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Consensus 2026 Hong Kong: What Endures When Markets Mature? The Answer from Stellar and TopnodMarket maturity shifts focus from speculation to infrastructure, with stablecoins and real world assets becoming foundational.   Web3 adoption requires abstraction layers that remove friction around accounts, chains, gas, and data for mainstream users.   The Stellar and Topnod partnership highlights how secure distribution and RWA depth can drive the next phase of global Web3 growth. WHEN NARRATIVES FADE, INFRASTRUCTURE REMAINS   On stage at Consensus 2026 Hong Kong, the conversation between Raja Chakravorti and Antonio Liu was not about price targets or market timing. There was no attempt to energize the room with bullish sentiment. Instead, they focused on a deeper question. When markets truly mature, what actually stays?   This is a question that goes beyond cycles.     Over the past decade, Web3 has grown through narratives. Digital gold. DeFi summer. NFTs. Metaverse. Restaking. Modular chains. Each wave brought new users and strong momentum. Each wave also left noise behind. The industry expanded quickly, but it also corrected itself again and again.   In Hong Kong, a global financial hub, the tone felt different. The focus shifted from price performance to structure. From tokens to assets. From chain speed to what chains can support.   Raja pointed out a clear trend. Stablecoins and real world assets are becoming the foundation. Tokenized US Treasuries are now common among institutions. Money market funds on chain are no longer experiments. RWA is no longer a demo. It represents real capital moving on chain.   Antonio added another key point. Asia is not simply copying the West. Asia has its own asset structure and regional liquidity dynamics. Many local assets were once limited to local markets. Tokenization changes that. Once these assets move on chain, they gain global distribution.   The real shift is not that assets are on chain. The real shift is that assets can now travel across borders.   When markets mature, speculation fades. Infrastructure remains.   FROM BUILDING FOR WEB3 TO PREPARING FOR WEB2   Antonio made an important observation. For more than ten years, Web3 has been building mainly for itself.   Infrastructure, protocols, bridges, DeFi strategies, staking models. Most products were designed for native Web3 users. These are users who understand seed phrases, gas fees, and cross chain mechanics.   But that situation is changing.     Web3 is no longer limited to crypto native communities. Ordinary Web2 users now talk about stablecoins, tokenized stocks, and on chain yield. These topics appear in social conversations and online discussions far beyond technical circles.   This means Web3 narratives are expanding outside their original audience.   The challenge is no longer technical readiness. Infrastructure is complex and mature. The question is whether it is ready for non technical users.   Antonio compared today’s Web3 to the early internet. Decades ago, people needed to understand DNS, HTTP, and dial up modems. The technical barrier stopped many from participating.   Web3 feels similar today.   Seed phrases, gas fees, multiple chains, bridges, swaps, staking, restaking. For professionals, these are tools. For average users, they are obstacles.   Mass adoption will not come from teaching Web2 users to become Web3 experts. It will come from hiding Web3 complexity behind familiar experiences.   When technology becomes invisible, the market is truly mature.   FOUR LAYERS OF ABSTRACTION: MAKING THE CHAIN INVISIBLE   Topnod’s approach is not to build a flashier wallet. It is to build a smoother entry point.   Antonio described four layers of abstraction.   The first is account abstraction. Seed phrases are powerful for security, but they create stress. Topnod allows users to register with social accounts or email. Private keys are protected through trusted execution environments and device level security modules. The wallet remains non custodial. Only users control their assets. But users no longer need to remember complex phrases.   The second is chain abstraction. Users should not need to see the blockchain. They should see what they can do. Trade assets. Invest in RWA. Explore yield strategies. View their portfolio performance. Stellar operates underneath, but it does not need to appear in the user interface.   The third is gas abstraction. For Web2 users, paying a transaction fee in a different token makes little sense. Topnod handles gas in the background. The system can manage costs and adjust later within the flow. Users do not need to understand gas at all.   The fourth is data abstraction. Different chains and DeFi protocols present information in technical formats. Topnod converts these into clear portfolio views and simple reports. Users see gains, losses, and allocations. They do not see contract logic.   Together, these layers reduce friction.   The blockchain does not disappear technically. It disappears from the user’s awareness.   When users no longer talk about the chain, the infrastructure has succeeded.   SECURITY, EXPERIENCE, AND THE ROLE OF STELLAR   Raja raised a long standing issue in the industry. There is often a trade off between security and usability.   The traditional view treats this as a zero sum choice. Improve security and you reduce convenience. Improve convenience and you weaken security.   Antonio offered a different perspective. If technology does not improve, resources are fixed. But when technology advances, total capacity grows. It becomes possible to improve both security and user experience at the same time.   Account abstraction, mobile hardware security, and trusted execution environments are examples of this shift.   In this context, choosing the right blockchain matters.   Topnod selected Stellar not because of marketing claims about speed, but because of asset depth. Stellar already hosts a wide range of real world assets and stablecoins. It has a complete ecosystem with DeFi protocols, bridges, and swap infrastructure.   For a wallet targeting Web2 users, the key question is simple. Are there meaningful assets available? Are there real opportunities to invest and trade?   Distribution unlocks value, but it must be built on secure and reliable infrastructure.   At Consensus 2026 Hong Kong, the message was clear. The next phase of Web3 will not be defined by more complex protocols or faster chains.   It will be defined by simplicity.   When users only see assets and results, and no longer see the complexity behind them, that is when markets have truly matured. 〈Consensus 2026 Hong Kong: What Endures When Markets Mature? The Answer from Stellar and Topnod〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。

Consensus 2026 Hong Kong: What Endures When Markets Mature? The Answer from Stellar and Topnod

Market maturity shifts focus from speculation to infrastructure, with stablecoins and real world assets becoming foundational.

 

Web3 adoption requires abstraction layers that remove friction around accounts, chains, gas, and data for mainstream users.

 

The Stellar and Topnod partnership highlights how secure distribution and RWA depth can drive the next phase of global Web3 growth.

WHEN NARRATIVES FADE, INFRASTRUCTURE REMAINS

 

On stage at Consensus 2026 Hong Kong, the conversation between Raja Chakravorti and Antonio Liu was not about price targets or market timing. There was no attempt to energize the room with bullish sentiment. Instead, they focused on a deeper question. When markets truly mature, what actually stays?

 

This is a question that goes beyond cycles.

 

 

Over the past decade, Web3 has grown through narratives. Digital gold. DeFi summer. NFTs. Metaverse. Restaking. Modular chains. Each wave brought new users and strong momentum. Each wave also left noise behind. The industry expanded quickly, but it also corrected itself again and again.

 

In Hong Kong, a global financial hub, the tone felt different. The focus shifted from price performance to structure. From tokens to assets. From chain speed to what chains can support.

 

Raja pointed out a clear trend. Stablecoins and real world assets are becoming the foundation. Tokenized US Treasuries are now common among institutions. Money market funds on chain are no longer experiments. RWA is no longer a demo. It represents real capital moving on chain.

 

Antonio added another key point. Asia is not simply copying the West. Asia has its own asset structure and regional liquidity dynamics. Many local assets were once limited to local markets. Tokenization changes that. Once these assets move on chain, they gain global distribution.

 

The real shift is not that assets are on chain. The real shift is that assets can now travel across borders.

 

When markets mature, speculation fades. Infrastructure remains.

 

FROM BUILDING FOR WEB3 TO PREPARING FOR WEB2

 

Antonio made an important observation. For more than ten years, Web3 has been building mainly for itself.

 

Infrastructure, protocols, bridges, DeFi strategies, staking models. Most products were designed for native Web3 users. These are users who understand seed phrases, gas fees, and cross chain mechanics.

 

But that situation is changing.

 

 

Web3 is no longer limited to crypto native communities. Ordinary Web2 users now talk about stablecoins, tokenized stocks, and on chain yield. These topics appear in social conversations and online discussions far beyond technical circles.

 

This means Web3 narratives are expanding outside their original audience.

 

The challenge is no longer technical readiness. Infrastructure is complex and mature. The question is whether it is ready for non technical users.

 

Antonio compared today’s Web3 to the early internet. Decades ago, people needed to understand DNS, HTTP, and dial up modems. The technical barrier stopped many from participating.

 

Web3 feels similar today.

 

Seed phrases, gas fees, multiple chains, bridges, swaps, staking, restaking. For professionals, these are tools. For average users, they are obstacles.

