According to the 1M (monthly) timeframe, $HBAR is currently doing nothing particularly remarkable compared to its historical price behavior.
Once again, I am becoming convinced that in 2025, influencers were paid to promote the narrative of an upcoming ALTSEASON. However, instead of a new altcoin season, we entered another BEAR MARKET, leaving all of us trapped in the market.
Now, it seems that only a very small number of people will emerge as winners. Many ordinary retail traders invested just $100 or $200, hoping to experience another spectacular altcoin season and potentially make some profits.
The project celebrated its 7th anniversary with a price increase of over 50% in just a few days, right around its anniversary date. Interesting coincidence, isn't it?
But shortly afterward, the price quickly returned to a BEAR MARKET.
Nothing new here. A potential BULL MARKET trend begins to develop, creating excitement and optimism, only for a massive red candlestick to appear and destroy everyone's hopes.
Image No.1
In less than 2 years of hibernation, the project managed to attract capital, bring in new retail investors, and deliver an impressive price increase of over 4,000% in January 2021.
And take a closer look at the chart, because what follows is even more interesting!
By 2022, the project had already started losing investors' interest due to its aggressive price collapse. In my opinion, this demonstrated that the project lacked the strength and stability needed to sustain the price levels it had previously reached.
And here comes the cherry on top!
The project's second period of hibernation, or accumulation of fresh momentum, lasted more than 2 years. However, this time, it delivered investors a price increase of only 900%, compared to the 4,000% achieved during its first cycle.
That is a significant difference in performance between the two market cycles.
This should have been a warning sign for all of us!
Image No.2
History repeats itself because of human behavior and psychological factors.
The project may need to enter another period of hibernation, which could last up to 3 years. And even if we eventually see another 900% increase, that might no longer be enough to save the traders who entered the market in 2025.
The scenario is extremely disappointing.
For 5 years, the project has not even managed to challenge its GLOBAL RESISTANCE level.
This market actually makes me laugh a little. Everything seems to revolve around time and attracting new retail investors.
In other words, we have to grow older while waiting for new generations to enter the market and buy this project.
Only then might another BULL MARKET begin, allowing us to finally close our positions using the liquidity brought in by those new generations of investors.
I can hardly believe how simple the CRYPTO market can be!
Image No.3
I currently hold two FUTURES positions, and the first one is the most interesting.
I bought at a time when wealthy investors were selling their positions. I entered the market because I was influenced by FOMO and the hype surrounding ALTSEASON.
My God, how naive I was!
That is exactly why I used to say during my LIVE streams that if you are a beginner, you should initially consider investing $1,000 to $4,000, preferably while working with an experienced mentor who has spent at least 3 years in the market, has publicly available trading statistics, and can dedicate enough time to personally guide just 2–4 people every single day.
In my opinion, this is one of the most effective ways to learn how to navigate every phase of the market, from BULL MARKETS to BEAR MARKETS, while developing discipline, patience, and proper risk management.
But just as I was naive, I believe 99% of retail traders are making similar mistakes, and this is exactly how the market continues to attract fresh capital.
Sooner or later, the truth must come to light!
Image No.4
I opened my second FUTURES position at a much better entry price compared to my first position. However, as you can see, even this position is now at risk, and I will have to continue managing it until I eventually manage to secure another profit.
I am a conservative trader, and I have enough patience and discipline to analyze the market and adapt to whatever situation arises.
At the end of the day, there are still decisions and measures I can take to protect my positions, and I am fully prepared to apply them when the right moment comes.
Finally, I wish you all success and patience in managing your positions.
Strictly follow your trading strategy and stay disciplined. Do not constantly jump from one strategy to another or chase every new trading method that appears.
In my opinion, many of these strategies are promoted by people who want us to become blindly dependent on their methods, only for them to eventually profit from our actions.
In other words, we risk falling into the same trap all over again.
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and never forget the importance of RISK MANAGEMENT and MONEY MANAGEMENT.
Best regards,
Adrian (cryptozidezi)#cryptozidezi
