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Is Gold a Good Investment? Paper vs Physical Gold Disconnect?🔥🔥💥💥🔥🔥
The Disconnect Between Paper and Physical Gold
The gold market is experiencing an all-time extreme disconnect between paper gold (ETFs, futures, derivatives) and physical gold. Western markets trade paper gold, while Eastern markets, led by China, accumulate physical gold for monetary protection and hedging against sanctions, currency debasement, and global instability.
Why Gold's Bull Market May Still Be Early
Financial analyst Alex Mason argues that gold is undervalued and poised for growth due to:
- Macroeconomic Backdrop: US debt burden, inflation, and global financial instability
- Supply Pressures: Flat mine production, declining discovery rates, and central bank accumulation
- Shifting Incentives: BRICS nations and Europe benefit from higher gold prices
Physical Ownership Matters
Mason stresses that physical ownership is crucial in a world of contracts and counterparty risk. With central banks stockpiling gold and supply tightening, gold's role is shifting beyond a simple hedge.
#gold #GOLD
$PAXG
The Disconnect Between Paper and Physical Gold
The gold market is experiencing an all-time extreme disconnect between paper gold (ETFs, futures, derivatives) and physical gold. Western markets trade paper gold, while Eastern markets, led by China, accumulate physical gold for monetary protection and hedging against sanctions, currency debasement, and global instability.
Why Gold's Bull Market May Still Be Early
Financial analyst Alex Mason argues that gold is undervalued and poised for growth due to:
- Macroeconomic Backdrop: US debt burden, inflation, and global financial instability
- Supply Pressures: Flat mine production, declining discovery rates, and central bank accumulation
- Shifting Incentives: BRICS nations and Europe benefit from higher gold prices
Physical Ownership Matters
Mason stresses that physical ownership is crucial in a world of contracts and counterparty risk. With central banks stockpiling gold and supply tightening, gold's role is shifting beyond a simple hedge.
#gold #GOLD
$PAXG
$XAU Gold and Silver Market Update.
As previously $XAG mentioned, gold and silver prices are stabilizing and transitioning into a consolidation zone. Two potential paths are likely to emerge.
1. The first path: prices could plummet due to decreased war-like tensions in various regions, the absence of new conflicts, and a potential easing of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This 'peace news' could shake the safe-haven trade.
2. The second path: gold and silver prices might skyrocket due to the ongoing global economic slowdown, central banks' monetary policies, and the steady accumulation of gold reserves by countries like China.
This presents a 50-50 game where market participants need to make informed decisions based on economic fundamentals.
My current strategy is cautious, prioritizing liquidity over aggressive market participation.
gold silver
As previously $XAG mentioned, gold and silver prices are stabilizing and transitioning into a consolidation zone. Two potential paths are likely to emerge.
1. The first path: prices could plummet due to decreased war-like tensions in various regions, the absence of new conflicts, and a potential easing of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This 'peace news' could shake the safe-haven trade.
2. The second path: gold and silver prices might skyrocket due to the ongoing global economic slowdown, central banks' monetary policies, and the steady accumulation of gold reserves by countries like China.
This presents a 50-50 game where market participants need to make informed decisions based on economic fundamentals.
My current strategy is cautious, prioritizing liquidity over aggressive market participation.
