bitcoin

Anh em đang theo dõi liquidation map trên Coinglass/Binance BTC/USDT Perpetual thì chắc chắn đã thấy bức tranh này:

Giá hiện tại: ~66,241 USD
🔴Phía trên giá hiện tại: Short liquidation khá mỏng, tổng cumulative short leverage chỉ vài chục triệu đến ~100M ở các mức cao hơn.
🟢Phía dưới giá hiện tại: Long liquidation dày đặc, đặc biệt ở các vùng 65k–64k, 63k–62k, và kéo dài xuống sâu hơn với hàng trăm triệu đến tổng cộng hàng tỷ USD vị thế Long có nguy cơ bị quét nếu giá test lại.
Điểm nổi bật nhất trên chart:
🔸Vùng giá ngay dưới 66k–65k đã tích lũy rất nhiều thanh khoản Long (các thanh histogram đỏ dài và dày).
🔸Nếu BTC dump thêm 1–3% nữa (về khoảng 64,500–65,000), hàng trăm triệu USD Long sẽ bắt đầu bị thanh lý → tạo hiệu ứng domino, đẩy giá xuống nhanh hơn.
🔸Các mức leverage cao (25x, 50x, 100x) tập trung khá nhiều ở vùng giá thấp hơn hiện tại → đây là “miếng mồi” hấp dẫn cho bất kỳ cú wick xuống nào.
Phân tích tâm lý & thanh khoản:
🔸Khi quá đông trader cùng mở Long ở một vùng giá → thị trường thường có xu hướng test ngược lại để lấy thanh khoản. Đây không phải “âm mưu”, mà là bản chất của thị trường phái sinh: thanh khoản luôn nằm ở nơi đông người nhất.
🔸Hiện tại phe Short vẫn đang chiếm ưu thế ngắn hạn. Long side đang “nặng” hơn và dễ bị quét hơn.
Kịch bản có khả năng xảy ra nhất (xác suất cao):
1️⃣ Dump nhẹ để quét Long → giá về 64,500–65,000, thanh lý vài trăm triệu → tạo lực đẩy xuống thêm, sau đó rebound.
2️⃣ Sideway tích lũy → giá giằng co quanh 66k, chờ thêm lực mua thật sự để breakout lên.
3️⃣ Breakout lên mạnh → cần volume thật + short squeeze lớn, nhưng hiện tại short liquidation phía trên còn khá mỏng → xác suất thấp hơn trong ngắn hạn.
Lời khuyên quản trị rủi ro:
🔸Không FOMO Long khi giá đang nằm ngay trên vùng thanh lý dày.
🔸Nếu đang hold Long, đặt stop-loss chặt dưới 65k–65.5k để tránh bị quét bất ngờ.
🔸Giai đoạn này ưu tiên bảo toàn vốn hơn là đu theo kỳ vọng tăng mạnh.
🔸Thị trường không đi theo số đông — nó đi theo nơi có thanh khoản.
Anh em nghĩ sao về liquidation map lúc này? BTC sẽ quét Long trước rồi mới pump?
Hay sẽ sideway chờ lực mua thật sự?
Comment dự đoán vùng giá tiếp theo BTC sẽ test nhé!
$BTC $BNB $OWL
#BTC #bitcoin #liquidationmap #cryptotrading #BinanceSquare
NFA – DYOR

Автор: Ян Кривоносов
Крупные держатели биткоина воспользовались резким падением рынка и за последние дни накопили рекордные объёмы BTC — крупнейшие с ноября. Однако аналитики предупреждают: даже такие покупки пока не способны изменить общий негативный тренд.

Крупные игроки приобрели BTC на $4 млрд — но спроса всё ещё мало
По данным Glassnode, опубликованным Bloomberg, кошельки с балансом более 1 000 BTC за неделю, когда цена опускалась до $60 000, накопили около $4 млрд в биткоине. Это крупнейший недельный приток капитала с ноября 2025 года.

CryptoQuant приводит схожие данные: «киты» купили почти 67 000 BTC (около $4,5 млрд по курсу на 11 февраля).

Но аналитики подчёркивают: этого недостаточно.

«Это замедляет падение. Но нам нужно, чтобы на рынок поступало больше денег», — отметил глава отдела продаж Glassnode Бретт Сингер.