 

Mass adoption will not come from teaching Web2 users to become Web3 experts. It will come from hiding Web3 complexity behind familiar experiences.

 

When technology becomes invisible, the market is truly mature.

 

FOUR LAYERS OF ABSTRACTION: MAKING THE CHAIN INVISIBLE

 

Topnod’s approach is not to build a flashier wallet. It is to build a smoother entry point.

 

Antonio described four layers of abstraction.

 

The first is account abstraction. Seed phrases are powerful for security, but they create stress. Topnod allows users to register with social accounts or email. Private keys are protected through trusted execution environments and device level security modules. The wallet remains non custodial. Only users control their assets. But users no longer need to remember complex phrases.

 

The second is chain abstraction. Users should not need to see the blockchain. They should see what they can do. Trade assets. Invest in RWA. Explore yield strategies. View their portfolio performance. Stellar operates underneath, but it does not need to appear in the user interface.

 

The third is gas abstraction. For Web2 users, paying a transaction fee in a different token makes little sense. Topnod handles gas in the background. The system can manage costs and adjust later within the flow. Users do not need to understand gas at all.

 

The fourth is data abstraction. Different chains and DeFi protocols present information in technical formats. Topnod converts these into clear portfolio views and simple reports. Users see gains, losses, and allocations. They do not see contract logic.

 

Together, these layers reduce friction.

 

The blockchain does not disappear technically. It disappears from the user’s awareness.

 

When users no longer talk about the chain, the infrastructure has succeeded.

 

SECURITY, EXPERIENCE, AND THE ROLE OF STELLAR

 

Raja raised a long standing issue in the industry. There is often a trade off between security and usability.

 

The traditional view treats this as a zero sum choice. Improve security and you reduce convenience. Improve convenience and you weaken security.

 

Antonio offered a different perspective. If technology does not improve, resources are fixed. But when technology advances, total capacity grows. It becomes possible to improve both security and user experience at the same time.

 

Account abstraction, mobile hardware security, and trusted execution environments are examples of this shift.

 

In this context, choosing the right blockchain matters.

 

Topnod selected Stellar not because of marketing claims about speed, but because of asset depth. Stellar already hosts a wide range of real world assets and stablecoins. It has a complete ecosystem with DeFi protocols, bridges, and swap infrastructure.

 

For a wallet targeting Web2 users, the key question is simple. Are there meaningful assets available? Are there real opportunities to invest and trade?

 

Distribution unlocks value, but it must be built on secure and reliable infrastructure.

 

At Consensus 2026 Hong Kong, the message was clear. The next phase of Web3 will not be defined by more complex protocols or faster chains.

 

It will be defined by simplicity.

 

When users only see assets and results, and no longer see the complexity behind them, that is when markets have truly matured.

〈Consensus 2026 Hong Kong: What Endures When Markets Mature? The Answer from Stellar and Topnod〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。
Internet Capital Markets: Lily Liu Redefines the Core Use of Blockchain at Consensus 2026Blockchain’s strongest use case is financial infrastructure, not general consumer applications.   Internet Capital Markets enable global, internet native capital formation beyond crypto projects.   Long term ecosystem survival depends on real revenue, economic sustainability, and open market liquidity. At Consensus 2026 in Hong Kong, Solana Foundation President Lily Liu returned to a theme she has repeated many times: Internet Capital Markets. Instead of speaking about token prices or ecosystem statistics, she focused on a deeper question. What is blockchain actually good for?   The conversation moved away from short term market cycles. It centered on structure, capital formation, and the long term role of blockchain as financial infrastructure for the internet. BLOCKCHAIN IS NOT A UTOPIAN TECHNOLOGY   When asked to explain Internet Capital Markets, Lily began with a basic point. For more than fifteen years, the industry has been exploring what blockchain is truly useful for. Many people once believed that putting anything on chain would automatically improve it. She disagrees.   Blockchain is powerful, but it is not useful for everything.     In her view, most successful blockchain use cases will relate to finance and markets. This does not mean copying traditional finance. It means embedding capital markets directly into internet applications. If assets can be tokenized, if payments and trading happen on chain, and if financial tools exist natively on the internet, then capital markets become part of the internet itself.   She described one of crypto’s strongest value propositions in simple terms. Anyone can access finance. Anyone can access capital markets.   That is the foundation of what she calls Internet Capital Markets.   FROM ICOS TO INTERNET CAPITAL FORMATION   The discussion moved to the ICO era. Many remember 2017 and 2018 as a period of speculation and excess. Lily acknowledged that there were problems. There were few guardrails and too much scale too quickly. But she made an important distinction.   The mechanism itself was powerful.   For the first time, projects could raise money globally through the internet. Capital formation became native to the online world. Investors from different countries could participate within minutes.     She pointed to a recent example where a crypto project raised hundreds of millions of dollars in minutes. Her question was direct. If this is possible for a crypto native project, why should it not be possible for other innovative companies around the world?   In her view, ICOs were not a failure. They were an early experiment. The idea of internet native capital formation will continue to return in different forms because it is a strong financial primitive.   Internet Capital Markets means expanding that mechanism beyond crypto projects. It means allowing more types of assets and companies to access global liquidity through open networks.   ASIA IS A CORE MARKET, NOT A FRONTIER   When asked about Asia, Lily was clear. She has never seen Asia as a frontier market for crypto. She sees it as a core market.   She reminded the audience that early mining hardware production, large scale miner deployment, and some of the first major exchanges emerged from the Asia Pacific region. Infrastructure development in this industry has deep roots in Asia.     She also highlighted the global language structure. English and Chinese are two of the largest language groups in the world. Each has strong talent networks and capital networks. These systems often operate in parallel.   If blockchain aims to become neutral global financial infrastructure, it must operate across both of these systems. For that reason, Asia is not an expansion target. It is part of the foundation.   REVENUE AND ECONOMIC SUSTAINABILITY   One of the strongest parts of the interview focused on revenue. Lily argued that if a layer one blockchain wants to be a platform, it must demonstrate real revenue.   She questioned the long term logic of governance tokens. Voting rights alone do not create value. Community participation is important, but it does not automatically produce economic returns.   In a proof of stake network, the model is clearer. Users generate activity. Activity creates fees. Validators earn revenue. Stakers receive a portion of that revenue. This creates a logical value flow. But it only works if there is real usage.   She separated two levels of sustainability. The network must generate revenue. Applications built on top of the network must also be economically viable. If developers cannot earn money, they will not stay. If networks do not generate income, token value becomes difficult to justify.   She summarized the lesson from previous cycles in one short sentence. Vibes do not pay.   Community energy and culture are powerful, but without an economy they cannot last.   BLOCKCHAIN AS FINANCIAL TECHNOLOGY   The most debated part of the discussion was her claim that blockchain’s true product market fit lies in financial applications.   She did not step back from that claim. In her view, blockchain was designed as financial technology. Bitcoin introduced digital scarcity. Public blockchains extended that idea into a broader financial system.   She questioned the idea that putting social media or games on chain automatically makes them better. She asked a simple question. How does being on chain make a social network more engaging? How does it make a game more fun?   She clarified that digital ownership is valuable. However, ownership alone does not create price. She made a clear distinction between value and price. An asset may have value, but without market structure it has no price discovery. On the other hand, crypto markets often show price without clear value.   Tokenization does not create value by itself. Market liquidity, trading infrastructure, and financial tools create price formation.   She also reflected on the era of private and permissioned blockchains. Many institutions once believed private systems would dominate. Over time, they realized that assets inside closed systems lacked open liquidity and price discovery. As a result, more institutions began connecting to public blockchain infrastructure.   Liquidity on the open internet is what creates real market value.   DEFINING THE DIRECTION   In the final question, she was asked about a view others might consider contrarian. She responded by saying that the industry often mixes terms such as Web3, crypto, blockchain, and digital assets. These words come from different perspectives, yet they are used as if they mean the same thing.   For her, the goal has always been consistent. It is about building financial infrastructure that is accessible to everyone on the internet.   She compared today’s financial systems to traditional postal systems. Blockchain, in contrast, functions like an internet protocol. If the internet transformed how information moves, blockchain aims to transform how value moves.   Economic sovereignty and individual sovereignty depend on access to financial systems. Internet Capital Markets is not a marketing phrase. It is her way of describing the long term direction of blockchain.   The debate will continue. But in her framework, the path forward is economic, structural, and global. 〈Internet Capital Markets: Lily Liu Redefines the Core Use of Blockchain at Consensus 2026〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。

Internet Capital Markets: Lily Liu Redefines the Core Use of Blockchain at Consensus 2026

Blockchain’s strongest use case is financial infrastructure, not general consumer applications.