gold silver
🔴 أسعار الذهب تنخفض بأكثر من 2% خلال التعاملات، بسبب عزوف المستثمرين عن أصول الملاذ الآمن بعد مؤشرات على حدوث تقدم في المفاوضات الأميركية الإيرانية، في حين رفع صعود الدولار الضغط على أسعار المعدن النفيس
📌 سعر الذهب في المعاملات الفورية يهبط بنحو 2.6% إلى 4862.38 دولار للأونصة في أحدث تعاملات
📌 العقود الأميركية الآجلة للذهب تسليم أبريل/ نيسان تتراجع بنحو 3.26 إلى 49881.80 دولار
📌 مؤشر الدولار الأميركي يرتفع بنحو 0.38% مقابل سلة عملات، مما يجعل تكلفة الذهب أعلى لحائزي العملات الأخرى
#gold
#xau
📌 سعر الذهب في المعاملات الفورية يهبط بنحو 2.6% إلى 4862.38 دولار للأونصة في أحدث تعاملات
📌 العقود الأميركية الآجلة للذهب تسليم أبريل/ نيسان تتراجع بنحو 3.26 إلى 49881.80 دولار
📌 مؤشر الدولار الأميركي يرتفع بنحو 0.38% مقابل سلة عملات، مما يجعل تكلفة الذهب أعلى لحائزي العملات الأخرى
#gold
#xau
$XAU
طيب بصوره مبدءيه كده اللي وقفته دي كانت نسبه ٢٦١٪ اللي نزلنا صورتها هنا
طيب دي بصوره مبدءيه لو لم يتجاوز اعلا قمه له اللي جابها قرب ٥٦٠٠ بمقدار ١.٣١٪ اللي بتساوى ٥٧٥٠
يبقي اخد اتجاه الهابط
الهابط لكام بقي بصوره مبدءيه كده
٤٥٠٠ ~ ٤٣٠٠ ودى هتكون مجرد ارتداده
٣٨٠٠ ~ ٣٥٠٠ ودي من عندها نقول ارتداده ولا طلعه جديده وهيبقي فيها خير ان شاء الله
السؤال بقي لو تأكد اتجاه الهابط الي اين ستذهب الاموال اللي هتخرج منه ؟
#الذهب
#Market_Update
#تداول
طيب بصوره مبدءيه كده اللي وقفته دي كانت نسبه ٢٦١٪ اللي نزلنا صورتها هنا
طيب دي بصوره مبدءيه لو لم يتجاوز اعلا قمه له اللي جابها قرب ٥٦٠٠ بمقدار ١.٣١٪ اللي بتساوى ٥٧٥٠
يبقي اخد اتجاه الهابط
الهابط لكام بقي بصوره مبدءيه كده
٤٥٠٠ ~ ٤٣٠٠ ودى هتكون مجرد ارتداده
٣٨٠٠ ~ ٣٥٠٠ ودي من عندها نقول ارتداده ولا طلعه جديده وهيبقي فيها خير ان شاء الله
السؤال بقي لو تأكد اتجاه الهابط الي اين ستذهب الاموال اللي هتخرج منه ؟
#الذهب
#Market_Update
#تداول
GOLD MARKET NEWS – Today
📊 Trend Update:
Gold prices are showing slight stability with a mild bullish trend as investors are turning toward safe-haven assets due to global economic uncertainty and currency fluctuations.
🌍 Market Factors:
Demand for gold is increasing because investors prefer safer investments.
Currency volatility and inflation concerns are supporting gold prices.
Central banks in several countries continue to increase gold reserves, strengthening market confidence.#gold
📊 Trend Update:
Gold prices are showing slight stability with a mild bullish trend as investors are turning toward safe-haven assets due to global economic uncertainty and currency fluctuations.
🌍 Market Factors:
Demand for gold is increasing because investors prefer safer investments.
Currency volatility and inflation concerns are supporting gold prices.
Central banks in several countries continue to increase gold reserves, strengthening market confidence.#gold
💥 1,28 triliona dolara izbrisano sa tržišta zlata i srebra za samo 6 sati. 😱
#Zlato je palo za 2,83%, izbrisavši 1 trilion dolara sa svoje tržišne kapitalizacije.
#Srebro je palo za 5,21%, izbrisavši 280 milijardi dolara sa svoje tržišne kapitalizacije.
#follow@crypto_mustache_news #podelisaprijateljima #Follow4more #gold #silver
#Zlato je palo za 2,83%, izbrisavši 1 trilion dolara sa svoje tržišne kapitalizacije.
