Markets Caught Between Falling Oil, Political Risks and Crypto Outflows 🔄

First, Trump is pausing further strikes on Iran but keeping the blockade, pushing Brent crude down nearly 18% from its 30 October level. Second, central banks remain divided, with Australia and the UK hiking rates while weaker economic signals from Canada and Japan raise concerns. Meanwhile, US election results could slow AI data-centre expansion, with 59% of planned capacity facing tighter restrictions.

Crypto is also under pressure. Strategy bought 1,036 BTC, but spent more buying back its STRC shares, while spot BTC ETFs recorded $1.23B in outflows.

Cheaper oil could help ease inflation and reduce pressure on interest rates, which is positive for risk assets. However, uncertainty around Iran, tighter AI regulations and continued ETF outflows are still weighing on sentiment. I think markets need stronger capital inflows and clearer geopolitical signals before we can expect a sustainable recovery.

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