: Santiment
The metric indicates that whales holding between 1 million and 10 million ADA tokens (yellow line) and 10 million and 100 million tokens (blue line) have accumulated a total of 240 million ADA tokens since February 11
Cardano Price Forecast: ADA faces rejection around the key resistance level
Santiment’s Social Dominance metric for Cardano supports a bearish outlook. The index measures the share of ADA-related discussions across the cryptocurrency media. It has been in a downward trend since the end of December, falling again in early February to 0.038% on Wednesday. This fall indicates fading market interest and weakening sentiment among ADA investors. This combination of accumulation alongside weakening sentiment suggests indecision among investors and limits the chances of a sustained recovery.
If ADA faces a correction, it could extend the losses to retest its weekly resistance at $0.24.
Cardano price was rejected at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.29 (drawn from the January 14 high of $0.42 to the February 6 low at $0.22) on Sunday, and it declined 4.47% that day. ADA has been hovering around the $0.28 level for the past two days and, as of Wednesday, remains there.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 44, below the neutral level of 50, indicating bearish momentum gaining traction. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on February 13, which remains in place, suggesting that upside bias has not been invalidated yet.
However, if ADA closes above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.29 on a daily basis, it could extend the recovery toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.32.
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World Liberty Financial is up 8% on Wednesday, extending a rebound from a crucial support level.
The WLFI extends gains ahead of the World Liberty Forum, an invite-only conference held on Wednesday at Mar-a-Lago by Donald Trump's family
The technical outlook for WLFI remains bullish with a focus on the intermediate resistance level.
World Liberty Financial (WLFI), the family crypto project of the US President Donald Trump, is gaining bullish momentum, rising 8% at press time on Wednesday. The demand spikes ahead of the World Liberty Forum, a conference held at Trump's private club at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, which will be attended by the US Senators and global market leaders. Technically, the WLFI token is approaching a key resistance level, with bulls targeting a potential breakout rally.
Demand sparks ahead of the World Liberty Forum
Zach Witkoff, co-founder and CEO of WLFI, said, “World Liberty Financial was built to operate at the intersection of institutional finance and next-generation technology. Last year, we made history by unveiling USD1, our digital dollar stablecoin, and we plan to make more groundbreaking announcements at the World Liberty Forum. The future is now for World Liberty Financial, and the World Liberty Forum will serve as a new platform for our accelerated development.”
Technical outlook: Will WLFI extend its rally to the 50-d
World Liberty Financial extends higher by 8% at press time on Wednesday, following the 7% rise the previous day. The second day of recovery accounts for roughly 15% gains so far this week after nearly 11 days of consolidation, signaling an upside reversal
The Decentralized Finance (DeFi) token approaches the $0.1215 resistance, marked by the December 18 low. A decisive close above this level could open a path to the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.1343.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45 on the daily chart, rising toward the midline from the oversold zone as selling pressure declines. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and signal line steadily rise after a bullish crossover on Tuesday, resulting in positive histograms above the zero line and indicating renewed bullish momentum.
However, if WLFI fails to move above $0.1215, it could reinforce downside pressure, risking a retest of the $0.1000 psychological support level.
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Hedera Price Forecast: HBAR stalls as derivatives data signals limited recovery
Derivatives data suggest limited recovery, with HBAR’s open interest at
The technical outlook suggests the correction could extend to $0.090.The technical outlook suggests the correction could extend to $0.090.The technical outlook suggests the correction could extend to $0.090.The technical outlook suggests the correction could extend to $0.090.
Hedera (HBAR) is trading below $0.101 at the time of writing on Tuesday after failing to break through a key resistance zone over the weekend. The derivatives data show a limited recovery potential in HBAR as Open Interest (OI) is falling steadily alongside negative funding rates, while the technical outlook is unfavorable.The technical outlook suggests the correction could extend to $0.090.
Hedera’s futures OI falls to $104.58 million on Tuesday, having been steadily declining since early January and nearing the February 6 level of $88.89 million. This drop in OI reflects waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook.
Hedera’s derivatives data shows bearish bias
Hedera Price Forecast: Faces rejection from a key resistance zone
addition, Coinglass’s OI-Weighted Funding Rate data shows that the number of traders betting that the price of Hedera will slide further is higher than those anticipating a price increase. The metric turned negative on Monday and stands at -0.011% on Tuesday. The negative ratio suggests that shorts are paying longs, suggesting bearish
If HBAR continues its correction, it could extend the decline toward the weekly support at $0.090. A close below this level could extend the losses toward the next daily support level at $0.072, which aligns with the October 10 low.
Hedera’s price was rejected around the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.105 on Saturday and declined slightly the next day. This 50-day EMA level roughly coincides with the upper trendline of a falling wedge pattern (drawn by connecting multiple highs and lows from the end of June), making it a key resistance zone. As of writing on Tuesday, HBAR is trading at $0.010.
On the other side, if HBAR recovers and closes above the 50-day EMA at $0.105, it could extend the advance toward the next weekly resistance at $0.125.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a daily chart is at 51, pointing downward toward the neutral 50 level, indicating fading bullish momentum. For the bearish momentum to be sustained, the RSI must move below the neutral level. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on February 10, which remains in place, suggesting that upside bias has not been invalidated yet.
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The Ethereum treasury firm continues its buying spree with its largest weekly ETH purchase in token terms this year.
The firm also raised its cash pile to $670 million, alongside its small bitcoin
BTC
$66,790.05
stash and equity stakes, including a $200 million position in Beast Industries. Total assets stand at $9.6 billion, while BitMine’s share of ETH’s total supply rose to 3.6
BitMine has now staked over 3 million ETH — about 69% of its holdings — that generate $176 million in annualized rewards, according to Chairman Tom Lee. The firm’s staking operations currently yield 2.89% annualized.
Lee said sentiment in crypto markets remains depressed, drawing comparisons to the lows of 2018 and 2022. But he argued the current environment differs in that there have been no major collapses of large players.
Investor sentiment and enthusiasm are rock bottom, reminding us of the forlornness and dejection seen at the November 2022 lows and depths of 2018 crypto winter," he said. "Rather, it seems like crypto has remained weak since the 'price shock' and massive deleveraging seen on October 10th."
Lee also highlighted developments from last week’s Consensus Hong Kong conference, where he cited tokenization, artificial intelligence (AI) integrations and proof-of-humanity infrastructure as long-term growth drivers for Ethereum.
The price of ETH is not reflective of the high utility of ETH and its role as the future of finance," Lee said. "Hence, we continue to buy ETH even as crypto moves through this 'mini-winter.'"
Read more: Tom Lee says stop timing the bottom and start buying the dip
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