#Srebro je palo za 5,21%, izbrisavši 280 milijardi dolara sa svoje tržišne kapitalizacije.
#follow@crypto_mustache_news #podelisaprijateljima #Follow4more #gold #silver
Tokenized Gold liquidity broadens as Wintermute opens OTC..
Wintermute enables institutional OTC access to PAXG/XAUT block liquidity
crypto market maker Wintermute has launched institution-grade over-the-counter trading for tokenized gold products Pax Gold (PAXG) and Tether Gold (XAUT), as reported by FinanceFeeds. The service is designed for professional counterparties that require large, negotiated block trades in gold-backed tokens without moving public order books.
#gold $BTC
Wintermute enables institutional OTC access to PAXG/XAUT block liquidity
crypto market maker Wintermute has launched institution-grade over-the-counter trading for tokenized gold products Pax Gold (PAXG) and Tether Gold (XAUT), as reported by FinanceFeeds. The service is designed for professional counterparties that require large, negotiated block trades in gold-backed tokens without moving public order books.
#gold $BTC
$XAU is trading cautiously as XAU reacts to dollar strength and rate expectations. $XAU remains a hedge-focused asset, but $XAU needs a clear breakout to regain bullish momentum.
#MarketRebound #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #gold
#MarketRebound #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #gold
You don’t get matching V-bottoms on $BTC
and #gold $XAU
by accident， that’s big money bidding.
This is a clean V-recovery setup on both charts, and that’s not a coincidence.
BTC we panic-flushed straight into the 2024 support zone ($60K), snapped back immediately, and now we’re bouncing from $68.5K.
The V only becomes real if we hold the bounce and start putting in a higher low otherwise it’s just a dead cat.
Gold is the same story. Sharp dip into the dotted level ($4.4K), instant reclaim, and now it’s back hovering around $5.0K.
That’s strength
Gold is basically telling you the bid is still there even after the pullback.
What to watch for BTC: hold above the V base and keep building above $68K–$70K.
Reclaim the next overhead shelf and this turns into a nasty squeeze.
and for Gold, as long as it stays above $4.4K, this looks like a reset before another push back toward the highs.
My stance is the V is bullish until it breaks.
and #gold $XAU
by accident， that’s big money bidding.
This is a clean V-recovery setup on both charts, and that’s not a coincidence.
BTC we panic-flushed straight into the 2024 support zone ($60K), snapped back immediately, and now we’re bouncing from $68.5K.
The V only becomes real if we hold the bounce and start putting in a higher low otherwise it’s just a dead cat.
Gold is the same story. Sharp dip into the dotted level ($4.4K), instant reclaim, and now it’s back hovering around $5.0K.
That’s strength
Gold is basically telling you the bid is still there even after the pullback.
What to watch for BTC: hold above the V base and keep building above $68K–$70K.
Reclaim the next overhead shelf and this turns into a nasty squeeze.
and for Gold, as long as it stays above $4.4K, this looks like a reset before another push back toward the highs.
My stance is the V is bullish until it breaks.
#Comodities and GOLD
#comodities #gold #trading
IBKR · Market Insights
🔹 Core judgment
• The current market has entered a stage of structural differentiation
• AI repricing is spreading from the tech sector to wider industries
• European economy maintains moderate expansion, but momentum is limited
🔹 Market trend
• Short-term range operation of the index
• Banks and defense remain relatively safe assets
• The software sector faces dual pressures of valuation and profit model
• Both gold and US dollar sentiment are close to phased extremes
🔹 Risk Factors
• PCE data for the week
• Results of US-Iran negotiations
• AI capital expenditure and profit realization rhythm
• Duration of European industrial weakness
IBKR · Market Insights
🔹 Core judgment
• The current market has entered a stage of structural differentiation
• AI repricing is spreading from the tech sector to wider industries
• European economy maintains moderate expansion, but momentum is limited
🔹 Market trend
• Short-term range operation of the index
• Banks and defense remain relatively safe assets
• The software sector faces dual pressures of valuation and profit model
• Both gold and US dollar sentiment are close to phased extremes
🔹 Risk Factors
• PCE data for the week
• Results of US-Iran negotiations
• AI capital expenditure and profit realization rhythm
• Duration of European industrial weakness
А золото все росте)#gold
$XAU
$XAU
Diamond Hand_
·
--
Optimistický$XAU is rotating higher from support — one clean push and it expands. 🟢
$XAU - LONG
Trade Plan:
Entry: 4986.47991 – 4992.77296
SL: 4970.74728
TP1: 5008.50559
TP2: 5014.79864
TP3: 5027.38474
Why this setup?