Почему покупки «китов» не спасают рынок
Главная проблема — отсутствие широкого спроса со стороны других групп инвесторов. В прошлые циклы рост поддерживался:

• розничными инвесторами,
• институциональными фондами,
• биржевыми адресами,
• корпоративными кошельками.

Сейчас этого не наблюдается. Накопление идёт точечно, а не массово.

Одна из самых тяжёлых недель с 2022 года
Неделя, завершившаяся 8 февраля, стала одной из самых волатильных за последние годы:

• биткоин пробил уровень $80 000,
• в моменте падал до $60 000,
• затем восстановился к $70 000.

К 11 февраля BTC торгуется около $70 000.

Крупные держатели продавали весь прошлый год
Glassnode отмечает: несмотря на недавние покупки, в течение 2025 года крупные игроки активно продавали BTC.

С середины декабря 2025 года с крупных адресов было выведено более 170 000 BTC (около $11 млрд).

В 2025 году, по данным Galaxy, перемещено 470 000 BTC, не двигавшихся более пяти лет — вторая крупнейшая цифра в истории наблюдений.

С начала 2024 года из «старых рук» в «новые» перешло более $104 млрд в биткоине.

Это указывает на масштабную перераспределительную фазу рынка.

Глубина падения: 17% BTC куплены выше текущей цены Glassnode сообщает:

• при цене $69 000 нереализованный убыток составляет около 17% рыночной капитализации,

• то есть 17% всех BTC были куплены дороже текущего уровня. Эксперты сравнивают ситуацию с:
• маем 2022 года, • циклом 2015–2017 годов — умеренный спад, но без признаков разворота.

CryptoQuant добавляет: кошельки с балансом 100–1 000 BTC имеют среднюю цену покупки около $69 000, что означает, что многие держатели сейчас в минусе. Подобная ситуация наблюдалась в 2022 году, когда рынок семь месяцев торговался ниже их средней цены.

Итог
Несмотря на агрессивные покупки «китов», рынок остаётся под давлением. Для разворота требуется более широкий приток капитала и восстановление доверия среди разных групп инвесторов. Пока же биткоин переживает фазу перераспределения, характерную для затяжных коррекций.
#bitcoin  #BTC  #CryptoMarket  #Glassnode  #whales  