 

Internet Capital Markets enable global, internet native capital formation beyond crypto projects.

 

Long term ecosystem survival depends on real revenue, economic sustainability, and open market liquidity.

At Consensus 2026 in Hong Kong, Solana Foundation President Lily Liu returned to a theme she has repeated many times: Internet Capital Markets. Instead of speaking about token prices or ecosystem statistics, she focused on a deeper question. What is blockchain actually good for?

 

The conversation moved away from short term market cycles. It centered on structure, capital formation, and the long term role of blockchain as financial infrastructure for the internet.

BLOCKCHAIN IS NOT A UTOPIAN TECHNOLOGY

 

When asked to explain Internet Capital Markets, Lily began with a basic point. For more than fifteen years, the industry has been exploring what blockchain is truly useful for. Many people once believed that putting anything on chain would automatically improve it. She disagrees.

 

Blockchain is powerful, but it is not useful for everything.

 

 

In her view, most successful blockchain use cases will relate to finance and markets. This does not mean copying traditional finance. It means embedding capital markets directly into internet applications. If assets can be tokenized, if payments and trading happen on chain, and if financial tools exist natively on the internet, then capital markets become part of the internet itself.

 

She described one of crypto’s strongest value propositions in simple terms. Anyone can access finance. Anyone can access capital markets.

 

That is the foundation of what she calls Internet Capital Markets.

 

FROM ICOS TO INTERNET CAPITAL FORMATION

 

The discussion moved to the ICO era. Many remember 2017 and 2018 as a period of speculation and excess. Lily acknowledged that there were problems. There were few guardrails and too much scale too quickly. But she made an important distinction.

 

The mechanism itself was powerful.

 

For the first time, projects could raise money globally through the internet. Capital formation became native to the online world. Investors from different countries could participate within minutes.

 

 

She pointed to a recent example where a crypto project raised hundreds of millions of dollars in minutes. Her question was direct. If this is possible for a crypto native project, why should it not be possible for other innovative companies around the world?

 

In her view, ICOs were not a failure. They were an early experiment. The idea of internet native capital formation will continue to return in different forms because it is a strong financial primitive.

 

Internet Capital Markets means expanding that mechanism beyond crypto projects. It means allowing more types of assets and companies to access global liquidity through open networks.

 

ASIA IS A CORE MARKET, NOT A FRONTIER

 

When asked about Asia, Lily was clear. She has never seen Asia as a frontier market for crypto. She sees it as a core market.

 

She reminded the audience that early mining hardware production, large scale miner deployment, and some of the first major exchanges emerged from the Asia Pacific region. Infrastructure development in this industry has deep roots in Asia.

 

 

She also highlighted the global language structure. English and Chinese are two of the largest language groups in the world. Each has strong talent networks and capital networks. These systems often operate in parallel.

 

If blockchain aims to become neutral global financial infrastructure, it must operate across both of these systems. For that reason, Asia is not an expansion target. It is part of the foundation.

 

REVENUE AND ECONOMIC SUSTAINABILITY

 

One of the strongest parts of the interview focused on revenue. Lily argued that if a layer one blockchain wants to be a platform, it must demonstrate real revenue.

 

She questioned the long term logic of governance tokens. Voting rights alone do not create value. Community participation is important, but it does not automatically produce economic returns.

 

In a proof of stake network, the model is clearer. Users generate activity. Activity creates fees. Validators earn revenue. Stakers receive a portion of that revenue. This creates a logical value flow. But it only works if there is real usage.

 

She separated two levels of sustainability. The network must generate revenue. Applications built on top of the network must also be economically viable. If developers cannot earn money, they will not stay. If networks do not generate income, token value becomes difficult to justify.

 

She summarized the lesson from previous cycles in one short sentence. Vibes do not pay.

 

Community energy and culture are powerful, but without an economy they cannot last.

 

BLOCKCHAIN AS FINANCIAL TECHNOLOGY

 

The most debated part of the discussion was her claim that blockchain’s true product market fit lies in financial applications.

 

She did not step back from that claim. In her view, blockchain was designed as financial technology. Bitcoin introduced digital scarcity. Public blockchains extended that idea into a broader financial system.

 

She questioned the idea that putting social media or games on chain automatically makes them better. She asked a simple question. How does being on chain make a social network more engaging? How does it make a game more fun?

 

She clarified that digital ownership is valuable. However, ownership alone does not create price. She made a clear distinction between value and price. An asset may have value, but without market structure it has no price discovery. On the other hand, crypto markets often show price without clear value.

 

Tokenization does not create value by itself. Market liquidity, trading infrastructure, and financial tools create price formation.

 

She also reflected on the era of private and permissioned blockchains. Many institutions once believed private systems would dominate. Over time, they realized that assets inside closed systems lacked open liquidity and price discovery. As a result, more institutions began connecting to public blockchain infrastructure.

 

Liquidity on the open internet is what creates real market value.

 

DEFINING THE DIRECTION

 

In the final question, she was asked about a view others might consider contrarian. She responded by saying that the industry often mixes terms such as Web3, crypto, blockchain, and digital assets. These words come from different perspectives, yet they are used as if they mean the same thing.

 

For her, the goal has always been consistent. It is about building financial infrastructure that is accessible to everyone on the internet.

 

She compared today’s financial systems to traditional postal systems. Blockchain, in contrast, functions like an internet protocol. If the internet transformed how information moves, blockchain aims to transform how value moves.

 

Economic sovereignty and individual sovereignty depend on access to financial systems. Internet Capital Markets is not a marketing phrase. It is her way of describing the long term direction of blockchain.

 

The debate will continue. But in her framework, the path forward is economic, structural, and global.