XAU continuation higher structure is on 4h, framed by a range-bound 1D backdrop. Execution box: (4986.480-4992.773) (mid ≈ 4989.626). ATR 1H: 12.586 (~0.3% of price) → controlled volatility. RSI 15m at 39 supports the trigger logic (momentum is supportive, not overheated).
Trigger confirms → 5008.506 first. If price accepts beyond 4995.884, the idea is wrong — cut it. If it runs, 5027.385 is next. Any close beyond 4995.884 breaks the setup.
Debate:
Do you think XAU can tap 5008.506 soon, or does it accelerate to 5027.385?
Trade here 👇 and comment your bias!
$XAU - LONG
Trade Plan:
Entry: 4986.47991 – 4992.77296
SL: 4970.74728
TP1: 5008.50559
TP2: 5014.79864
TP3: 5027.38474
Why this setup?
XAU continuation higher structure is on 4h, framed by a range-bound 1D backdrop. Execution box: (4986.480-4992.773) (mid ≈ 4989.626). ATR 1H: 12.586 (~0.3% of price) → controlled volatility. RSI 15m at 39 supports the trigger logic (momentum is supportive, not overheated).
Trigger confirms → 5008.506 first. If price accepts beyond 4995.884, the idea is wrong — cut it. If it runs, 5027.385 is next. Any close beyond 4995.884 breaks the setup.
Debate:
Do you think XAU can tap 5008.506 soon, or does it accelerate to 5027.385?
Trade here 👇 and comment your bias!
🟡 Біткоїн і золото більше не вороги. Вони… в одній лодці?
🤔Колись , не так давно, усе було просто:
$BTC падає - золото $PAXG росте.BTC росте - золото слабшає.
«ризик» проти «захисту»
Сьогодні все інакше.
Ми бачимо моменти, коли біткоїн і золото рухаються в одному напрямку.
І це не випадковість.
Що змінилось?
1️⃣ Інституціоналізація
Біткоїн більше не “антисистема”.
Через ETF, фонди, деривативи він став частиною глобального портфеля ризиків. Коли фонди знижують ризик — вони продають усе одразу: і BTC, і золото, і індекси.
Тому кореляція зростає.
2️⃣ Долар як центр гравітації
Зараз ключ — не BTC і не золото.
Ключ — DXY та ліквідність.
✅Сильний долар створює тиск на метали й крипту.
✅Відтік ліквідності - продають усе.
✅Ризик-офф - кеш king.
Захисні активи працюють лише тоді, коли система боїться інфляції. Коли система боїться ліквідності — падає все.
3️⃣ Золото більше не «страх», а «інструмент»
Золото стало:
🔹трейдинговим активом
🔹частиною алгоритмічних стратегій
🔹похідним від ставок ФРС
🤔Те саме сталося з біткоїном. Обидва активи тепер реагують на:
▪️реальні ставки,
▪️дохідність облігацій,
▪️рух ліквідності.
А не на “емоційний страх”.
Чи перестало золото бути захисним активом?
Ні.
Але воно більше не є автоматичним хеджем проти крипти. Зараз справжній «захист» — це:
💰кеш,
💰короткі облігації,
💰або правильний момент входу
Що бачимо зараз?