let's talk about something most crypto people don't want to admit: bitcoin might have already won its biggest battle and lost its biggest opportunity at the same time.
the uncomfortable truth about bitcoin's next 10x
in my view, bitcoin no longer has the potential to increase in value by 1,000x, 100x, or even 10x. i know that sounds bearish, but hear me out.
fifteen years ago, bitcoin emerged at the perfect moment right after the 2008 financial crisis when trust in governments, banks, and fiat currencies was at historic lows. remember occupy wall street? the tea party? that was real rage. bitcoin offered something different: decentralized, scarce, and completely outside the traditional financial system.
back then, the extreme volatility (70% to 90% drawdowns, multiple times) was tolerable because it was always followed by 5x, 10x, sometimes even 100x rallies. much of this growth was driven by waves of new, highly leveraged investors attracted by returns that were literally impossible to find in traditional assets.
the discovery phase is over
today, bitcoin is widely known. your parents have heard of it. your barber has an opinion on it. that one friend who still uses a flip phone? yeah, they know what bitcoin is too.
this dramatically reduces the likelihood of massive new inflows purely from discovery. the "wait until people find out about this" narrative is dead. people found out. they either bought in or decided not to.
at the same time, investors seeking speculative upside now have alternatives: gold, silver, tech stocks like tesla, or other high-risk assets that offer more stability while satisfying the same appetite for outsized gains.
we got what we asked for (and it killed the dream)
here's the paradox that nobody wants to acknowledge:
bitcoin spent years fighting for mainstream institutional and governmental acceptance. that day has arrived.
etfs exist ✓banks offer exposure ✓regulators have frameworks ✓institutions are accumulating ✓
yet this acceptance has not translated into widespread use as a medium of exchange for goods and services. instead, financialization has deepened.
large institutions can now trade "paper bitcoin" through derivatives, potentially expanding synthetic supply through futures and short selling. the original scarcity narrative — the thing that made bitcoin special — gets diluted within the modern financial system.
"we wanted wall street to accept bitcoin. they did. then they turned it into another tradfi product."
~ every og bitcoiner, probably
so what's the path forward?
i struggle to see a clear trajectory for bitcoin under its current setup. the explosive growth phase was fueled by:
novelty (now gone)distrust in traditional systems (institutions co-opted it)extreme volatility cycles (being smoothed out by institutional participation)
now that bitcoin is widely known, institutionalized, and deeply integrated into mainstream finance, the asymmetric upside that defined its early years appears structurally harder to repeat.
the one scenario that could change everything
one potential catalyst would be genuine, large-scale adoption as a unit of account for globally traded commodities — oil, gas, strategic resources.
if major exporters began pricing and settling contracts in #bitcoin , demand would shift from speculative to transactional. that would represent a structural transformation, not just another hype cycle.
however, this would require:
geopolitical realignmentsovereign-level coordinationprice stability (the irony)
and here's where it gets really interesting...
the cruel irony: legitimacy kills volatility
paradoxically, if bitcoin achieved that level of real-economy integration, investors would have to say goodbye to the volatility that historically drove outsized returns.
a currency used for large-scale commodity settlement cannot swing 20-30% in a week without creating systemic risk. stability would become a feature, not a bug.
and while stability could validate bitcoin as infrastructure, it would also kill its appeal as a high-beta speculative asset.
in that scenario, bitcoin might mature into a low-volatility settlement layer — valuable, sure, but unlikely to deliver the exponential gains that early adopters experienced.
the identity crisis
this is bitcoin's real problem in 2026:
is it:
digital gold? (then it competes with actual gold)a payments network? (then it competes with visa/mastercard)a speculative asset? (then it competes with tech stocks)global reserve currency? (then it needs stability, killing returns)
it can't be all of these things simultaneously. and trying to be everything to everyone might mean it ends up being nothing special to anyone.
what this means for crypto broadly
if bitcoin — the flagship, the original, the most trusted — is facing this identity crisis, what does that mean for the rest of crypto?
defi promised to replace banks. instead, it became a casino.
nfts promised digital ownership. instead, they became jpgs of monkeys.
web3 promised decentralization. instead, it became vc-funded startups with tokens.
the pattern is clear: crypto gets absorbed by the system it was supposed to replace, then loses the properties that made it interesting in the first place.
the uncomfortable question
in short, the path to legitimacy and the path to extraordinary returns may no longer be the same path.
and as a result, i'm genuinely not sure what purpose bitcoin and crypto serve today beyond being another asset class for speculation.
maybe that's enough. maybe being "just another tradeable asset" is the final form.
but if that's the case, we should stop pretending it's revolutionary and just call it what it is: a speculative tech stock with better branding.
#RiskAssetsMarketShock $BTC

Entire market goes SILENT. (literally)

Let’s talk REALITY.

We went from the $126k to $65k
That is a $61,000 wipeout per $BTC .

Everyone suddenly becomes a risk manager.

The same people who screamed MOON
at the top are now DM’ing me:
Is it over? Should I sell?

What changed?
Absolutely nothing, except the emotions.

Look at the cycles:

YEAR   BTC LOW   BTC HIGH
2022    $15,400    $48,000
2023    $16,500    $44,000
2024    $38,500    $73,700
2025    $70,000    $126,000
2026    $60,000    [Loading...]

The Stats:
Average Annual Return: ~64%
10-Year Growth: ~18,600%

Markets REPEAT.
People DON’T LEARN.

Every cycle looks the same:
• Green candles: Everyone is an EXPERT.
• Red candles: Wait, should I exit?

Please be patient 🙂
That's it for today

#Investment #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #bitcoin

BTC/USDC
🟢 Цена: $67 632 (+1.32%)
📈 Максимум: $68 821
📉 Минимум: $65 729
💰 Объём 24ч: $591 млн
📊 RSI: 48–78 (разброс по таймам)
📅 За год: -29.15% - всё ещё ждём новый хай 🚀
❓ ЧТО ДУМАЕТЕ?
1. Пробой $69K или снова тест $65K?
2. ETF притоки заработали или просто коррекция?
3. Кто ждёт халвинг-ралли или уже всё заложено?
👇 Лайк, если биток - ядро. Комменты - ваши цели 👇
$BTC
#BTC #bitcoin #BTC走势分析 #btc70k #BTC☀️