〈Internet Capital Markets: Lily Liu Redefines the Core Use of Blockchain at Consensus 2026〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。
Tom Lee at Consensus Hong Kong 2026: As Gold Nears a Peak, the Next Bitcoin and Ethereum Cycle Is...Gold’s recent outperformance reflects late-cycle capital concentration, not a permanent shift away from Bitcoin’s store of value thesis.   Bitcoin’s recovery depends on macro capital rotation, while Ethereum’s long-term growth is tied to institutional adoption, AI integration, and on-chain finance.   Dominant digital asset treasury structures may amplify upside exposure by combining staking yield, balance sheet strength, and capital market access. At Consensus Hong Kong 2026, Tom Lee delivered a clear and disciplined message. The crypto market is not facing structural decline. It is experiencing a temporary dislocation. Gold has outperformed over the past year, while Bitcoin and Ethereum have struggled. However, this divergence does not signal the end of the digital asset thesis. Instead, it may mark the late stage of a capital rotation cycle. GOLD’S SURGE AND THE LIQUIDITY DISTORTION   Gold delivered strong gains in 2025, while Bitcoin corrected sharply. This contrast led many investors to question the store of value narrative. Tom Lee broke the rally into several drivers. Geopolitical uncertainty increased demand for safe assets. Central banks shifted toward easier policy. Currency debasement concerns remained elevated. Precious metals developed strong price momentum. In addition, some investors lost confidence in parts of the fiat system.     The key issue is scale. Gold’s total market value is now around forty one trillion dollars. That size changes market behavior. When an asset of that magnitude moves quickly, it affects global liquidity conditions. Margin requirements and portfolio rebalancing can force selling in other assets. Bitcoin’s weakness cannot be viewed in isolation. It occurred in an environment where gold absorbed large pools of capital.   Yet history tells a more complex story. Over the past fifty years, gold has underperformed inflation nearly half the time. Since Bitcoin was created, it has rarely lost purchasing power relative to inflation. The long term data suggests that Bitcoin has been more consistent as a store of value, even if short term performance differs. Tom Lee’s argument is that gold’s strength may represent a late cycle premium rather than a permanent shift in value perception.   BITCOIN’S RESET AND CAPITAL ROTATION   For the crypto market to recover, Bitcoin must stabilize first. Tom Lee believes that Bitcoin’s rebound is closely linked to gold’s momentum cooling. These two assets do not operate as simple substitutes. They respond differently across macro cycles. In defensive phases, gold absorbs fear. In expansion phases, capital searches for growth and asymmetry. That is where Bitcoin becomes attractive again.     From a relative valuation perspective, Bitcoin’s market value compared with gold remains historically low. If macro stability improves and liquidity pressures ease, asset allocators may rebalance toward higher beta exposures. The store of value narrative for Bitcoin has not disappeared. It has been overshadowed by capital flows. When long term hedging demand returns, scarcity and programmability will matter again.   Tom Lee does not anchor his thesis to a single date. Instead, he highlights structural conditions that are beginning to align. Policy uncertainty is gradually narrowing. Institutional investors are reassessing portfolio construction. As that process unfolds, Bitcoin may reenter the center of the allocation discussion.   ETHEREUM’S CYCLICAL RESILIENCE AND WALL STREET’S SHIFT   If Bitcoin represents macro positioning, Ethereum represents infrastructure and utility. Since 2018, Ethereum has experienced multiple drawdowns greater than fifty percent. Each time, it eventually recovered. That pattern reflects strong network fundamentals rather than speculative noise.   Stablecoin growth continues to expand on chain settlement activity. Large financial institutions are exploring public blockchain integration, even if internal debates remain. Public chains offer security, neutrality, and network effects that private systems struggle to replicate. Ethereum remains the most credible candidate for large scale institutional deployment.   Artificial intelligence introduces another structural driver. Decentralized execution combined with smart contracts can create economic layers for AI coordination. In parallel, the creator economy is shifting toward direct digital ownership. Blockchain infrastructure ensures transparent compensation and programmable royalties. These developments reinforce Ethereum’s long term positioning.   THE RISE OF DOMINANT DATS AND MARKET MULTIPLIERS   Tom Lee also discussed the emergence of dominant digital asset treasury structures. These entities hold and actively manage crypto assets within public market vehicles. The model focuses on optimizing staking yield, expanding asset per share exposure, and accessing capital markets efficiently.   Ethereum staking provides recurring yield. As price appreciation compounds with staking rewards, returns can accelerate. Historical ratios between Bitcoin and Ethereum offer a framework for valuation scenarios. If Bitcoin reaches higher price ranges, Ethereum’s implied valuation rises accordingly. Public market exposure vehicles may amplify that movement through capital structure dynamics.     The effectiveness of this model depends on financial discipline. Strong balance sheets, transparent holdings, and consistent yield generation are critical. As digital assets mature, these treasury structures may become bridges between traditional finance and decentralized networks.   Tom Lee’s central conclusion remains straightforward. The market is undergoing reallocation, not collapse. Gold’s dominance may be closer to its peak than many assume. Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to hold structural advantages. In periods of pessimism, long term positioning often begins. Digital assets remain early in their lifecycle, and the next expansion phase is already forming beneath the surface.   〈Tom Lee at Consensus Hong Kong 2026: As Gold Nears a Peak, the Next Bitcoin and Ethereum Cycle Is Taking Shape〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。

Tom Lee at Consensus Hong Kong 2026: As Gold Nears a Peak, the Next Bitcoin and Ethereum Cycle Is...

Gold’s recent outperformance reflects late-cycle capital concentration, not a permanent shift away from Bitcoin’s store of value thesis.

 

Bitcoin’s recovery depends on macro capital rotation, while Ethereum’s long-term growth is tied to institutional adoption, AI integration, and on-chain finance.

 

Dominant digital asset treasury structures may amplify upside exposure by combining staking yield, balance sheet strength, and capital market access.

At Consensus Hong Kong 2026, Tom Lee delivered a clear and disciplined message. The crypto market is not facing structural decline. It is experiencing a temporary dislocation. Gold has outperformed over the past year, while Bitcoin and Ethereum have struggled. However, this divergence does not signal the end of the digital asset thesis. Instead, it may mark the late stage of a capital rotation cycle.

GOLD’S SURGE AND THE LIQUIDITY DISTORTION

 

Gold delivered strong gains in 2025, while Bitcoin corrected sharply. This contrast led many investors to question the store of value narrative. Tom Lee broke the rally into several drivers. Geopolitical uncertainty increased demand for safe assets. Central banks shifted toward easier policy. Currency debasement concerns remained elevated. Precious metals developed strong price momentum. In addition, some investors lost confidence in parts of the fiat system.

 

 

The key issue is scale. Gold’s total market value is now around forty one trillion dollars. That size changes market behavior. When an asset of that magnitude moves quickly, it affects global liquidity conditions. Margin requirements and portfolio rebalancing can force selling in other assets. Bitcoin’s weakness cannot be viewed in isolation. It occurred in an environment where gold absorbed large pools of capital.

 

Yet history tells a more complex story. Over the past fifty years, gold has underperformed inflation nearly half the time. Since Bitcoin was created, it has rarely lost purchasing power relative to inflation. The long term data suggests that Bitcoin has been more consistent as a store of value, even if short term performance differs. Tom Lee’s argument is that gold’s strength may represent a late cycle premium rather than a permanent shift in value perception.

 

BITCOIN’S RESET AND CAPITAL ROTATION

 

For the crypto market to recover, Bitcoin must stabilize first. Tom Lee believes that Bitcoin’s rebound is closely linked to gold’s momentum cooling. These two assets do not operate as simple substitutes. They respond differently across macro cycles. In defensive phases, gold absorbs fear. In expansion phases, capital searches for growth and asymmetry. That is where Bitcoin becomes attractive again.

 

 

From a relative valuation perspective, Bitcoin’s market value compared with gold remains historically low. If macro stability improves and liquidity pressures ease, asset allocators may rebalance toward higher beta exposures. The store of value narrative for Bitcoin has not disappeared. It has been overshadowed by capital flows. When long term hedging demand returns, scarcity and programmability will matter again.

 

Tom Lee does not anchor his thesis to a single date. Instead, he highlights structural conditions that are beginning to align. Policy uncertainty is gradually narrowing. Institutional investors are reassessing portfolio construction. As that process unfolds, Bitcoin may reenter the center of the allocation discussion.

 

ETHEREUM’S CYCLICAL RESILIENCE AND WALL STREET’S SHIFT

 

If Bitcoin represents macro positioning, Ethereum represents infrastructure and utility. Since 2018, Ethereum has experienced multiple drawdowns greater than fifty percent. Each time, it eventually recovered. That pattern reflects strong network fundamentals rather than speculative noise.

 

Stablecoin growth continues to expand on chain settlement activity. Large financial institutions are exploring public blockchain integration, even if internal debates remain. Public chains offer security, neutrality, and network effects that private systems struggle to replicate. Ethereum remains the most credible candidate for large scale institutional deployment.

 

Artificial intelligence introduces another structural driver. Decentralized execution combined with smart contracts can create economic layers for AI coordination. In parallel, the creator economy is shifting toward direct digital ownership. Blockchain infrastructure ensures transparent compensation and programmable royalties. These developments reinforce Ethereum’s long term positioning.

 

THE RISE OF DOMINANT DATS AND MARKET MULTIPLIERS

 

Tom Lee also discussed the emergence of dominant digital asset treasury structures. These entities hold and actively manage crypto assets within public market vehicles. The model focuses on optimizing staking yield, expanding asset per share exposure, and accessing capital markets efficiently.

 

Ethereum staking provides recurring yield. As price appreciation compounds with staking rewards, returns can accelerate. Historical ratios between Bitcoin and Ethereum offer a framework for valuation scenarios. If Bitcoin reaches higher price ranges, Ethereum’s implied valuation rises accordingly. Public market exposure vehicles may amplify that movement through capital structure dynamics.

 

 

The effectiveness of this model depends on financial discipline. Strong balance sheets, transparent holdings, and consistent yield generation are critical. As digital assets mature, these treasury structures may become bridges between traditional finance and decentralized networks.

 

Tom Lee’s central conclusion remains straightforward. The market is undergoing reallocation, not collapse. Gold’s dominance may be closer to its peak than many assume. Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to hold structural advantages. In periods of pessimism, long term positioning often begins. Digital assets remain early in their lifecycle, and the next expansion phase is already forming beneath the surface.