Якщо BTC і метали XAG, XAU, PAXG рухаються синхронно:
➡️ Ринок торгує макро
➡️ Працює фактор ліквідності
➡️ Ми в фазі, де немає "тихої гавані"
І це важливий сигнал.
Бо коли кореляція починає ламатися — з’являється асиметрія.
А там — можливості.
🤔Якщо золото більше не тікає від ризику…
то хто тепер буде «сховищем страху»?
Ваш хід 😉
#btc #paxg #gold #silver
$BTC падає - золото $PAXG росте.BTC росте - золото слабшає.
«ризик» проти «захисту»
Сьогодні все інакше.
Ми бачимо моменти, коли біткоїн і золото рухаються в одному напрямку.
І це не випадковість.
Що змінилось?
1️⃣ Інституціоналізація
Біткоїн більше не “антисистема”.
Через ETF, фонди, деривативи він став частиною глобального портфеля ризиків. Коли фонди знижують ризик — вони продають усе одразу: і BTC, і золото, і індекси.
Тому кореляція зростає.
2️⃣ Долар як центр гравітації
Зараз ключ — не BTC і не золото.
Ключ — DXY та ліквідність.
✅Сильний долар створює тиск на метали й крипту.
✅Відтік ліквідності - продають усе.
✅Ризик-офф - кеш king.
Захисні активи працюють лише тоді, коли система боїться інфляції. Коли система боїться ліквідності — падає все.
3️⃣ Золото більше не «страх», а «інструмент»
Золото стало:
🔹трейдинговим активом
🔹частиною алгоритмічних стратегій
🔹похідним від ставок ФРС
🤔Те саме сталося з біткоїном. Обидва активи тепер реагують на:
▪️реальні ставки,
▪️дохідність облігацій,
▪️рух ліквідності.
А не на “емоційний страх”.
Чи перестало золото бути захисним активом?
Ні.
Але воно більше не є автоматичним хеджем проти крипти. Зараз справжній «захист» — це:
💰кеш,
💰короткі облігації,
💰або правильний момент входу
Що бачимо зараз?
Якщо BTC і метали XAG, XAU, PAXG рухаються синхронно:
➡️ Ринок торгує макро
➡️ Працює фактор ліквідності
➡️ Ми в фазі, де немає "тихої гавані"
І це важливий сигнал.
Бо коли кореляція починає ламатися — з’являється асиметрія.
А там — можливості.
🤔Якщо золото більше не тікає від ризику…
то хто тепер буде «сховищем страху»?
Ваш хід 😉
#btc #paxg #gold #silver
Miyuna:
Все так швидко змінюється. У мене відчуття, що стабільності вже не знайти ні в чому.
«Лотерейные билеты» за $5000: трейдеры массово скупают опционы на золото по $15 000
Помните недавний обвал золота на 11% за один день? Так вот, пока толпа паниковала, умные деньги делали ставки на будущее.
На бирже Comex произошло любопытное движение: открытый интерес по декабрьским колл-спредам (это такие опционные стратегии) со страйками в $15 000 и даже $20 000 за унцию взлетел до 11 000 контрактов. И это после того, как золото уже скорректировалось до $5000!
Что это значит простыми словами?
Кто-то покупает очень дешевые (относительно) «лотерейные билеты» на то, что золото к концу года улетит в космос — в 3 раза от текущих цен.
Эксперты называют это покупкой «дешевого лотерейного билета». Ты не рискуешь много деньгами, но если случится ядерный взрыв волатильности или какой-то форс-мажор толкнет цену в стратосферу — ты в шоколаде.
Почему это вообще происходит на фоне коррекции?
1. Хедж от глобальных рисков (инфляция, геополитика — базовые вещи никуда не делись).
2. Волатильность. После такого исторического обвала амплитуда движений может быть очень высокой. А опционы — лучший способ поймать эту волну, не покупая само золото.
