Anthropic IPO expected valuation has dropped from $2 trillion to around $1.5 trillion. That is a reset and not a collapse. For it to fall under $1 trillion the value must drop another 33%.

The market mood is the real risk. On Nov 5 the Nasdaq fell about 5.5% in one day and AI stocks led the drop. Fear of data center regulation and slower AI buildout is already in the price.

My view is that it holds above $1 trillion if revenue keeps growing. But a weak market on pricing day can change that fast. Watch the roadshow and the final price range.

Not financial advice.

#AnthropicIPO $ANTHROPIC