#JobsReportRaisesHikeOdds
Matlab: *Jobs Report ne Fed ke Rate Hike ke chances barha diye.*
Ye 6 Nov 2026 wali October Jobs Report ki wajah se viral hai.
Kya aaya Report me?
Jo sab ne expect kiya tha us se *2.5x zyada* jobs aayi:
Expectation Actual
**New Jobs** 65,000 **165,000**
**Unemployment** 4.2% **4.1%**
**Wages (Monthly)** 0.3% **0.4%**
**Pichle 2 mahine Revision** - **+84,000 jobs aur**
Sab se zyada hiring hui: *Professional Services (+70,000), Healthcare, Transportation, Manufacturing (+19,000)*
Is se Hike Odds kyun barhe?
Simple logic hai:
*Strong Jobs = Logon ke paas paisa = Kharcha zyada = Inflation kam nahi hogi = Fed ko Rate barhana parega*
Fed ka target inflation *2%* hai, lekin abhi *3.6% - 3.7%* hai. Aur wages bhi barh rahi hain.
Is liye Fed ke paas ab "hum jobs bachane ke liye rate nahi barha sakte" wala bahana khatam ho gaya hai.
Odds kitne barhe?
*December 8-9 Meeting ke liye:*
- Report se pehle: *67%*
- Report ke baad: *77% - 80%*
CME FedWatch ke mutabiq ab *77%* chance hai ke Fed December me *25 bps (0.25%)* rate hike karega. Kalshi par bhi 78% tak gaya.
Yaad rahe, Fed ne 28 Oct ko rate *3.75% - 4.00%* par hold kiya tha, lekin us waqt bhi *2 officials ne hike ke liye vote* diya tha.
Market par asar?
- *10-Year Treasury Yield:* 4.87% - 4.88% tak up
- *2-Year Yield:* 4.52% tak up
- *Dollar:* Strong
- *Gold:* ∼1% down, $4,045 tak
- *Stocks:* Zyada gira nahi kyun ke market ko pehle se hi hike ka andaza tha
Ab agla kya hai?
Ab sab ki nazar *10 Nov (Tuesday) ko CPI Inflation Report* par hai.
- Agar CPI bhi hot aaya to December hike *pakka* samjho.
- Agar CPI thanda aaya to odds wapis 60% tak gir sakte hain.
*Bottom line:* October me jobs ne Fed ko hike karne ki full ijazat de di hai. Ab faisla inflation report karegi.#BinancePick $BTC
Matlab: *Jobs Report ne Fed ke Rate Hike ke chances barha diye.*
Ye 6 Nov 2026 wali October Jobs Report ki wajah se viral hai.
Kya aaya Report me?
Jo sab ne expect kiya tha us se *2.5x zyada* jobs aayi:
Expectation Actual
**New Jobs** 65,000 **165,000**
**Unemployment** 4.2% **4.1%**
**Wages (Monthly)** 0.3% **0.4%**
**Pichle 2 mahine Revision** - **+84,000 jobs aur**
Sab se zyada hiring hui: *Professional Services (+70,000), Healthcare, Transportation, Manufacturing (+19,000)*
Is se Hike Odds kyun barhe?
Simple logic hai:
*Strong Jobs = Logon ke paas paisa = Kharcha zyada = Inflation kam nahi hogi = Fed ko Rate barhana parega*
Fed ka target inflation *2%* hai, lekin abhi *3.6% - 3.7%* hai. Aur wages bhi barh rahi hain.
Is liye Fed ke paas ab "hum jobs bachane ke liye rate nahi barha sakte" wala bahana khatam ho gaya hai.
Odds kitne barhe?
*December 8-9 Meeting ke liye:*
- Report se pehle: *67%*
- Report ke baad: *77% - 80%*
CME FedWatch ke mutabiq ab *77%* chance hai ke Fed December me *25 bps (0.25%)* rate hike karega. Kalshi par bhi 78% tak gaya.
Yaad rahe, Fed ne 28 Oct ko rate *3.75% - 4.00%* par hold kiya tha, lekin us waqt bhi *2 officials ne hike ke liye vote* diya tha.
Market par asar?
- *10-Year Treasury Yield:* 4.87% - 4.88% tak up
- *2-Year Yield:* 4.52% tak up
- *Dollar:* Strong
- *Gold:* ∼1% down, $4,045 tak
- *Stocks:* Zyada gira nahi kyun ke market ko pehle se hi hike ka andaza tha
Ab agla kya hai?
Ab sab ki nazar *10 Nov (Tuesday) ko CPI Inflation Report* par hai.
- Agar CPI bhi hot aaya to December hike *pakka* samjho.
- Agar CPI thanda aaya to odds wapis 60% tak gir sakte hain.
*Bottom line:* October me jobs ne Fed ko hike karne ki full ijazat de di hai. Ab faisla inflation report karegi.#BinancePick $BTC