Мораль для крипто-трейдера:
Даже на падающем рынке кто-то покупает коллы по х2-х3 от текущей цены. Это не значит, что они верят в мгновенный рост. Это значит, что они страхуют портфель или просто ловят удачу за хвост копеечными вложениями. Среди наших тоже полно таких, кто ставит маленькие суммы на безумные цели по битку, верно?
P.S. Главное предупреждение от дяди: Опционы — штука сложная. Тут можно как озолотиться, так и потерять всё (если не знать механику). Информация для размышления, а не руководство к действию.
#GOLD #BinanceSquare #trading
На бирже Comex произошло любопытное движение: открытый интерес по декабрьским колл-спредам (это такие опционные стратегии) со страйками в $15 000 и даже $20 000 за унцию взлетел до 11 000 контрактов. И это после того, как золото уже скорректировалось до $5000!
Что это значит простыми словами?
Кто-то покупает очень дешевые (относительно) «лотерейные билеты» на то, что золото к концу года улетит в космос — в 3 раза от текущих цен.
Эксперты называют это покупкой «дешевого лотерейного билета». Ты не рискуешь много деньгами, но если случится ядерный взрыв волатильности или какой-то форс-мажор толкнет цену в стратосферу — ты в шоколаде.
Почему это вообще происходит на фоне коррекции?
1. Хедж от глобальных рисков (инфляция, геополитика — базовые вещи никуда не делись).
2. Волатильность. После такого исторического обвала амплитуда движений может быть очень высокой. А опционы — лучший способ поймать эту волну, не покупая само золото.
Мораль для крипто-трейдера:
Даже на падающем рынке кто-то покупает коллы по х2-х3 от текущей цены. Это не значит, что они верят в мгновенный рост. Это значит, что они страхуют портфель или просто ловят удачу за хвост копеечными вложениями. Среди наших тоже полно таких, кто ставит маленькие суммы на безумные цели по битку, верно?
P.S. Главное предупреждение от дяди: Опционы — штука сложная. Тут можно как озолотиться, так и потерять всё (если не знать механику). Информация для размышления, а не руководство к действию.
#GOLD #BinanceSquare #trading
Золото наконец начало двигаться в нужном направлении.
Цена пробила локальный тренд, и закрепилась ниже MA.
Цели этого падения на 4800 и 4700$, напомню что давал колл на пробой уровня 5000, и с этих цен открывался шорт.
Тем не менее среднесрочно золото все еще имеет потенциал роста, и ставить на длительное падение я бы не стал.
#GOLD #XAUUSD $XAU
Цена пробила локальный тренд, и закрепилась ниже MA.
Цели этого падения на 4800 и 4700$, напомню что давал колл на пробой уровня 5000, и с этих цен открывался шорт.
Тем не менее среднесрочно золото все еще имеет потенциал роста, и ставить на длительное падение я бы не стал.
#GOLD #XAUUSD $XAU
Золото пробило уровень 5000, на хорошем импульсе. Вероятно продолжение движения, в район 4650-4700. Отмена будет возврат и закрепление выше 5120. #GOLD $XAU #XAUUSD
{future}(XAUUSDT)
{future}(XAUUSDT)
max544194253:
Я бы вообще не стал ставить на падение золота
$SUI 💥EVERYONE FORGETS THIS💥
In 1933, the US government literally made it illegal to own gold.
They told citizens:
Turn it in at $20/oz… or face fines and jail.
💀 They were broke. Needed the reserves. So they just took it.
And then? The very next day, they revalued it to $BTC 35/oz.
➡️ Robbed you at gunpoint… then marked it up 75% overnight.
People act like “government overreach” is new.
This wasn’t ancient history — less than 100 years ago.
Yet some still think keeping everything in a bank account is “safe.” 😳
#Gold #XAU #FinanceHistory #WakeUp #Alishba _Soza r
In 1933, the US government literally made it illegal to own gold.
They told citizens:
Turn it in at $20/oz… or face fines and jail.
💀 They were broke. Needed the reserves. So they just took it.
And then? The very next day, they revalued it to $BTC 35/oz.