 

〈Tom Lee at Consensus Hong Kong 2026: As Gold Nears a Peak, the Next Bitcoin and Ethereum Cycle Is Taking Shape〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。
🎬TRUMP RARELY ADMITS A MISTAKE: “I PICKED THE WRONG PERSON” | WILL KEVIN WARSH BE DROPPED?
🎬TRUMP RARELY ADMITS A MISTAKE: “I PICKED THE WRONG PERSON” | WILL KEVIN WARSH BE DROPPED?
📊 FEB 8 | CRYPTO MARKET HIGHLIGHTS 📉 BALCHUNAS: ETF inflows didn’t curb BTC volatility; early‑holder selling pressure still dominates. 🏦 WINTERMUTE CEO: skeptical of “institutional blowout” rumors; leverage now mostly in perps and more orderly. 🧩 BITWISE: IBIT options limit still 250k; proposal is to raise other ETFs to 250k; 1M cap not approved. 🟦 COINBASE CEO: long‑term crypto thesis intact; volatility is part of maturation. 🐋 BITMINE: new wallet moved 20,000 ETH (~$41.7M) from Kraken, hinting institutional positioning. ⛏️ MINING: BTC difficulty saw biggest cut since 2021; hashrate ~990 EH/s. #Bitcoin #CryptoETFs #MarketAnalysis #Ethereum #Mining
📊 FEB 8 | CRYPTO MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

📉 BALCHUNAS: ETF inflows didn’t curb BTC volatility; early‑holder selling pressure still dominates.

🏦 WINTERMUTE CEO: skeptical of “institutional blowout” rumors; leverage now mostly in perps and more orderly.

🧩 BITWISE: IBIT options limit still 250k; proposal is to raise other ETFs to 250k; 1M cap not approved.

🟦 COINBASE CEO: long‑term crypto thesis intact; volatility is part of maturation.

🐋 BITMINE: new wallet moved 20,000 ETH (~$41.7M) from Kraken, hinting institutional positioning.

⛏️ MINING: BTC difficulty saw biggest cut since 2021; hashrate ~990 EH/s.

#Bitcoin #CryptoETFs #MarketAnalysis #Ethereum #Mining
BITCOIN MINING DIFFICULTY SEES BIGGEST CUT SINCE 2021 Bitcoin mining difficulty recorded its largest single adjustment since summer 2021, while the 7‑day average network hashrate sits near 990 EH/s. The reset suggests miners are recalibrating amid recent price pressure. #Bitcoin #Mining
BITCOIN MINING DIFFICULTY SEES BIGGEST CUT SINCE 2021

Bitcoin mining difficulty recorded its largest single adjustment since summer 2021, while the 7‑day average network hashrate sits near 990 EH/s.

The reset suggests miners are recalibrating amid recent price pressure.

#Bitcoin #Mining
BITMINE WALLET MOVES 20,000 ETH FROM KRAKEN A suspected new Bitmine wallet transferred 20,000 ETH (about $41.7M) from Kraken, indicating a large on‑chain movement from a centralized exchange. The transfer signals potential institutional positioning or custody changes. #Ethereum #Onchain
BITMINE WALLET MOVES 20,000 ETH FROM KRAKEN

A suspected new Bitmine wallet transferred 20,000 ETH (about $41.7M) from Kraken, indicating a large on‑chain movement from a centralized exchange.

The transfer signals potential institutional positioning or custody changes.

#Ethereum #Onchain
COINBASE CEO: LONG‑TERM CRYPTO BULL CASE UNCHANGED Coinbase CEO said sharp market swings are nothing new and do not alter his long‑term positive outlook on crypto. He emphasized that volatility is part of the asset’s maturation and does not invalidate the broader adoption trend. #Coinbase #MarketSentiment
COINBASE CEO: LONG‑TERM CRYPTO BULL CASE UNCHANGED

Coinbase CEO said sharp market swings are nothing new and do not alter his long‑term positive outlook on crypto.

He emphasized that volatility is part of the asset’s maturation and does not invalidate the broader adoption trend.

#Coinbase #MarketSentiment
BITWISE ADVISOR CLARIFIES IBIT OPTIONS LIMIT RUMOR Bitwise advisor Jeff Park refuted market rumors claiming Nasdaq canceled IBIT options position limits, enabling unlimited leverage. Park clarified that the "cancellation of standard limits on crypto assets" refers to a proposal to increase the 25,000 options cap for FBTC, ARKB, HODL, and Ethereum ETFs to the standard 250,000 limit, aligning them with IBIT and BITB for fair competition. An application to raise IBIT's options limit to 1 million, submitted last November, has not yet been approved. IBIT's current options position limit remains 250,000. #CryptoETFs
BITWISE ADVISOR CLARIFIES IBIT OPTIONS LIMIT RUMOR

Bitwise advisor Jeff Park refuted market rumors claiming Nasdaq canceled IBIT options position limits, enabling unlimited leverage.

Park clarified that the "cancellation of standard limits on crypto assets" refers to a proposal to increase the 25,000 options cap for FBTC, ARKB, HODL, and Ethereum ETFs to the standard 250,000 limit, aligning them with IBIT and BITB for fair competition.

An application to raise IBIT's options limit to 1 million, submitted last November, has not yet been approved. IBIT's current options position limit remains 250,000.

#CryptoETFs
WINTERMUTE CEO SKEPTICAL OF INSTITUTIONAL BLOWOUT RUMORS Wintermute CEO Evgeny Gaevoy expressed skepticism regarding recent market rumors of "institutional blowouts," questioning their impact. He observed no significant spillover effects or credible confirmation, unlike past events such as 3AC or FTX, noting current rumors stem from anonymous sources. Gaevoy highlighted that present market leverage predominantly originates from perpetual contracts, a structure he deems more orderly than prior cycles' opaque, uncollateralized lending. He also pointed to improved exchange margin management and ADL mechanisms. Additionally, he believes institutions are unlikely to repeat the FTX model of investing user deposits into illiquid assets. He further noted the significant legal risks of publicly denying actual bankruptcy, particularly for entities in regulated jurisdictions. #MarketOutlook
WINTERMUTE CEO SKEPTICAL OF INSTITUTIONAL BLOWOUT RUMORS

Wintermute CEO Evgeny Gaevoy expressed skepticism regarding recent market rumors of "institutional blowouts," questioning their impact. He observed no significant spillover effects or credible confirmation, unlike past events such as 3AC or FTX, noting current rumors stem from anonymous sources.

Gaevoy highlighted that present market leverage predominantly originates from perpetual contracts, a structure he deems more orderly than prior cycles' opaque, uncollateralized lending. He also pointed to improved exchange margin management and ADL mechanisms.

