With the 15th approaching, here's one of the cleanest monthly patterns I track on $BTC:
Where Bitcoin closes on the 15th relative to the monthly open has been a surprisingly reliable tell for how the month finishes.
Above the monthly open on day 15 → month typically closes green.
Below it → month typically closes red.
This year: 7 out of 10 months followed through. 70% hit rate.
Full historical sample: 144 out of 181 months. 79.6% accuracy.
This isn't noise. It's one of the most statistically reliable indicators I've tracked.
Right now, $BTC is trading below the monthly open at roughly $77K.
If we close below that pivot on the 15th — which looks likely — the expectation is for November to finish red.
Simple structure. High conviction. Let's see if it holds.
Where Bitcoin closes on the 15th relative to the monthly open has been a surprisingly reliable tell for how the month finishes.
Above the monthly open on day 15 → month typically closes green.
Below it → month typically closes red.
This year: 7 out of 10 months followed through. 70% hit rate.
Full historical sample: 144 out of 181 months. 79.6% accuracy.
This isn't noise. It's one of the most statistically reliable indicators I've tracked.
Right now, $BTC is trading below the monthly open at roughly $77K.
If we close below that pivot on the 15th — which looks likely — the expectation is for November to finish red.
Simple structure. High conviction. Let's see if it holds.