➡️ Robbed you at gunpoint… then marked it up 75% overnight.
People act like “government overreach” is new.
This wasn’t ancient history — less than 100 years ago.
Yet some still think keeping everything in a bank account is “safe.” 😳
#Gold #XAU #FinanceHistory #WakeUp #Alishba _Soza r
Gold vs Bitcoin —$XAU crash below $4,000 while $BTC hits $100,000
While Bitcoin continues to show really strong bullish potential as it is coming out of a major low, Gold (XAUUSD) is facing quite the opposite situation. Coming out of a major high, it has really strong bearish potential.
Why will Bitcoin go up while #GOLD goes down?
While Bitcoin was going down—late 2025 through early 2026—Gold was moving up.
When Gold peaked, Bitcoin hit bottom.
As Bitcoin now trades at support, Gold trades at resistance.
When Gold starts to crash-down, Bitcoin will start to move up.
Here we see a classic inverse correlation. It goes further.
Nvidia is trading close to its all-time high while the altcoins market is trading at new all-time lows. When Nvidia goes down, the altcoins will recover and grow.
Tesla is crashing from recent highs while #bitcoin is recovering from major lows, etc.
The reason why Crypto will grow when everything goes down, is because Crypto already crashed, it crashed ahead of the conventional markets. Crypto is simply moving ahead, revealing what the rest of finance is about to face.
Gold right now has a very strong bearish bias after a lower high and bearish continuation. $4,100 is the next target.
#TrendingTopic #BTCVSGOLD
While Bitcoin continues to show really strong bullish potential as it is coming out of a major low, Gold (XAUUSD) is facing quite the opposite situation. Coming out of a major high, it has really strong bearish potential.
Why will Bitcoin go up while #GOLD goes down?
While Bitcoin was going down—late 2025 through early 2026—Gold was moving up.
When Gold peaked, Bitcoin hit bottom.
As Bitcoin now trades at support, Gold trades at resistance.
When Gold starts to crash-down, Bitcoin will start to move up.
Here we see a classic inverse correlation. It goes further.
Nvidia is trading close to its all-time high while the altcoins market is trading at new all-time lows. When Nvidia goes down, the altcoins will recover and grow.
Tesla is crashing from recent highs while #bitcoin is recovering from major lows, etc.
The reason why Crypto will grow when everything goes down, is because Crypto already crashed, it crashed ahead of the conventional markets. Crypto is simply moving ahead, revealing what the rest of finance is about to face.
Gold right now has a very strong bearish bias after a lower high and bearish continuation. $4,100 is the next target.
#TrendingTopic #BTCVSGOLD
$XAU
In 1933, the United States Government made private gold ownership illegal.
Citizens were forced to sell gold at $20/oz… or face fines & jail.
After collecting it, they revalued gold to $35/oz — a 75% jump.
Same asset. New price. Different balance sheet.
Government overreach isn’t new.
When systems break, rules change.
Hard assets matter.
#XAU #GOLD #WealthProtection #cryptobyusama
In 1933, the United States Government made private gold ownership illegal.
Citizens were forced to sell gold at $20/oz… or face fines & jail.
After collecting it, they revalued gold to $35/oz — a 75% jump.
Same asset. New price. Different balance sheet.
Government overreach isn’t new.
When systems break, rules change.
Hard assets matter.
#XAU #GOLD #WealthProtection #cryptobyusama
GOLD SHOCKER: $5000 CRUMBLED, NOW WHAT?
Entry: 4900 🟩
Target 1: 5000 🎯
Stop Loss: 4800 🛑
The paper gold game is OVER. Physical supply is vanishing. East is hoarding REAL gold. West is drowning in paper promises. This imbalance is reaching a breaking point. Debt levels are insane. Gold is the ONLY asset that can reprice without default. Sovereigns are silently accumulating. This isn't a trade, it's a monetary reset. Supply is tightening. Demand is exploding. The suppression ends NOW. Physical ownership is KING. If it's not in your vault, it's not yours.