Additionally, he believes institutions are unlikely to repeat the FTX model of investing user deposits into illiquid assets. He further noted the significant legal risks of publicly denying actual bankruptcy, particularly for entities in regulated jurisdictions. #MarketOutlook
CoinRank AMA: Why On-Chain Credit Identity Matters On-chain identity shifts risk from collateral-driven assumptions to behavior-driven evaluation, allowing protocols to distinguish reliable users from high-risk participants.   AI and zero-knowledge proofs will work together to interpret fragmented on-chain behavior while preserving privacy, forming the technical backbone of credit identity.   Portable reputation across chains and applications unlocks higher capital efficiency, sustainable GameFi economies, institutional participation, and more accurate cross-chain risk pricing. IDENTITY AS THE FIRST LAYER OF RISK   In a recent AMA hosted by CoinRank, the discussion opened not with price targets or short-term market commentary but with a more foundational question: if Web3 truly intends to operate as a next-generation financial system, what is it missing at its core? Capital is abundant, users continue to grow, yet something deeper limits the system’s ability to function like mature financial markets. The moderator suggested that the missing layer might be identity — not in the traditional sense of personal information, but as a mechanism that allows risk to be understood, priced, and distributed. This framing quickly shifted the tone of the conversation. Instead of discussing markets asset by asset, speakers examined how uncertainty, behavior, and trust are absorbed across different parts of the crypto ecosystem. As soon as identity entered the conversation, it became clear that markets are not only repricing volatility; they are also reconsidering who carries risk, why they carry it, and how systems allocate it.   The moderator emphasized that a wallet starting from zero history may fit early ideals of decentralization but introduces significant inefficiency. Financial systems cannot operate without context. When every user is treated as identical, protocols must assume worst-case scenarios, lending pools set conservative parameters, and markets lose the ability to distinguish reliable participants from opportunistic ones. In this sense, the absence of identity is not a design feature but a systemic cost. It forces DeFi into a low-resolution model of risk where nuance is impossible. The opening segment made clear that on-chain credit identity is less about classification and more about eliminating structural ignorance, allowing risk to attach to the right places rather than being averaged across an undifferentiated pool of users.   BEHAVIOR OVER KYC   Co-host CreditLink reinforced this by drawing a critical distinction between KYC and credit identity. KYC answers who you are. On-chain identity answers what you have done. It is a record of behavior, consistency, reliability, and participation. Crypto markets already generate an enormous amount of behavioral data — transaction history, borrowing patterns, governance engagement, staking timelines — but without interpretation this data remains inert. CreditLink argued that meaningful identity in Web3 must transform fragmented actions into verifiable behavioral signals that protocols can use to price risk. That does not require exposing sensitive information. Instead, it requires a framework where users carry portable, privacy-preserving proof of their past reliability.   The co-host noted that the future of Web3 lending will not be defined solely by collateral but by a combination of collateral and demonstrated behavior. High-quality users should not bear the same cost of capital as unknown or high-risk participants. Similarly, protocols should not need to limit capital efficiency because they lack tools to evaluate borrower quality. The argument landed clearly: the relationship between users and networks changes once behavior becomes interpretable. And to interpret behavior at scale, the system will rely on AI. In CreditLink’s view, AI models are not about scoring users but about reading risk in real time — identifying patterns that signal stability or instability long before traditional indicators surface. This shifts identity from a static classification to a living, evolving representation of how a user behaves in the ecosystem.   CAPITAL EFFICIENCY AND STRUCTURAL LIMITATIONS   From Pindex, Mia expanded the conversation by examining the economic consequences of lacking identity. She argued that DeFi today is structurally trapped in a high-collateral, low-efficiency regime. The reason is straightforward: when a protocol cannot distinguish between user types, it prices risk as if everyone were equally risky. This forces responsible users to pay an inflated premium and prevents lending markets from maturing into more efficient models. Mia emphasized that this is not a theoretical limitation; it is a practical one. Without credit-based differentiation, the cost of uncertainty becomes embedded into every parameter — interest rates, loan-to-value ratios, liquidation thresholds. As a result, many promising lending markets operate far below their potential capacity.   Her argument positioned on-chain identity not as an add-on but as the mechanism that allows DeFi to evolve beyond its current constraints. Once a protocol can observe and verify consistent positive behavior, it can extend more favorable terms. The broader implication is that DeFi could finally serve long-term participants without forcing them into the same risk bucket as opportunistic actors. Mia was direct in her assessment: on-chain credit is the dividing line between a system that merely functions and one that can scale into a true financial layer.   RISK FILTERING IN GAME ECONOMIES   From the perspective of GamePad, Myo approached identity through the lens of GameFi — a sector that has seen explosive cycles of growth and collapse. He argued that most GameFi failures were not driven by tokenomics flaws but by the absence of a mechanism to distinguish long-term players from speculative inflows. When every account is treated equally, bots, exploiters, and opportunistic players receive the same economic benefits as genuine users. This creates a feedback loop that destabilizes the entire in-game economy. Myo explained that if games could recognize patterns such as DAO participation, asset retention, consistent in-game engagement, or long-term wallet behaviors, they could construct reward systems that support sustainable growth rather than rapid extraction.   In his view, credit identity acts not as a reward mechanism but as a filter. Games do not need to know the real-world identities of their participants; they need to understand which behaviors align with economic stability. By filtering participants based on trustworthy on-chain patterns, Web3 games can transition away from unsustainable emission-driven models and toward ecosystems where value is created rather than drained. This perspective extended the discussion beyond finance and illustrated how identity becomes foundational even in sectors where it is rarely acknowledged.   AI, PRIVACY, AND THE INTERPRETATION OF BEHAVIOR   From AIW3, Cedar offered a technical perspective that grounded the discussion in infrastructure realities. He described on-chain behavior as abundant but structurally fragmented. Wallet actions occur across many chains, formats, and contexts, making human interpretation impossible at scale. According to Cedar, AI is not optional but essential. Only AI models — particularly those built with graph analysis, sequence modeling, and semantic understanding — can convert scattered actions into coherent risk narratives. At the same time, identity systems must be privacy-preserving from the start. Cedar emphasized that the purpose of credit identity is not to expose information, but to allow users to prove reliability without revealing personal data. This requires a deep integration between AI-driven behavioral models and zero-knowledge cryptography.   His argument reframed identity as a multidisciplinary system rather than a single protocol feature. It must combine machine intelligence, cryptographic guarantees, and behavioral analysis to function properly. When these components align, identity becomes a powerful tool for risk interpretation rather than an intrusive form of surveillance.   INTEROPERABILITY AS AN IDENTITY PROBLEM   From Unibase, Valerio shifted the conversation toward the cross-chain environment. He argued that the largest inefficiency in cross-chain finance is not technical but informational. When a user moves from one chain to another, their entire behavioral history is lost. A wallet with years of positive engagement on Chain A appears as an empty newcomer on Chain B. This creates unnecessary friction and forces protocols to disregard valuable historical context. Valerio described this as a core identity failure. Interoperability, he argued, does not actually require faster bridges or cheaper transactions. What it requires is portable identity — the ability for users to carry their behavioral credibility across ecosystems without compromising privacy.   His position highlighted a key limitation in today’s multi-chain world: liquidity can move freely, but trust cannot. And until trust becomes portable, cross-chain finance will remain structurally constrained.   CREDIT AS A COORDINATION MECHANISM   The final perspective came from MetaSoil, where Dr. NFY analyzed identity through the lens of economic coordination. He argued that credit is not fundamentally about scoring users or rewarding good behavior. Its deeper purpose is to reduce friction. Markets become more efficient when participants can form reliable expectations about counterparties. Without identity-linked behavioral signals, every transaction carries hidden uncertainty. Dr. NFY described credit identity as a way to align incentives across participants, enabling capital to flow more predictably and reducing the need for redundant safeguards. He concluded with a striking point: risk does not disappear, but it can finally settle in the right places once identity exists.   WHEN RISK FINALLY FINDS ITS OWNER   The AMA closed without price predictions or market calls. Instead, it delivered a structural insight: Web3 does not need more liquidity — it needs a framework that understands how to hold and distribute risk. On-chain credit identity provides this framework. It allows DeFi to escape over-collateralization, enables GameFi to filter meaningful participants, gives cross-chain ecosystems continuity, unlocks institutional participation, and provides AI models with interpretable behavioral data. In other words, identity is not a feature but the next foundational layer of Web3. It turns scattered actions into coherent signals, reduces systemic uncertainty, and gives the market a way to assign risk to those who generate it. Once this shift happens, the Web3 financial system gains the clarity and precision it has lacked since inception. 〈CoinRank AMA: Why On-Chain Credit Identity Matters〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。

CoinRank AMA: Why On-Chain Credit Identity Matters

 On-chain identity shifts risk from collateral-driven assumptions to behavior-driven evaluation, allowing protocols to distinguish reliable users from high-risk participants.

 

AI and zero-knowledge proofs will work together to interpret fragmented on-chain behavior while preserving privacy, forming the technical backbone of credit identity.

 

Portable reputation across chains and applications unlocks higher capital efficiency, sustainable GameFi economies, institutional participation, and more accurate cross-chain risk pricing.

IDENTITY AS THE FIRST LAYER OF RISK

 

In a recent AMA hosted by CoinRank, the discussion opened not with price targets or short-term market commentary but with a more foundational question: if Web3 truly intends to operate as a next-generation financial system, what is it missing at its core? Capital is abundant, users continue to grow, yet something deeper limits the system’s ability to function like mature financial markets. The moderator suggested that the missing layer might be identity — not in the traditional sense of personal information, but as a mechanism that allows risk to be understood, priced, and distributed. This framing quickly shifted the tone of the conversation. Instead of discussing markets asset by asset, speakers examined how uncertainty, behavior, and trust are absorbed across different parts of the crypto ecosystem. As soon as identity entered the conversation, it became clear that markets are not only repricing volatility; they are also reconsidering who carries risk, why they carry it, and how systems allocate it.

