technicalanalysis

Market data for today, February 7, 2026, signals that we have entered the "Capitulation" phase. Pure panic is driving the market, but the numbers tell a deeper story:

Fear & Greed Index (6): We’ve hit a level of "Extreme Fear" rarely seen in history. Historically, such extreme lows often precede massive price reversals. As the saying goes: "Buy when there's blood in the streets." Deeply Oversold (RSI 16.52): The Relative Strength Index is screaming "exhaustion." Selling pressure is likely maxed out, making a bounce toward $104k the most probable short-term scenario. The Moving Average Gap: The price is currently trading at a massive 33% discount below the 200-day SMA ($103,094). While the trend remains bearish, we are clearly at the peak of this correction. Trader’s Note:
While the structure is highly bullish, watch for a potential pullback to retest the broken trendline (now acting as support) near $80,000 before the final leg up.
Key Support: $66,800Key Resistance: $103,318
The Bottom Line:
Despite the gloomy outlook and only 10 "Green Days" out of the last 30, technical indicators (RSI and Fear Index) suggest this is a buying opportunity rather than a time to flee. Expect an imminent relief rally to correct the course.

What’s your move? Are you longing the breakout or waiting for the $90k retest? Let me know in the comments! 👇
#BTC走势分析 #TechnicalAnalysis #cryptouniverseofficial
⚠️Note: This is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research.

Following the historic volatility of the past week, precious metals are entering a critical consolidation phase. For Binance traders, the focus has shifted from "momentum chasing" to "key level defense." Here is the breakdown of the charts.
🟡 Gold (XAU/USDT): The $5,000 Tug-of-War
Gold has staged an aggressive V-shaped recovery after the "flush" to the $4,400 zone.
Current Trend: Bullish recovery. The price is currently oscillating around $4,965, supported by a "Morning Star" pattern on the 4-hour chart.
Key Resistance: $5,120 – $5,370. A daily close above this zone is required to confirm a continuation toward the all-time highs of $5,600.
Immediate Support: $4,821. If this level fails, we could see a retest of the $4,760 Doji low.
RSI Indicator: Rebounding from extreme oversold levels (20), suggesting the path of least resistance is currently upward, provided the Dollar Index (DXY) cools off.
⚪ Silver (XAG/USDT): High Beta, High Risk
Silver continues to live up to its reputation as "Gold on steroids," showing a +9.43% bounce today after a brutal weekly drawdown.
Current Price: $78.01.
Technical Outlook: The price is testing the $80.00 psychological barrier. On the H4 timeframe, Silver remains below the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling that sellers still hold medium-term control.
Support Zones: Strong confluence is visible at $75.20 (50-day SMA). A break below this could trigger a slide toward $64.00.
Volatility Alert: Intraday ranges are exceeding 10%. Binance traders should utilize Trailing Stop Losses to protect gains in this "choppy" environment.
📊 Trading Strategy for Today
The Gold/Silver Ratio: The ratio has widened significantly. Historically, when Silver underperforms Gold this drastically, it eventually "catches up" with a violent move. Watch for Silver to outperform if Gold stabilizes above $5,000.
Risk Management: With a $600+ weekly range in Gold, leverage should be kept low (3x–5x max) to avoid liquidation during "flash" spikes.
Macro Trigger: Keep an eye on the DXY (97.63). Any dip in the Dollar will act as immediate fuel for XAU/USDT.
Bottom Line: The market has "reset" by clearing over-leveraged long positions. While the long-term 2026 targets remain bullish ($6,000 for Gold), the next 48 hours are about whether $4,800 can hold as a new floor.
#binancetrading #XAUUSDT #SilverPrice #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoVsGold
$XAU
$PAXG
$XAG

$BTC is currently navigating a high-stakes "Danger Zone" after losing the pivotal $75,000 support level. While we are seeing a short-term relief bounce, the higher-timeframe structure remains under significant pressure.
📉 Technical Analysis (TA) Breakdown
1. The Macro Collapse ($75K Pivot): As highlighted in the analysis, the $75,000 mark was the "backbone" of the bullish trend. By breaking below this, $BTC invalidated its higher-high/higher-low pattern. We are currently trading below the 20-week and 50-week Moving Averages, a zone that historically limits upward momentum and signals a transition into a "Bear Phase."

2. Short-Term Price Action (1m, 15m, 1h):

Support Found:
After a sharp wick down to $59,800, $BTC found buyers, leading to the current recovery toward $69,376.

The $70K Hurdle:
The 1-minute and 15-minute charts show a struggle to flip $70,000 back into support.

Overbought Risk:
The RSI (6) on the 15-minute timeframe is sitting at 83.0, suggesting that the current bounce is "overheated" in the short term and may need a cooling-off period (pullback) before attempting another leg up.

3. Key Levels to Watch:

Immediate Resistance:
$71,700 (Recent 24h High) and the critical $75,000 (Trend Reversal point).

Critical Support: $66,000 (Recent Low) and the "Cycle Reset" point at $50,000 (MA200).

📊 Fundamental & Sentiment Analysis
Market Sentiment: The sentiment is currently "Fearful." The screenshots show a "Long" position at -802% PnL, illustrating how many traders were caught off-guard by the $95k to $60k drop. This high level of liquidations often leads to "forced selling," which creates the downside pressure we recently witnessed.

The "Relief Rally" Trap:
Fundamentals suggest that unless BTC reclaims the $75,000 level with high volume, the current move to $69k is likely a "Dead Cat Bounce"—a temporary recovery before the market tests deeper supports like the $50k zone.

💡 Professional Verdict
Bitcoin is at a crossroads. We are seeing a healthy technical bounce from the $60k zone, but the Long-Term Trend is currently bearish.

Bullish Scenario:
A daily close above $72,000 could pave the way for a retest of the $75k breakdown point.

Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break $70k followed by a drop below $66k will likely confirm a move toward the $50,000 - $55,000 "Deep Reset" zone.

Trading Tip:
Keep a close eye on the MA200 on the daily/weekly charts. This is the ultimate "Line in the Sand" for the 4-year cycle.

#crypto #bitcoin #BTC☀ #TechnicalAnalysis #tradingStrategy