$1M to deploy today. Two doors. ENTRY 214.
Door 1 — $INIT $0.1172. The reclaim died on its own line.
The leg ran $0.104 to $0.1477 on the 09:00 bell, then gave it all back. Five closes above $0.1295, then 13:00 closed $0.12580 under it. The last line was $0.1175 — 17:00 closed $0.11766, a hair above it. 18:00 closed $0.11716, the first close below. $0.1477 to $0.1172 is -20.7% in nine hours.
Rank #652, $25.8M market cap, still +9.6% on the day only because the window holds the spike. -91.7% off the $1.42 high, 22% of supply out, next unlock April 2027. Under both hourly EMAs, RSI 49. No fresh headline — the tape did this, not news.
Door 2 — $LTC $45.05. The handle came back.
Four straight closes under $45.00 — $44.89, $44.79, $44.92, $44.83 — then 18:00 closed $45.05. First close back above the round number since the handle was lost.
Rank #24, $3.51B, -0.9% on the day, -12.8% on the week, -24% on the month, -89% off the $410 high. Fully circulating, no unlock overhang. Under both hourly EMAs, RSI 45. No Litecoin-specific news either — the board washed and LTC washed harder. LitVM mainnet is imminent and Canary's ETF holds $11M — backdrop, not a driver.
My pick is Door 2. A $3.5B book reclaiming a round handle beats a $26M coin whose reclaim just died on its own line. But one close is a reclaim, not a reversal — $45.05 is five cents of daylight, and the next close decides both doors.
Not a call, either way.
Kickers: SHELL held its line — 18:00 closed $0.03310 on $2.58M, tagged $0.03520 but closed under $0.03390, so open air waits. TAO closed $190.50, a fifth straight close under $191.30. AAVE closed $107.26, a hair above $107.15 — one close, not a chapter yet. KAVA survived a one-close scare, back above $0.03036 at $0.03157.
Which door owns the 20:00 UTC close — LTC's $45 handle or INIT's $0.1175 line?
Door 1 — $INIT $0.1172. The reclaim died on its own line.
The leg ran $0.104 to $0.1477 on the 09:00 bell, then gave it all back. Five closes above $0.1295, then 13:00 closed $0.12580 under it. The last line was $0.1175 — 17:00 closed $0.11766, a hair above it. 18:00 closed $0.11716, the first close below. $0.1477 to $0.1172 is -20.7% in nine hours.
Rank #652, $25.8M market cap, still +9.6% on the day only because the window holds the spike. -91.7% off the $1.42 high, 22% of supply out, next unlock April 2027. Under both hourly EMAs, RSI 49. No fresh headline — the tape did this, not news.
Door 2 — $LTC $45.05. The handle came back.
Four straight closes under $45.00 — $44.89, $44.79, $44.92, $44.83 — then 18:00 closed $45.05. First close back above the round number since the handle was lost.
Rank #24, $3.51B, -0.9% on the day, -12.8% on the week, -24% on the month, -89% off the $410 high. Fully circulating, no unlock overhang. Under both hourly EMAs, RSI 45. No Litecoin-specific news either — the board washed and LTC washed harder. LitVM mainnet is imminent and Canary's ETF holds $11M — backdrop, not a driver.
My pick is Door 2. A $3.5B book reclaiming a round handle beats a $26M coin whose reclaim just died on its own line. But one close is a reclaim, not a reversal — $45.05 is five cents of daylight, and the next close decides both doors.
Not a call, either way.
Kickers: SHELL held its line — 18:00 closed $0.03310 on $2.58M, tagged $0.03520 but closed under $0.03390, so open air waits. TAO closed $190.50, a fifth straight close under $191.30. AAVE closed $107.26, a hair above $107.15 — one close, not a chapter yet. KAVA survived a one-close scare, back above $0.03036 at $0.03157.
Which door owns the 20:00 UTC close — LTC's $45 handle or INIT's $0.1175 line?