 

The moderator emphasized that a wallet starting from zero history may fit early ideals of decentralization but introduces significant inefficiency. Financial systems cannot operate without context. When every user is treated as identical, protocols must assume worst-case scenarios, lending pools set conservative parameters, and markets lose the ability to distinguish reliable participants from opportunistic ones. In this sense, the absence of identity is not a design feature but a systemic cost. It forces DeFi into a low-resolution model of risk where nuance is impossible. The opening segment made clear that on-chain credit identity is less about classification and more about eliminating structural ignorance, allowing risk to attach to the right places rather than being averaged across an undifferentiated pool of users.

 

BEHAVIOR OVER KYC

 

Co-host CreditLink reinforced this by drawing a critical distinction between KYC and credit identity. KYC answers who you are. On-chain identity answers what you have done. It is a record of behavior, consistency, reliability, and participation. Crypto markets already generate an enormous amount of behavioral data — transaction history, borrowing patterns, governance engagement, staking timelines — but without interpretation this data remains inert. CreditLink argued that meaningful identity in Web3 must transform fragmented actions into verifiable behavioral signals that protocols can use to price risk. That does not require exposing sensitive information. Instead, it requires a framework where users carry portable, privacy-preserving proof of their past reliability.

 

The co-host noted that the future of Web3 lending will not be defined solely by collateral but by a combination of collateral and demonstrated behavior. High-quality users should not bear the same cost of capital as unknown or high-risk participants. Similarly, protocols should not need to limit capital efficiency because they lack tools to evaluate borrower quality. The argument landed clearly: the relationship between users and networks changes once behavior becomes interpretable. And to interpret behavior at scale, the system will rely on AI. In CreditLink’s view, AI models are not about scoring users but about reading risk in real time — identifying patterns that signal stability or instability long before traditional indicators surface. This shifts identity from a static classification to a living, evolving representation of how a user behaves in the ecosystem.

 

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY AND STRUCTURAL LIMITATIONS

 

From Pindex, Mia expanded the conversation by examining the economic consequences of lacking identity. She argued that DeFi today is structurally trapped in a high-collateral, low-efficiency regime. The reason is straightforward: when a protocol cannot distinguish between user types, it prices risk as if everyone were equally risky. This forces responsible users to pay an inflated premium and prevents lending markets from maturing into more efficient models. Mia emphasized that this is not a theoretical limitation; it is a practical one. Without credit-based differentiation, the cost of uncertainty becomes embedded into every parameter — interest rates, loan-to-value ratios, liquidation thresholds. As a result, many promising lending markets operate far below their potential capacity.

 

Her argument positioned on-chain identity not as an add-on but as the mechanism that allows DeFi to evolve beyond its current constraints. Once a protocol can observe and verify consistent positive behavior, it can extend more favorable terms. The broader implication is that DeFi could finally serve long-term participants without forcing them into the same risk bucket as opportunistic actors. Mia was direct in her assessment: on-chain credit is the dividing line between a system that merely functions and one that can scale into a true financial layer.

 

RISK FILTERING IN GAME ECONOMIES

 

From the perspective of GamePad, Myo approached identity through the lens of GameFi — a sector that has seen explosive cycles of growth and collapse. He argued that most GameFi failures were not driven by tokenomics flaws but by the absence of a mechanism to distinguish long-term players from speculative inflows. When every account is treated equally, bots, exploiters, and opportunistic players receive the same economic benefits as genuine users. This creates a feedback loop that destabilizes the entire in-game economy. Myo explained that if games could recognize patterns such as DAO participation, asset retention, consistent in-game engagement, or long-term wallet behaviors, they could construct reward systems that support sustainable growth rather than rapid extraction.

 

In his view, credit identity acts not as a reward mechanism but as a filter. Games do not need to know the real-world identities of their participants; they need to understand which behaviors align with economic stability. By filtering participants based on trustworthy on-chain patterns, Web3 games can transition away from unsustainable emission-driven models and toward ecosystems where value is created rather than drained. This perspective extended the discussion beyond finance and illustrated how identity becomes foundational even in sectors where it is rarely acknowledged.

 

AI, PRIVACY, AND THE INTERPRETATION OF BEHAVIOR

 

From AIW3, Cedar offered a technical perspective that grounded the discussion in infrastructure realities. He described on-chain behavior as abundant but structurally fragmented. Wallet actions occur across many chains, formats, and contexts, making human interpretation impossible at scale. According to Cedar, AI is not optional but essential. Only AI models — particularly those built with graph analysis, sequence modeling, and semantic understanding — can convert scattered actions into coherent risk narratives. At the same time, identity systems must be privacy-preserving from the start. Cedar emphasized that the purpose of credit identity is not to expose information, but to allow users to prove reliability without revealing personal data. This requires a deep integration between AI-driven behavioral models and zero-knowledge cryptography.

 

His argument reframed identity as a multidisciplinary system rather than a single protocol feature. It must combine machine intelligence, cryptographic guarantees, and behavioral analysis to function properly. When these components align, identity becomes a powerful tool for risk interpretation rather than an intrusive form of surveillance.

 

INTEROPERABILITY AS AN IDENTITY PROBLEM

 

From Unibase, Valerio shifted the conversation toward the cross-chain environment. He argued that the largest inefficiency in cross-chain finance is not technical but informational. When a user moves from one chain to another, their entire behavioral history is lost. A wallet with years of positive engagement on Chain A appears as an empty newcomer on Chain B. This creates unnecessary friction and forces protocols to disregard valuable historical context. Valerio described this as a core identity failure. Interoperability, he argued, does not actually require faster bridges or cheaper transactions. What it requires is portable identity — the ability for users to carry their behavioral credibility across ecosystems without compromising privacy.

 

His position highlighted a key limitation in today’s multi-chain world: liquidity can move freely, but trust cannot. And until trust becomes portable, cross-chain finance will remain structurally constrained.

 

CREDIT AS A COORDINATION MECHANISM

 

The final perspective came from MetaSoil, where Dr. NFY analyzed identity through the lens of economic coordination. He argued that credit is not fundamentally about scoring users or rewarding good behavior. Its deeper purpose is to reduce friction. Markets become more efficient when participants can form reliable expectations about counterparties. Without identity-linked behavioral signals, every transaction carries hidden uncertainty. Dr. NFY described credit identity as a way to align incentives across participants, enabling capital to flow more predictably and reducing the need for redundant safeguards. He concluded with a striking point: risk does not disappear, but it can finally settle in the right places once identity exists.

 

WHEN RISK FINALLY FINDS ITS OWNER

 

The AMA closed without price predictions or market calls. Instead, it delivered a structural insight: Web3 does not need more liquidity — it needs a framework that understands how to hold and distribute risk. On-chain credit identity provides this framework. It allows DeFi to escape over-collateralization, enables GameFi to filter meaningful participants, gives cross-chain ecosystems continuity, unlocks institutional participation, and provides AI models with interpretable behavioral data. In other words, identity is not a feature but the next foundational layer of Web3. It turns scattered actions into coherent signals, reduces systemic uncertainty, and gives the market a way to assign risk to those who generate it. Once this shift happens, the Web3 financial system gains the clarity and precision it has lacked since inception.

〈CoinRank AMA: Why On-Chain Credit Identity Matters〉這篇文章最早發佈於《CoinRank》。
BALCHUNAS: BITCOIN VOLATILITY TO ENDURE DESPITE ETF INFLOWS Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted his prior assessment of a robust Bitcoin ETF investor base largely holds. However, his expectation that ETF inflows would mitigate significant market volatility proved inaccurate. He attributed this miscalculation to underestimating concentrated selling pressure from early holders at elevated price levels, despite his initial theory that retail ETF capital would replace highly speculative pre-FTX investors. Balchunas also highlighted Bitcoin's approximately 450% two-year surge as a potential risk indicator, noting rapid gains often correlate with high volatility. Consequently, Bitcoin's high-volatility, high-risk attributes are projected to continue. #Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis
BALCHUNAS: BITCOIN VOLATILITY TO ENDURE DESPITE ETF INFLOWS

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted his prior assessment of a robust Bitcoin ETF investor base largely holds. However, his expectation that ETF inflows would mitigate significant market volatility proved inaccurate.

He attributed this miscalculation to underestimating concentrated selling pressure from early holders at elevated price levels, despite his initial theory that retail ETF capital would replace highly speculative pre-FTX investors.