Not financial advice.
$XAU #Gold #FOMO #Trading #MarketCrash 🚀
Entry: 4900 🟩
Target 1: 5000 🎯
Stop Loss: 4800 🛑
The paper gold game is OVER. Physical supply is vanishing. East is hoarding REAL gold. West is drowning in paper promises. This imbalance is reaching a breaking point. Debt levels are insane. Gold is the ONLY asset that can reprice without default. Sovereigns are silently accumulating. This isn't a trade, it's a monetary reset. Supply is tightening. Demand is exploding. The suppression ends NOW. Physical ownership is KING. If it's not in your vault, it's not yours.
Not financial advice.
$XAU #Gold #FOMO #Trading #MarketCrash 🚀
🚨 Wall Street’s Record USD Shorts: A Fragile Positioning Setup
Positioning in the U.S. dollar has reached its most bearish level since 2012. Large funds are aggressively leaning toward a weaker dollar, effectively pricing in looser financial conditions and higher risk asset valuations. When positioning becomes this one-sided, the risk shifts from direction to reflexivity.
Historically, the logic behind shorting the dollar has been straightforward. A falling USD typically signals expanding liquidity, rising global risk appetite, and strong performance in high-beta assets such as equities and crypto.
However, recent market behavior complicates this framework. Over the past year, $BTC has not consistently traded as an inflation hedge nor as digital #gold . Instead, it has frequently moved in tandem with the dollar rather than inversely. This evolving correlation structure introduces instability into what many assume is a reliable macro trade.
Past turning points illustrate how extreme consensus can precede sharp reversals. In 2011–2012, heavy dollar pessimism led to a violent rebound. In 2017–2018, dollar weakness fueled speculative mania before tightening conditions drove an 80% Bitcoin drawdown. In 2020–2021, a collapsing dollar amplified a historic liquidity bubble. Today’s backdrop differs: inflation remains sticky, global liquidity is constrained, and valuations across risk assets are elevated.
This creates a fragile equilibrium. When everyone is positioned for the same macro outcome, the danger lies not in the expected path, but in deviation from it. Correlations are unstable, positioning is crowded, and small catalysts can produce outsized reactions.
Markets rarely reward consensus at extremes. The current dollar setup is less about direction and more about vulnerability. Positioning, not headlines, will determine how violent the next move becomes.
Positioning in the U.S. dollar has reached its most bearish level since 2012. Large funds are aggressively leaning toward a weaker dollar, effectively pricing in looser financial conditions and higher risk asset valuations. When positioning becomes this one-sided, the risk shifts from direction to reflexivity.
Historically, the logic behind shorting the dollar has been straightforward. A falling USD typically signals expanding liquidity, rising global risk appetite, and strong performance in high-beta assets such as equities and crypto.
However, recent market behavior complicates this framework. Over the past year, $BTC has not consistently traded as an inflation hedge nor as digital #gold . Instead, it has frequently moved in tandem with the dollar rather than inversely. This evolving correlation structure introduces instability into what many assume is a reliable macro trade.
Past turning points illustrate how extreme consensus can precede sharp reversals. In 2011–2012, heavy dollar pessimism led to a violent rebound. In 2017–2018, dollar weakness fueled speculative mania before tightening conditions drove an 80% Bitcoin drawdown. In 2020–2021, a collapsing dollar amplified a historic liquidity bubble. Today’s backdrop differs: inflation remains sticky, global liquidity is constrained, and valuations across risk assets are elevated.
This creates a fragile equilibrium. When everyone is positioned for the same macro outcome, the danger lies not in the expected path, but in deviation from it. Correlations are unstable, positioning is crowded, and small catalysts can produce outsized reactions.
Markets rarely reward consensus at extremes. The current dollar setup is less about direction and more about vulnerability. Positioning, not headlines, will determine how violent the next move becomes.
Mustafa Joyia :
good
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