Balchunas also highlighted Bitcoin's approximately 450% two-year surge as a potential risk indicator, noting rapid gains often correlate with high volatility. Consequently, Bitcoin's high-volatility, high-risk attributes are projected to continue.

#Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis
China Clarifies Regulatory Oversight for #RWA Issuance According to reports, Chinese regulators have formally clarified the regulatory framework for cross-border issuance of RWA (Real-World Assets), ending long-standing regulatory ambiguity. Under the new guidelines, debt-based RWA will fall under the supervision of the National Development and Reform Commission (#NDRC ), while equity-based and asset-backed securities RWA will be regulated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (#CSRC ), following the principle of “same business, same risk, same regulation.” The framework also notes that cross-border fundraising and capital repatriation related to overseas RWA issuance will remain subject to #ForeignExchange controls, with other RWA structures supervised by relevant authorities based on their specific nature.
China Clarifies Regulatory Oversight for #RWA Issuance

According to reports, Chinese regulators have formally clarified the regulatory framework for cross-border issuance of RWA (Real-World Assets), ending long-standing regulatory ambiguity.

Under the new guidelines, debt-based RWA will fall under the supervision of the National Development and Reform Commission (#NDRC ), while equity-based and asset-backed securities RWA will be regulated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (#CSRC ), following the principle of “same business, same risk, same regulation.”

The framework also notes that cross-border fundraising and capital repatriation related to overseas RWA issuance will remain subject to #ForeignExchange controls, with other RWA structures supervised by relevant authorities based on their specific nature.
Michael Saylor: Selling #Bitcoin Is an Option Michael Saylor said Strategy no longer maintains a strict “buy-only” stance on #Bitcoin , noting that selling #BTC is now an option. The comment comes as the firm reported significant unrealized losses tied to BTC price fluctuations, a move some investors say could raise expectations of early selling pressure across the #Crypto market.
Michael Saylor: Selling #Bitcoin Is an Option

Michael Saylor said Strategy no longer maintains a strict “buy-only” stance on #Bitcoin , noting that selling #BTC is now an option.

The comment comes as the firm reported significant unrealized losses tied to BTC price fluctuations, a move some investors say could raise expectations of early selling pressure across the #Crypto market.
🔍 Weekly Crypto Overview Market divergence persisted over the week, with sharp gains in select small- and mid-cap tokens amid broad market weakness. Gainers: $BUTTCOIN +204.1% · $ARC +95.1% · $CYS +67.2% · $POKT +62.6% · $C98 +53.9% Losers: $RIVER −62.2% · $USELESS −43.2% · $AIX −41.9% · $HUMA −41.6% · $MARSMI −41.0% Trending: $BTC · $HYPE · $XRP · $PENGU · $SOL Funding: Anchorage ($100M) · TRM Labs ($70M) · Jupiter ($35M) · Prometheum ($23M) · Bluff ($21M) · Relay ($17M) #CoinRank #CryptoOverview
🔍 Weekly Crypto Overview

Market divergence persisted over the week, with sharp gains in select small- and mid-cap tokens amid broad market weakness.

Gainers:
$BUTTCOIN +204.1% · $ARC +95.1% · $CYS +67.2% · $POKT +62.6% · $C98 +53.9%

Losers:
$RIVER −62.2% · $USELESS −43.2% · $AIX −41.9% · $HUMA −41.6% · $MARSMI −41.0%

Trending:
$BTC · $HYPE · $XRP · $PENGU · $SOL

Funding:
Anchorage ($100M) · TRM Labs ($70M) · Jupiter ($35M) · Prometheum ($23M) · Bluff ($21M) · Relay ($17M)

#CoinRank #CryptoOverview
⏰ 2026/02/02 - 2026/02/08 | This Week's Key Events: What Did You Miss? This week, the Crypto market focused on ProjectUpdates, TokenSupply dynamics, and key Macro signals. Major developments included Binance listing stock perpetual contracts for MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Robinhood (HOOD), Matrixport launching stablecoin-linked equity investment products, and Stable completing its v1.2.0 mainnet upgrade. On the Token side, supply dynamics remained in focus. CoinList opened the public sale of Flying Tulip (FT), while the Hyperliquid team distributed 14.04 million unlocked HYPE tokens, keeping TokenUnlocks and post-#TGE activity on the radar. From a #Macro and #Regulation perspective, markets digested a series of global signals. Highlights included the release of U.S. labor market data, policy updates from the Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, and Bank of England, alongside Japan’s early general election, adding to broader #MarketSentiment and #GlobalRisk discussions. #CoinRank #WeeklyRecap
⏰ 2026/02/02 - 2026/02/08 | This Week's Key Events: What Did You Miss?

This week, the Crypto market focused on ProjectUpdates, TokenSupply dynamics, and key Macro signals. Major developments included Binance listing stock perpetual contracts for MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Robinhood (HOOD), Matrixport launching stablecoin-linked equity investment products, and Stable completing its v1.2.0 mainnet upgrade.

On the Token side, supply dynamics remained in focus. CoinList opened the public sale of Flying Tulip (FT), while the Hyperliquid team distributed 14.04 million unlocked HYPE tokens, keeping TokenUnlocks and post-#TGE activity on the radar.

From a #Macro and #Regulation perspective, markets digested a series of global signals. Highlights included the release of U.S. labor market data, policy updates from the Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, and Bank of England, alongside Japan’s early general election, adding to broader #MarketSentiment and #GlobalRisk discussions.

#CoinRank #WeeklyRecap
Crypto-friendly #ErebörBank secures a U.S. #NationalBank charter According to The Wall Street Journal, crypto-friendly Erebör Bank has received approval to operate as a U.S. national bank, becoming the first newly established bank to obtain a federal charter during the Trump administration’s second term, marking a notable signal for Crypto and Banking regulation. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (#OCC ) has confirmed that Erebör Bank’s charter application has been officially approved, highlighting a potential shift in the U.S. #Regulatory stance toward #DigitalAssets .
Crypto-friendly #ErebörBank secures a U.S. #NationalBank charter

According to The Wall Street Journal, crypto-friendly Erebör Bank has received approval to operate as a U.S. national bank, becoming the first newly established bank to obtain a federal charter during the Trump administration’s second term, marking a notable signal for Crypto and Banking regulation.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (#OCC ) has confirmed that Erebör Bank’s charter application has been officially approved, highlighting a potential shift in the U.S. #Regulatory stance toward #DigitalAssets .
VanEck: Bitcoin Sell-Off Lacks Clear Trigger #VanEck says #Bitcoin ’s latest sell-off was driven by broad deleveraging rather than a single catalyst, making a clear market bottom harder to identify. VanEck digital assets research head #MatthewSigel notes factors include leverage unwinding, miner selling, cooling #Aİ narratives, and the typical four-year cycle psychology around #BTC .
VanEck: Bitcoin Sell-Off Lacks Clear Trigger

#VanEck says #Bitcoin ’s latest sell-off was driven by broad deleveraging rather than a single catalyst, making a clear market bottom harder to identify. VanEck digital assets research head #MatthewSigel notes factors include leverage unwinding, miner selling, cooling #Aİ narratives, and the typical four-year cycle psychology around #BTC .
🇨🇳CHINA REINFORCES CRYPTO MINING CRACKDOWN China’s eight major government departments have pledged to continue their crackdown on virtual currency mining, citing concerns over energy consumption, carbon emissions, and financial risk. Key implications: ➡️ Domestic crypto mining has virtually no policy room left ➡️ Regulatory focus remains on energy security and financial stability ➡️ Hashrate migration and offshore compliance will keep accelerating For miners and mining capital, global deployment and regulatory alignment are no longer optional — they are strategic necessities. #Bitcoin #Mining
🇨🇳CHINA REINFORCES CRYPTO MINING CRACKDOWN

China’s eight major government departments have pledged to continue their crackdown on virtual currency mining, citing concerns over energy consumption, carbon emissions, and financial risk.

Key implications:

➡️ Domestic crypto mining has virtually no policy room left
➡️ Regulatory focus remains on energy security and financial stability
➡️ Hashrate migration and offshore compliance will keep accelerating

For miners and mining capital, global deployment and regulatory alignment are no longer optional — they are strategic necessities.

#Bitcoin #Mining
🎙️ Why On-Chain Credit Identity Matters
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